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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
Asking US$60 million from any overseas lender / financial
consultant firm, with very low interest rate (including
consultancy fees and interest/service charge, not over than
2% P.A.)
Potential project transportation business at Bangladesh
This project is very suitable for
Joint Venture with any Muslim
Investor against Profit and Loss
sharing basis
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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
PRE-INVESTMENT FEASIBILITY
REPORT
on
TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
for
XXXXX BD LIMITED
at
Madanpur, Gazipur and Bogra
Corporate Office:
Suite 03/3rd
floor, 3/3B Purana Paltan, Dhaka-1000
Tel: 88-02-7976307, 88-01710-962792
Email: seekinvestor2007@yahoo.com
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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Items Page
Introduction 1
Project Summary 2
Management & Organization 5
Technical Aspect 7
Market Aspect 11
Cost of the project 14
Cost Estimate of Building & Civil Works 15
Local Machinery 17
Imported Machinery 19
Working Capital 21
Earning forecast 22
Sales Revenue 23
Sensitivity Analysis 24
Operating Expenses 27
Wages & Salaries 28
Estimate of general, admin & other expenses 30
Financial expenses 32
Break-even Analysis 33
Cash Flow Statement 34
Debit Services Coverage Ratio 35
Pay Back Period 36
FIRR 37
Benefit of the project 38
Contribution to GDP 39
Balance sheet 40
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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
INTRODUCTION
Xxxxxx Ltd is a private limited company. The company has taken up a program to set up
a transport business for inter district luxury bus services. The project has been designed
to equip with imported 100 / (200+ for JV) luxury bus from China. Local machinery and
equipments will be procured locally. The project workshop will be located at Madanpur,
Gazipur and Bogra.
The proposed project will be equipped with most modern and sophisticated luxury bus
and equipment to be collected from reputed supplier at competitive price. The project will
be run by highly trained and skilled manpower. The project will be self-sufficient
continuous free operation of the daily bus services.
Xxxxxx Ltd has appropriate technical and management resource persons to run the bus
services, expecting to earn huge revenue and create employment opportunity thus
contribute socio-economic development of the country.
The Managing Director and other Director of the Project have dynamic leadership in
various Business sector and they have sufficient means and wealth in the country to
provide equity of the proposed project. So, the proposal for sanctioning loan from
bank/financial institution may be accepted to all concern authorities with great pleasure.
Marketing Aspect
Introduction
Bangladesh tends to be thought of as poverty-stricken and disaster-prone - a pity for a
fascinating and beautiful country with a friendly, welcoming population. The transport sector of
Bangladesh consists of a variety of modes. The country being a flat plain, all three modes of
surface transport, i.e. road, railway and water are widely used in carrying both passengers and
cargo.
More than half of Bangladesh has access to an all-weather hard surface road within 3 miles
distance. There has been a dramatic expansion of road network in recent years. In 1947 there
were only 461.8 kilometers of carpeting / metallic roads. In 1997, the total length of paved road
under the Roads and Highways Department stood at more than 20,000 kilometers. It is
estimated that mechanized road transport carry about 70% of the country's total passenger and
cargo volume.
Local Bangladeshi buses are generally crowded, often to the extent of people riding on the bus
steps (entrance) and sometimes even the roof. The state run Bangladesh Road Transport
Corporation www.brtc.gov.bd (BRTC) buses usually fall into this category. However, there are
luxurious air-conditioned bus services connecting major cities and popular tourist destinations.
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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
Green Line, Shyamoli shyamoli.paribahan.com, Silk Line but these are still not sufficient for our
prime need.
Financial plan: Figure in "000"
Foreign Loan/Fund: FDI / US$60,000K, where Sponsor's Equity (0%)
Total debt and equity: 100:0
Percentage Sharing: Negotiable with JV Capitalist/ Private Investor
Cost of production and profitability:
A statement showing forecast of earning which enter all includes cost of production, sales
estimates, financial, admin incentive & selling expenses is given in Annexure. The main
assumptions underlying the earning forecast are as under:
I. The capacity utilization of the project will be 70%, 80% & 90% from the first year to
3rd
year and so no respectively.
II. The cost of raw materials as well as sales will be the same throughout the projected
years on the assumptions price, incase raw materials be up set the proportionate
price increase in sales.
III. There will be 5% increase in salaries & wages and a bonus equal to 2(two) months
basic will be given each year.
IV. Depreciation has been charged @ 20% on Machinery @ 5% in building and 20% in
furniture and fixture & pre-operating expenses on straight -line method.
PROJECT SUMMERY
1 Name of the project: Xxxxxx Ltd.
2 Location of the project: Office: Suite 03 / 3rd
Floor, 3/3B, Purana
Paltan, Dhaka-1000.
Tel: 88-02-7976307, 8801710962792
Email: seekinvestor2007@yahoo.com
Attention to: Md. Hafizul Haque
3 The Project:
The project envisages setting up of a
transport business for inter district luxury bus
services. The project has been designed and
equipped with imported 100 luxury buses from
China. Local machineries and equipments to
be procured locally.
4 Proposal:
Request for issuance Bank Comfort Letter for
issuance Bank Guarantee against foreign
loan of US$ 60.00 million, where US$ 30
million will be deposited to the bank and US$
30 million to meet the cost of imported luxury
bus and a part of civil construction cost and
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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
other related costs. Instead of this JV will
increase more transportation vehicle will
higher profit from the estimated one.
5 Industrial classification:
The project is covered under Transport Sub
Sector and since its total fixed cost is above
Tk.30 crore (US$ 4.286 M) it will be treated as
a large scale industry as per industrial policy
1999.
6 Promoters: The project is being promoted by a group of
directors in the company and formed a private
limited company and registered with the Joint
Stock Company.
7 Land and Location: The project workshop will be located at
Gazipur, Madangonj and Bogra.
8 Building and other civil works: The proposed cost of building and civil works
has been estimated at US$ 4.559 M.
9 Plant and Machinery:
A. Imported Machinery: The cost of the proposed imported machinery
including the related expenses works out at US$
14.695 M.
B. Local Machinery: The project requires some local machinery. The
proposed cost of which works out at US$ 0.683 M.
10 Technical service & quality control: The suppliers of luxury bus will depute four foreign
experts for three years to undertake the job of
operational works and quality control. They will be
treated as in service experts of the project and will be
responsible for operation performance and
maintenance of the luxury bus. They will also trend
up the drivers and local technicians.
11 Erection and installation: Erection, installation, trial run operation and
commissioning will be carried out by local erectors
under the overall guidance & supervision of the
experts to be deputed by the company cost
estimated US$ 0.05 M.
12 Corporate set up: Private Limited Company / JV / FDI
13 Product capacity of the project: The annual rated luxury bus services of the project
based on three shifts of eight hours each per day and
three hundred sixty working days in a year. (Political
unrest, may decrease maximum 30 working days)
15 Market aspect Road transport in Bangladesh is a private sector
affair operating predominantly in domestic routes.
The project is being established inter district bus
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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
services by Luxury Bus. The maintenance of its
appropriate quality with other similar types of Luxury
Bus service, it is expected that appropriate measures
will be under taken. The project has captive market
and entire Luxury bus will be in operation.
