Ryan Branciforte of the Bay Area Open Space Council shared this presentation at a Bay Area Ecosystems Climate Change Collaborative (BAECCC) workshop on 11/29/12.

1. TBC3 – Climate Portfolio Report
BAECC Climate Smart Workshop
November 29, 2012

2. CLN Explorer – Accessing Information
Options for Accessing and Analyzing Data:
1. Climate Section of BayAreaLands.org and TBC3.org

3. CLN Explorer - Accessing Information
2. Climate ArcGIS project – similar to CLN Biodiversity GIS

4. CLN Explorer - Accessing Information
3. CLN Explorer – Climate Portfolio Reports (CPR)

5. CLN Explorer - Accessing Information
4. Interactive Database - Water Balance diagrams for Planning Watersheds
Pine Gulch Creek 1980-2009
500 Pine
450 Gulch 1980-
Creek 2009
400 CWD 656 CWD
350 AET 494
mm/month
Runoff 220
300 Recharge 174
AET
250 PPT 885
200 Tmax 18.3 Runoff
Tmin 8.7
150 Recharge
100
50 Soil
0 Jul
Feb
Jun
Aug
Sep
May
Oct
Apr
Mar
Dec
Jan
Nov

6. CLN Explorer – Quick Survey
1. Are you familiar with the Conservation Lands Network?
2. Does it help to inform your work?
3. Have you actually read the CLN Report?
4. Have you been on BayAreaLands.org?
5. Have you used Explorer? More than 2x? More than 10x?

12. Climate Section

13. CLN Explorer - Climate Portfolio Report
Visual mock up showing CLN Explorer – Climate Layers dropdown
FUTURE
CLIMATE VARIABLES Models
Temperature TIME SERIES GFDL (Drier)
DJF Tmin Historic 1950-1979 PCM (Wetter)
JJA Tmax Baseline 1980-2010 Emissions Scenarios
Water Balance Near Future 2011-39 B1 (Al Gore)
Runoff Mid Century 2040-69 A2 (Worse)
Recharge End Century 2070-99 Options:
Precipitation GFDL B1
CWD GFDL A2
AET PCM B1
PCM A2
Display chosen option in Explorer
Option to download histogram showing spatial variability
Difference table – Climate variable comparing present to 3 future periods.

14. Histograms of Runoff 2070-2099 GFDL-B1
170
VALUE
160 0 - 50
150 51 - 100
101 - 150
140 151 - 200
201 - 250
130 251 - 300
120 301 - 350
351 - 400
110 401 - 450
451 - 500
100 501 - 550
551 - 600
90
601 - 650
80 651 - 700
701 - 750
70 751 - 800
801 - 850
60
851 - 900
50 901 - 950
951 - 1,000
40 1,001 - 1,050
1,051 - 1,100
30
20
10
0
PINE_GULCH FERN_CREEK
Runoff 2070-2099 GFDL B1

15. CLN Explorer - Climate Portfolio Report
What will be reported in the CPR – Output Tables/Graphs
User defines area
Background voodoo (zonal stats extraction)
1. Basic Info – Acreage, Converted Lands, CLN Category, Suitability, Protected Lands
2. Resiliency section – some measure of the range of the key variables at 270m scale
3. Current Analog City – high and low scenario
4. Climate Variables – Temperature and Water Balance
A. Temperature - DJF Tmin, JJA Tmax
i. Two Futures – GFDL A2, PCM A2
i. Graph
ii. Table
B. Water Balance – PPT, CWD, AET, Runoff, Recharge
i. Two Futures – GFDL A2, PCM A2
i. Graph
ii. Table

16. CLN Explorer - Climate Portfolio Report
3. Current Analog City – high and low scenario

17. CLN Explorer - Climate Portfolio Report
What will be reported in the CPR – Output Tables/Graphs
4. Temperature - DJF Tmin, JJA Tmax
A. Two Futures – GFDL A2, PCM A2
Graph Table

18. CLN Explorer - Climate Portfolio Report
4. Water Balance – PPT, CWD, AET, Runoff, Recharge
B. Two Futures – GFDL A2, PCM A2
Graph Table

19. CLN Explorer - Climate Portfolio Report
What’s Next:
Timeline – Roll out results in Fall of 2013
Alpha + Testers - Winter 2012/13
Beta Explorer Testers - Spring/Summer of 2013
Live in the Fall 2013
TBC3 Workshop in the Fall 2013

20. CLN Explorer – Quick Survey
1. Do you think the Climate Portfolio Report will be helpful
for your work?
2. Would you like to have access to Climate GIS Database ?
3. Would you be willing to do an online survey to help us
develop the best tools/information?
4. Would you be willing to beta test the CPR? If so get out
your phone and email annie@openspacecouncil.org
Subject: CPR Beta Tester

22. CLN Explorer - Climate Portfolio Report
Visual mock up showing CLN Explorer – Climate Layers dropdown
-Diagram outlines the options for displaying the key climate datasets
-Climate Variable options – runoff, recharge, ppt, cwd, aet, Tmin, Tmax
-Time series of 30 year averages – 1950-79, 1980-2009, 2010-2039, 2040-2069,
2070-2099
-4 Futures – many more coming down the line, 15 or so.
-Models GFDL and PCM
-Emissions Scenarios B1, A2
-Ensemble stats
-Difference table – 3 different options for each Climate variable comparing present
to 3 future periods.
-Runoff 1980-2010 vs 2040-69
-Display chosen option on the map
-Option to download histogram showing spatial variability – Stu will send example
-CPR would have display map based on layers turned on