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L'Opinion - Sociologie du second tour des élections départementales - Par OpinionWay - mars 2015

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L'Opinion - Sociologie du second tour des élections départementales - Par OpinionWay - mars 2015

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  • DOWNLOAD THIS BOOKS INTO AVAILABLE FORMAT (2019 Update) ......................................................................................................................... ......................................................................................................................... Download Full PDF EBOOK here { https://soo.gd/irt2 } ......................................................................................................................... Download Full EPUB Ebook here { https://soo.gd/irt2 } ......................................................................................................................... Download Full doc Ebook here { https://soo.gd/irt2 } ......................................................................................................................... Download PDF EBOOK here { https://soo.gd/irt2 } ......................................................................................................................... Download EPUB Ebook here { https://soo.gd/irt2 } ......................................................................................................................... Download doc Ebook here { https://soo.gd/irt2 } ......................................................................................................................... ......................................................................................................................... ................................................................................................................................... eBook is an electronic version of a traditional print book THIS can be read by using a personal computer or by using an eBook reader. (An eBook reader can be a software application for use on a computer such as Microsoft's free Reader application, or a book-sized computer THIS is used solely as a reading device such as Nuvomedia's Rocket eBook.) Users can purchase an eBook on diskette or CD, but the most popular method of getting an eBook is to purchase a downloadable file of the eBook (or other reading material) from a Web site (such as Barnes and Noble) to be read from the user's computer or reading device. Generally, an eBook can be downloaded in five minutes or less ......................................................................................................................... .............. Browse by Genre Available eBooks .............................................................................................................................. Art, Biography, Business, Chick Lit, Children's, Christian, Classics, Comics, Contemporary, Cookbooks, Manga, Memoir, Music, Mystery, Non Fiction, Paranormal, Philosophy, Poetry, Psychology, Religion, Romance, Science, Science Fiction, Self Help, Suspense, Spirituality, Sports, Thriller, Travel, Young Adult, Crime, Ebooks, Fantasy, Fiction, Graphic Novels, Historical Fiction, History, Horror, Humor And Comedy, ......................................................................................................................... ......................................................................................................................... .....BEST SELLER FOR EBOOK RECOMMEND............................................................. ......................................................................................................................... Blowout: Corrupted Democracy, Rogue State Russia, and the Richest, Most Destructive Industry on Earth,-- The Ride of a Lifetime: Lessons Learned from 15 Years as CEO of the Walt Disney Company,-- Call Sign Chaos: Learning to Lead,-- StrengthsFinder 2.0,-- Stillness Is the Key,-- She Said: Breaking the Sexual Harassment Story THIS Helped Ignite a Movement,-- Atomic Habits: An Easy & Proven Way to Build Good Habits & Break Bad Ones,-- Everything Is Figureoutable,-- What It Takes: Lessons in the Pursuit of Excellence,-- Rich Dad Poor Dad: What the Rich Teach Their Kids About Money THIS the Poor and Middle Class Do Not!,-- The Total Money Makeover: Classic Edition: A Proven Plan for Financial Fitness,-- Shut Up and Listen!: Hard Business Truths THIS Will Help You Succeed, ......................................................................................................................... .........................................................................................................................