16 Economic aspect The project after implementation will create new job
opportunity for 657 persons of different categories.
17 Machinery The project will require both imported and local
machinery.
Means of Finance: Foreign Fund (100%) US$ 60.00 Million
18 Debt- Equity ratio 100: 0
19 Financial Performance: Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3 Yr-4 Yr-5
Sales 13,961 15,949 17,949 17,949 17,949
Gross Profit 8,123 9,750 11,376 11,126 10,897
Operating profit 7,305 8,876 10,446 10,137 9,878
Net profit after tax 4,167 4,210 5,152 4,966 4,811
20 Ratio % Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3 Yr-4 Yr-5
Gross Profit to Sales 58 61 63 62 61
Operating profit to sales 52 56 58 56 55
Net profit after tax 30 26 29 28 27
21 Debt service coverage: 3.01 3.70 4.08 4.02 3.98
22 Break Even Point Break even sales 34.82% of the assumed
capacity
23 Employment Generation 657 Nos
24 Contribution to GDP US$ 14.913 million
25 FIRR 36.34%
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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
Conclusion and Recommendation:
It reveals from the financial analysis that the project
will be a profitable concern. The ratio analysis is
satisfactory and acceptable. The project will have
sufficient liquidity to pay all its liabilities. The BEP
analysis shows sound position. The IRR indicate
higher rate of return. The project will contribute to
National Economy. In view of the above facts, it is
found that the project is commercially, technically
viable, Socially acceptable and financially rewarding.
So investment from JV Capitalist / personal lender /
Bank/Financial Institutions may be highly
recommended. Joint Venture will get an extraordinary
rate of return against the projected profit/IRR.
INTRODUCTION, PROMOTERS & MANAGEMENT
Introduction
The promoters of Xxxxxx Ltd. is being applied for financial assistance for setting up a Transport
Project at Madanganj, Gazipur and Bogra, Corporate Office: Room 03, 3rd
floor, Soleman plaza,
3/3B Purana Paltan, Dhaka-1000 Tel: 7976307, Fax: XXXXXXXXXXXX. The total cost of the
project' has been estimated at USD. 60 million..
Corporate set up: FDI / JV / Private Limited Company.
Promoters and Management.
SI. No. Name of the Person Position in the Company No. of Shares
1 JV Capitalist Chairman XXXXX
2 Md. Hafizul Haque Managing Director XXXXX
3 XXXXX XXXXXXX Director XXXXX
4 XXXXX XXXXXXX Director XXXXX
5 XXXXX XXXXXXX Director XXXXX
Management and Organization:
The overall affair of the company is vested with the Managing Director who will formulate the
company's day to day policy with the help of the other Director/s. Experienced and skilled
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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
personnel will be deputed from the manufacturer of the luxury bus and recruited locally for
smooth running of the project.
The proposed project will be equipped with most modern and sophisticated luxury bus and
equipment. The workshop will be operated by highly trained and skilled manpower. The project
will be self-sufficient continuous trouble free operation of daily bus services. The Managing
Director and other Director/s of the project have dynamic leadership in various businesses and
sector. So, the proposal for financial assistance may be accepted to all concern authorities with
great pleasure.
Details of the promoters:
A)
Name: XXXXXXXXX
Father's Name : XXXXXXXXXXXX.
Mother's Name : XXXXXXXXXXXXX.
Present Address : XXXXXXXXXXXXree, Dhaka -1217
Permanent Address: XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
DOB: 23/09/1967
Education: M Sc. In Marine Biology.
B)
Name: XXXXXXXX.
Father's Name : XXXXXXXXXXXXXXX.
Mother's Name : XXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Present Address : XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Permanent Address: XXXXXXXXXXXXXX
DOB:
Education:
National Id No :
Land and location
The selected location is cheaper than other areas. Tariff structure can be availed. Transport
facilities to run the project will not be problem. Manpower availability is enough.
TECHNICAL ASPECT
INTRODUCTION
The project will be set up at Xxxxxx Ltd, Madanganj, Gazipur and Bogra, Corporate Office:
Suite 03/3rd
floor 3/3B Purana Paltan, Dhaka-1000. Tel: 7976307, Fax: XXXXXX on the area of
20-acre land to carry on transport business. The project land is well communicated by road. All
the infrastructure facilities like Wide Road, Wide Channel, Gas, Electricity etc. are available in
the project area.
For the selection of proposed luxury bus have been procured on the basis of performance
considering versatility durability, cost benefit and improved operational performance. The
required selected luxury bus is useful and balanced for the project and the prices of the luxury
bus are competitive.
GUARANTEE AND WARRANTY:
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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
All the items of the project offered by the suppliers a complete/ balance unit, guaranteed and
trouble free performance/operation of all luxury buses, equipments and materials of the project
for a period of three years from the date of operation of the bus services and also shall
undertake the warranty of replacement free of cost of any part of the entire project as the case
may be due to manufacturing defects. Suppliers shall be responsible for the efficiency and
capacity of the luxury bus and other equipments on the trial production period.
TECHNICAL SERVICE AND SUPERVISION:
Manufacturer shall depute four engineer to the BUYER'S work site to supervise the bus
services, will also continue their services for the project for three years.
PRODUCT MIX AND PRODUCTION CAPACITY
The annual capacity of daily bus services of the project has been calculated on the basis of
rated capacity the working days considered 360 days in year.
Items Quantity (At 100%Capacity) USD IN 000
Production Passanger Daily Service Unit sales Total Value
price in USD.
(a) Dhaka to Chittagong 40 20 7 2,044
(b) Chittagong to Dhaka 40 20 7 2,044
(c) Dhaka to Cox's Bazar 40 6 11 964
(d) Cox's Bazar to Dhaka 40 6 11 964
(e) Dhaka to Sylhet 40 10 9 1,241
(f) Sylhet to Dhaka 40 10 9 1,241
(g) Dhaka to Jessore, Khulana 40 6 9 788
(h) Khulana, Jessore to Dhaka 40 6 9 788
(i) Dhaka to Rajshahi 40 6 9 788
(j) Rajshahi to Dhaka 40 6 9 788
(k) Dhaka to Rangpur, Dinajpur 40 20 9 2,628
(l)Dinajpur,Rangpur to Dhaka 40 20 9 2,628
(m) Dhaka to Bogra, Noagaon 40 6 9 788
(n) Noagaon, Bogra to Dhaka 40 6 9 788
(o) Dhaka to Barishal 40 5 10 730
(p) Barishal to Dhaka 40 5 10 730
19,944
Note: Transport will be double+, if this project will be Joint Venture……
Land and location
The project will be located at Madanganj, Gazipur and Bogra. The place is very suitable for
setting up Transport Project. All infrastructure facilities like road, channel, power, water and
commercial facilities are available at the project site and also flood free zone.
Building and other civil works
The civil construction of the proposed project for main Factory' Building, raw materials go-down,
finished goods go-down, generator room, sub-station room, workshop and maintenance room, boiler
house, workers shed, security barrack, office building etc. Cost of the building & other civil works has
been estimated at USD 4.559 million.
Machinery and Equipments
Imported Machinery
The project will be equipped with brand new most modern and sophisticated luxury bus with all
auxiliaries and equipment. The luxury bus for the project will be imported from China.
