BIPV Glass Markets 2015 2022 Slides

BIPV Glass Markets: 2015-2022
Nano-859
Issued November 2015
n-tech Research
PO Box 3840 Glen Allen, VA 23058
Phone: 804-938-0030
Email: info@ntechresearch.com
Web: www.ntechresearch.com

About n-tech Research
n-tech Research PO Box 3840 Glen Allen, VA 23058
Phone: 804-938-0030
• The rebrand of industry analyst firm NanoMarkets founded back in 2004
• Specialization in analyzing and forecasting market opportunities arising from advances in and application
of advanced materials. Special focus on functional and smart materials and coatings and their impact on
markets
• Provide full length market reports, focused subject matter analysis and individualized consulting
engagements with emphasis on providing customer focused analytical content solutions
• Global client roster ranging from top tier multinational firms to start ups, research institutes and technology
transfer offices
• Founders have decades of experience in producing analysis of emerging technologies and markets

n-tech Research
BIPV Glass Markets: 2015-2022
In our view, BIPV overall is in a transition and must refine its messaging to an end-user base with shifting priorities.
More than ever these products need to be sold, and technologically developed, with an emphasis on aesthetics and
what can be called "smart" capabilities, creating more dimensions along which to compete such as color,
transparency, and substrate conformability.
Where we envision the next stage of "true" BIPV, and sooner rather than later, is in BIPV glass with truly
multifunctional and monolithically integrated products. This future will rely heavily on thin-film, OPV, and DSC
technologies with the promise of lower-cost fabrication to reduce overall costs. We also anticipate a reshaping of
manufacturing strategies and supply chains to develop and deliver these products, building on partnerships already
been forged between alternative PV materials companies and big glass companies.
This report presents the latest trends in BIPV glass, analyzing the evolution of the technology and markets over the
next eight years. We discuss the different types of BIPV glass technology, and the latest developments in PV
technologies, substrates, and encapsulation. We also examine the strategies of the major BIPV glass companies and
their key BIPV partners, and provide some thoughts as to potential changes in supply chains to improve odds of
success.
About the Report
Phone: 804-938-0030

Profiles of Key Players
n-tech Research
Coverage
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• Asahi Glass
• Belectric
• BGT
• Dyesol
• Exeger
• Glass2energy
• Hanergy
• Heliatek
• IQ Glass
• Issol
• Lumos
• Manz
• Mitsubishi
• NSG/Pilkington
• Onyx Solar
• Oxford PV
• PolySolar
• Prism Solar
• Romag
• Solar Frontier
• Solaria
• Strathcona Energy
• Sunpreme
• SwissInso
• TULiPPs
Plan of the Report
• In the Executive Summary we present a summation of our forecasts and analysis and in Chapter One we set
the stage for the report along with providing the scope, objectives of the report
• In Chapter Two we discuss the progress of the various base PV technologies upon which BIPV products are
built: conventional silicon-based PV technology which has historically dominated BIPV (as it has other solar
PV applications), as well as the arising various alternatives of thin-film PV, OPV, and DSC, the specific
advantages that they promise and how they are progressing toward those ends. This also includes
discussion of substrates and encapsulation technologies, both on the market and still in the development
phase.
• This leads into Chapter Three where we analyze the latest BIPV glass product trends, including what is
happening on the research side as well, with collaborations and university-based efforts. We also examine
the latest BIPV glass installations to showcase what's new and what's resonating from architects down to
building owners.
• In Chapter Four we shift the discussion to the marketplace, and how the evolution of BIPV creates a need to
"think different" for companies to make money. We explore the balance as it exists, and is changing,
between the selling factors of aesthetics and energy, and the external factors that are forcing such changes
in strategy—mainly the changing landscape of subsidies.
• Chapter Five outlines our forecasts for BIPV markets over the next eight years (through 2022), delivered in
multiple formats: by region, by product, by PV technology and substrates, and by type of building markets.
In this chapter we include our forecasting methodology, which includes assumptions about
macroeconomics, pricing, policies and regulatory factors, etc.

