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INFLATION
    IN
  INDIA
INFLATION
   “Inflation is nothing more than a sharp upward rise in price
    level.”

   Too much money chasing, too few goods.”

   Inflation is a state in which the value of money is falling i.e.
    price are rising.”



                                                                       2
VARIATIONS ON INFLATION

   Deflation is when the general level of prices is falling.
    This is the opposite of inflation.

   Hyper inflation is unusually rapid inflation. In extreme
    cases, this can lead to the breakdown of a nation's
    monetary system.

   Stagflation is the combination of high unemployment
    and economic stagnation with inflation..
                                                                3
KINDS OF INFLATION
   On the basis of rate of inflation
   On the basis of degree of control
   On the basis of causes
   Others




                                        4
CAUSES OF INFLATION
   Demand-Pull Inflation
       This theory can be summarized as "too much money
chasing too few goods". This usually occurs in growing economies.

   Cost-Push Inflation
       When companies' costs go up, they need to increase prices
to maintain their profit margins.


                                                                5
D              S




Ep1

Ep




                         D1
          Eq   Eq1
                              6
S1
      D
                    S




Ep1       E1



           E




                        7
HOW TO CONTROL INFLATION


 Monetary               Fiscal
 Measures              Measures


             Other
            Measures


                                  8
Monetary Measures
   Credit Control

   Demonetization of Currency

   Issue of New Currency




                                  9
Fiscal Measures
   Reduction in Unnecessary Expenditure

   Increase in Taxes

   Increase in Savings

   Surplus Budgets

   Public Debt
                                           10
OTHER MEASURES
   To Increase Production

   Rational Wage Policy

   Price Control



                             11
How is it Measured?

   Consumer Price Index

   Wholesale Price Index




                               12
Consumer Price Index
   CPI is a measure estimating the average price of consumer
    goods and services purchased by households.

   CPI measures a price change for a constant market basket
    of goods and services from one period to the next within the
    same area (city, region, or nation).

   It is a price index determined by measuring the price of a
    standard group of goods meant to represent the typical
    market basket of a typical urban consumer. The percent
    change in the CPI is a measure estimating inflation.
Wholesale Price Index
   WPI was published in 1902,and was one of the economic
    indicators available to policy makers until it was replaced by
    most developed countries by the CPI market. index in the
    1970.

   WPI is the index that is used to measure the change in the
    average price level of goods traded in wholesale market.

   Some countries (like India and The Philippines) use WPI
    changes as a central measure of inflation. However, India and
    the United States now report a producer price index instead.
                                                                   14
Problems with WPI
   In present day service sector plays a key role in Indian
    economy. Consumers are spending loads of money on
    services like education and health. And these services are
    not incorpated in calculation of WPI.

   WPI measures general level of price changes either at
    level of wholesaler or at the producer and does not take
    into account the retail margins. Therefore we see here that
    WPI does give the true picture of inflation.
                                                              15
Problems with WPI
   WPI is supposed to measure impact of prices on business.
    “But we use it to measure the impact on consumers. Many
    commodities not consumed by consumers get calculated in
    the index.




                                                          16
Inflation rate
PI for a certain year - PI for a comparative year   X 100

         PI for a comparative year




                                                            17
CURRENT ANNUAL INFLATION RATE



              SOURCE: www.InflationData.com
CURRENT INFLATION RATES




                          19
Year   Jan      Feb      Mar       Apr       May       Jun       Jul       Aug       Sep       Oct       Nov        Dec         Ave



2011    1.63%    2.11%    2.68%     3.16%     3.57%     3.56%     3.63%     3.77%     3.87%     3.53%          NA         NA    NA



2010    2.63%    2.14%    2.31%     2.24%     2.02%     1.05%     1.24%     1.15%     1.14%     1.17%     1.14%      1.50% 1.64%




2009    0.03%    0.24%    -0.38%    -0.74%    -1.28%    -1.43%    -2.10%    -1.48%    -1.29%    -0.18%    1.84%      2.72%      -0.34%




2008    4.28%    4.03%    3.98%     3.94%     4.18%     5.02%     5.60%     5.37%     4.94%     3.66%     1.07%      0.09% 3.85%



2007    2.08%    2.42%    2.78%     2.57%     2.69%     2.69%     2.36%     1.97%     2.76%     3.54%     4.31%      4.08% 2.85%



2006    3.99%    3.60%    3.36%     3.55%     4.17%     4.32%     4.15%     3.82%     2.06%     1.31%     1.97%      2.54% 3.24%