Machinery: CNG Luxury Bus, CNG Station complete, Petrol Pump.
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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
Local Machinery: In addition to the importable machinery, the project will also require some local
machinery and equipment these are Generator, Transformer, Electric control panel, Electrical cables,
Pipes, etc.
Erection and Installation: The machinery and equipment of the project will be installed, commissioned
and put under trial run under the direct supervision of the foreign erectors to be deputed by the
suppliers in this regard.
Utilities:
Power: The connected load of the project has been estimated at 440 KVA. The maximum requirement
of power will be 400 KVA. The required will be available from
REB/DESA/PDB besides there will be a standby Generator of 330 KVA. For emergency purpose.
Connected 440 KVA
Maximum load 400 KVA
Source: PDB
Fuel and Lubricant:
Item Quantity
Grease 2500 kgs
Lubricating Oil 10000Itrs
Diesel 620000 Itrs
Petrol 120000 Itrs
Water: The total requirement of water for the project, llift up with the help of a Submersible pump.
Furniture Fixture and office Equipment: The project has office furniture fixture, computer, fax,
telephone etc for which and amount of USD 50 thousand has been estimated.
Safety Provision: Precaution against fire, necessary fire fighting equipment and first aid box has been
required for which an amount of USD 50 thousand has been estimated.
Environmental impact: Changes of environmental pollution are nil. Therefore, there will be no impact
on environment because of erection and operation of the plant. No change of ecological imbalance is
there.
Stores and Spare: Store and Spare for the project has been estimated 1%, 1.55 & 2% for the 1st
, 2nd
and subsequent Years for total machinery cost.
Repair and Maintenance: The total manpower requirement of repair and maintenance for the machinery
has been established at it 1%, 1.55 & 2% of its cost for 1st
, 2nd
and 3rd
year operation respectively.
Manpower Requirement: The total manpower requirement for the project during commercial operation
has been shown below and will be recruited locally.
A) Administrative:
General Manager 1
Manager (Admin) 1
Admin Officer 2
Accounts officer 2
Commercial Officer/Asstt. Com. Of 6
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China CNG Bus
TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
Stores Officer 2
Medical Officer 2
Medical Asstt. 6
Security Officer 1
Labour Officer 1
Asstt. Accountant 2
Wage Clerks 2
Compter/telex/fax operator 2
Time Keeper 2
Clerk-cum-Typist 3
Compounder 2
Driver 6
Bus Supervisor 100
Security Guard 4
Peon 4
Sweeper 2
Marketing
Ticket Sales Man 100
Ticket sales Asstt. 100
B) Technical personnel:
Workshop Manager 3
Supervisors 6
Automobile Engineer 3
Automobile Mechanic 6
Welder 3
Driver 100
Helper 100
Skilled labour 12
Semi-skilled labour 6
Labour 6
Generator operator 2
CNG Station Manager 6
CNG Mechanic operator 12
Electrical Mechanic 3
Security Officer 3
Security Guard 12
Store Officer 2
Asstt Store Officer 3
Computer Operator 2
Computer Operator Asstt 3
Office Asstt. 3
Sweeper 8
Total Manpower will be (A+B) = 657 persons
Rents, Tax & Insurance: The rents and insurance`s have been estimated @ 1% of the Fixed Assets of
the project.
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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
Depreciation and Amortization: The following basis has been used for calculation of depreciation on
Fixed Assets of the project:
Fixed Assets Depreciation Rate
Factory Sheds/ Building 5% P.A.
Machinery/ Equipment 20% P.A.
Cost of Installation: The expense is composed of the cost of expatriate and local manpower necessary
for erection of the plant. The erection cost is estimated of USD 50 thousand.
Foreign Direct Investment (FID) has played a key role a key in the modernization of the Bangladesh
economy for the last 15 years.
Inflows of foreign direct investment
There was an inflow of $666m foreign direct investment in 2007, which increased significantly in 2008
to $1086m. As of June 2009, inflows of foreign direct investment recorded to $358m.
Inflows of foreign direct investment during 2001-2009*
As of June, 2009
Source: Bangladesh Economic Review-2010 (Bangla version), Ministry of Finance
Private investment statistics:
Year
Proposed local
investment
Proposed foreign
investment
Total proposed
investment Growth %
Project US$ m Project US$ m Project US$ m
2005-
2006
1,754 2,662.31 135 3,621.15 1,889 6,283.46 125%
2006-
2007
1,930 2,848.98 191 1,728.26 2,121 4,577.24 (-27%)
2007-
2008
1,615 2,833.76 143 787.39 1,758 3,621.15 (-21%)
2008-
2009
1,336 2,480.72 132 2,137.53 1,468 4,618.25 27%
2009-
2010
876 1,831.44 92 617.68 968 2,449.12 -
* February, 2010
Source: Bangladesh Economic Review-2010 (Bangla version), Ministry of Finance
13.1 TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATION BY TYPE .
Classification
Units
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05
Airway (Nos) 17 17 14
DC-10 (Nos) 12 12 10
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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
Fokker/ATP (Nos) 5 5 4
Passengers Carried (Nos) '000' 1529000 1647000 1639000
Goods Carried '000' MT 39000 38000 40000
Revenue (Tk in Crore) -
Income 1901.53(P) 2179.59(E) -
Expenditure 1954.71(p) 2162.02(E) -
Railway -
Railway Track Operated (Km) - 2880.07 -
Goods Traffic Ton Km (Million) 951.99 922.3 -
Passengers (Million) Traffic Km 4024.21 4392 -
Rail Engine (Nos) 275 275 -
Freight Wagons (Nos) 10605 10605 -
Passengers Coaches 1273 1273 -
Other Coaches 137 137 -
Unorganized Road Transports (000)
Rickshaw 1820 1919 1980
Push Cart 21 22 23
Bullock Cart 56 55 54
Organized Road Transports (000) -
Bus/Minibus 32 33 34
Microbus 16 17 19
Truck 51 53 55
Motor Car/Taxi/Jeep 84 90 94
Auto Rickshaw 85 94 100
Tractors/Tailor/Others 18 21
Organized Water Transports (000)
Vessel owned by BSC (Nos) 13 13 13
Vessel owned by BIWTC (Nos) 208 194 194
Unorganized Water Transports (Nos)
Country Boat for Motorize 67 68 69
Country Boat for Cargo 68 65 66
Country Boat for Passenger 118 110 111
Communication Facilities 3783 3914 3937
Post Office (Nos) 9859 10007 9886
Telegraph Office (Nos) 657 - -
Telephone Sets '000' (Nos) 707 967 1010
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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
Source : Economic Revue 2004, BBS and statistical Pocketbook 2005
Foreign and joint venture investment
In the year 2009-10 (February), three were 89 new foreign and joint venture investment project
registered to BOI which amount to $590m. The project was invested to mainly in the service
engineering clothing and auricular sectors.
