Top 10 Technology Predictions - Future Outlook for AI and DLT

APPANION
APPANIONAPPANION
TECHNOLOGY
PREDICTIONS
FUTURE OUTLOOK FOR AI AND DLT
TOP 10
2
THE ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM
After mobile, social and search the
next two decades will be characterized by
Artificial Intelligence (AI) and
Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT).
1
3
TIME IS RUNNING
Broad productive mainstream adoption
of AI will start from 2022, while DLT will go mass
market somewhere between 2025 and 2027.
2
4
DAVID VS. AMAZON
The next emerging big players will be networks
with multiple reinforcing business models
along the supply chain (Amazon is a prototype).
3
5
PLEASE HIDE THE CODE
User experience is key to mass adoption of new
technologies.
User Interfaces for AI and DLT will evolve to work
productively with digital twins and include AR/VR
and voice control.4
6
WTF?
Three new KPIs will emerge:
▪ DRC = data readiness costs
▪ NTC = network transaction costs
▪ REQ = robot employee quotient
5
7
RPA EATS YOUR JOB FOR BREAKFAST
Intelligent robotic process automation (RPA) will
have substituted the majority of low-cognitive skill
jobs by 2030.
RPA will additionally support almost all human
employees in enterprise functions such as
accounting, procurement, compliance, HR and legal.
6
8
TEST, TEST, D-L-T
Distributed ledger technology will become an
integral part of industries characterized by:
▪ Asset-light business models (mobility, travel)
▪ Digital asset exchange (music, advertising)
▪ Trade networks with razor-thin margins (energy, banking)
▪ Identity and compliance issues (insurance, government)
7
9
ROUND ONE – FIGHT!?
The U.S. players will win domains, where technical
AI problems and improvements of the core
algorithms dominate.
(reasoning, multitasking, transfer learning)
Chinese companies will win domains, where it’s
about implementation, smart infrastructure or
policy adoption.
(robotics, medical diagnosis, person tracking, behavior-based services)
8
10
BIG DATA IS SO 2014…
AI will gain the highest benefits in industries with
easy accessible high volumes of processable,
unique data, contextually captured through:
▪ IoT sensor networks (industrial IoT, robotics, smart home)
▪ Digitization of standard forms (logistics, insurance, retail)
▪ Direct digital transactions (FinTech, e-commerce, travel)
9
11
STAY HUNGRY, STAY FOOLISH
Today‘s AI movement is all about processable data
volume, the next wave starting from 2025 will focus
on efficient data models and data quality.
This gives newcomers a chance to disrupt the
existing data “coal mines“ (Facebook, Google etc.).10
12Disclaimer: All information presented were prepared by Appanion with great care. For the presented opinions and predictions Appanion cannot assume any warranty of any kind. Appanion is not liable for any damage arising from the use of information and opinions provided in this publication.
Appanion Labs GmbH ▪ Hopfenstrasse 11 ▪ 20359 Hamburg ▪ www.appanion.com
1 of 12

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Top 10 Technology Predictions - Future Outlook for AI and DLT

  • 2. 2 THE ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM After mobile, social and search the next two decades will be characterized by Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT). 1
  • 3. 3 TIME IS RUNNING Broad productive mainstream adoption of AI will start from 2022, while DLT will go mass market somewhere between 2025 and 2027. 2
  • 4. 4 DAVID VS. AMAZON The next emerging big players will be networks with multiple reinforcing business models along the supply chain (Amazon is a prototype). 3
  • 5. 5 PLEASE HIDE THE CODE User experience is key to mass adoption of new technologies. User Interfaces for AI and DLT will evolve to work productively with digital twins and include AR/VR and voice control.4
  • 6. 6 WTF? Three new KPIs will emerge: ▪ DRC = data readiness costs ▪ NTC = network transaction costs ▪ REQ = robot employee quotient 5
  • 7. 7 RPA EATS YOUR JOB FOR BREAKFAST Intelligent robotic process automation (RPA) will have substituted the majority of low-cognitive skill jobs by 2030. RPA will additionally support almost all human employees in enterprise functions such as accounting, procurement, compliance, HR and legal. 6
  • 8. 8 TEST, TEST, D-L-T Distributed ledger technology will become an integral part of industries characterized by: ▪ Asset-light business models (mobility, travel) ▪ Digital asset exchange (music, advertising) ▪ Trade networks with razor-thin margins (energy, banking) ▪ Identity and compliance issues (insurance, government) 7
  • 9. 9 ROUND ONE – FIGHT!? The U.S. players will win domains, where technical AI problems and improvements of the core algorithms dominate. (reasoning, multitasking, transfer learning) Chinese companies will win domains, where it’s about implementation, smart infrastructure or policy adoption. (robotics, medical diagnosis, person tracking, behavior-based services) 8
  • 10. 10 BIG DATA IS SO 2014… AI will gain the highest benefits in industries with easy accessible high volumes of processable, unique data, contextually captured through: ▪ IoT sensor networks (industrial IoT, robotics, smart home) ▪ Digitization of standard forms (logistics, insurance, retail) ▪ Direct digital transactions (FinTech, e-commerce, travel) 9
  • 11. 11 STAY HUNGRY, STAY FOOLISH Today‘s AI movement is all about processable data volume, the next wave starting from 2025 will focus on efficient data models and data quality. This gives newcomers a chance to disrupt the existing data “coal mines“ (Facebook, Google etc.).10
  • 12. 12Disclaimer: All information presented were prepared by Appanion with great care. For the presented opinions and predictions Appanion cannot assume any warranty of any kind. Appanion is not liable for any damage arising from the use of information and opinions provided in this publication. Appanion Labs GmbH ▪ Hopfenstrasse 11 ▪ 20359 Hamburg ▪ www.appanion.com