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Tracking Progress for BAU
mitigation targets
Lebanon’s foreseen reporting
and capacity needs
Mary Awad Menassa
Ministry of Environment
Lebanon
Brief overview of Lebanon’s NDC
Unconditional
Target
 A GHG emission reduction of 15% compared to the
Business-As-Usual (BAU) scenario in 2030.
 15% of the power and heat demand in 2030 is
generated by renewable energy sources.
 A 3% reduction in power demand through energy-
efficiency measures in 2030 compared to the demand
under the Business-As-Usual scenario.
The unconditional mitigation scenario includes the impacts
of mitigation actions which Lebanon is able to implement
without additional international support.
Conditional
Target
 A GHG emission reduction of 30% compared to the
BAU scenario in 2030.
 20% of the power and heat demand in 2030 is
generated by renewable energy sources.
 A 10% reduction in power demand through energy-
efficiency in 2030 compared to the demand under the
BAU scenario.
The conditional mitigation scenario covers the mitigation
actions under the unconditional scenario, as well as further
mitigation actions which can be implemented upon the
provision of additional international support.
Capacity considerations for Lebanon in light of
the ETF: the indicator for GHG target
GHG inventory as indicator for Lebanon’s deviation from BAU target
TACCC of GHG inventory impacts TACCC of NDC progress reporting
Timing of progress and
achievement information
Reporting x-4
Moving to x-3 and hopefully x-
2
Accuracy and quality of
progress and achievement
information
Use of 1996 IPCC guidelines in latest
communication (BUR2), with default
emission factors
Moving to 2006 IPCC
guidelines for next report
Additional challenges: lack of staff, reliance on informal mechanisms
Considerations for BAU update
Capacity considerations for Lebanon in
light of the ETF: mitigation actions
Experience
exists, now
exploring links to
NDC
implementation
and achievement
Crucial mitigation
policies with different
levels of indicator
development:
- No indicator
- Non-GHG indicator
- No capacity to
report on indicator
Important
institutional
arrangements
implications
Capacity considerations for Lebanon in light
of the ETF: projections
Capacity considerations for Lebanon in light of
the ETF: the indicator and projection for non-
GHG target
Capacity installed as indicator for renewable energy share target
Dependent on capacities of relevant institutions
Accuracy of indicator will change over time
Energy production and demand projections updates
The capacity spectrum
- Lebanon is on different ends of the spectrum when we break it down to
GHG inventory, mitigation actions, and projections
- Lebanese ministries who are responsible for NDC implementation are also
on different ends of the spectrum when comparing them to each other
 MPGs to consider implications in order to accommodate all the different
starting points to incentivize all Parties
 Wide spectrum and types of capacity considerations
 Go through the cycle a few times and go through review in order to better
understand how reporting on our NDC progress could be improved if needed
 Path to improvement has started: CBIT proposal
Any questions?
Thank You!
climatechange.moe.gov.lb
climatechange@moe.gov.lb

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CCXG Global Forum October 2018 Breakout Group 3 by Mary Awad

  • 1. Tracking Progress for BAU mitigation targets Lebanon’s foreseen reporting and capacity needs Mary Awad Menassa Ministry of Environment Lebanon
  • 2. Brief overview of Lebanon’s NDC Unconditional Target  A GHG emission reduction of 15% compared to the Business-As-Usual (BAU) scenario in 2030.  15% of the power and heat demand in 2030 is generated by renewable energy sources.  A 3% reduction in power demand through energy- efficiency measures in 2030 compared to the demand under the Business-As-Usual scenario. The unconditional mitigation scenario includes the impacts of mitigation actions which Lebanon is able to implement without additional international support. Conditional Target  A GHG emission reduction of 30% compared to the BAU scenario in 2030.  20% of the power and heat demand in 2030 is generated by renewable energy sources.  A 10% reduction in power demand through energy- efficiency in 2030 compared to the demand under the BAU scenario. The conditional mitigation scenario covers the mitigation actions under the unconditional scenario, as well as further mitigation actions which can be implemented upon the provision of additional international support.
  • 3. Capacity considerations for Lebanon in light of the ETF: the indicator for GHG target GHG inventory as indicator for Lebanon’s deviation from BAU target TACCC of GHG inventory impacts TACCC of NDC progress reporting Timing of progress and achievement information Reporting x-4 Moving to x-3 and hopefully x- 2 Accuracy and quality of progress and achievement information Use of 1996 IPCC guidelines in latest communication (BUR2), with default emission factors Moving to 2006 IPCC guidelines for next report Additional challenges: lack of staff, reliance on informal mechanisms Considerations for BAU update
  • 4. Capacity considerations for Lebanon in light of the ETF: mitigation actions Experience exists, now exploring links to NDC implementation and achievement Crucial mitigation policies with different levels of indicator development: - No indicator - Non-GHG indicator - No capacity to report on indicator Important institutional arrangements implications
  • 5. Capacity considerations for Lebanon in light of the ETF: projections
  • 6. Capacity considerations for Lebanon in light of the ETF: the indicator and projection for non- GHG target Capacity installed as indicator for renewable energy share target Dependent on capacities of relevant institutions Accuracy of indicator will change over time Energy production and demand projections updates
  • 7. The capacity spectrum - Lebanon is on different ends of the spectrum when we break it down to GHG inventory, mitigation actions, and projections - Lebanese ministries who are responsible for NDC implementation are also on different ends of the spectrum when comparing them to each other  MPGs to consider implications in order to accommodate all the different starting points to incentivize all Parties  Wide spectrum and types of capacity considerations  Go through the cycle a few times and go through review in order to better understand how reporting on our NDC progress could be improved if needed  Path to improvement has started: CBIT proposal