Sector wise foreign and joint venture investment during 2009-2010*
* As of February, 2010
Source Bangladesh Economic Review-2010 (Bangla version), Ministry of Finance Country wise foreign
and joint venture investment during 2009-2010*
Country No. of project Proposed investment (US$ M)
Saudi Arabia 3 478,652.17
Australia 4 2,036.23
USA 5 2,990.33
Finland 2 3,023.89
India 9 8,451.53
South Korea 12 33,768.91
Malaysia 3 3,056.52
Netherlands 5 8,544.76
China 12 21,000.36
United Kingdom 5 3,507.85
Pakistan 2 990.91
Japan 8 2,624.85
Denmaek 1 1,217.39
Sir Lanka 2 646.23
Canada 2 1,017.23
Taiwan 1 502.97
Singapore 4 1,929.62
Turkey 1 150.94
Greece 1 156.81
Italy 2 1,039.95
Hong Kong 5 14,805.94
Total 89 590,114.91
As February, 2010
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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
COST OF THE PROJECT
SL.
No.
Item
Existing
Wealth
Proposed
Investment
Total
2 Building & civil Works 4,559 4,559
3 Imported Machinery
Duty (38%)
Marine Insurance (1%)
Clearing & Forwarding (1%)
L/C Commission (1%)
Pre-shipment inspection charge (0.5%)
14,670
5,584
147
147
147
73
14,670
5,584
147
147
147
73
4 Local Machinery 683 683
5 Cost of Installation 50 50
6 Vehicles 93 93
7 Office equipment, furniture & Fixtures 50 50
8 Salary equipments 10 10
9 Contingencies
On Machinery`s (5%) 735 735
10 Per-operating and start up expenses 3,000 3,000
11 Working capital 52 52
Fixed cost - 30,000 30,000
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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
Means of Finance:
Foreign Fund 30,000
COST OF BUILDING & OTHER CIVIL WORKS FOR XXXXXX LTD.:
(Existing)
Sl No. Items Specification Covered Rate of Estimated cost
area sq.m. const. (BDT) (BDT 000)
11 Surface Drain Surface drain
12 Internal road Road Size: 167368mx 7.62m
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1 Main workshop
At Gazipur
5m ht. R.C.C frame structure factory
building godowns, generators building
with to storied foundation (without
under ground duct)
2 Workshop
Madangonj
At 6m ht R.C.C. frame godowns
building (ground floor) size:
25.91m ×27.43m
3 Workshop at
Bogra
A/C plant room over the factory
building. As per machine suppliers
drawing.
4 Duct
humidification
For Under ground duct with R.C.C
wall with net Cement finishing (water
tight) Size: 1m× 1.5m
5 Residential
Building
6(six) Storied R.C.C. frame structure
residential building size:
6×8.8m×34.4m = 1829.30,
6×2.18m×34.45mc = 1070.70
6 Administrative
Building
3 (Three storied R.C.C. frame
structure administrative
building/security & labour office
7 Workshop &
Quarter
4 storied R.C.C. frame workshop
building and quarter, (Ground Floor to
3rd
Floor) size: 4 x 10.97m x 5.46m
8 Scrap Yard Scarp yard Size : 1×8.84m× 12.19m
9 Raw Material Store R.M.S. Size: 1/2× 1.076m ×
8.53m×1
/2
10 Boundary wall Boundary wall with R.C.C. column @
8`c/c with 5″ thick wall plaster Both
side & snowcem (ht-8′-0″)
TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
13 Water tank Water tank over the root of
Factory building Size: (ht-2.0) 8.7mx5.48m
14 Electrical Meter Size: ½ ×10-76×8.53×1
/2 room
15 Spare parts Size: 1×25.91ms ×45.12m Store (First Floor)
16 Air compressor Size: 1× 10.97m × 17.37m Store (First Floor)
Total 4559
LOCAL MACHINERY
USD in “000”
Sl No. Item Quantity Unit Price Total Price
1 Way bill
2 Ticket printing
3 Different size leather machine & ancillary equip.
4 Ticket counter and office
5 Generator
6 Transformer
7 Electric control panel
683
Per- Operating Expenses
USD in “000”
Sl No Item Total Price
1 Service Charge & 1st
year interest, Total 2% on USD 60 million 1200
1200
IMPORTED MACHINERY (Proposed)
USD in “000”
Sl No. Particulars Quantity Unit Price Total Price
1
2
3
CNG Luxury Bus, China
YUTONG HONGKONG LIMITED
CNG Station Complete
Petrol pump
100
6
6
122200
300000
75000
12220
1800
675
14,695
LIST OF VECHICLES
USD in “000”
Items Quantity Unit Price Total Price (USD)
i) Hino Ranger Covered Van Capacity
7000KG
1 36
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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
iv) Toyota Liteage
Total
2 57
US$ “000” 93
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TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
WORKING CAPITAL REQUIREMENT
USD in ‘000’
A) Current Assets:
Stores & Spares
Fuel & Lubricant
Wages
Totalcurrent assets
Tied up period
15 Days
15 Days
15 Days
Yr-1
3
20
29
52
Yr-2
6
22
30
58
Yr-3
10
23
32
64
Yr-4
13
24
33
70
Yr-5
16
26
35
77
B) Current Liabilities:
Working capital (100%) loan 52 58 64 70 77
Net working capital requirement
(%) Sponsors Equity - - - - -
Net Working Capital 52 58 64 70 77
EARNING FORECAST
USD in ‘000’
Sales revenue
Cost of goof sold
Gross Profit
Admin & selling exp
Net Operating Profit
Financial expense
Net profit before Tax
Yr-1
13,961
5,838
8,123
818
7,305
360
6,645
Yr-2
15,955
6,205
9,750
874
8,876
1,860
7,016
Yr-3
17,949
6573
11,376
929
10,446
1,860
8,586
Yr-4
17,949
6,824
11,126
988
10,137
1,860
8,277
Yr-5
17,949
7,052
10,897
1,020
9,878
1,860
8,018
Tax 40%
Net profit after tax
2778
4,167
2806
4,210
3435
5,152
3311
4,966
3207
4,811
Reserve fund for currency
Fluctuation (2%)
Profit after reserve fund
Return on fixed deposit of currency
Fluctuation amount (9%)
Profit after return on fixed deposit
Share Holder Dividend (10%)
Retained earning
Ratios:
Gross profit to sales
Operation profit to sales
Net Profit to sales
600
3,567
-
3567
812
2755
58
52
20
557
3,652
54
3706
975
2731
61
56
17
514
4,638
50
4688
1138
3550
63
58
20
471
4,495
46
4541
1113
3429
62
56
19
429
4,382
42
4425
1090
3335
61
55
19
Page 21 of 34
TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
SALES REVENUE
USD in ‘000’
Rated capacity
Capacity utilization`s
Net Sales
Yr-1
19,944
70%
13,961
Yr-2
19,944
80%
15,955
Yr-3
19,944
90%
17,949
Yr-4
19,944
90%
17,949
Yr-5
19,944
90%
17,949
Assumptions Sales Estimate
Assumptions:
