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Ben page: Taxes and the NHS?


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Ben page: Taxes and the NHS?

  1. 1. Paste co- brand logo here For Internal Use Taxes and the NHS? Ben Page, Chief Executive, Ipsos MORI© Ipsos MORI
  2. 2. Industrial action, reconfigurations and a rather controversial health bill… What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Brown becomes Cameron becomes PM PM80 Blair – “We have underfunded the NHS for years and we are paying the price for it” – BBC NHS day70 General Election –60 “Battle of Hewitt heckled at UNISON Margaret’s conference – fears over NHS shoulder” job cuts5040 Lowest score since30 December 1985 Alan Milburn promises 35,000 more Blair tells doctors “not enough” nurses, 40 new hospitals and20 has been done for the NHS – development of foundation trusts as part allocates extra £20 billion. Report of NHS plan London says waiting lists have doubled Bombs10 under Labour 0 May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index© Ipsos MORI
  3. 3. A country divided over its deficit“There is a real need to cut spending on public services in order to pay off the deficit” 70 General election 2010 58 59 60 Agree 57 56 49 50 48 46 51 43 44 40 44 45 40 43 41 44 37 35 30 Disagree 32 33 20 10 0 Oct-11 Oct-09 Oct-10 Aug-09 Aug-10 Aug-11 Jun-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Jun-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Jun-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Jun-12 Jul-09 Apr-10 Jul-10 Apr-11 Jul-11 Apr-12 Dec-09 Nov-10 Sep-09 Nov-09 Sep-10 Dec-10 Sep-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 May-10 May-11 May-12Base: c. British adults 18+ each month Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor© Ipsos MORI
  4. 4. Want to protect some services from cuts.....Q. “If the overall level of public spending is going to be reduced as part of the process of reducing borrowing and rebalancing the public finances, should spending on some services be protected from cuts even if that means bigger rises in taxation and/or deeper cuts in other areas of public spending, or should no services be protected from cuts?” June 2009 Nov 2012 Don’t know Don’t know Yes, protect some Yes, protect someNo, do not protect 4% services No, do not protect servicesany services 6% 77% any services 79% 20% 15%Base: 1,006 British adults aged 18+, interviewed by telephone, 22-25 November 2012 Source: Ipsos MORI/Nuffield Trust© Ipsos MORI
  5. 5. NHS is the most sacred cow Q. “Which TWO or THREE, if any, of the following main areas of public spending do you think should be protected from any cuts?” Change from June ‘09 The NHS/health care 79 -3 Schools 51 -7 Care for the elderly 51 +5 The Police 39 +4 Social services 21 +6 Benefit payments 10 +2 Local authority services 10 +4 Defence 9 -4 Overseas aid 4 -1 None of these * 0 Dont know 1 0Base: All who think some services should be protected (809) Source: Ipsos MORI/Nuffield Trust© Ipsos MORI
  6. 6. Most now think we have to limit spendingQ On the whole, do you agree or disagree with the following statement: There should always be limits on what is spent on the NHS Don’t know Strongly agree 4% 2006 2012 Strongly disagree 11% 14% Agree 44% 58% Disagree 48% 39% 25% 47% Tend to disagree Tend to agreeBase: 1,015 Adults aged 16+ in England, May 2012 Source: Ipsos MORI/DH Perceptions of the NHS Tracker 2012 1,001 Adults aged 18+ in Great Britain, January 2006 Ipsos MORI/NICE Public attitudes research 2006© Ipsos MORI
  7. 7. Willing to pay more tax?Q. “Many experts argue that it is becoming more expensive to fund the NHS because of increasingcosts of treatments, an ageing population and several other factors. This means that even in order tomaintain the current level of care and services provided for free by the NHS, spending on the NHSwould have to increase. With that in mind, which, if any, of the following would you most like to see?” Don’t know 8% None 11% Reduce the level of care and Increase taxes in order toservices provided by the NHS so that maintain the level of spendingyou do not need to increase the current 11% 48% needed to keep the current level of taxation and spending on the level of care and services NHS provided by the NHS Reduce spending on other services such as education and welfare in order 21% to maintain the level of spending needed to keep the current level of care and services provided by the NHS Base: 1,006 British adults aged 18+, interviewed by telephone, 22-25 November 2012 Source: Ipsos MORI/Nuffield Trust © Ipsos MORI
  8. 8. The challenge for politicians and leaders© Ipsos MORI