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NET4GAS Asset Strategy


Thomas Kleefuß, CEO



European Economic Congress 2011
Katowice, May 17th 2011
With Nordstream, OPAL and Gazelle Gazprom will be
           able to bypass Ukraine as the major transit country
                                                                              Major Russian gas flows will be shifted
                                                                               from the Southern Russian onshore transit
                                                                               route to Nord Stream / OPAL / NEL.
                                                                              The first branch of the offshore Russian
                                   Nord Stream
                                                                               transit highway will be used earliest in
                                                                               2011. The second line will be completed
                                                                               not before 2013.
                                                                              In order to benefit from the new/planned
                                                                               infrastructure in Southern Europe (e.g.
                                                                               LNG, Caspian gas) starting not before
                                                                               2012, access to Baumgarten is essential.

                                 Shift of gas flows
                  OPAL          expected from 2011
 Gazelle
                                                                              Pipeline Project Gazelle is necessary
                                                                              for extension of Nord Stream/OPAL and
                                                                              GE contract (shift to entry point Hora
                                                  White Stream / GUEU
                                                                              Svate Kateriny).

                                                                               Project “Lanzhot – Baumgarten
                                   Lanzhot - Baumgarten
                                                                               connection” is necessary in order to
Tauern pipeline
                                                                               capitalize on infrastructural
                         Nabucco / South Stream
                                                                               developments in the South East of
                                                                               Europe.
 Current gas flows                                        Future gas flows
The Moravian Loop will enhance the
          national transport system and provide
          transit opportunities with Poland
                                   The Moravian Loop project
                  Moravian Loop
                                    will foster the
                                    interconnection with Poland
       LNG
     Terminal
                                   3 business opportunities are
    Swinoujscie                     envisaged:
                                    Gazsystem connection for
                                     extending the supply zone
                                     achieved with Stork I project
                                    Yamal connection for long
                                     distance transports in Poland to
                                     provide Caspian gas also to
                                     remote Polish areas
                    Moravian        Moravian Loop will offer PGNIG
                     Loop
                                     the possibilities to market LNG
                                     gas outside of Poland into
                                     direction of Baumgarten (fostering
                                     of Baumgarten development due
                                     to additional non-Russian gas)


3
Connection to Oberkappel will support an
             EU-North-South corridor and serve as a
             backbone for a trading region CZ-A-SK-HU
               Oberkappel connection                              The business case for this
                                                                   project is based on
                                                                   expected regulatory
                                                                   requirements. The project
                                                                   ensures N4G’s first mover
                                                                   position against WAG
                                                                   extension.
              2                                                   N4G North-South-corridor
                                                 1                 to Poland is already
                                                                   reflected in the European
Oberkappel
connection                                                         Investment plans (#1).
                                                                   (Moravia Project)
                                                                  N4G now tries to include
                                                      Eustream
                                                                   Oberkappel connection in
                            Baumgarten
                                                                   the regional and European
     UGS     Interconnection point       Compressor station        investment plans (#2)
 4
The shift of flows from Lanzhot to Brandov is
                        already reflected in the transit contracts
                        Transit contracts and upsides for N4G
                                                                                                                              In 2011:
               Brandov                        Sayda/Olbernhau                  All figures in mcm/day                          The GE contract is running
         150        E     X                               E             X
                                                                                                                                from Lanzhot to Waidhaus
                                              60                                                                               Exit to Germany in HSK
         100
                                              40                                            Cesky Tesin                         plays a role, however
          50                                  20                                       15          E              X             compared to the classic
           0                                   0
                                                                                                                                East-West flow it is of minor
                                                                                       10                                       importance
                2011
                2020
                2011
                2020




                                                   2011
                                                          2020
                                                                 2011
                                                                        2020
                                                                                       5
                                                                                                                              In 2020:
                                                                                       0                                       Gas from Brandov to




                                                                                               2011
                                                                                                       2020
                                                                                                              2011
                                                                                                                      2020
Major flow in 2020                                                                                                              Waidhaus is delivered
                                                                                                                                according to the GE
       Waidhaus                                                                                                                 contract
          E     X
                                                                                                                               Potential upside may be
  150                                                                                                                           provided by Nabucco on
                                                                                       Lanzhot
  100                                                                                                                           Lanzhot Entry and
                                                                                 150           E              X                 Waidhaus and Cesky Tesin
   50
                                                                                                                                Exit.
                                                                                 100
    0
                              Major flow in 2011                                                                               The remaining border
         2011
         2020
         2011
         2020




                                                                                  50                                            points are of minor
                                                                                   0
                                                                                                                                importance
                                                                                        2011
                                                                                               2020
                                                                                                       2011
                                                                                                               2020



