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How will pandemic flu affectHow will pandemic flu affect
your business?your business?
Significant impact on your workingSignificant impact on your working
population…population…
• Worker absenteeism over 35%1
(Marsh and The Albright Group. 2007)
• 78 million people expected to die (1.08% world pop.) 2,3
(Mckibbin, J.
& Sidorenko, A. 2006 and Geohive.com. 2008)
• 25% of population sick1
(Marsh and The Albright Group. 2007)
• Last severe pandemic (1918) half all deaths 20-40 years olds
(working population)4
(Simonsen, L et al. 1998)
What is your duty to your employees?What is your duty to your employees?
UK Case study3
(You
Gov, Roche. 2007)
• 71% of managers
predict moderate to
substantial
financial
losses from mass
absenteeism
• 60% predict over
1/3 of workforce will
be off sick or at
home looking after
friends / family
• 22% believe their
business is
prepared
• Encourage social distancing e.g.
working from home1
(Marsh and The Albright
Group. 2007
• Bridge gaps in critical roles by cross
training non-critical staff 2
(Phelps, R et al.
2007)
• Know local and federal regulations for
workplace safety
Day to day business severely affectedDay to day business severely affected
Widespread absenteeism
– How will you operate without critical staff?
– What is your responsibility to protect your employees’ health & safety?
Supply chains disruptions
– How will you cope without your supply network?
– Outsourcing not sustainable - 7 out of top 10 outsourcing countries have
confirmed bird flu cases1
(Marsh and The Albright Group. 2007)
Impact on critical infrastructure
– How will you function with:
• Reduced power – brownouts & blackouts
• Decreased telecommuting capabilities
Fluxing consumer demand
– How will you cope with unpredictable consumer needs?
– What will your market look like in a post pandemic world?
Government restrictions
Planning tools are availablePlanning tools are available
Governmental & intragovernmental organisations
have developed tools to help businesses initiate
planning:
• CIDRAP 10 point framework for pandemic
business preparedness
• CDC Government ‘Business pandemic influenza
checklist’
• CDC Critical Infrastructure guidance
• UK Cabinet office ‘Pandemic Influenza Checklist
for Businesses’
Establish pandemic planning committees with budget
Incorporate global supply chain
Prioritise & protect critical products & services
Consider spectrum of response, recovery & restoration
Identify & procure critical pharmaceutical & non-
pharmaceutical interventions
Focus on HR issues
Include a communications strategy
Consider & plan for post-pandemic changes
A checklist is essentialA checklist is essential11
(Marsh and The
Albright Group. 2007)
Companies with
plans will be better
prepared to
respond quickly &
endure1
(Deloitte. 2006)
Risk experts urge businesses to prepareRisk experts urge businesses to prepare
nownow
Sectors must
develop plans that
focus on how to
respond when
society & economy
fall apart2
(Swiss Re.
2007)
Planning and mitigation activities
must be considered, since they
will be the first and last line of
defence for corporations3
(Marsh
and The Albright Group. 2007)
Preparation methods criticalPreparation methods critical
• Social distancing, personal protection, movement restriction,
maintenance of essential infrastructure1
(Nabarro, D. 2007)
• Systematic use of antiviral therapy1
(Nabarro, D. 2007)
• Rapid development and equitable distribution of effective
vaccines1
(Nabarro, D. 2007)
Plan nowPlan now
Engaging business from the
start is not a luxury – it is
essential & perhaps the most
important factor of all
David Nabarro, UN
System Coordinator for
Avian and Human
Influenza. (Booz Allen
Hamilton. 2007)1
How will pandemic flu affectHow will pandemic flu affect
your business?your business?

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How pandemic flu can impact your business

