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Wildfire in Australia
OECD-Placard Workshop
16 January 2020
Dr Richard Thornton
Chief Executive Officer
Our story
• Began 2003- 15+ years'
experience
• Built on the Bushfire CRC
• Catalyst - natural hazards events
• A broad scope
• 2013: Funded from
Commonwealth CRC Program
and all States and Territories.
• 8-year term – ends 30 June 2021
• An independent not-for-profit
research organisation Wallabi Point NSW. Photo by Adam Stevenson.
Our partners
Our successes
• A fire spread models used
by all fire services in
operations – responsible for
saving at least one major
town
• Better understanding of fire
and hazard reduction
• Better community
messaging and warning
products used nationally
• Better understanding of
mental and physical health
issues in emergency services
• Better mitigation
approaches to hazards
Bushfire in Australia
Australian Fire - 13 years of bushfire outlooks
2019-2020
fires
With permission Dr. Grant Williamson,
University of Tasmania
2019-2020
December
2019 FFDI
Fire season is starting earlier in most areas and ending later
Earliest day with south-coastal NSW daily FFDI
> 25
Earliest day with northeast Vic daily FFDI > 25 Earliest day with southeast Vic daily FFDI > 25
latest day with
northeast Vic
daily FFDI > 25
Spring 2019: FFDI averages
Australia, Queensland, Northern Territory, WA, Tasmania, and NSW all saw a
record. SA second highest
© BUSHFIRE AND NATURAL HAZARDS CRC 2019
Based on current
trends, Australia's
population is
projected to reach
30 million people
between 2029
and 2033
Potentially,
double by 2070
Australia’s
population is
growing
Source: ABS 2018
© BUSHFIRE AND NATURAL HAZARDS CRC 2019
Research Priorities
The Australian Business Roundtable for Disaster
Resilience and Safer Communities noted there was:
“… relatively little research on the effect of mitigation
and the social and psychological impacts of disasters
relative to other areas. (2014)
http://www.bnhcrc.com.au/nationalpriorities
© BUSHFIRE AND NATURAL HAZARDS CRC 2019
Major issues
• 17 National workshops
• Co-hosted by a peak-body,
AFAC Group or ANZEMC
Committee
• Across four pillars
• Each workshop determined
highest priority issues
• Key common areas identified
© BUSHFIRE AND NATURAL HAZARDS CRC 2019
Four common
themes
Shared
responsibility
and community
engagement
Communicating
risk and
understanding the
benefits of
mitigation
Impacts of climate
change
Predictive
services, data and
warnings
© BUSHFIRE AND NATURAL HAZARDS CRC 2019
Communicating risk and
managing expectations
Understanding the economics
Meeting demands and
expectations
Explaining uncertainty
Research Priorities -
Bushfire
http://www.bnhcrc.com.au/nationalpriorities/bushfire
© BUSHFIRE AND NATURAL HAZARDS CRC 2019
Post 2021?
Building a disaster resilient Australia on a solid
foundation of expertise, evidence and networks.
A dedicated national disaster risk and resilience
research institute, accessible to all, significantly
reducing the impact of hazards and disasters in
Australia
BNHCRC.COM.AU – Newsletter, Hazard Notes and reports etc.
Richard.Thornton@bnhcrc.com.au
Twitter: ceo_bnhcrc or BNHCRC

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OECD-Placard Workshop on Australian Wildfires

  • 1. Wildfire in Australia OECD-Placard Workshop 16 January 2020 Dr Richard Thornton Chief Executive Officer
  • 2. Our story • Began 2003- 15+ years' experience • Built on the Bushfire CRC • Catalyst - natural hazards events • A broad scope • 2013: Funded from Commonwealth CRC Program and all States and Territories. • 8-year term – ends 30 June 2021 • An independent not-for-profit research organisation Wallabi Point NSW. Photo by Adam Stevenson.
  • 4. Our successes • A fire spread models used by all fire services in operations – responsible for saving at least one major town • Better understanding of fire and hazard reduction • Better community messaging and warning products used nationally • Better understanding of mental and physical health issues in emergency services • Better mitigation approaches to hazards
  • 6. Australian Fire - 13 years of bushfire outlooks
  • 7. 2019-2020 fires With permission Dr. Grant Williamson, University of Tasmania
  • 9.
  • 11. Fire season is starting earlier in most areas and ending later Earliest day with south-coastal NSW daily FFDI > 25 Earliest day with northeast Vic daily FFDI > 25 Earliest day with southeast Vic daily FFDI > 25 latest day with northeast Vic daily FFDI > 25
  • 12.
  • 13. Spring 2019: FFDI averages Australia, Queensland, Northern Territory, WA, Tasmania, and NSW all saw a record. SA second highest
  • 14. © BUSHFIRE AND NATURAL HAZARDS CRC 2019 Based on current trends, Australia's population is projected to reach 30 million people between 2029 and 2033 Potentially, double by 2070 Australia’s population is growing Source: ABS 2018
  • 15. © BUSHFIRE AND NATURAL HAZARDS CRC 2019 Research Priorities The Australian Business Roundtable for Disaster Resilience and Safer Communities noted there was: “… relatively little research on the effect of mitigation and the social and psychological impacts of disasters relative to other areas. (2014) http://www.bnhcrc.com.au/nationalpriorities
  • 16. © BUSHFIRE AND NATURAL HAZARDS CRC 2019 Major issues • 17 National workshops • Co-hosted by a peak-body, AFAC Group or ANZEMC Committee • Across four pillars • Each workshop determined highest priority issues • Key common areas identified
  • 17. © BUSHFIRE AND NATURAL HAZARDS CRC 2019 Four common themes Shared responsibility and community engagement Communicating risk and understanding the benefits of mitigation Impacts of climate change Predictive services, data and warnings
  • 18. © BUSHFIRE AND NATURAL HAZARDS CRC 2019 Communicating risk and managing expectations Understanding the economics Meeting demands and expectations Explaining uncertainty Research Priorities - Bushfire http://www.bnhcrc.com.au/nationalpriorities/bushfire
  • 19. © BUSHFIRE AND NATURAL HAZARDS CRC 2019 Post 2021? Building a disaster resilient Australia on a solid foundation of expertise, evidence and networks. A dedicated national disaster risk and resilience research institute, accessible to all, significantly reducing the impact of hazards and disasters in Australia BNHCRC.COM.AU – Newsletter, Hazard Notes and reports etc. Richard.Thornton@bnhcrc.com.au Twitter: ceo_bnhcrc or BNHCRC