n-tech Research
Chapter Three: Market Trends for BIPV Glass
3.1 The Road to Monolithic Integration
3.2 Installation Trends
3.3 Noteworthy New BIPV Installations
3.4 Key Points from This Chapter
Chapter Four: Market and Marketing Considerations for BIPV Glass
4.1 How to Sell Next-Generation BIPV
4.2 The Importance of Local Presence: Building a BIPV Supply Chain
4.3 What a Successful BIPV Glass Supply Chain Will Look Like
Chapter Five: Eight Year Forecasts for BIPV Glass
5.1 Forecasting Methodology and Assumptions
5.2 Eight-Year Forecasts of Demand in Key BIPV Glass Regions/Countries
5.2.1 U.S.
5.2.2 Europe
5.2.3 Japan
5.2.4 China
5.3 Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Product Type
5.4 Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Technology/Material
5.5 Eight-Year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Substrate
5.6 Eight-Year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Building
Top Level Table of Contents
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Executive Summary
E.1 Changes in BIPV Glass: Moving Toward Monolithic Integration
E.2 Where and How BIPV Glass Markets Will Expand
E.3 Market Challenges for BIPV glass
E.4 Companies to Watch in BIPV Glass Development
E.5 Summary of Eight-Year Forecasts for BIPV Glass
Chapter One: Introduction
1.1 Background to this Report
1.2 Changing Strategies for BIPV Glass
1.3 Objectives and Scope of this Report
1.4 Methodology of this Report
1.5 Plan of this Report
Chapter Two Technology Trends in BIPV
2.1 Silicon-based BIPV: Small Improvements That Matter
2.2 Thin-Film PV and BIPV: Stirring the Pot
2.3 OPV: BIPV as a Market-of-Choice
2.4 DSC: A Head Start, but Reason to Wait?
2.5 Encapsulation Developments and their Importance for BIPV glass
2.6 The Role of Flexible Substrates in BIPV

n-tech Research
Table of Figures
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Exhibit E-1: BIPV Glass Applications and Opportunities
Exhibit E-2: BIPV Market Scenarios
Exhibit E-3: Companies Key to BIPV Glass Success
Exhibit 1-1: The Four Stages of BIPV Market Evolution
Exhibit 2-1: c-Si based BIPV Glass Products
Exhibit 3-1: BIPV Glass Applications and Opportunities
Exhibit 4-1: Selling BIPV as a “Green Technology”
Exhibit 4-2: Net-Zero-Energy Building Regulations
Exhibit 5-1: Overall PV Shipments and Share of BIPV Glass Products
Exhibit 5-2: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Country/Region ($ Millions)
Exhibit 5-3: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Product Type, % of MW Market Share
Exhibit 5-4: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass Area Shipped (Million sq. meter)
Exhibit 5-5: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by MW Shipped (MWs)
Exhibit 5-6: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Product ($ Millions)
Exhibit 5-7: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Technology/Material Share (MW %)
Exhibit 5-8: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by MW Shipped (MWs)
Exhibit 5-9: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Area Shipped (Million sq. meter)
Exhibit 5-10: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Material ($ Millions)
Exhibit 5-11: Total BIPV Substrate and Encapsulation Revenue by BIPV Module Type
Exhibit 5-12: Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by Type of Building ($ Millions)

