2. Figure 1. Case study destinations within Australian continent.
Source: http://www.australia.com
3. Tourism in Australia
• $68 billion to GDP
• 853,000 = 8.3% Total employment [directly & indirectly]
• 70% Domestic & 25% International= Regional & Rural
• 2.6% Tourists arrivals increase p/a
• 6.2% Outbound tourism increase p/a
• 74% Domestic tourism
• The 200o Sydney Olympics
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Source: http://www.australia.com
4. Climate change + Tourism
• ¾ of its CO2 - tourism transport sector
• 4.95% of Global emissions
Climate
• Affect the demand of tourism
• Determinates the suitability of locations
• Directly affects the environmental resources for tourism
Journal of Sustainable Tourism
Vol. 18, No. 3, April 2010, 452 Source: http://www.australia.com
5. Economic Model Development
The Garnaut Review
CGE [Computable General Equilibrium] economics
IO [input – output]
= Net effects in the economy
TERM* [The Enormous Regional Model] &
The STCRC
[Sustainable Tourism Cooperative Research Center]
*Includes: industries, household sector, government, investment & overseas
export.
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7. Figure 3. Domestic Sourcing
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8. Figure 5. Simulation procedure.
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9. Simulation Results
Percentage change as an annual
average growth figure &
Percentage point change deviation
from benchmarks
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10. Figure 7. Movements of real average wages
(average annual percentage).
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11. Figure 8. Compositional changes of national GDP components (average annual
percentage).
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12. Figure 9. GDPandGRP projections of tourism and non-tourism regions 2005–2020
(average p.a.%).
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13. Figure 10. Comparison of climate change impacts and its induced tourism impacts on
regions.
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14. Figure 11. Net GRP impact of the induced tourism reduction for 2005–2020
(percentage point deviation).
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15. Consequences
Tourism demand reductions
Job losses
Lower wage incomes [or increasing inequality]
Further costs on the society
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16. What can help?
Domestic tourism
Awareness of the government
Policies to facilitate the transition
Investment in climate change adaptation
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