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Climate Change Expert Group www.oecd.org/env/cc/ccxg.htm
Flexibility in reporting–
tracking progress to BAU
mitigation targets
Sina Wartmann
Based on: Ellis et al (2018), Operationalising flexibility and
facilitating improved reporting under the Paris Agreement (Draft)
CCXG Global Forum on the Environment and Climate Change
8-9 October 2018
2 Climate Change Expert Group
Presentation outline
 Informational elements relevant for progress
tracking for BAU-related targets
 Assessment of relevant experience for BAU-
related targets
 Conclusions Attention: In this presentation, the term
„flexibility“ always means flexibility for
those developing country Parties who
need it in light of their capacities with
regards to reporting requirements in Art.
13 and its MPGs
3 Climate Change Expert Group
Information relevant for progress
tracking to BAU-related targets
 Information specifying the NDC target for the purposes
of tracking progress - ✔✔
 National GHG emission levels (i.e. National GHG
inventory) ✔✔
 Use of international co-operative approaches, where
applicable ✔✔
 Implementation and impacts of mitigation actions ✔
 GHG projections ✔
Legend: ✔✔ - Essential information, ✔ - Helpful information
4 Climate Change Expert Group
Information specifying the NDC
target for the purposes of tracking
 Post-Bangkok version of APA Item 5 additional tool
indicates description of NDC target should be included in
BTR
 Not all NDCs clear and transparent on targets, e.g. scope,
target indicators, methodologies and assumptions
o 33% of Parties with BAU target do not provide any BAU values or
provide only a graph with no values for the target period or other
years.
o 50% of Parties which have submitted a BAU-related target do not
provide a description of methodologies and assumptions for the
BAU.
 Flexibility required where Parties face capacity limitations
in reporting such information in BTRs
5 Climate Change Expert Group
GHG inventories - Vintages
 Majority of developing countries have prepared a GHG
inventory
 Less than 60% have submitted one after January 2015
China
Overview of latest GHG inventory year available for developing country
Parties, weighted by 2014 GHG emissions
Not reported
6 Climate Change Expert Group
National GHG Inventory
 IPCC GLs provide discretion on various provisions to
enable improvement over time for users starting at
different capacity levels
 Flexibility might be required where
o discretion is not / not sufficiently provided by IPCC GLs to
addess capacity limitations
o Capacity limitations relate to provisions outside of IPCC GLs
7 Climate Change Expert Group
Cooperative approaches / Mitigation
Actions / Projections
Informational
Element
Experience Examples of pot. capacity limitations
Mitigation
actions –
Implementation
and impacts
Majority has
experience –
but varies in
depth
• Reporting consistently over time
• Reporting on quantitative information,
e.g. impacts, costs – in alignment with
BAU scenario
GHG Projections 49 developing
country Parties
have reported
projections in
NC/BURs since
Jan 2015
• Reporting projections in alignment with
the BAU scenario
• The scenarios to be reported
• Updating projections over time
8 Climate Change Expert Group
Conclusions
 Reporting by developing countries is improving, but
there are still large gaps
 Potential capacity limitations relevant to reporting all
informational elements - including reporting on and
aligning with BAU
 Discretion in existing reporting provisions does not
always faciliate improvement („vagueness“)
 Flexibility ideally builds on existing discretion where it
facilitates improvement over time
 Paper provides suggestions on flexibility options
aiming to facilitate improvement over time
9 Climate Change Expert Group
Thank you!
For more information:
www.oecd.org/env/cc/ccxg.htm
sw@sinawartmann.org
jane.ellis@oecd.org

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CCXG Global Forum October 2018 Breakout Group 3 by Sina Wartmann

  • 1. Climate Change Expert Group www.oecd.org/env/cc/ccxg.htm Flexibility in reporting– tracking progress to BAU mitigation targets Sina Wartmann Based on: Ellis et al (2018), Operationalising flexibility and facilitating improved reporting under the Paris Agreement (Draft) CCXG Global Forum on the Environment and Climate Change 8-9 October 2018
  • 2. 2 Climate Change Expert Group Presentation outline  Informational elements relevant for progress tracking for BAU-related targets  Assessment of relevant experience for BAU- related targets  Conclusions Attention: In this presentation, the term „flexibility“ always means flexibility for those developing country Parties who need it in light of their capacities with regards to reporting requirements in Art. 13 and its MPGs
  • 3. 3 Climate Change Expert Group Information relevant for progress tracking to BAU-related targets  Information specifying the NDC target for the purposes of tracking progress - ✔✔  National GHG emission levels (i.e. National GHG inventory) ✔✔  Use of international co-operative approaches, where applicable ✔✔  Implementation and impacts of mitigation actions ✔  GHG projections ✔ Legend: ✔✔ - Essential information, ✔ - Helpful information
  • 4. 4 Climate Change Expert Group Information specifying the NDC target for the purposes of tracking  Post-Bangkok version of APA Item 5 additional tool indicates description of NDC target should be included in BTR  Not all NDCs clear and transparent on targets, e.g. scope, target indicators, methodologies and assumptions o 33% of Parties with BAU target do not provide any BAU values or provide only a graph with no values for the target period or other years. o 50% of Parties which have submitted a BAU-related target do not provide a description of methodologies and assumptions for the BAU.  Flexibility required where Parties face capacity limitations in reporting such information in BTRs
  • 5. 5 Climate Change Expert Group GHG inventories - Vintages  Majority of developing countries have prepared a GHG inventory  Less than 60% have submitted one after January 2015 China Overview of latest GHG inventory year available for developing country Parties, weighted by 2014 GHG emissions Not reported
  • 6. 6 Climate Change Expert Group National GHG Inventory  IPCC GLs provide discretion on various provisions to enable improvement over time for users starting at different capacity levels  Flexibility might be required where o discretion is not / not sufficiently provided by IPCC GLs to addess capacity limitations o Capacity limitations relate to provisions outside of IPCC GLs
  • 7. 7 Climate Change Expert Group Cooperative approaches / Mitigation Actions / Projections Informational Element Experience Examples of pot. capacity limitations Mitigation actions – Implementation and impacts Majority has experience – but varies in depth • Reporting consistently over time • Reporting on quantitative information, e.g. impacts, costs – in alignment with BAU scenario GHG Projections 49 developing country Parties have reported projections in NC/BURs since Jan 2015 • Reporting projections in alignment with the BAU scenario • The scenarios to be reported • Updating projections over time
  • 8. 8 Climate Change Expert Group Conclusions  Reporting by developing countries is improving, but there are still large gaps  Potential capacity limitations relevant to reporting all informational elements - including reporting on and aligning with BAU  Discretion in existing reporting provisions does not always faciliate improvement („vagueness“)  Flexibility ideally builds on existing discretion where it facilitates improvement over time  Paper provides suggestions on flexibility options aiming to facilitate improvement over time
  • 9. 9 Climate Change Expert Group Thank you! For more information: www.oecd.org/env/cc/ccxg.htm sw@sinawartmann.org jane.ellis@oecd.org