Market Forecast
• n-tech Research projects that the market for BIPV glass at just
over $1 billion today will grow to $3.5 billion by 2020 and $6.3
billion by 2022
• The presence and influence of large glass companies (AGC,
NSG/Pilkington, and BGT as examples) will only intensify, through
aforementioned partnerships with PV companies as well as with
building product firms and installers.
• A central question for BIPV glass is whether key PV vendors
(notably Heliatek in OPV, and Dyesol and Oxford in DSC) stay on
target with planned production volumes around 2017-2018.
There is much ado over the new wonder-material perovskite, but
the storyline is the same: whether it too can achieve volume
scales and deliver products to the market in a reasonable
timeframe.
• We think selling BIPV glass as part of a "green" theme is broadly
losing steam with increased scrutiny of regional and national PV
policies. That said, two specific areas seem to be robust: zero-
energy buildings, and highly urban areas. We see revenues for
BIPV glass in zero-energy buildings surging past $800 million in
2018 and more than $2.5 billion by 2022.
• n-tech expects BIPV glass will unlock residential building demand
in a more medium-term timeframe, approaching $200 million by
2018 and surpassing $1.3 billion by 2022
n-tech Research
Phone: 804-938-0030
$0
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2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Eight-year Forecast of BIPV Glass by
Type of Material ($ Millions)
Crystalline silicon Amorphous silicon CdTe
CIGS Organic PV Dye sensitized cells

n-tech Research
Opportunities & Challenges
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BIPV Glass Applications and Opportunities
Application Architectural benefits Drawbacks Opportunities
Skylights
Stimulate architectural design of
light and shadow
Generate greater heat within
buildings in summer as compared
to other PV surfaces such as
facades
At present, skylights constitute the
biggest market for BIPV glass. Ongoing
projects indicate that they still
contribute a significant portion of the
revenue
Facades
BIPV glass in different colors allows
the architect to come up with
innovative glass facades for
buildings.
Vertical orientation and hence
lower incident of solar radiation
compared to skylights
Possibly the biggest market for BIPV
glass in the future
Atrium and
canopies
Ideal for applications where the
building's rooftop area is limited or
shading obstructions limit solar
radiation
Not preferred in bigger commercial
and prestige buildings as of now
A smaller market and should remain so
in the near future

n-tech Research
BIPV Market Scenarios
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BIPV Market Scenarios
Success Struggle
Penetrate residential and commercial buildings Limited to prestige buildings
Efficiency and reliability improves Reliability issues persist
Cost reduction strategies successful Products still expensive
OPV, DSC, thin-film CIGS increase share c-Si technologies dominate
Multifunctional products arrive and resonate with
designers, installers, and building owners
Evolved products late to market, lack of buy-in across
the value chain
Flexible and rigid products resonate and dominate
Markets can't appreciate value-added features; BAPV
and expensive customization lingers

n-tech Research
Key Companies in BIPV Glass
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Companies Key to BIPV Glass Success
Company Role Success
AGC, NSG/ Pilkington,
BGT
Partnering for BIPV panels using OPV (Heliatek,
Belectric) and DSC (Dyesol)
Represent how key are major glass companies for BIPV to establish
solid supply chains
Onyx Solar BIPV glass, including façades, skylights, and low-E PV
windows; recent innovation in hexagonal PV glazing
Works with c-Si, a-Si, and CIS/CIGS; distributors across Europe, the
U.S., and newer projects in Asia and Latin America
Heliatek OPV for building façades: glass, concrete, PVC shell Took over as OPV's champion after Konarka exit; aiming for
commercialization probably in a three-year timeframe
Dyesol Initially DSC leader; now fully shifting to perovskite
technology
Targeting utilities and rooftop PV first, then swing to BIPV "in later
development stages"
Next Energy Startup, using solution-processed polymer OPV;
exploring integration into electrochromic windows
Claims to have NDAs and "ongoing conversations" with global glass
manufacturers; still several years away from pilot-line production
Hanergy a-Si for BIPV panels; consolidator of CIGS technologies Hard to say, given lots of uncertainty: order and sales cancellations,
and a lengthy regulatory investigation

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Related Reports
BIPV Technologies and Markets, 2015-2022
Organic Photovoltaics Markets 2016-2024
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BIPV Glass Markets 2015 2022 Slides

BIPV Glass Markets 2015 2022 Slides

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BIPV Glass Markets 2015 2022 Slides