2005    2.97%    3.01%    3.15%     3.51%     2.80%     2.53%     3.17%     3.64%     4.69%     4.35%     3.46%      3.42% 3.39%



2004    1.93%    1.69%    1.74%     2.29%     3.05%     3.27%     2.99%     2.65%     2.54%     3.19%     3.52%      3.26% 2.68%



2003    2.60%    2.98%    3.02%     2.22%     2.06%     2.11%     2.11%     2.16%     2.32%     2.04%     1.77%      1.88% 2.27%



2002    1.14%    1.14%    1.48%     1.64%     1.18%     1.07%     1.46%     1.80%     1.51%     2.03%     2.20%      2.38% 1.59%



2001    3.73%    3.53%    2.92%     3.27%     3.62%     3.25%     2.72%     2.72%     2.65%     2.13%     1.90%      1.55% 2.83%


                                                                                                                               20
2000    2.74%    3.22%    3.76%     3.07%     3.19%     3.73%     3.66%     3.41%     3.45%     3.45%     3.45%      3.39% 3.38%
EFFECTS OF INFLATION

   They add inefficiencies in the market, and make it
    difficult for companies to budget or plan long-term.

   Uncertainty about the future purchasing power of
    money discourages investment and saving.



                                                       21
EFFECTS OF INFLATION

   There can also be negative impacts to trade from an increased
    instability in currency exchange prices caused by unpredictable
    inflation.

   Higher income tax rates.

   Inflation rate in the economy is higher than rates in other
    countries; this will increase imports and reduce exports, leading
    to a deficit in the balance of trade.

                                                                      22
EXAMPLE

   Increase in the price of transport

   Increase in the price of world oil

   Increase in the price of rice

   Increase in the price of housing




                                         23
PUBLIC SURVEY
   Rise of Price money for the basic commodities

   By controlling the basic habitats and natural disasters.

   Inflation about the same product price rises without any
    information. E.g.. The price of a shirt today is rs.100 the
    same shirt price cost tomorrow for 150. This is inflation.

   To control this inflation
     Take out the black money
     Control the demand and supply
     Not giving the products for free
     Controlling the import tax.
     Developing the agriculture                                  24
PUBLIC SURVEY
   Increase the production via Inc the salary %.

   Increase the rate of interest.

   About inflation from IT a guy
     Inflation caused because of out sourcing

     Stopping the outsource for studies in abroad

     Giving infrastructure in India




                                                     25
The conclusion from all this is:




                   By
                                26
       Santhosh and Narendra kumar
Thank you..


