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Adventures
                    in Freemium


Navin S. Ganeshan
March 13, 2013
Get	
  a	
  ta&oo	
  for	
  one	
  year	
  of	
  free	
  movies?	
  	
  18	
  people	
  did…	
  
Lindt	
     Hershey	
     They	
  Chose	
  
                                          $0.20	
      $0.05	
      76%	
  Lindt	
  
                                          $0.15	
      $0.01	
      73%	
  Lindt	
  
                                          $0.14	
      $0.00	
      14%	
  Lindt	
  



The	
  Penny	
  Gap	
  -­‐	
  Lindt	
  Truffles	
  vs	
  Hershey	
  Kisses	
  
“Free” is a special price – creates non-linear demand &
           drives irrational purchasing behavior

“Making money around free will be the future of business” – Chris
                        Anderson
Freemium is one of many ways to
         capitalize on free




Free Messaging        Free Components




   Free Trial            Freemium
Freemium	
  is	
  about….	
  
capitalizing	
  on	
  the	
  inherent	
  sFckiness	
  of	
  your	
  product	
  
          	
  …not	
  just	
  behavioral	
  manipulaFon	
  
Is Freemium Right For You?


                               Broad Solution,
                      No	
       Big market?
   Paid or                             Yes	
               Freemium
  Free-Trial                                               (See execution)

                               Low marginal
                     No	
         cost?
                                       Yes	
  

 Work on product
 and come back
                                 Does your
when you’re ready   No	
       product rock?     Yes	
  
Executing Freemium

 1.  Streamlining Signups
 2.  Compelling Conversion
 3.  Meaningful Marketing
 4.  Controlling Costs
 5.  Managing to Metrics
Streamlining Signups
Invest Early in Organic                                 Find Channels that can free
        Search                                                qualified users
(Freemium can’t support paid search)                     (“psst..want to give away a free product?”)




                                 Referrals/incentives
                                       (leverage network effect)
Compelling Conversion
    Ideal conversion drivers are those that occur naturally with
       increased consumer investment and value delivered



Good	
  
•  Usage-­‐Based	
  
•  Feature-­‐Based	
  
                                                CreaNve	
  
•  Component-­‐Based	
                          •    Ad-­‐Removal	
  
                                                •    Service/Support	
  
                                                •    Mobile	
  
Bad	
                                           •    Humor/Goodwill?	
  
•  Time-­‐Based	
  	
  (not	
  Freemium!)	
  
•  Views	
  or	
  Paywalls	
  (#%@$)	
  
CreaFve!	
  
Meaningful Marketing
Build a communication plan – a matrix of…
    •  Who – target users
    •  When – times/triggers
    •  What – message, content

(but you already knew this….)
Controlling Costs




Service/support               Overuse/Abuse
Rely on email/self-service    Monitor, monitor, monitor
Help users help other users   Use the big-stick – service-
                                     agreement
Managing to Metrics


Metric             Explanation                                                        Acquisition
                                                                                      Visitors to Users
Acquisition cost   Marketing/Advertising cost per signup             2%	
  
                                                               varies	
  widely	
  
Effective          Marketing/Advertising cost per
Acquisition cost   paying customer

Lifetime Value/    Customer Lifetime Value (e.g. Avg
                                                                                      Conversion
                   Tenure X Price)                                                    Users To Customers
PV                                                                  1-­‐3%	
  
Daily signups      Number of signups per day


Conversion rate    Percent of free users who convert to
                   paid
                                                                                      Lifecycle
                                                                   >90%	
             Retention & Churn
                                                                  retenNon	
  
“Free”             Product, Support costs per Free user
Operating Costs
                                                           Terminology may vary
                                                           Your mileage WILL vary
Case Study #1

                Switched from Freemium to
                Free Trial in 2010

                Before
                300K Free sites, 15K Paid
                6% Conversion

                After
                35K paid sites after switch, grew to
                over 200K by 2012

                Learnings
                Out of Control Free-Loader Costs
Case Study #2

                Poster-child for Freemium
                50M Users
                4% Conversion

                When They Started
                SEM didn’t work – $338 CPA for a $99
                product – fail!

                What Did Work
                Stopped search marketing
                Referral programs increased signups by 60%,
                Now 35% of daily signups from referral

                Learnings
                Search marketing did not work because
                demand did not exist. Referrals/WOM drove
                awareness, created demand.
Case Study #3

                Freemium Failure…and recovery

                Their initial Freemium model
                Free for low-usage – under 50tx/mo
                Almost went bankrupt in 1 year


                What Did Work
                Paid model for all but test-levels
                Went from 25 to 225 cX/month YoY


                Learnings
                Conversion triggers not matched to customer
                profile – too many users were subsisting in the
                free tier with no natural trigger
Case Study #4

                An IDEAL Freemium Story

                34M Users, 1.5M paying
                4-6% Conversion

                No social/network advantage

                Purely driven by product quality
                and WOM

                Unique aspect – negative churn as
                usage increases after first year –
                “The Smile Graph”
So…are you ready?
q  Qualifiers – is it right for you?
    q  Broad Solution / Big Market ?
    q  Rockin’ product?
    q  Low Marginal Cost?

q  Execution – what’s your plan?
   q  Streamlining Signups
   q  Compelling Conversion
   q  Meaningful Marketing
   q  Controlling Costs
   q  Managing to Metrics
Interesting Case Studies
                   Experimented	
  with	
  Free	
                               Great	
  case	
  study	
  on	
  
                   Trial	
  w/out	
  CCard	
  	
                                virality	
  and	
  sFckiness	
  


                   Moved	
  from	
  Freemium	
                                  Moved	
  from	
  Freemium	
  
                   to	
  Free	
  trial	
                                        to	
  Free	
  Trial	
  

                   Moved	
  from	
  Free	
  Trial	
  
                   to	
  Freemium	
  

                   Good	
  learnings	
  on	
  
                   sFckiness	
  and	
  	
  cost-­‐
                   control	
  in	
  Freemium	
  



Good Reads
     Predictably	
  IrraNonal	
                            Free	
  
     The	
  hidden	
  forces	
  that	
  shape	
  our	
     The	
  future	
  of	
  a	
  radical	
  price	
  
     decisions	
                                           Chris	
  Anderson	
  
     Dan	
  Ariely	
  
Good Luck!