1. Operating Time and Production period: 330-360 working days in year.
2. Assumed capacity Utilization : 70%, 75%, 80%, 85%, for the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th years
respectively and 90% for the 5th and subsequent years:
USD in ‘000’
Production Passenger Daly service
Unit sales
Piece in USD
Total Value
(a) Dhaka to Chittagong
(b) Chittagong to Dhaka
© Dhaka to Cox`s Bazar
(d) Cox`s Bazar to Dhaka
(e) Dhaka to Sylhet
(f) Sylhet to Dhaka
(g) Dhaka to Jessore, Khulana
(h) Dhaka to essore, Khulana
(i) Rajshahi to Dhaka
(j) Dhaka to Rajshahi
(k) Dhaka to Rangpur, Dinajpur
(l) Rangpur, Dinajpur to Dhaka
(m) Dhaka to Bogra, Noagaon
(n) Bogra, Noagaon to Dhaka
(o) Dhaka to Barishal
(p) Barishal to Dhaka
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
20
20
6
6
10
10
6
6
6
6
20
20
6
6
5
5
7
7
11
11
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
10
10
2,044
2,044
964
964
1,241
1,241
788
788
788
788
2,628
2,628
788
788
730
730
19,944
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS-I
(On the basis of 10% decrease in the sales price)
USD in ‘000’
Sales revenue
Cost of goof sold
Gross Profit
Admin & selling exp
Net Operating Profit
Financial expense
Net profit before Tax
Yr-1
12,564
5,838
6,727
818
5,909
360
5,549
Yr-2
14,359
6,205
8,155
874
7,281
1,860
5,421
Yr-3
16,154
6,573
9,581
929
8,651
1,860
6,791
Yr-4
16,154
6,824
9,331
988
8,342
1,860
6,482
Yr-5
16,154
7,052
9,103
1,020
9,878
1,860
6,223
Page 22 of 34
TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
Tax 40%
Net profit after tax
2,219
3,329
2,168
3,252
2,717
4,075
2,593
3,889
2,489
3,734
Reserve fund for currency
Fluctuation (2%)
Profit after reserve fund
Return on fixed deposit of currency
Fluctuation amount
(9%)
Profit after return on fixed
deposit
Dividend (10%)
Retained earning
Retained earning :
600
2,729
-
2729
673
2057
557
2,695
54
2749
815
1734
514
3,561
50
3611
958
2653
471
3,418
46
3464
933
2531
429
3,305
42
3,348
910
2437
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS-II
(On the basis of 10% increase in production cost)
USD in ‘000’
Sales revenue
Cost of goof sold
Gross Profit
Admin & selling exp
Net Operating Profit
Financial expense
Net profit before Tax
Yr-1
13,961
5,838
8,123
818
7,305
360
6,945
Yr-2
15,955
6,205
9,750
874
8,876
1,860
7,016
Yr-3
17,949
6,573
11,376
929
10,446
1,860
8,586
Yr-4
17,949
6,824
11,126
988
10, 137
1,860
8,277
Yr-5
17,949
7,052
10,897
1,020
9,878
1,860
8,018
Tax 40%
Net profit after tax
2,778
4,167
2,806
4,210
3,435
5,152
3,311
4,966
3,207
4,811
Reserve fund for currency
Fluctuation (2%)
Profit after reserve fund
Return on fixed deposit of currency
Fluctuation amount
(9%)
Profit after return on fixed
600
3,657
-
3567
557
3,652
54
3706
514
4,638
50
4688
471
4,495
46
4541
429
4,382
42
4,425
Page 23 of 34
TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
deposit
Dividend (10%)
Retained earning
Retained earning :
812
2755
975
2731
1138
3550
1113
3429
1090
3335
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS-III
(On the basis of 10% increase in production cost And 5% decrease in the sales price)
USD in ‘000’
Sales revenue
Cost of goof sold
Gross Profit
Admin & selling exp
Net Operating Profit
Financial expense
Net profit before Tax
Yr-1
13,262
6,130
7,133
818
6,315
360
5,955
Yr-2
1,157
6,515
8,642
874
7,768
1,860
5,908
Yr-3
17,052
6,902
10,150
929
9,220
1,860
7,360
Yr-4
17,052
7,165
9,887
988
8,899
1,860
7,039
Yr-5
17,052
7,404
9,647
1,020
8,628
1,860
6,768
Tax 40%
Net profit after tax
2,382
3,573
2,363
3,545
2,944
4,416
2,815
4,223
2,707
4,061
Reserve fund for currency
Fluctuation (2%)
Profit after reserve fund
Return on fixed deposit of currency
Fluctuation amount
(9%)
Profit after return on fixed
deposit
Dividend (10%)
Retained earning
Retained earning :
600
2,973
-
2,973
713
2260
557
2,988
54
3042
864
2177
514
3,902
50
3,952
1015
2937
471
3,752
46
3,798
989
2809
429
3,632
42
3,675
965
2710
Page 24 of 34
TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
OPERATING EXPENSES
USD in ‘000’
Raw materials at rated capacity
Capacity utilization `s
Raw materials at capacity
Wages & Salaries
Storages & Spares
Repairs and maintenance
Rent, Tax & Insurance
Power, Fuel & Lubricant
Depreciation
Misc. Overhead expenses
Cost of goods sold
Yr-1
1,202
70%
841
689
77
23
300
438
3,329
96
5,838
Yr-2
1,202
80%
962
724
154
100
300
517
3,329
120
6,205
Yr-3
1,202
90%
1,082
760
231
177
300
551
3,329
144
6,573
Yr-4
1,202
90%
1,082
798
308
253
300
586
3,329
168
6,824
Yr-5
1,202
90%
1,082
838
384
330
300
620
3,329
168
7,052
ASSUMPTIONS COST OF RAW MATERIALS
Equipment of raw materials USD in ‘000’
Qty Unit Price Total
CNG for 100 bus 100CuM 0.22 803
Per bus per day other expense 100 10 365
Ticket Counter per month rent 100 20 24
Ticket yearly 10
1202
Factory wages and salaries:
USD in ‘000’
Technical Nos. Salary Annual salary
Workshop Manager
Supervisors
Auto Mobile Engineer
Auto Mobile Machanic
Welder
Driver
Helper
Skilled labour
Semi-skilled labour
Labour
Generator operator
CNG Station Manager
CNG Machine operator
Electrical Machanic
3 1000 36
6 500 36
3 700 25
6 300 22
3 200 7
100 200 240
100 100 120
12 100 14
6 80 6
6 70 5
2 100 2
6 150 11
12 100 14
3 150 5
Page 25 of 34
TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
Security officer
Security Guard
Store officer
Asstt Store officer
Computer operator
Computer operator Asstt.
Office Asstt.
Sweeper
3 150 5
12 120 17
2 150 4
3 100 4
2 100 2
3 100 4
3 80 3
8 80 8
304 591
Benefits:
Basic
Increment (5%)
Bonus (2 months pay) Total
Yr-1
591
-
591
98
689
Yr-2
591
30
620
103
724
Yr-3
620
31
651
109
760
Yr-4
651
33
684
114
798
Yr-5
684
34
718
120
838
Requirment of Water. Power. Fuel & Lubricants:
Water:
Sources of water: Project's own water supply system.