  • 1. How will pandemic flu affectHow will pandemic flu affect your business?your business?
  • 2. Significant impact on your workingSignificant impact on your working population…population… • Worker absenteeism over 35%1 (Marsh and The Albright Group. 2007) • 78 million people expected to die (1.08% world pop.) 2,3 (Mckibbin, J. & Sidorenko, A. 2006 and Geohive.com. 2008) • 25% of population sick1 (Marsh and The Albright Group. 2007) • Last severe pandemic (1918) half all deaths 20-40 years olds (working population)4 (Simonsen, L et al. 1998)
  • 3. What is your duty to your employees?What is your duty to your employees? UK Case study3 (You Gov, Roche. 2007) • 71% of managers predict moderate to substantial financial losses from mass absenteeism • 60% predict over 1/3 of workforce will be off sick or at home looking after friends / family • 22% believe their business is prepared • Encourage social distancing e.g. working from home1 (Marsh and The Albright Group. 2007 • Bridge gaps in critical roles by cross training non-critical staff 2 (Phelps, R et al. 2007) • Know local and federal regulations for workplace safety
  • 4. Day to day business severely affectedDay to day business severely affected Widespread absenteeism – How will you operate without critical staff? – What is your responsibility to protect your employees’ health & safety? Supply chains disruptions – How will you cope without your supply network? – Outsourcing not sustainable - 7 out of top 10 outsourcing countries have confirmed bird flu cases1 (Marsh and The Albright Group. 2007) Impact on critical infrastructure – How will you function with: • Reduced power – brownouts & blackouts • Decreased telecommuting capabilities Fluxing consumer demand – How will you cope with unpredictable consumer needs? – What will your market look like in a post pandemic world? Government restrictions
  • 5. Planning tools are availablePlanning tools are available Governmental & intragovernmental organisations have developed tools to help businesses initiate planning: • CIDRAP 10 point framework for pandemic business preparedness • CDC Government ‘Business pandemic influenza checklist’ • CDC Critical Infrastructure guidance • UK Cabinet office ‘Pandemic Influenza Checklist for Businesses’
  • 6. Establish pandemic planning committees with budget Incorporate global supply chain Prioritise & protect critical products & services Consider spectrum of response, recovery & restoration Identify & procure critical pharmaceutical & non- pharmaceutical interventions Focus on HR issues Include a communications strategy Consider & plan for post-pandemic changes A checklist is essentialA checklist is essential11 (Marsh and The Albright Group. 2007)
  • 7. Companies with plans will be better prepared to respond quickly & endure1 (Deloitte. 2006) Risk experts urge businesses to prepareRisk experts urge businesses to prepare nownow Sectors must develop plans that focus on how to respond when society & economy fall apart2 (Swiss Re. 2007) Planning and mitigation activities must be considered, since they will be the first and last line of defence for corporations3 (Marsh and The Albright Group. 2007)
  • 8. Preparation methods criticalPreparation methods critical • Social distancing, personal protection, movement restriction, maintenance of essential infrastructure1 (Nabarro, D. 2007) • Systematic use of antiviral therapy1 (Nabarro, D. 2007) • Rapid development and equitable distribution of effective vaccines1 (Nabarro, D. 2007)
  • 9. Plan nowPlan now Engaging business from the start is not a luxury – it is essential & perhaps the most important factor of all David Nabarro, UN System Coordinator for Avian and Human Influenza. (Booz Allen Hamilton. 2007)1
  • 10. How will pandemic flu affectHow will pandemic flu affect your business?your business?

Editor's Notes

  1. Emphasize the potential impact on business – in particular the high rate of deaths in 20 – 40 year olds during the 1918 pandemic i.e. working population. 1. Marsh Inc and The Albright Group, LLC. Corporate pandemic preparedness: Current challenges to and best practices for building a more resilient enterprise, September 2007. 2. .Mckibbin, J. & Sidorenko, A. Global Macroeconomic Consequences of Pandemic Influenza. Lowy Institute for International Policy. February 2006 3. Geohive.com. Estimated World Population. Last accessed 29.04.08 4. Simonsen, L., Clarke, M.J., Schonberger, N.B., Arden, N.H., Cox, N.J. & Fukada, K.. Pandemic versus Epidemic influenza mortality: A pattern of Changing Age Distribution. Journal of Infectious Diseases 1998; 178: 53-60
  2. 1. Marsh Inc and The Albright Group, LLC. Corporate pandemic preparedness: Current challenges to and best practices for building a more resilient enterprise, September 2007. 2. Phelps, R., McMenamin, J. & Kieffer, D. The Microbiological Threat to the National Power Grid: Advanced Pandemic Planning for Utilities Executives. 2007 3. Research by YouGov and Roche relating to influenza pandemic business planning. 500 senior-level business managers. 4th –12th April 2007
  3. Use this slide to raise questions about how an influenza pandemic may affect their particular business, supply chain and industry. Attempt some interaction. Marsh Inc and The Albright Group, LLC. Corporate pandemic preparedness: Current challenges to and best practices for building a more resilient enterprise, September 2007.
  4. Help to direct corporations to unbiased tools that can help them plan.
  5. Marsh Inc and The Albright Group, LLC. Corporate pandemic preparedness: Current challenges to and best practices for building a more resilient enterprise, September 2007.
  6. Deloitte. Preparing for a Pandemic: A Multi-industry Perspective. 2006 Swiss Re. Pandemic influenza: a 21st century model for mortality shocks. 2007 Marsh Inc and The Albright Group, LLC. Corporate pandemic preparedness: Current challenges to and best practices for building a more resilient enterprise, September 2007.
  7. David Nabarro. The Global State of Influenza Pandemic Preparedness. Public Lecture. January 10th 2007
  8. 1. Booz Allen Hamilton. Influenza Pandemic Simulation. 2006