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Gfei in Ukraine, Odesa 14.03.2018

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Promoting Improved Automotive Fuel Economy in Ukraine

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Gfei in Ukraine, Odesa 14.03.2018

  1. 1. Global Fuel Economy Initiative in Ukraine 14 March 2018 Odesa, Ukraine Oleg Tsilvik INTERNATIONAL STANDARDIZATION ACADEMY
  2. 2. «Promoting Improved Automotive Fuel Economy in Ukraine»
  3. 3. Global Fuel Economy Initiative Core partners Supported
  4. 4. Source: GLOBAL FUEL ECONOMY - AN UPDATE FOR COP23
  5. 5. RESEARCH IN-COUNTRY POLICY SUPPORT GLOBAL CAMPAIGNS
  6. 6. Doubling the efficiency of the global car fleet by 2050 • Slowing improvement in OECD countries • Increasing improvement in non-OECD - but not enough • Still far from meeting the GFEI target Source: IEA/ GFEI, 2017
  7. 7. More details about GFEI on website www.globalfueleconomy.org
  8. 8. 2015 – Ukraine joins GFEI November 2015 – signing of the Agreement between UNEP and ISA to start implementation of the Global Fuel Economy Initiative in Ukraine. Mission of the project in Ukraine – Promote Improved Auto Fuel Economy in Ukraine to reduce black carbon emissions from the transport sector and promote better air quality Initial objectives: • Collect and analyze national auto fleet data on fuel economy using GFEI methodology and a reliable sources to create an enabling environment in Ukraine for the development and implementation of a more sustainable national fuel economy policy. • Identification of key stakeholders and potential barriers to introducing fuel economy policies.
  9. 9. Ukraine on GFEI`s global map Source: GLOBAL FUEL ECONOMY - AN UPDATE FOR COP23
  10. 10. Why GFEI is so important for Ukraine? Strong dependence on imported fuel products Reducing oil and fuel consumption will increase energy security of the country Climate change Slows down negative climate change trends by reducing carbon emissions (CO2) Sustainability Contributes to the sustainable development of the country's economy Air quality Improving the air quality and reducing the negative impact on the health of the population
  11. 11. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 72.5 80.2 79.4 80.6 82.5 27.5 19.8 20.6 19.4 17.5 STRONG DEPENDENCE ON IMPORTED FUEL PRODUCTS Import fuels Ukrainian producers Source: “Scientific-Technical Center «Psycheа»
  12. 12. Source: “Scientific-Technical Center «Psycheа» 64.3 76.3 69.0 69.1 68.4 81.4 87.2 87.0 86.8 88.7 45.1 49.7 58.5 72.4 74.5 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 STRUCTURE OF THE FUEL IMPORT Petrol Diesel LPG
  13. 13. Project activity on a national level 12-13 October 2017 Kick-off conference «Promoting Improved Automotive Fuel Economy in Ukraine» and Workshop «FEPIT and Feebate system»26 September 2017 Forth meeting of the NWG 6 July 2016 Second meeting of the NWG 9 July 2017 Third meeting of the NWG 29 January 2016 Initiation meeting of the GFEI National Working Group in Ukraine 22 December 2017 Closing meeting of the NWG
  14. 14. Members of National Working Group Ministry of Infrastructure of Ukraine Ministry of ecology and natural resources of Ukraine Ministry of energy and coal industry of Ukraine Ministry of interior of Ukraine (Main Service Center) State Agency on Energy Efficiency and Energy Saving of Ukraine Ministry of health of Ukraine State Service of Ukraine for food safety and consumer protection Sectoral state enterprises Academia Non-governmental organizations Associations of auto market operators
  15. 15. National baseline development: Stage 1. Data collection. 2005, 2008, 2010, JAN-AUG 2012 SEP-DEC 2012, 2014, 2016 Department of Information Technologies Main Service Center AIS “National database “Automobile” Source of information Ministry of Interior of Ukraine
  16. 16. National baseline development (acquiring input data) May 2016 • First data received for the year 2014 and part of 2012 January 2017 • Received data for the year 2016 April 2017 • Received data for the years 2005, 2008, 2010 and rest of 2012 Total number of first registrations ~ 1.6 mln. cars
  17. 17. Stage 2. Cleaning data, structuring and verification of national data based on GFEI methodology Many data mistakes on the vehicle’s parameters. Most common are: Wrong/absent name of the vehicle’s model Wrong/absent data on engine displacement Wrong fuel type indicated Wrong/absent of vehicle’s weight Verification and editing of data