Power:
a) Source of power for operation: Projects own generator.
b) Power development Board: For domestic use and general lighting. The
consumption of power for this purpose has been estimated as under:
Total Consumption: 400KW X 16 Hrs. X 360 = 2304000 KWH
Cost: 2304000 KWH X 4 = Tk. 9216000
Govt. duty 2304000 KWH X 0.15 = Tk. 345600
Total Tk in "000" 9562
USD in "000" 137
Fuel and Lubricant:
Item Quantity Rate in US Total Cost in USD
Grease 2500kgs 2.3 6
Lubricant Oil 10000 Itrs 0.6 6
Diesel 620000 Itrs 0.65 403
Petrol 120000 Itrs 1.15 138
Total 553
Total power & Fuel consumption:
Capacity
Water
Power
Fuel & Lubricant
Total
Yr-1
70%
-
96
387
Yr-2
75%
-
102
415
Yr-3
80%
-
109
442
Yr-4
85%
-
116
470
Yr-5
90%
-
123
497
Page 26 of 34
TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
483 517 551 586 620
Stores and Spares
On Vehicle machinery 0.5%,1%
1.5%,2% and 2.5%
Yr-1
77
Yr-2
154
Yr-3
231
Yr-4
308
Yr-5
384
Repair & Maintenance
Machinery 0.5%, 1%,
1.5%,2% and 2.5%
Building cost (0.5%)
Yr-1
-
23
23
Yr-2
77
23
100
Yr-3
154
23
177
Yr-4
231
23
253
Yr-5
308
23
330
Rent. Tax, Insurance
(1% of fixed cost) 300
Depreciation
Item Amount Rate Amount
a) Building 4,559 5% 228
b) Machinery 15,378 20% 3076
3304
Misc. Overhead expenses Yr-1
96
Yr-2
120
Yr-3
144
Yr-4
168
Yr-5
168
General Administrative and Selling Expenses
USD in ‘000’
Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3 Yr-4 Yr-5
Salaries (Admin) 541 568 597 627 658
Directors Remunerations 137 137 137 137 137
Postage, Telephone.E-mail, etc. 5 7 8 10 10
Stationery & Printing 5 7 8 10 10
Traveling & Conveyance 7 8 9 10 10
Depreciation & Write off 26 26 26 26 26
Audit fee 1 1 1 1 1
Misc. expenses 96 120 144 168 168
818 874 929 988 1,020
Assumptions:
Admin. Salary
No. of Proposed
Designation Salary Annualsalary
1 General Manager 1 1500 18
2 Manager (Admin) 1 500 6
Page 27 of 34
TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
3 Admin. Officer 2 300 7
4 Accounts officer 2 300 7
5 Commercial Officer/Asstt.com.Of 6 200 14
6 Stores Officer 2 150 4
7 Medical Officer 2 300 7
8 Medical Asstt. 6 150 11
9 Security Officer 1 150 2
10 Labour Officer 1 150 2
11 Asstt. Accountant 2 100 2
12 Wage Clerks 2 100 2
13 Computer/telex/fax operator 2 100 2
14 Time Keeper 2 100 2
15 Clerk-cum-Typist 3 100 4
16 Compounder 2 100 2
17 Driver 6 150 1
18 Bus Superviser 100 120 144
19 Security Guard 4 100 5
20 Peon 4 100 5
21 Sweeper 2 80 2
260
Marketing
22 Ticket Sales Man 100 100 120
23 Ticket Sales Asstt. 100 70 84
Total 353 464
Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3 Yr-4 Yr-5
Basic 464 464 487 511 537
Increment @ 5% - 23 24 26 27
464 487 511 537 564
Bonus (2 months basic) 77 81 85 90 94
Total 541 568 597 627 658
Depreciation % write off
Item Cost Rate Total
2. Vehicles 93 20% 19
3. Safety equipments 10 20% 2
4. Office equipment, furniture & fixtures 25 20% 5
Total - 26
Postage, Telephone & E-mail: 1st yr. US$ 5000, 2nd yr, US$ 7000, 3rd yr, US$ 8000,4th yr.
US$ 10000 and 5th
yr. US$ 10000 has been considered each year.
Stationary & Printing: 1st yr. US$ 5000, 2nd yr, US$ 7000, 3rd yr, US$ 8000,4th yr. US$ 1000
and 5th
yr. US$ 1000 has been considered each year.
Traveling & Conveyance: 1st yr. US$ 7000, 2nd yr, US$ 8000, 3rd yr, US$ 9000,4th yr. US$
1000 and 5th
yr. US$ 1000 has been considered for each year.
Page 28 of 34
TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
FINANCIAL EXPENSES
USD in ‘000’
Financial Expenses
Local BG Fee 1.20%
Interest 2%
Total
Yr-1
360
-
360
Yr-2
360
1200
1560
Yr-3
360
1200
1560
Yr-4
360
1200
1560
Yr-5
360
1200
1560
Assumptions:
Though the principal Amount is US$ 60,000,000, so the principal amount will be
return back, after completion of 11 (including 1 year grace period) years (at a
time as US$60,000,000 + last installment of interest as 1,200,000=61,200,000US$)
Service charge & 0%Interest = @ 2% on USD 60 million = US$1200000 X 9 installment
(started from the 1st
day of the first month of the third year) = US$10,800,000
BREAK EVEN ANALYSIS
1. Revenue excluding other income (10th year): 35,898
2. Total cost of operation, Admin. 9,728 for the first five year X 2 = 19,456
Selling, Financial expenses
Analysis of total cost Total cost Fixed cost Variable cost
Raw Materials
Wages & Salaries
Power, Fuel & Lubricant
Stores & Spares
Repair & Maintenance
Depreciation & Write off
Rent, Tax & Insurance
Salaries (admin.)
Postage, Telephone & Telegram
Printing & Stationery
Traveling & Conveyance
Misc. overhead
Audit Fee
Finanancial exp.
1,202
838
620
384
330
3,329
300
658
10
10
10
168
1
360
-
168
62
77
66
3,329
300
658
3
3
3
168
1
360
1,202
670
558
308
264
-
-
-
8
8
8
-
-
-
8,221 5,196 3,025
I) PA/ Ratio S-V 17949-3038 14,924
0.83S 17,949 17,949
Page 29 of 34
TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
II) Breakeven sales F 5,196
6,249
P/V Ratio 0.83
Note: This estimation is based only for the five
years. So, it needs to multiply with 2 unit.
Borrower has right to return Lenders amount,
within 5th
year and or the end of the 10th
year.
