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Business Dynamism and regional productivity - Arti Grover

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Business Dynamism and regional productivity - Arti Grover

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Presentation by Arti Grover, Senior Economist, Finance, Competitiveness and Innovation, World Bank at the 17th OECD Spatial Productivity Lab webinar held on 14 September 2022.

More info https://oe.cd/spl

Presentation by Arti Grover, Senior Economist, Finance, Competitiveness and Innovation, World Bank at the 17th OECD Spatial Productivity Lab webinar held on 14 September 2022.

More info https://oe.cd/spl

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Business Dynamism and regional productivity - Arti Grover

  1. 1. Business Dynamism and Regional Productivity Spatial productivity for regional and local development, OECD 14 September 2022 Arti Grover Finance, Competitiveness and Innovation Global Practice The World Bank Group
  2. 2. Are certain places more likely to generate dynamic businesses (high-growth firms)?  High-growth firms are young tech start- ups that originate in clusters like Silicon Valley; they start with a handful of founders but once they take off, grow rapidly and dominate the market on the strength of their innovative products and ideas  HGFs operate in a wide range of locations High-Growth Firms: Facts, Fiction, and Policy Options for Emerging Economies FACT FICTION
  3. 3. More entrepreneurship translates into business dynamism (Brazil) High-Growth Firms: Facts, Fiction, and Policy Options for Emerging Economies Source: Grover, Medvedev and Olafsen (2019)
  4. 4. Large urban agglomerations do not necessarily have higher incidence of dynamic firms (Mexico) High-Growth Firms: Facts, Fiction, and Policy Options for Emerging Economies Source: Grover, Medvedev and Olafsen (2019)
  5. 5. In fact, agglomerations in many developing countries are sterile Agglomeration elasticity estimates with respect to wages, marginal cost and TFPQ Source: Grover and Maloney (2021) Urbanization without structural transformation… as seen in Africa Source: Report team elaborations based on World Development Indicators (accessed 2021) Place, Productivity and Prosperity: Place, Productivity, and Prosperity : Revisiting Spatially Targeted Policies for Regional Development
  6. 6. Policy framework to support firm growth High-Growth Firms: Facts, Fiction, and Policy Options for Emerging Economies Firm dynamism and growth Allocative Efficiency B2B Spillovers Firm Capabilities Improving quality of firm-level data Strengthening the rigor of policy evaluation Building institutional capabilities to implement policy
  7. 7. Place based Policies: Three Principles of Appraisal  1: Narrative -- explain the economic rationale  2: Estimate the Effects—Direct and Indirect  3: Ensure That All Key Actors Will Coordinate to Deliver the Package of Place-Based and Complementary Policies
  8. 8. Main takeaways 1. Structural transformation is essential to spatial transformation − Population agglomeration often appears without development-driven ‘demand’ for spatial reorganization. − Migration is less effective as a lagging region policy without dynamic cities to move to. − Urban policy and spatial inequality policies must be embedded in policies for economywide structural transformation. 2. The success of spatial “hardware” solutions hinges on complementary “software” − Entrepreneurial and human capital. − Government capabilities. 3. Place Based Policies need a structured accounting of likely impacts and necessary complements − Report framework stresses the need for ex ante appraisal of direct and indirect impacts. − Given multidimensionality arising from complementarities, gov’t capabilities are binding on project design. − After appraisal, some regions will be less viable and policy makers need to frankly evaluate PBPs vs. safety nets, fiscal transfers and migration.
  9. 9. “Fortune favors the prepared…” Pasteur (1854) The Productivity Project: www.worldbank.org/productivity The World Bank Productivity Project

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