  18. 18. Problematic issues for the National baseline development in Ukraine  Original registration data is in an inaccurate condition as to various necessary parameters (double/triple vehicle checks, an example by VIN code).  Registration data is missing the following vehicle information: engine power, transmission type, weight (partially), production place, etc.
  19. 19. 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2005 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 302 654 208 247 84 77 First Registrations LDV (thousands)
  20. 20. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2005 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Vehicle age on the date of registration, (years) > 20 11-20 8-10 5-7 2-4 1 0
  21. 21. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2005 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Engine size distribution in %, (cc) 0 < 999 1000-1499 1500-1999 2000-2499 2500-2999 3000-3499 > 3500
  22. 22. 0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 700000 2005 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Engine size distribution, (cc) 0 < 999 1000-1499 1500-1999 2000-2499 2500-2999 3000-3499 > 3500
  23. 23. 1699 1823 1875 1863 1841 1776 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 2005 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Average engine size for the first registrations (cc)
  24. 24. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2005 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Diversification of fleet by fuel type Petrol or LPG Petrol or Electric Petrol Electric Diesel or Electric Diesel
  25. 25. 2005 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Electric 0.07 1.49 Hybrid 0.05 0.11 0.06 1.06 0.94 LPG 2.07 2.5 3.9 4.1 5.72 5.91 Diesel 9.83 10.72 24.31 38.12 31.34 48.8 Petrol 88.01 86.73 71.68 57.72 61.81 42.86 88.01 86.73 71.68 57.72 61.81 42.86 9.83 10.72 24.31 38.12 31.34 48.8 2.07 2.5 3.9 4.1 5.72 5.91 0.05 0.11 0.06 1.06 0.94 0.07 1.49 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Diversification of fleet by fuel type (%)
  26. 26. Source: “Scientific-Technical Center «Psycheа» 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2739 2720 2035 2103 1814 5265 5478 5555 5906 6111 880 911 1034 1493 1503 STRUCTURE OF THE FUEL MARKET IN UKRAINE (THOUSANDS TONS) Petrol Diesel LPG
  27. 27. 32 349 223 152 890 723 18 62 1148 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 2005 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 First registrations of Hybrid and EV in Ukraine Hybrid Electric
  28. 28. Stage 3. Adding fuel economy parameters and СО2 emissions Sources for fuel economy information
  29. 29. 228 194 195 186 159 145 0 50 100 150 200 250 2005 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Average g CO2/km in Ukraine
  30. 30. 2005 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Ukraine 9.8 8.3 8.4 8 6.9 6.2 Global 8.8 8.3 8.1 7.8 7.6 OECD and EU 8.8 8.2 7.8 7.6 7.4 Non-OECD 8.5 8.5 8.4 8.2 8 AVERAGE FE IN LGE Ukraine Global OECD and EU Non-OECD
  31. 31. 01 – Input data 02 – Data processing 03 – National baseline 04 – FE Policy Development Input data New car registration taken usually from the one of credible sources Data processing by GFEI methodology Data processing using GFEI methodology. Entering fuel economy parameters. National baseline Baseline will provide factual base ground to practically build on national fuel economy policies and programs FE Policy Development • FE labeling • Feebate program • FEPIT tool • New market standards and/or technologies GFEI in Ukraine progress
  32. 32. 1. Strengthening state regulation in the field of automotive ecology and energy efficiency and determining the institution or department that will coordinate this issue on a national level. 2. The introduction of non-fiscal measures to stimulate consumers to purchasing cars with low fuel consumption, including implementation of best practices for labeling energy-efficient cars, both new and used. 3. Formation of active consumers` behavior in relation to purchasing cars with higher energy efficiency and application of available methods for the modernization of the existing vehicles’ fleet. 4. Development and implementation of a comprehensive plan of measures to support the production and operation of environmentally friendly transport, including using fiscal incentives such as the «feebates» tool, etc. Potential benefits for Ukraine
  33. 33. Information support for GFEI in Ukraine https://www.facebook.com/GFEIUKRAINE http://www.standardacademy.org
  34. 34. Thank you and we look forward to our cooperation for a cleaner future! Oleg Tsilvik INTERNATIONAL STANDARDIZATION ACADEMY interstandardacademy@gmail.com www.standardacademy.org

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