Future Of Recreational Boating


Published on

Dr. Geoffrey Godbey, Professor Emeritus in the Department of Recreation, Park and Tourism Management at Penn State University, discussed demographic, social, temporal, transportation and environmental issues affecting the future of recreational boating.

Published in: Education, Technology, Sports
  • Be the first to comment

No Downloads
Total views
On SlideShare
From Embeds
Number of Embeds
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

Future Of Recreational Boating

  1. 1. The Future of Recreational Boating Or, will the future float your boat?????? By Geoffrey Godbey
  2. 2. Categories of Analysis <ul><li>Demographic </li></ul><ul><li>Social </li></ul><ul><li>Temporal </li></ul><ul><li>Transportation </li></ul><ul><li>Environmental </li></ul>
  3. 3. Temporal Issues <ul><li>Most free time comes on week days, not week ends, and it comes in small chunks of one hour here, 45 minutes there. Ideal for TV viewing or internet but not boating </li></ul><ul><li>Shorter attention spans--what were we talking about??? </li></ul><ul><li>Done by dinner mentality for outdoor recreation </li></ul><ul><li>Americans take short vacations, 1 in 4 has no paid vacation </li></ul>
  4. 4. Social Drunken boating an increasing problem, as is use of a variety of drugs on the water
  5. 5. Social Image of recreational boaters takes a huge shot from TV law enforcement programs. Boaters portrayed as spoiled ignorant drunks who could get the same benefit onshore in a bar
  6. 6. While boating is a form of Outdoor Recreation It suffers from the image of the Yacht Most admired boats are the least used--canoe, kayak, sail boat
  7. 7. Experience Economy People crave memorable experience and will pay for them. This may increase desire for adventurous forms of boating
  8. 8. Transportation Will become more expensive, more regulated, more time consuming and more complex Getting to your boat will be more difficult
  9. 9. Transportation Those who manage leisure and tourism services will do more to “guide” visitors to their sites and such guidance will become customized for any inquiring visitor. Such customized guidance will be increasingly valuable to the potential visitor, as the logistics of visitation become more complex due to higher volumes of traffic, whether such traffic is automobiles, motor scooters or bicycles or other people movers.
  10. 10. Transportation <ul><li>All forms of moving vehicles will come under more regulation </li></ul><ul><li>Management of boats on the water will resemble the management of automobiles. </li></ul><ul><li>More regulation, more licensing, more and tougher law enforcement, </li></ul><ul><li>Boating suffers from same problem as all terrain vehicles, four wheelers, etc. </li></ul>
  11. 13. Transportation Process of taking a boat out on the water will become much more Deliberate Customized Contingent
  12. 14. Demographic
  13. 15. More Diverse Households <ul><li>Fewer married couples with children </li></ul><ul><li>More blended families </li></ul><ul><li>More unrelated people living in a household </li></ul><ul><li>More gay and lesbian families </li></ul><ul><li>More interracial households </li></ul>
  14. 16. Smaller Households, bigger Houses Average U.S. household has 2.6 people in it. One-quarter of the households have only one person in them. Average American lives in more than 760 sq. feet of space per person, the highest it has ever been
  15. 17. Women <ul><li>Women purchase the majority of automobiles today, will this happen with boats? </li></ul><ul><li>1/3rd of women earn more than their husbands </li></ul><ul><li>Majority of current high school grads, are women. 60% of all university students </li></ul>
  16. 19. Marriage <ul><li>Almost half of adults aren’t married </li></ul>
  17. 20. Ethnic Minorities 2000 2050 White 76% 50% Black 12% 15% Hispanic 9% 21% Asian/other 3% 14%
  18. 22. Ethnic Minorities The primary barriers to participation in recreational boating and fishing are knowledge and access. Just half of the African American and Hispanic respondents said they know of a desirable fishing or boating location near their home. The Hispanic respondents, in particular, have less perceived access to desirable boating and fishing locations.