    Contracts            Nabuco Low case    Nabucco High case

   5
Overview of Key Strategic Measures

 Connect OPAL in Q3 2011 with NET4GAS grid

 Completion Czech-Polish connection in Q3 2011

 Build and connect Gazelle till the end of 2012

 Connect Czech grid with Baumgarten either LBL or Nabucco

 Develop Moravian Loop as part of North South Corridor depending on
  capacitiy demand beyond 2017 from Poland and local market (also
  Nabucco volumes should be transported)

 Develop the Czech-Austrian (Oberkappel) connection around 2018 as
  competitive answer towards WAG extension or E.ON Bohemia WAG
  connection and as significant contribution to Target Regions (CR-AT-
  SK-HU)
6
Trading Regions enable i.e. faster establishment
                of functioning wholesale markets

                                                                   Trading Region AB = Cross-border
                                                                    entry/exit system including all nominated
           Trading Region model at a glance                         points on the transmission systems of
                                                                    countries A and B
                                                                   End-user Zone = National balancing zone
                                                                    for national final customers, no matter
            Country A                          Country B            the system (distribution or transmission)
                                                                    they are connected to
                      Trading Region AB                            Virtual point of the trading region serving
                                                                    as the sole marketplace of the trading
                                    VP                              region and all attached end-user zones.
                                                                    Shifting of gas between trading region
                                                                    and end-user zone is done by nominating
                                                                    a virtual exit on the VP.
                                                                   A trading region allows shipper to
      End-user                                         End-user     bundled their purchase portfolios but not
                                                                    the supply portfolios of the countries
      Zone A                                             Zone B     inside
                                                                   Storages and indigenous productions of
           Final customers (A)           Final customers (B)        the countries inside the region are linked
                                                                    to the VP
                                                                   The trading region model reduces the
                  E or X contract               X contract
                                                                    requirements of legal conditions between
                                                                    participating countries for establishing of
                                                                    cross-border markets as much as
    NB: Trading regions can be developed also for more than two
                                                          ,         possible
    countries and don’t hamper the establishment of full merged
    markets later
                                     -
7               Strategy Paper 2011
N4G enables a functioning market in
          Central Europe by forming a trading region
          with Austria, Slovakia and Hungary
     Trading Region in Central Europe    One investment to Austria just
                                          required (Vodňany <>
                                          Oberkappel would be (probably)
                                          necessary in order to establish a
     Gaspool                              trading region (one wholesale
                    PL-Hub                market) together with
                                          A, SK, HUN and maybe SLO
                                         One common VP and gas
                                          exchange
                                         Hub-to-Hub capacity products to
    NCG                                   all neighbouring markets and
               (CEGH+)                    maybe beyond
                                         National distribution zones
                              ROM-Hub     remain substantially unaffected
    PSV                                  Expected benefits are (a) shift of
                                          unused transit capacities to
                                          required intra market
                                          capacities, (b) reduction of pipe-
                                          to-pipe competition and (c)
                                          continuing eye-level TSO
                                          cooperation/ avoiding RSO
8
N4G follows clearly defined steps to build a
    East-West transporter with sufficient
                                            turntable between CEE and NWE markets




                                                                                                                               Gas turntable in Central Europe
      reverse flow possibilites in place


                                                                      Asset aspects
                                                                                                Interconnection with
                                               Interconnection      Austria connected with     Austria: Oberkappel in
                                              with Poland in 2011   adequate tariff in 2014         2018 (South)
                                                    (North)



                                                                    Regulatory aspects
                                             Bundled products in    GATRAC is used as a       Trading region A-SK-
                                                 place with all       core for VP2VP          CZ-HU established in
                                             adjacent TSO in 2012   products in Europe                2018


                                                      2011-2013          2014-2017               2018-2020

    As of today                                                                                                         2020

9

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Thomas Kleefuß (NET4GAS CEO): NET4GAS Asset Strategy

