Gas flare 1.(curved)

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This publication is the first of a three-part series on the Nigerian Gas sector. The series aims to highlight the industry issues and challenges as well as assess the opportunities across the value-chain in addition to providing an outlook for the sector. In this first part we assess the impact of gas flaring on the Nigerian economy by estimating in monetary terms the economic and health effects of gas flaring as well as the revenue potential lost from flaring.

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Economic recovery remains lackluster... Real GDP growth improved to 2.4% (Q3'18: 1.8%), sustaining its quarterly climb from Q2'18. The marginal improvement in GDP continues to be driven wholly by expansion in non-oil sector activities, which grew further to 2.7%. This time around, the agriculture sector also contributed to the sustained improvement in the sector, even as the services sector continues to undergird non-oil growth. However, when compared with the corresponding quarter in 2017 (Q4'17: 2.1%), GDP growth was marginal. This indicates that the country's economic recovery remains flat and below expectations. Read our detailed analysis of Nigeria's Q4'18 GDP figures and other economic projections in our latest Nigeria Economic Alert.

Economy alert february 2019 (1)

Omosomi Omomia, MBA

Top ten themes for 2019 From Diaspora remittances to unemployment, oil prices, population growth and the exchange rate, our economists, using relevant data and charts, highlight top ten themes around Nigeria's economic outlook for 2019. Please note that this document has been prepared for general guidance on matters of interest only, and does not constitute professional advice. You should not act upon the information contained in this publication without obtaining specific professional advice.

Nigeria economic-outlook-2019

Omosomi Omomia, MBA

Feeding Africa's largest economy by 2050

Omosomi Omomia, MBA

Nigeria's allocation to tertiary education has declined over the years. Relying solely on the government to fund tertiary education is no longer adequate because of the growing government budget deficit and a need to focus on hard infrastructure such as transport network and power. The world over, the cost of providing tertiary education is expensive, however multiple avenues of funding are available, exclusive of government allocation and out-of-pocket payments. Our new publication Closing the funding gap in social infrastructure: Making the case for adoption of endowment funds observes that Nigeria needs to find sustainable ways to fund tertiary education and makes the case for adopting endowment funds, which have been successfully established in the West, as a sustainable strategy. It also shares steps for setting up such a fund in Nigerian universities. This is a very topical issue as the conversation continues on how to augment government funding for Nigerian universities. It would thus be of great value to academics, university administrators, founders of private tertiary institutions, policy makers, labour unions in tertiary institutions, civil society, philanthropists, donor agencies, students association etc.

Adopting endowment-funds

Omosomi Omomia, MBA

To maintain its share of the continent’s agriculture GDP by 2030, Nigeria will need to grow its agriculture sector revenues by a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.7% annually. To ensure this is achieved, agriculture budget to GDP will have to be sustained by at least 7% annually. It is estimated that agriculture is Africa’s largest economic sector, representing 15% of the continent’s total GDP. Nigeria contributes 14% of Africa’s agriculture GDP. The World Bank forecasts that by 2030, the food market in Africa will grow to be a US$1 trillion industry. Nigeria will need to intensify its investments in improving agriculture yield and integrating the value-chain over the next decade to effectively capture a significant share of the US$1 trillion market.

Evaluating agric-finance-nigeria

Omosomi Omomia, MBA

Real GDP growth improved to 1.8% y/y in Q3'18 driven wholly by the continued expansion in non-oil activities to 2.3%, the highest since 2016. The services sector is largely responsible for the sustained improvement in the non-oil sector, on account of growth in information & communication technology (ICT). Our Economist hold that for economic growth to be inclusive, the FG has to ensure that real GDP grows at a faster rate than population growth. We believe that intensifying focus on the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP) reforms in Q1'19 will improve non-oil sector growth, particularly in manufacturing. This growth should be supported by ongoing business reforms including legislative reforms facilitated by the Presidential Enabling Business Environment Council (PEBEC) and the Senate. Furthermore, boosting oil production to normal level may provide much-needed revenues to support macro-economic growth.

PwC Nigeria Economic Alert (December 2018)

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BusinessDay Research & Intelligence Unit (BRIU) presents excerpts from over 200 pages of the maiden edition of our annual Innovation Report 2018 sub-titled Companies to Inspire Nigeria following the first BusinessDay Innovation Awards held in 2017. The report tracks the innovative trends and strides of 88 Companies who introduced and pioneered inventive and ground-breaking products, services, models, processes and ideas in Nigeria that revolutionised our local markets over the last three (3) years (2014 to 2017). Innovation is a prerequisite for corporate survival and the lifeblood of sustainable business growth and development globally. Organisations that innovate successfully are those that drive the future of the sectors or markets in which they play and indeed the overall economy they are located.

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BusinessDay Research & Intelligence Unit (BRIU) is delighted to present the results of our Construction Survey which reflects the views of 114 professionals from segments of the Construction Industry, as well as Finance and the Public Sector. Our report provides in-depth analysis of the construction industry including trends and challenges being experienced on the ground. Sentiment for the construction industry is somewhat optimistic and the outlook for 2018 is relatively positive, with further increases in activity expected across a few strategic sectors. However, there are a number of challenges currently facing the industry, and of these, the country's currency value and access to finance/funding for activities is causing the greatest concern.

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