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  • DOWNLOAD THIS BOOKS INTO AVAILABLE FORMAT (2019 Update) ......................................................................................................................... ......................................................................................................................... Download Full PDF EBOOK here { https://soo.gd/irt2 } ......................................................................................................................... Download Full EPUB Ebook here { https://soo.gd/irt2 } ......................................................................................................................... Download Full doc Ebook here { https://soo.gd/irt2 } ......................................................................................................................... Download PDF EBOOK here { https://soo.gd/irt2 } ......................................................................................................................... Download EPUB Ebook here { https://soo.gd/irt2 } ......................................................................................................................... Download doc Ebook here { https://soo.gd/irt2 } ......................................................................................................................... ......................................................................................................................... ................................................................................................................................... eBook is an electronic version of a traditional print book THIS can be read by using a personal computer or by using an eBook reader. (An eBook reader can be a software application for use on a computer such as Microsoft's free Reader application, or a book-sized computer THIS is used solely as a reading device such as Nuvomedia's Rocket eBook.) Users can purchase an eBook on diskette or CD, but the most popular method of getting an eBook is to purchase a downloadable file of the eBook (or other reading material) from a Web site (such as Barnes and Noble) to be read from the user's computer or reading device. Generally, an eBook can be downloaded in five minutes or less ......................................................................................................................... .............. Browse by Genre Available eBooks .............................................................................................................................. Art, Biography, Business, Chick Lit, Children's, Christian, Classics, Comics, Contemporary, Cookbooks, Manga, Memoir, Music, Mystery, Non Fiction, Paranormal, Philosophy, Poetry, Psychology, Religion, Romance, Science, Science Fiction, Self Help, Suspense, Spirituality, Sports, Thriller, Travel, Young Adult, Crime, Ebooks, Fantasy, Fiction, Graphic Novels, Historical Fiction, History, Horror, Humor And Comedy, ......................................................................................................................... ......................................................................................................................... .....BEST SELLER FOR EBOOK RECOMMEND............................................................. ......................................................................................................................... Blowout: Corrupted Democracy, Rogue State Russia, and the Richest, Most Destructive Industry on Earth,-- The Ride of a Lifetime: Lessons Learned from 15 Years as CEO of the Walt Disney Company,-- Call Sign Chaos: Learning to Lead,-- StrengthsFinder 2.0,-- Stillness Is the Key,-- She Said: Breaking the Sexual Harassment Story THIS Helped Ignite a Movement,-- Atomic Habits: An Easy & Proven Way to Build Good Habits & Break Bad Ones,-- Everything Is Figureoutable,-- What It Takes: Lessons in the Pursuit of Excellence,-- Rich Dad Poor Dad: What the Rich Teach Their Kids About Money THIS the Poor and Middle Class Do Not!,-- The Total Money Makeover: Classic Edition: A Proven Plan for Financial Fitness,-- Shut Up and Listen!: Hard Business Truths THIS Will Help You Succeed, ......................................................................................................................... .........................................................................................................................
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L'Opinion - Sociologie du second tour des élections départementales - Par OpinionWay - mars 2015

  1. 1. Toute publication totale ou partielle doit impérativement utiliser la mention complète suivante : « Sondage OpinionWay pour L’Opinion» et aucune reprise de l’enquête ne pourra être dissociée de cet intitulé. La sociologie du vote au second tour des élections départementales 2015 29 mars 2015
  2. 2. 2pour La sociologie du vote au second tour des élections départementales – 29 mars 2015 Méthodologie  Echantillon de 6126 Français représentatif de la population des Français âgés de 18 ans et plus, en dehors de Paris et de la Métropole de Lyon. Ont été exclus de cet échantillon les 124 cantons dans lesquels les conseillers départementaux ont été élus dès le premier tour des élections, le 22 mars 2015.  L’échantillon a été constitué selon la méthode des quotas, au regard des critères de sexe, d’âge, de catégorie socioprofessionnelle, de catégorie d’agglomération et de région de résidence. Pour cette taille d’échantillon, la marge d’incertitude est de 0,6 à 1,4 point  Echantillon interrogé en ligne sur système CAWI (Computer Assistance for Web Interview).  Le terrain a été réalisé le 29 mars 2015.  OpinionWay a réalisé cette enquête en appliquant les procédures et règles de la norme ISO 20252. Toute publication totale ou partielle doit impérativement utiliser la mention complète suivante : « Sondage OpinionWay pour L’Opinion » et aucune reprise de l’enquête ne pourra être dissociée de cet intitulé.