2/13/2013 2:12 AM      27

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Inflation about India

  • 1. INFLATION IN INDIA
  • 2. INFLATION  “Inflation is nothing more than a sharp upward rise in price level.”  Too much money chasing, too few goods.”  Inflation is a state in which the value of money is falling i.e. price are rising.” 2
  • 3. VARIATIONS ON INFLATION  Deflation is when the general level of prices is falling. This is the opposite of inflation.  Hyper inflation is unusually rapid inflation. In extreme cases, this can lead to the breakdown of a nation's monetary system.  Stagflation is the combination of high unemployment and economic stagnation with inflation.. 3
  • 4. KINDS OF INFLATION  On the basis of rate of inflation  On the basis of degree of control  On the basis of causes  Others 4
  • 5. CAUSES OF INFLATION  Demand-Pull Inflation This theory can be summarized as "too much money chasing too few goods". This usually occurs in growing economies.  Cost-Push Inflation When companies' costs go up, they need to increase prices to maintain their profit margins. 5
  • 6. D S Ep1 Ep D1 Eq Eq1 6
  • 7. S1 D S Ep1 E1 E 7
  • 8. HOW TO CONTROL INFLATION Monetary Fiscal Measures Measures Other Measures 8
  • 9. Monetary Measures  Credit Control  Demonetization of Currency  Issue of New Currency 9
  • 10. Fiscal Measures  Reduction in Unnecessary Expenditure  Increase in Taxes  Increase in Savings  Surplus Budgets  Public Debt 10
  • 11. OTHER MEASURES  To Increase Production  Rational Wage Policy  Price Control 11
  • 12. How is it Measured?  Consumer Price Index  Wholesale Price Index 12
  • 13. Consumer Price Index  CPI is a measure estimating the average price of consumer goods and services purchased by households.  CPI measures a price change for a constant market basket of goods and services from one period to the next within the same area (city, region, or nation).  It is a price index determined by measuring the price of a standard group of goods meant to represent the typical market basket of a typical urban consumer. The percent change in the CPI is a measure estimating inflation.
  • 14. Wholesale Price Index  WPI was published in 1902,and was one of the economic indicators available to policy makers until it was replaced by most developed countries by the CPI market. index in the 1970.  WPI is the index that is used to measure the change in the average price level of goods traded in wholesale market.  Some countries (like India and The Philippines) use WPI changes as a central measure of inflation. However, India and the United States now report a producer price index instead. 14
  • 15. Problems with WPI  In present day service sector plays a key role in Indian economy. Consumers are spending loads of money on services like education and health. And these services are not incorpated in calculation of WPI.  WPI measures general level of price changes either at level of wholesaler or at the producer and does not take into account the retail margins. Therefore we see here that WPI does give the true picture of inflation. 15
  • 16. Problems with WPI  WPI is supposed to measure impact of prices on business. “But we use it to measure the impact on consumers. Many commodities not consumed by consumers get calculated in the index. 16
  • 17. Inflation rate PI for a certain year - PI for a comparative year X 100 PI for a comparative year 17
  • 18. CURRENT ANNUAL INFLATION RATE SOURCE: www.InflationData.com
  • 20. Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ave 2011 1.63% 2.11% 2.68% 3.16% 3.57% 3.56% 3.63% 3.77% 3.87% 3.53% NA NA NA 2010 2.63% 2.14% 2.31% 2.24% 2.02% 1.05% 1.24% 1.15% 1.14% 1.17% 1.14% 1.50% 1.64% 2009 0.03% 0.24% -0.38% -0.74% -1.28% -1.43% -2.10% -1.48% -1.29% -0.18% 1.84% 2.72% -0.34% 2008 4.28% 4.03% 3.98% 3.94% 4.18% 5.02% 5.60% 5.37% 4.94% 3.66% 1.07% 0.09% 3.85% 2007 2.08% 2.42% 2.78% 2.57% 2.69% 2.69% 2.36% 1.97% 2.76% 3.54% 4.31% 4.08% 2.85% 2006 3.99% 3.60% 3.36% 3.55% 4.17% 4.32% 4.15% 3.82% 2.06% 1.31% 1.97% 2.54% 3.24% 2005 2.97% 3.01% 3.15% 3.51% 2.80% 2.53% 3.17% 3.64% 4.69% 4.35% 3.46% 3.42% 3.39% 2004 1.93% 1.69% 1.74% 2.29% 3.05% 3.27% 2.99% 2.65% 2.54% 3.19% 3.52% 3.26% 2.68% 2003 2.60% 2.98% 3.02% 2.22% 2.06% 2.11% 2.11% 2.16% 2.32% 2.04% 1.77% 1.88% 2.27% 2002 1.14% 1.14% 1.48% 1.64% 1.18% 1.07% 1.46% 1.80% 1.51% 2.03% 2.20% 2.38% 1.59% 2001 3.73% 3.53% 2.92% 3.27% 3.62% 3.25% 2.72% 2.72% 2.65% 2.13% 1.90% 1.55% 2.83% 20 2000 2.74% 3.22% 3.76% 3.07% 3.19% 3.73% 3.66% 3.41% 3.45% 3.45% 3.45% 3.39% 3.38%
  • 21. EFFECTS OF INFLATION  They add inefficiencies in the market, and make it difficult for companies to budget or plan long-term.  Uncertainty about the future purchasing power of money discourages investment and saving. 21
  • 22. EFFECTS OF INFLATION  There can also be negative impacts to trade from an increased instability in currency exchange prices caused by unpredictable inflation.  Higher income tax rates.  Inflation rate in the economy is higher than rates in other countries; this will increase imports and reduce exports, leading to a deficit in the balance of trade. 22
  • 23. EXAMPLE  Increase in the price of transport  Increase in the price of world oil  Increase in the price of rice  Increase in the price of housing 23
  • 24. PUBLIC SURVEY  Rise of Price money for the basic commodities  By controlling the basic habitats and natural disasters.  Inflation about the same product price rises without any information. E.g.. The price of a shirt today is rs.100 the same shirt price cost tomorrow for 150. This is inflation.  To control this inflation  Take out the black money  Control the demand and supply  Not giving the products for free  Controlling the import tax.  Developing the agriculture 24
  • 25. PUBLIC SURVEY  Increase the production via Inc the salary %.  Increase the rate of interest.  About inflation from IT a guy  Inflation caused because of out sourcing  Stopping the outsource for studies in abroad  Giving infrastructure in India 25
  • 26. The conclusion from all this is: By 26 Santhosh and Narendra kumar