Break even sales is 34.82% of the assumed capacity
CASH FLOW STATEMENT
USD in ‘000’
A. Source of fund Cont. Yr. Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3 Yr-4 Yr-5
Paid up capital
Operating profit
Increase in current liabilities
Deprecation & write off
Loan from Foreign Lender
Total
-
-
-
60,000
60,000
7305
52
3329
-
10,686
-
8876
6
3329
-
12,211
-
10446
6
3329
-
13,782
-
10137
6
3329
-
13,473
-
9878
6
3329
-
13,213
B. Utilization of fund
Fixed capital expense
Increase in current assets
Repayment of principal amount
Tax
Dividend
Currency fluctuation factor
Payment of interest
Total
60000
-
-
-
-
60,000
-
52
0
2,778
812
600
360
4,602
-
6
0
2,806
975
557
1,860
6,304
-
6
0
3,435
1,138
514
1,860
6,953
-
6
0
3,311
1,113
471
1,860
6,761
-
6
0
3,207
1,090
429
1,860
6,592
Cash Surplus (A-B)
Opening balance of cash
Closing balance of cash
-
-
-
3,941
-
3,941
3864
3,941
7,805
4,686
7,805
12,491
4,569
12,491
17,060
4,479
17,060
21,538
DEBT SERVICE COVERAGE RATIO
USD in ‘000’
Income Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3 Yr-4 Yr-5
Profit after dividend
Depreciation and write off
Interest on term loan
Total
2,755
3,329
360
6,444
2,731
3,329
1,860
7,921
3,550
3,329
1,860
8,739
3,429
3,329
1,860
8,618
3,335
3,329
1,860
8,524
Page 30 of 34
TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
Liabilities
Installment of term loan
Debt service coverage ratio (Time)
2,143
2,143
3.01
2,143
2,143
3.70
2,143
2,143
4.08
2,143
2,143
4.02
2,143
2,143
3.98
PAY BACK PERIOD
1. Amount to be paid back (project Cost) US$ 72,000,000
2. Amount to be available for interest for the lender from the income:- USD in ‘000’
Item Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6
Net Interest
P. amount
- 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200
- - - - - -
Total 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200
Item Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 93 Yr 10 Grand total
Net Interest
P. amount
1200 1200 1200 1200 12,000
- - - 60,000 60,000
Total 1200 1200 1200 61,200 72,000
Pay Back Period = end of the 10th
year.
FINANCIAL INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN
Year Cost Benefit Net cash flow NPV discounting
35%
NPV discounting
40%
0
1
2
3
3
5-9 year
10 Salvage Value
30,000
52
6
6
6
6
6
-
10,634
12,205
13,776
13,466
13,207
1,302
(30,000)
10,582
12,199
13,769
13,460
13,301
1,302
(30,000)
7,841
6,697
5,590
4,052
6,640
65
(30,000)
7,555
6,222
5,012
3,500
5,241
46
885 (2,425)
Though the principal Amount is US$ 60,000,000, so the principal amount
will be return back, after completion of 10 years (at a time as
US$60,000,000 + last installment of interest as
1,200,000=61,200,000US$)
Page 31 of 34
TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
Service charge & Interest @ 2% on USD 60 million = US$1200000 X 9 installment
(started from the 1st
day of the second year) = US$10,800,000
Gross amount to be paid to the Lender will be: US$ (61,200,000 + 10,800.000)
= US$ 72,000,000
FIRE = 36.34%
Assumptions
b) The project life (economic) is considered to be 10 years without any major replacement.
c) The fixed cost of the project is estimated at US$ 30 Mln.
BENEFIT OF THE PROJECT
Year Operating Profit Depreciation Total
1
2
3
4
5
7305
8876
10446
10137
9878
3329
3329
3329
3329
3329
10,634
12,205
13,776
13,466
13,207
Salvage value
Land
Building
Machinery
Inventory Cost
100%
10%
5%
100%
-
456
769
77
1,302
Inventory Calculation Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5
Wages
FL
S & S
29
20
3
52
30
22
6
58
32
23
10
64
33
24
13
70
35
26
16
77
Incremental Inventory 6 6 6 6 6
1. Contribution to GDP:
The project will contribute an amount of US$ 14.913 M to the gross domestic products of the country
which is shown as under:
US$ in '000'
A. Net Sales (5th year) 17,949
B. Inter-farm Transaction:
Page 32 of 34
TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
Raw materials 1,202
Repair & maintenance 330
Rent, Tax & Insurance 300
Water, Power & Fuel 620
Stores & Spares 384
Postage, Telephone & Telegram 10
Printing & Stationery 10
Traveling & Conveyance 10
Audit fee 1
Misc. overhead 168
3,036
C. Contribution to GDP( A-B) 14,913
2. Directs employment generation 657 persons. Most of employees will be skilled and unskilled labour.
From this point of view the project will help to improve distribution of income. Besides, additional
employment opportunities will be created for production, supply and distribution of materials and
products.
PROJECTS BALANCE SHEET
Const.
ASSETS Year Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3 Yr-4 Yr-5
Current assets
Cash & Bank balance
Other current assets
Total current assets
- 3,941
52
3,993
7,805
58
7,863
12,491
64
12,555
17,060
70
17,130
21,538
77
21,615
Fixed assets
Fixed assets Net
Return on Fixed Deposit
Total Fixed assets
Total assets
30,000
30,000
30,000
60,000
26,671
3,000
29,671
59,671
23,342
3,000
26,342
56,342
20,013
3,000
23,013
53,013
16,684
3,000
19,684
59,684
13,354
3,000
16,354
46,354
LIABILITIES & OWNERS EQUITY
Liabilities
Term loan
Short term loan
Total liabilities
60,000
0
60,000
60,000
0
60,000
60,000
0
60,000
60,000
0
60,000
60,000
0
60,000
60,000
0
60,000
Page 33 of 34
TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH
Equity
Paid up capital
Retained earnings
Total equity
Total liabilities & equity
-
-
-
60,000
-
2,755
2,755
60,664
-
5,486
5,486
61,259
-
9,036
9,036
62,672
-
12,465
12,465
63,964
-
15,800
15,800
65,162
Page 34 of 34

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pp tr bd dudley

  • 1. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH Asking US$60 million from any overseas lender / financial consultant firm, with very low interest rate (including consultancy fees and interest/service charge, not over than 2% P.A.) Potential project transportation business at Bangladesh This project is very suitable for Joint Venture with any Muslim Investor against Profit and Loss sharing basis Page 1 of 34
  • 2. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH PRE-INVESTMENT FEASIBILITY REPORT on TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH for XXXXX BD LIMITED at Madanpur, Gazipur and Bogra Corporate Office: Suite 03/3rd floor, 3/3B Purana Paltan, Dhaka-1000 Tel: 88-02-7976307, 88-01710-962792 Email: seekinvestor2007@yahoo.com Page 2 of 34
  • 3. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH Page 3 of 34
  • 4. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH TABLE OF CONTENTS Items Page Introduction 1 Project Summary 2 Management & Organization 5 Technical Aspect 7 Market Aspect 11 Cost of the project 14 Cost Estimate of Building & Civil Works 15 Local Machinery 17 Imported Machinery 19 Working Capital 21 Earning forecast 22 Sales Revenue 23 Sensitivity Analysis 24 Operating Expenses 27 Wages & Salaries 28 Estimate of general, admin & other expenses 30 Financial expenses 32 Break-even Analysis 33 Cash Flow Statement 34 Debit Services Coverage Ratio 35 Pay Back Period 36 FIRR 37 Benefit of the project 38 Contribution to GDP 39 Balance sheet 40 Page 4 of 34