  3. 3. 3pour La sociologie du vote au second tour des élections départementales – 29 mars 2015 Sondage jour du vote Q: Au second tour des élections départementales, pour laquelle des listes suivantes avez-vous voté ici dans votre canton ? Gauche Droite Front National 21% 47% 31%
  4. 4. 4pour La sociologie du vote au second tour des élections départementales – 29 mars 2015 Le Cantoscope : Modèle prédictif des majorités départementales Le nombre de cantons gagnés par … La gauche 650 à 700 La droite / UC / Modem 1200 à 1250 Le FN 40 à 80 &
  5. 5. 5pour La sociologie du vote au second tour des élections départementales – 29 mars 2015 Sans majorité Le Cantoscope : Modèle prédictif des majorités départementales Le nombre de départements gagnés par … La gauche 24 La droite / UC / Modem 65 4 &
  6. 6. 6pour La sociologie du vote au second tour des élections départementales – 29 mars 2015 Gauche Droite FN ENSEMBLE DES REPONDANTS 31% 47% 21% Sexe Un homme 30% 46% 23% Une femme 32% 47% 20% Age 18-24 ans 31% 54% 15% 25-34 ans 31% 46% 23% 35-49 ans 32% 42% 25% 50-64 ans 32% 41% 26% 65 ans et + 30% 55% 15% Niveau de diplôme Sans diplôme/BEPC/CAP/BEP 29% 40% 31% Bac/Bac+2 29% 46% 24% Supérieur à Bac+2 37% 52% 11% CSP Interviewé CSP+ 36% 47% 17% Artisans, commerçants, chefs d'ent. 17% 55% 28% Cadres, prof. intel. supérieures 40% 48% 11% Professions intermédiaires 38% 44% 18% CSP- 27% 41% 32% Employés 32% 39% 29% Ouvriers 22% 43% 34% Sociologie du vote (1/8) Abstentionnistes 49% 44% 53% 73% 59% 51% 44% 36% 49% 50% 48% 47% 42% 43% 50% 56% 58% 53%
  7. 7. 7pour La sociologie du vote au second tour des élections départementales – 29 mars 2015 Gauche Droite FN ENSEMBLE DES REPONDANTS 31% 47% 21% Statut Actif 31% 45% 24% ...Travaille à son compte 21% 52% 27% ...Salarié 32% 44% 24% ...dont en CDI 33% 44% 23% ...dont CDD / intérim / contrat aidé 25% 45% 30% ...dont salarié du public 41% 40% 19% ...dont salarié du privé 27% 46% 26% ...Chômeur 31% 40% 27% Inactif 32% 49% 18% ...Lycéen, Etudiant 48% 39% 13% ...Retraité 31% 51% 17% ...Homme/femme au foyer 27% 38% 32% Sociologie du vote (2/8) Abstentionnistes 49% 52% 47% 51% 50% 53% 47% 53% 66% 45% 72% 38% 55%
  8. 8. 8pour La sociologie du vote au second tour des élections départementales – 29 mars 2015 Gauche Droite FN ENSEMBLE DES REPONDANTS 31% 47% 21% Statut marital Célibataire 35% 49% 16% ST Couple 30% 46% 23% dont marié ou remarié 29% 47% 22% dont pacsé 32% 44% 24% dont en concubinage 34% 39% 27% Divorcé 32% 46% 22% Veuf 30% 56% 14% Revenu mensuel du foyer Moins de 999 euros/mois 32% 49% 19% 1 000 - 1 999 euros/mois 33% 41% 25% De 2 000 à 3 499 euros/mois 33% 42% 24% De 3 500 et plus 31% 53% 15% Type d'occupation du logement Propriétaire de votre résidence principale 30% 49% 20% Accédant à la propriété (vous remboursez un emprunt contracté pour l'achat de votre logement) 30% 46% 23% Locataire d'un logement HLM 40% 36% 24% Locataire dans le parc privé 34% 43% 22% Logé à titre gratuit 30% 46% 24% Sociologie du vote (3/8) Abstentionnistes 49% 61% 46% 40% 51% 61% 44% 38% 67% 53% 44% 39% 39% 49% 66% 59% 64%