  • 1. NET4GAS Asset Strategy Thomas Kleefuß, CEO European Economic Congress 2011 Katowice, May 17th 2011
  • 2. With Nordstream, OPAL and Gazelle Gazprom will be able to bypass Ukraine as the major transit country  Major Russian gas flows will be shifted from the Southern Russian onshore transit route to Nord Stream / OPAL / NEL.  The first branch of the offshore Russian Nord Stream transit highway will be used earliest in 2011. The second line will be completed not before 2013.  In order to benefit from the new/planned infrastructure in Southern Europe (e.g. LNG, Caspian gas) starting not before 2012, access to Baumgarten is essential. Shift of gas flows OPAL expected from 2011 Gazelle Pipeline Project Gazelle is necessary for extension of Nord Stream/OPAL and GE contract (shift to entry point Hora White Stream / GUEU Svate Kateriny). Project “Lanzhot – Baumgarten Lanzhot - Baumgarten connection” is necessary in order to Tauern pipeline capitalize on infrastructural Nabucco / South Stream developments in the South East of Europe. Current gas flows Future gas flows
  • 3. The Moravian Loop will enhance the national transport system and provide transit opportunities with Poland  The Moravian Loop project Moravian Loop will foster the interconnection with Poland LNG Terminal  3 business opportunities are Swinoujscie envisaged:  Gazsystem connection for extending the supply zone achieved with Stork I project  Yamal connection for long distance transports in Poland to provide Caspian gas also to remote Polish areas Moravian  Moravian Loop will offer PGNIG Loop the possibilities to market LNG gas outside of Poland into direction of Baumgarten (fostering of Baumgarten development due to additional non-Russian gas) 3
  • 4. Connection to Oberkappel will support an EU-North-South corridor and serve as a backbone for a trading region CZ-A-SK-HU Oberkappel connection  The business case for this project is based on expected regulatory requirements. The project ensures N4G’s first mover position against WAG extension. 2  N4G North-South-corridor 1 to Poland is already reflected in the European Oberkappel connection Investment plans (#1). (Moravia Project)  N4G now tries to include Eustream Oberkappel connection in Baumgarten the regional and European UGS Interconnection point Compressor station investment plans (#2) 4
  • 5. The shift of flows from Lanzhot to Brandov is already reflected in the transit contracts Transit contracts and upsides for N4G  In 2011: Brandov Sayda/Olbernhau All figures in mcm/day  The GE contract is running 150 E X E X from Lanzhot to Waidhaus 60  Exit to Germany in HSK 100 40 Cesky Tesin plays a role, however 50 20 15 E X compared to the classic 0 0 East-West flow it is of minor 10 importance 2011 2020 2011 2020 2011 2020 2011 2020 5  In 2020: 0  Gas from Brandov to 2011 2020 2011 2020 Major flow in 2020 Waidhaus is delivered according to the GE Waidhaus contract E X  Potential upside may be 150 provided by Nabucco on Lanzhot 100 Lanzhot Entry and 150 E X Waidhaus and Cesky Tesin 50 Exit. 100 0 Major flow in 2011  The remaining border 2011 2020 2011 2020 50 points are of minor 0 importance 2011 2020 2011 2020 Contracts Nabuco Low case Nabucco High case 5
  • 6. Overview of Key Strategic Measures  Connect OPAL in Q3 2011 with NET4GAS grid  Completion Czech-Polish connection in Q3 2011  Build and connect Gazelle till the end of 2012  Connect Czech grid with Baumgarten either LBL or Nabucco  Develop Moravian Loop as part of North South Corridor depending on capacitiy demand beyond 2017 from Poland and local market (also Nabucco volumes should be transported)  Develop the Czech-Austrian (Oberkappel) connection around 2018 as competitive answer towards WAG extension or E.ON Bohemia WAG connection and as significant contribution to Target Regions (CR-AT- SK-HU) 6
  • 7. Trading Regions enable i.e. faster establishment of functioning wholesale markets  Trading Region AB = Cross-border entry/exit system including all nominated Trading Region model at a glance points on the transmission systems of countries A and B  End-user Zone = National balancing zone for national final customers, no matter Country A Country B the system (distribution or transmission) they are connected to Trading Region AB  Virtual point of the trading region serving as the sole marketplace of the trading VP region and all attached end-user zones. Shifting of gas between trading region and end-user zone is done by nominating a virtual exit on the VP.  A trading region allows shipper to End-user End-user bundled their purchase portfolios but not the supply portfolios of the countries Zone A Zone B inside  Storages and indigenous productions of Final customers (A) Final customers (B) the countries inside the region are linked to the VP  The trading region model reduces the E or X contract X contract requirements of legal conditions between participating countries for establishing of cross-border markets as much as NB: Trading regions can be developed also for more than two , possible countries and don’t hamper the establishment of full merged markets later - 7 Strategy Paper 2011
  • 8. N4G enables a functioning market in Central Europe by forming a trading region with Austria, Slovakia and Hungary Trading Region in Central Europe  One investment to Austria just required (Vodňany <> Oberkappel would be (probably) necessary in order to establish a Gaspool trading region (one wholesale PL-Hub market) together with A, SK, HUN and maybe SLO  One common VP and gas exchange  Hub-to-Hub capacity products to NCG all neighbouring markets and (CEGH+) maybe beyond  National distribution zones ROM-Hub remain substantially unaffected PSV  Expected benefits are (a) shift of unused transit capacities to required intra market capacities, (b) reduction of pipe- to-pipe competition and (c) continuing eye-level TSO cooperation/ avoiding RSO 8
  • 9. N4G follows clearly defined steps to build a East-West transporter with sufficient turntable between CEE and NWE markets Gas turntable in Central Europe reverse flow possibilites in place Asset aspects Interconnection with Interconnection Austria connected with Austria: Oberkappel in with Poland in 2011 adequate tariff in 2014 2018 (South) (North) Regulatory aspects Bundled products in GATRAC is used as a Trading region A-SK- place with all core for VP2VP CZ-HU established in adjacent TSO in 2012 products in Europe 2018 2011-2013 2014-2017 2018-2020 As of today 2020 9