Wwwfuture2020

617 views

Published on

A crystal ball would be the one of the best tools for an FM’er. How great would it be to know what is going to happen in your buildings and work environment and be able to plan accordingly? Crystal balls unfortunately do not exist, but there are genuine ways to ‘see’ and plan for the future. There are concepts that are currently being discussed in various industries that will have a big impact on the future of our workplaces – and therefore FM’ers.

This presentation dives into the emerging global trends and technologies that will be impacting us by 2020... With today’s changes and uncertainties, we interpret and dissect futurist predictions and the impact on the work, worker and workplace of 2020. Why plan so far out? This presentation will tell you why.

  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

Wwwfuture2020

  1. 1. www.future.2020 Meredith Thatcher, IFMA Fellow, CFM Work, Worker, Workplace of the Future – Tanya Irvine, NCIDQ, CFM, LEED® AP Carroll Thatcher Planning Group Are You Ready? NEOCON, June 2009 www.future.2020 Work, Worker, Workplace of the Future – Are You Ready? Meredith Thatcher, CFM, IFMA Fellow and Tanya Irvine, NCIDQ, CFM, LEED® AP "Change is the law of life and those who look only to the past or present are certain to miss the future." Carroll Thatcher Planning Group Ottawa, ON, Canada —John F. Kennedy Where were we 11 years ago? Worker n Smoking is banned in all California bars and restaurants n Google, Inc. is founded in Menlo Park, California n Apple introduces the first iMac n Children who were born will be entering the work force in 2020 www.future.2020 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 3 Profile... Canada 2020 China 2020 n Fewer workers n mostly Gen X and Millennials n entry of ‘i’ Generation (iPhone, iPod) n largest percentage ever of workers 55 and older in the workplace United States 2020 India 2020 n Workers will be more demanding n Work/life/education balance will be a given n Blending of home and office n Focus on skills in maths, sciences and technology n More machines – robotics www.thatcherplanning.com © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 1
  2. 2. www.future.2020 Meredith Thatcher, IFMA Fellow, CFM Work, Worker, Workplace of the Future – Tanya Irvine, NCIDQ, CFM, LEED® AP Carroll Thatcher Planning Group Are You Ready? NEOCON, June 2009 Multi-worker Multi- Fluid workforce n Multi-cultural, multi-linguistic, multi-skilled, multi-faith n recognition of international certifications and education n Higher worker turnover n Europe’s mobile workforce n Options for alternate employment crosses borders much more n Choice of location - clean, safe and easily than in North America – green (NY Times article, Sept. 6, 2007) this has to be resolved n Brain drain vs. brain exchange n organizations have better means to find the perfect n Portfolio workers, teleworkers, constant employee, no matter where communication they are in the world n Workers will have created own individual n the continued emergence of brand – social networking, blogs, etc. www.future.2020 China and India 7 www.future.2020 8 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group Worker skills required n Flexibility and adaptability to change - summarize and analyze information, withstand stress, accept criticism, work as part of a team, work in a multicultural environment n Independence - learning, problem solving, decision making, taking calculated risks n Communications - orally, in Work writing, independently, as part of a team n Thinking – critical, creative, connecting www.future.2020 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 9 Design Economy n You will need to think like a designer n Decisions will be based on emotion Technology n Rapid prototyping will be the norm n Social technologies n Nanotechnology n Desktop web n New materials applications n Automated processes www.future.2020 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 11 n Virtual and interactive n Beyond the CPU Source: Front collective, Sweden www.thatcherplanning.com © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 2
  3. 3. www.future.2020 Meredith Thatcher, IFMA Fellow, CFM Work, Worker, Workplace of the Future – Tanya Irvine, NCIDQ, CFM, LEED® AP Carroll Thatcher Planning Group Are You Ready? NEOCON, June 2009 Workplace Knowledge is Shared n Expanded capacity for cooperation n Cooperative strategies for solving dilemmas n Sharing, appropriating innovation and results of research n Across boundaries n Open source production models n Peer to peer web-based www.future.2020 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 13 Workplace Invisible Computing n Supported in distributed environments n Movement out of urban centres n Nanotechnology n Work from anywhere n self-configuring sensor networks n New energy types and new sources n mesh networks for existing types n motes n ad-hoc infrastructure n RFID – everything will be tagged! www.future.2020 www.future.2020 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 15 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 16 Futurists Pick Top Tech Trends Green Principles n Simplicity n Mobile socialization n They will be commonplace n R.I.P. combustion engine? n ‘Carbon neutral’ won’t be n Going green good enough n IT revolution n Corporations may be n in 2020, "our electronics will expected to give back to be 10,000 times as capable as the grid they are today" n Dismantling, disposing and repurposing source:http://www.wired.com www.future.2020 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 17 www.thatcherplanning.com © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 3
  4. 4. www.future.2020 Meredith Thatcher, IFMA Fellow, CFM Work, Worker, Workplace of the Future – Tanya Irvine, NCIDQ, CFM, LEED® AP Carroll Thatcher Planning Group Are You Ready? NEOCON, June 2009 Projected energy consumption Utilities n Independence from the grid and autonomy n Electricity n incandescent–fluorescent–compact n In last 15 years, energy fluorescent–LED–OLED consumption worldwide n Water was up 1.5% per year n potable water 100% in and out now n future – closed loop, at source n Forecasts for the next 20 treatment years suggest energy n HVAC – supplementing building with natural consumption will grow by solutions 2% per year: current n IT will be the 4th utility consumption doubles in 36 years n Fossil fuels are finite = end of cheap and easy oil www.future.2020 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 19 Leadership and Management n Partnerships with other organizations for skilled personnel So how does all n Smaller, more efficient FM teams n Establish mentoring opportunities this relate to the now Standards and processes will be Nine Facility n critical – won’t have time to recreate the wheel Management n Have the guts and authority to implement change – and do it Competencies? faster! n You will need to be more open to suggestion www.future.2020 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 22 Human and Environmental Planning and Project Management Factors n Workers will have much n Project teams will be comprised of broader experience of how transitory members others are managing their environments n Tools will be different n Increasing regulations re: n access to resources healthy buildings n technologies of cooperation n Push for ‘carbon neutral’ n Project timelines will continue to shorten buildings n Must understand the on-going n Space will need to be more flexible and changing use of and adaptable – less demolition and integration with the work reconstruction environment n Fewer trades available n Be prepared for increasing www.future.2020 number of ‘mega-events’ © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 23 www.thatcherplanning.com © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 4