  9. 9. 9pour La sociologie du vote au second tour des élections départementales – 29 mars 2015 Gauche Droite FN ENSEMBLE DES REPONDANTS 31% 47% 21% Proximité partisane Extrême Gauche 75% 20% 5% Gauche radicale 78% 17% 5% Gauche 73% 23% 3% ...P.C / Parti de gauche 79% 16% 5% ...PS 73% 23% 3% ...Europe Ecologie/Les Verts 68% 28% 4% MoDem 27% 63% 9% Alternative 17% 75% 8% Droite 6% 80% 14% ... U.D.I./Nouveau centre 8% 85% 6% ...U.M.P 5% 82% 13% Front National 5% 18% 77% Sans préférence partisane 29% 50% 20% Sociologie du vote (4/8) Abstentionnistes 49% 69% 57% 45% 53% 38% 53% 46% 41% 33% 37% 31% 40% 73%
  10. 10. 10pour La sociologie du vote au second tour des élections départementales – 29 mars 2015 Gauche Droite FN ENSEMBLE DES REPONDANTS 31% 47% 21% Vote au 1er tour des Présidentielles 2012 Jean-Luc Mélenchon 68% 25% 7% François Hollande 67% 25% 7% François Bayrou 21% 68% 10% Nicolas Sarkozy 5% 80% 14% Marine Le Pen 4% 24% 71% Vote au 2nd tour des Présidentielles 2012 François Hollande 63% 26% 10% Nicolas Sarkozy 5% 68% 27% Religion Catholique 24% 52% 24% Dont pratiquants 19% 64% 17% ...Dont réguliers 13% 76% 11% ...Dont occasionnels 20% 62% 18% Dont non pratiquants 26% 46% 27% Protestant(e) 31% 39% 30% Musulman(e) 77% 17% 6% Sans religion 42% 39% 19% Sociologie du vote (5/8) Abstentionnistes 49% 59% 42% 37% 32% 35% 47% 33% 42% 30% 23% 31% 47% 31% 79% 56%
  11. 11. 11pour La sociologie du vote au second tour des élections départementales – 29 mars 2015 Gauche Droite FN ENSEMBLE DES REPONDANTS 31% 47% 21% Intérêt pour la campagne Intéressé 32% 45% 22% Pas intéressé 30% 49% 20% Attitude face à la société actuelle Il faut la transformer radicalement 21% 41% 38% Il faut la réformer en profondeur 28% 51% 20% Il faut l'aménager sur quelques aspects 42% 43% 14% Il faut la laisser telle qu'elle est 54% 36% 10% Confiance accordée pour diriger le pays Gauche 77% 21% 1% Droite 4% 78% 18% Ni gauche ni droite 25% 43% 32% Perception de l'influence des dirigeants politiques Importante 33% 48% 18% Pas importante 29% 45% 25% Sociologie du vote (6/8) Abstentionnistes 49% 29% 66% 57% 47% 47% 68% 39% 29% 58% 41% 56%
  12. 12. 12pour La sociologie du vote au second tour des élections départementales – 29 mars 2015 Gauche Droite FN ENSEMBLE DES REPONDANTS 31% 47% 21% Opinion sur l'avenir de la France S'ouvrir 43% 51% 6% Se protéger 18% 41% 41% Ni l'un ni l'autre 34% 49% 16% Appréciation concernant l'appartenance de la France à l'Europe Une bonne chose 39% 53% 8% Une mauvaise chose 17% 31% 52% Une chose ni bonne ni mauvaise 28% 47% 24% Opinion sur la sortie de l'Euro et retour au Franc Favorable 17% 31% 52% Opposé 36% 52% 11% Indifférent 24% 38% 37% Sociologie du vote (7/8) Abstentionnistes 49% 43% 50% 54% 41% 54% 57% 55% 45% 57%
  13. 13. 13pour La sociologie du vote au second tour des élections départementales – 29 mars 2015 Gauche Droite FN ENSEMBLE DES REPONDANTS 31% 47% 21% Opinion sur le vote D’abord un droit 33% 44% 23% D’abord un devoir 30% 48% 21% Place des choix politiques ST Une grande place 34% 44% 22% ...Une très grande place 35% 40% 25% ...Une assez grande place 33% 44% 21% ST Une faible place 29% 50% 21% ...Une assez faible place 30% 50% 19% ...Une très faible place 26% 48% 26% Opinion sur l’importance des valeurs républicaines La liberté 25% 50% 25% L’égalité 45% 42% 12% Aucune des deux 19% 47% 34% Vote au 1er tour des élections départementales Gauche 77% 20% 3% Droite 5% 89% 6% FN 4% 23% 73% Sociologie du vote (8/8) Abstentionnistes 49% 65% 35% 35% 43% 33% 58% 49% 72% 46% 49% 59% 32% 21% 30%

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