Navin Ganeshan
   March 15, 2013
nganeshan@gmail.com
    @NGaneshan

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Adventures in Freemium: Understanding the Model and Case Studies

  • 1. Adventures in Freemium Navin S. Ganeshan March 13, 2013
  • 2. Get  a  ta&oo  for  one  year  of  free  movies?    18  people  did…  
  • 3. Lindt   Hershey   They  Chose   $0.20   $0.05   76%  Lindt   $0.15   $0.01   73%  Lindt   $0.14   $0.00   14%  Lindt   The  Penny  Gap  -­‐  Lindt  Truffles  vs  Hershey  Kisses  
  • 4. “Free” is a special price – creates non-linear demand & drives irrational purchasing behavior “Making money around free will be the future of business” – Chris Anderson
  • 5. Freemium is one of many ways to capitalize on free Free Messaging Free Components Free Trial Freemium
  • 6. Freemium  is  about….   capitalizing  on  the  inherent  sFckiness  of  your  product    …not  just  behavioral  manipulaFon  
  • 7. Is Freemium Right For You? Broad Solution, No   Big market? Paid or Yes   Freemium Free-Trial (See execution) Low marginal No   cost? Yes   Work on product and come back Does your when you’re ready No   product rock? Yes  
  • 8. Executing Freemium 1.  Streamlining Signups 2.  Compelling Conversion 3.  Meaningful Marketing 4.  Controlling Costs 5.  Managing to Metrics
  • 9. Streamlining Signups Invest Early in Organic Find Channels that can free Search qualified users (Freemium can’t support paid search) (“psst..want to give away a free product?”) Referrals/incentives (leverage network effect)
  • 10. Compelling Conversion Ideal conversion drivers are those that occur naturally with increased consumer investment and value delivered Good   •  Usage-­‐Based   •  Feature-­‐Based   CreaNve   •  Component-­‐Based   •  Ad-­‐Removal   •  Service/Support   •  Mobile   Bad   •  Humor/Goodwill?   •  Time-­‐Based    (not  Freemium!)   •  Views  or  Paywalls  (#%@$)  
  • 12. Meaningful Marketing Build a communication plan – a matrix of… •  Who – target users •  When – times/triggers •  What – message, content (but you already knew this….)
  • 13. Controlling Costs Service/support Overuse/Abuse Rely on email/self-service Monitor, monitor, monitor Help users help other users Use the big-stick – service- agreement
  • 14. Managing to Metrics Metric Explanation Acquisition Visitors to Users Acquisition cost Marketing/Advertising cost per signup 2%   varies  widely   Effective Marketing/Advertising cost per Acquisition cost paying customer Lifetime Value/ Customer Lifetime Value (e.g. Avg Conversion Tenure X Price) Users To Customers PV 1-­‐3%   Daily signups Number of signups per day Conversion rate Percent of free users who convert to paid Lifecycle >90%   Retention & Churn retenNon   “Free” Product, Support costs per Free user Operating Costs Terminology may vary Your mileage WILL vary
  • 15. Case Study #1 Switched from Freemium to Free Trial in 2010 Before 300K Free sites, 15K Paid 6% Conversion After 35K paid sites after switch, grew to over 200K by 2012 Learnings Out of Control Free-Loader Costs
  • 16. Case Study #2 Poster-child for Freemium 50M Users 4% Conversion When They Started SEM didn’t work – $338 CPA for a $99 product – fail! What Did Work Stopped search marketing Referral programs increased signups by 60%, Now 35% of daily signups from referral Learnings Search marketing did not work because demand did not exist. Referrals/WOM drove awareness, created demand.
  • 17. Case Study #3 Freemium Failure…and recovery Their initial Freemium model Free for low-usage – under 50tx/mo Almost went bankrupt in 1 year What Did Work Paid model for all but test-levels Went from 25 to 225 cX/month YoY Learnings Conversion triggers not matched to customer profile – too many users were subsisting in the free tier with no natural trigger
  • 18. Case Study #4 An IDEAL Freemium Story 34M Users, 1.5M paying 4-6% Conversion No social/network advantage Purely driven by product quality and WOM Unique aspect – negative churn as usage increases after first year – “The Smile Graph”
  • 19. So…are you ready? q  Qualifiers – is it right for you? q  Broad Solution / Big Market ? q  Rockin’ product? q  Low Marginal Cost? q  Execution – what’s your plan? q  Streamlining Signups q  Compelling Conversion q  Meaningful Marketing q  Controlling Costs q  Managing to Metrics
  • 20. Interesting Case Studies Experimented  with  Free   Great  case  study  on   Trial  w/out  CCard     virality  and  sFckiness   Moved  from  Freemium   Moved  from  Freemium   to  Free  trial   to  Free  Trial   Moved  from  Free  Trial   to  Freemium   Good  learnings  on   sFckiness  and    cost-­‐ control  in  Freemium   Good Reads Predictably  IrraNonal   Free   The  hidden  forces  that  shape  our   The  future  of  a  radical  price   decisions   Chris  Anderson   Dan  Ariely  
  • 21. Good Luck! Navin Ganeshan March 15, 2013 nganeshan@gmail.com @NGaneshan