  5. 5. www.future.2020 Meredith Thatcher, IFMA Fellow, CFM Work, Worker, Workplace of the Future – Tanya Irvine, NCIDQ, CFM, LEED® AP Carroll Thatcher Planning Group Are You Ready? NEOCON, June 2009 Finance Operations & Maintenance n Training on new building systems and new types of sensors n Cost cutting will still be expected n Lifecycle of new equipment will be less known n Will require more storage space n Attracting and retaining people with n recycling assets, waste financial skills will be of high n Water will be mix of potable and gray, including importance to executive looping back n HVAC – natural venting, more filtering and management treating of indoor and outside air n Show how FM contributes to n Water will be treated differently revenue generation www.future.2020 www.future.2020 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 25 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 26 Real Estate Quality Assessment and Innovation n Decentralization of urban centres n Consider longer and more flexible leases n Regular occupant evaluations will n Boundaries of tenant spaces may be less be necessary defined n Delivery of quality environments n More efficient buildings (rentable to usable) will be necessary to attract and will be required – more space for occupants retain n Criteria for evaluating buildings will include n Large leaps in innovation will social conscience elements enable better service delivery n Sq.ft. per person will likely continue to n Intellectual property rights will reduce, though will stabilize need to be negotiated n ‘points’ for contributing to wikis, podcasts www.future.2020 www.future.2020 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 27 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 28 Communication Technology n Just do it! n Panoramic desktop – information in context n Communicate your organization’s culture n Conductive polymers: the new silicon? n Aggressive disruption n Take advantage of social networking to n Location aware networks establish your brand n unhealthy zones n Nanotechnology n Leap frogging n Security www.future.2020 www.future.2020 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 29 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 30 www.thatcherplanning.com © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 5
  6. 6. www.future.2020 Meredith Thatcher, IFMA Fellow, CFM Work, Worker, Workplace of the Future – Tanya Irvine, NCIDQ, CFM, LEED® AP Carroll Thatcher Planning Group Are You Ready? NEOCON, June 2009 Question: Group discussion What do you Convergence think the three most likely future happenings will be? “Progress is the ability to choose between change and tradition” David Zach www.future.2020 www.future.2020 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 31 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 32 Nanoscale Sensors n Increase occupant comfort in buildings n Reduce machine downtime Globalization in factories n Allow companies to monitor Definition: Name for the process of and control processes and systems for increased increasing the connectivity and efficiency and enhanced interdependence of the world's profitability n Sense levels of pollutants in markets and businesses the environment (i.e. quality of drinking water) Resources and competition will n Detect structural damage come from areas never in buildings and vehicles considered before n Reduce energy consumption n Combat cancer www.future.2020 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 33 World Economic Forum 60 Plan for ‘mega-events’ mega- events’ Emerging Markets 50 Inequality How will you be ready? n Autonomy will be essential Private Capital 40 n Expect increased quantity and Percentage Resource Suppliers severity of natural disasters 30 Non-state Actors n Back-ups! 20 Collective Intelligence n Be able to disconnect from Demographics interconnectedness 10 n Plan partnering Climate Change 0 Most Impact on World Global Community www.future.2020 in Coming Years Least Ready For © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 36 www.thatcherplanning.com © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 6
  7. 7. www.future.2020 Meredith Thatcher, IFMA Fellow, CFM Work, Worker, Workplace of the Future – Tanya Irvine, NCIDQ, CFM, LEED® AP Carroll Thatcher Planning Group Are You Ready? NEOCON, June 2009 How to Be Your Own Futurist Evaluating information n Information type – convincing data shows cause n Be a better listener and effect action n Occasionally, read trade magazines n Relevance of the data – from different industries sufficient methodological rigor and validity n Children can teach you too! n Source of the data – people believe people – ‘hierarchy of n Volunteer belief’ n Read the classics n Alignment with attitudes and values – may reject if it doesn’t match personal values source: http://www.fastcompany.com/magazine/06/futurist.html Source: The NEXT Sustainability Wave www.future.2020 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 38 Remember… Remember… n Work - innovation economy Questions? Observations? n Worker - multi-worker, work/life/education balance n Workplace – IT revolution, distributed, green n IFMA 9 competencies – are you ready? n Pay attention to: convergence, nanotechnology, globalization www.future.2020 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 39 If you’d like more information, or have you’ 2020 Trivia questions, we can be contacted at …. n February 20, 2020 at Time: 20:20:20, the date will read: n 02-20-2020 20:20:20 (613) 729-2646 n Last nuclear power plant in meredith@thatcherplanning.com Germany to be shut down tanya@thatcherplanning.com n March — Yahoo! Inc.'s 25th www.thatcherplanning.com birthday; opening of the Yahoo! Time Capsule www.future.2020 © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 42 www.thatcherplanning.com © Carroll Thatcher Planning Group 7

×