  19. 23. Ethnic Minorities Approximately one fourth do not know how far they need to travel to find either a desirable fishing or a desirable boating location, and another one-fifth say they need to travel over an hour to find them.
  20. 24. Ethnic Minorities African American and Hispanic respondents cited work, family commitments and no one to go fishing with, as the top reasons for not participating in recreational boating and fishing. African Americans and Hispanics have positive perceptions of recreational boating and fishing .
  21. 25. Ethnic Minorities A majority of the African American and Hispanics see positive outcomes for boating and fishing. Many respondents consider fishing a “fun” activity – particularly men. In addition, they view fishing as relaxing and as something to do with family and friends, very few term the activity as “boring.” Boating is perceived by many as being expensive.
  22. 26. Ethnic Minorities Few African Americans and Hispanics associate recreational boating and fishing with environmental “stewardship.”
  23. 27. Re-Thinking our Population <ul><li>Population increase and increased urbanization </li></ul><ul><li>Rapidly aging-population with very different expectations </li></ul><ul><li>The rapidly shrinking white family </li></ul><ul><li>“ Hispanics—the largest minority </li></ul><ul><li>Gays and lesbians—not going back in the closet </li></ul><ul><li>Prolonged adolescence </li></ul><ul><li>An economically divided African-American community </li></ul>
  24. 28. Population Will increase!!
  25. 29. Population increase likely means more boats on the water even if the percentage of the public who boats declines
  26. 30. Environmental Impacts Profound Local and regional in nature
  27. 31. Impact of 15 inch rise in sea level along Florida coast <ul><li>50% of critical salt marsh and 84% of tidal flats would be lost. </li></ul><ul><li>Dry land decrease by 14% </li></ul><ul><li>30% of ocean beaches and 2/3rds of estuarine beaches would disappear </li></ul><ul><li>Open-ocean increase by 64%. </li></ul>
  28. 32. In a state where fishing is an essential part of the economy--anglers spent $3.3 billion on saltwater recreational fishing in Florida in 2005, supporting nearly 60,000 jobs--global warming cannot be allowed to continue unabated.
  29. 33. Source: teachingboxes.org/.../ lesson4_reefs/index1.htm Meter=3.28 feet Map C. Florida's shoreline today (in 2005) Map B. Florida's shoreline about 18,000 years ago when sea level was about 125 meters lower than today. Map D. Florida's shoreline after about a 5 meter rise in sea level. Map E. Florida's shoreline after about a 50 meter rise in sea level.
  30. 34. A 6 meter rise in sea level is the predicted result of melting most of the ice in the West Antarctic Icecap.
  31. 35. Possible Consequences <ul><li>Disappearance of shore line and flooding </li></ul><ul><li>Less outdoor activity; more precautions </li></ul><ul><li>Increasing intensity of hurricanes </li></ul><ul><li>Rapid increase in environmental restrictions </li></ul><ul><li>Rapid need to educate public </li></ul><ul><li>Shade, water, benches </li></ul>
  32. 36. Declining Participation in Outdoor Recreation
  33. 37. Declining Interest in Outdoor Recreation <ul><li>Aging population </li></ul><ul><li>Hectic lifestyles </li></ul><ul><li>Competing recreational options </li></ul><ul><li>Global warming </li></ul><ul><li>Shorter vacations </li></ul><ul><li>Increase in ethnic populations unfamiliar with OR opportunities </li></ul><ul><li>Air conditioning </li></ul><ul><li>Done by dinner </li></ul>
  34. 38. <ul><li>Number of Outdoor Recreation Activities participated in per year </li></ul>
  35. 39. <ul><li>Family members participate in a mean number of 5.4 activities annually versus 4.7 for the average adult. </li></ul>
  36. 40. Implications
  37. 41. Climate Change <ul><li>May overwhelm all other issues </li></ul><ul><li>Make outdoor recreation more contingent </li></ul><ul><li>Water-based recreation may be more limited </li></ul><ul><li>Being in sun increasingly dangerous </li></ul><ul><li>Loss of many coastal zone recreation sites </li></ul>
  38. 42. Interest of women and ethnic minorities in recreational boating is critical
  39. 43. Socializing young people into boating critical
  40. 44. Thank You! [email_address]