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Successful Adaptationto Coastal Climate ChangeIdentifying Effective Process andOutcome Characteristics and Practice-Releva...
The all-star, all-female, three-state    Project Leadership Team   Dr. Pamela Matson (PI)Stanford University   Dr. Susan...
Central Question      What does successful adaptation look                    like?       …in different physical, ecologic...
An Increasingly Pressing Question   Global sea level rise expected to    accelerate with climate warming     ~7-8 in 1900...
RationaleWhy do coastal managers want to know?   To decide on a particular course of action   To garner the necessary po...
Alignment with Sea GrantGoals   National Sea Grant Program Vision:    “people live along our coasts in harmony with the  ...
Project Approach Rooted in existing literature Stepwise engagement of scientists,  and coastal practitioners Comparativ...
Approach: Step-by-step1. Literature review   - Scientific literature   - Plans, policy documentsQuestions: What has been ...
Approach: Step-by-step                                                      (cont.)       2. Workshops         ◦ - Scienc...
Expected OutcomesSpecific results of the project include: Clear categorization of “desirable” and  undesirable” outcomes ...
Stakeholder Engagement   Pre-workshop interviews with practitioners    ◦ identify existing mental models    ◦ support dev...
Outputs   3 Practitioner workshops   Peer-reviewed publications   Lay audience publications (coastal    magazines, etc....
Acknowledgments:•Steve Adams, AdinaAbeles, Stacy Vynne,and Lara Whitley-Binderin developing andexecuting this project.•The...
ContactsWe welcome questions, ideas, and comments:Susi MoserEmail: promundi@susannemoser.comAmy SnoverEmail: aksnover@u.wa...
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Successful Adaptation to Coastal Climate Change

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2012-2014 West Coast Sea Grant-funded research project

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Successful Adaptation to Coastal Climate Change

  1. 1. Successful Adaptationto Coastal Climate ChangeIdentifying Effective Process andOutcome Characteristics and Practice-Relevant Metrics
  2. 2. The all-star, all-female, three-state Project Leadership Team Dr. Pamela Matson (PI)Stanford University Dr. Susanne Moser (lead co-PI)Susanne Moser Research & Consulting/Stanford Dr. Amy Snover (co-PI)University of Washington Dr. Hannah Gosnell (co-PI)Oregon State University
  3. 3. Central Question What does successful adaptation look like? …in different physical, ecological, socio- economic, institutional and cultural contexts that characterize coastal communities• Scientific perspective: What process and outcome elements could be considered?• Ethical/normative perspective: Which process and outcome elements should be considered?• Practical perspective: How can communities measure progress towards successful adaptation, both in the near and long-term?
  4. 4. An Increasingly Pressing Question Global sea level rise expected to accelerate with climate warming ~7-8 in 1900-2000 ~16 in by 2050 ~55 in by 2010
  5. 5. RationaleWhy do coastal managers want to know? To decide on a particular course of action To garner the necessary political and social support to commit scarce resources to adaptation To define defensible and measurable goals To assess trade-offs among different options To agree with coastal stakeholders on a preferable strategy To illustrate reasonable progress and be
  6. 6. Alignment with Sea GrantGoals National Sea Grant Program Vision: “people live along our coasts in harmony with the natural resources that attracted and sustain them” Sea Grant Core Values: - strong partnerships - integration of scientific expertise and research - active engagement of stakeholders - extension and education Touches all focal areas in the 2009-13 Strategic Plan
  7. 7. Project Approach Rooted in existing literature Stepwise engagement of scientists, and coastal practitioners Comparative approach ◦ WA, OR, CA practitioner workshops ◦ Perspectives from science and practice ◦ Extensive stakeholder engagement during and after project
  8. 8. Approach: Step-by-step1. Literature review - Scientific literature - Plans, policy documentsQuestions: What has been said to-date about adaptation success? What intentions about desirable processes or endpoints can be discerned? What dimensions of success are commonly delineated? What timeframes are (implicitly or explicitly) considered relevant for the determination of success? What criteria and metrics have been proposed to measure progress toward adaptation success? Over what temporal and geographic scales is success defined? What social, economic, and ecological endpoints and process aspects are considered? Are trade-offs recognized, and if so, how are they being discussed or handled? Is the prospect of unavoidable loss raised, and how is it treated? What, if anything, is unique concerning the coastal adaptation context?
  9. 9. Approach: Step-by-step (cont.)  2. Workshops ◦ - Science experts ◦ - Practitioners in each state (incl. preparatory interviews) ◦ - Capstone: Science and practitionersDay-long interaction and discussion:◦ Tabletop (pair and small group) activities, and group discussion to elicit participants’ mental models or top-of-mind elements of successful adaptation◦ Focus on persistent and vexing CZM challenges◦ Discuss success through various theoretical lenses◦ Explore metrics of success◦ Consider different time horizons◦ Examine trade offs◦ Explore possibility of developing guidelines, delineating principles, and providing a set of indicators (scorecards)
  10. 10. Expected OutcomesSpecific results of the project include: Clear categorization of “desirable” and undesirable” outcomes of coastal climate adaptation actions; Sophisticated articulation of desirable process characteristics (generically, or for particular stakeholders), and why; Guiding principles on how to assess adaptation options as to their traits, desirability, and potential trade-offs; Practical success metrics (e.g., existing or new “performance measures”)
  11. 11. Stakeholder Engagement Pre-workshop interviews with practitioners ◦ identify existing mental models ◦ support development of useful workshops Practitioner Engagement in Workshops Outreach to Coastal and Other Stakeholders after the Workshop Series ◦ Network of Sea Grant programs and extension ◦ Network of coastal and climate-focused organizations in each West Coast state ◦ Network of adaptation-focused organizations nationwide ◦ Local, state, federal and tribal policymakers through existing connections ◦ National Climate Assessment
  12. 12. Outputs 3 Practitioner workshops Peer-reviewed publications Lay audience publications (coastal magazines, etc.) Presentation templates for professional and lay audiences p/vodcasts for public and stakeholders Conference presentations Briefings with policymakers
  13. 13. Acknowledgments:•Steve Adams, AdinaAbeles, Stacy Vynne,and Lara Whitley-Binderin developing andexecuting this project.•The West Coast Sea YOUR QUESTIONS?Grant programs for corefunding, and all partnerinstitutions for matchingfunds.
  14. 14. ContactsWe welcome questions, ideas, and comments:Susi MoserEmail: promundi@susannemoser.comAmy SnoverEmail: aksnover@u.washington.eduHannah GosnellEmail: gosnellh@geo.oregonstate.edu

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