  • 5. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH INTRODUCTION Xxxxxx Ltd is a private limited company. The company has taken up a program to set up a transport business for inter district luxury bus services. The project has been designed to equip with imported 100 / (200+ for JV) luxury bus from China. Local machinery and equipments will be procured locally. The project workshop will be located at Madanpur, Gazipur and Bogra. The proposed project will be equipped with most modern and sophisticated luxury bus and equipment to be collected from reputed supplier at competitive price. The project will be run by highly trained and skilled manpower. The project will be self-sufficient continuous free operation of the daily bus services. Xxxxxx Ltd has appropriate technical and management resource persons to run the bus services, expecting to earn huge revenue and create employment opportunity thus contribute socio-economic development of the country. The Managing Director and other Director of the Project have dynamic leadership in various Business sector and they have sufficient means and wealth in the country to provide equity of the proposed project. So, the proposal for sanctioning loan from bank/financial institution may be accepted to all concern authorities with great pleasure. Marketing Aspect Introduction Bangladesh tends to be thought of as poverty-stricken and disaster-prone - a pity for a fascinating and beautiful country with a friendly, welcoming population. The transport sector of Bangladesh consists of a variety of modes. The country being a flat plain, all three modes of surface transport, i.e. road, railway and water are widely used in carrying both passengers and cargo. More than half of Bangladesh has access to an all-weather hard surface road within 3 miles distance. There has been a dramatic expansion of road network in recent years. In 1947 there were only 461.8 kilometers of carpeting / metallic roads. In 1997, the total length of paved road under the Roads and Highways Department stood at more than 20,000 kilometers. It is estimated that mechanized road transport carry about 70% of the country's total passenger and cargo volume. Local Bangladeshi buses are generally crowded, often to the extent of people riding on the bus steps (entrance) and sometimes even the roof. The state run Bangladesh Road Transport Corporation www.brtc.gov.bd (BRTC) buses usually fall into this category. However, there are luxurious air-conditioned bus services connecting major cities and popular tourist destinations. Page 5 of 34
  • 6. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH Green Line, Shyamoli shyamoli.paribahan.com, Silk Line but these are still not sufficient for our prime need. Financial plan: Figure in "000" Foreign Loan/Fund: FDI / US$60,000K, where Sponsor's Equity (0%) Total debt and equity: 100:0 Percentage Sharing: Negotiable with JV Capitalist/ Private Investor Cost of production and profitability: A statement showing forecast of earning which enter all includes cost of production, sales estimates, financial, admin incentive & selling expenses is given in Annexure. The main assumptions underlying the earning forecast are as under: I. The capacity utilization of the project will be 70%, 80% & 90% from the first year to 3rd year and so no respectively. II. The cost of raw materials as well as sales will be the same throughout the projected years on the assumptions price, incase raw materials be up set the proportionate price increase in sales. III. There will be 5% increase in salaries & wages and a bonus equal to 2(two) months basic will be given each year. IV. Depreciation has been charged @ 20% on Machinery @ 5% in building and 20% in furniture and fixture & pre-operating expenses on straight -line method. PROJECT SUMMERY 1 Name of the project: Xxxxxx Ltd. 2 Location of the project: Office: Suite 03 / 3rd Floor, 3/3B, Purana Paltan, Dhaka-1000. Tel: 88-02-7976307, 8801710962792 Email: seekinvestor2007@yahoo.com Attention to: Md. Hafizul Haque 3 The Project: The project envisages setting up of a transport business for inter district luxury bus services. The project has been designed and equipped with imported 100 luxury buses from China. Local machineries and equipments to be procured locally. 4 Proposal: Request for issuance Bank Comfort Letter for issuance Bank Guarantee against foreign loan of US$ 60.00 million, where US$ 30 million will be deposited to the bank and US$ 30 million to meet the cost of imported luxury bus and a part of civil construction cost and Page 6 of 34
  • 7. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH other related costs. Instead of this JV will increase more transportation vehicle will higher profit from the estimated one. 5 Industrial classification: The project is covered under Transport Sub Sector and since its total fixed cost is above Tk.30 crore (US$ 4.286 M) it will be treated as a large scale industry as per industrial policy 1999. 6 Promoters: The project is being promoted by a group of directors in the company and formed a private limited company and registered with the Joint Stock Company. 7 Land and Location: The project workshop will be located at Gazipur, Madangonj and Bogra. 8 Building and other civil works: The proposed cost of building and civil works has been estimated at US$ 4.559 M. 9 Plant and Machinery: A. Imported Machinery: The cost of the proposed imported machinery including the related expenses works out at US$ 14.695 M. B. Local Machinery: The project requires some local machinery. The proposed cost of which works out at US$ 0.683 M. 10 Technical service & quality control: The suppliers of luxury bus will depute four foreign experts for three years to undertake the job of operational works and quality control. They will be treated as in service experts of the project and will be responsible for operation performance and maintenance of the luxury bus. They will also trend up the drivers and local technicians. 11 Erection and installation: Erection, installation, trial run operation and commissioning will be carried out by local erectors under the overall guidance & supervision of the experts to be deputed by the company cost estimated US$ 0.05 M. 12 Corporate set up: Private Limited Company / JV / FDI 13 Product capacity of the project: The annual rated luxury bus services of the project based on three shifts of eight hours each per day and three hundred sixty working days in a year. (Political unrest, may decrease maximum 30 working days) 15 Market aspect Road transport in Bangladesh is a private sector affair operating predominantly in domestic routes. The project is being established inter district bus Page 7 of 34
  • 8. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH services by Luxury Bus. The maintenance of its appropriate quality with other similar types of Luxury Bus service, it is expected that appropriate measures will be under taken. The project has captive market and entire Luxury bus will be in operation. 16 Economic aspect The project after implementation will create new job opportunity for 657 persons of different categories. 17 Machinery The project will require both imported and local machinery. Means of Finance: Foreign Fund (100%) US$ 60.00 Million 18 Debt- Equity ratio 100: 0 19 Financial Performance: Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3 Yr-4 Yr-5 Sales 13,961 15,949 17,949 17,949 17,949 Gross Profit 8,123 9,750 11,376 11,126 10,897 Operating profit 7,305 8,876 10,446 10,137 9,878 Net profit after tax 4,167 4,210 5,152 4,966 4,811 20 Ratio % Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3 Yr-4 Yr-5 Gross Profit to Sales 58 61 63 62 61 Operating profit to sales 52 56 58 56 55 Net profit after tax 30 26 29 28 27 21 Debt service coverage: 3.01 3.70 4.08 4.02 3.98 22 Break Even Point Break even sales 34.82% of the assumed capacity 23 Employment Generation 657 Nos 24 Contribution to GDP US$ 14.913 million 25 FIRR 36.34% Page 8 of 34
  • 9. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH Conclusion and Recommendation: It reveals from the financial analysis that the project will be a profitable concern. The ratio analysis is satisfactory and acceptable. The project will have sufficient liquidity to pay all its liabilities. The BEP analysis shows sound position. The IRR indicate higher rate of return. The project will contribute to National Economy. In view of the above facts, it is found that the project is commercially, technically viable, Socially acceptable and financially rewarding. So investment from JV Capitalist / personal lender / Bank/Financial Institutions may be highly recommended. Joint Venture will get an extraordinary rate of return against the projected profit/IRR. INTRODUCTION, PROMOTERS & MANAGEMENT Introduction The promoters of Xxxxxx Ltd. is being applied for financial assistance for setting up a Transport Project at Madanganj, Gazipur and Bogra, Corporate Office: Room 03, 3rd floor, Soleman plaza, 3/3B Purana Paltan, Dhaka-1000 Tel: 7976307, Fax: XXXXXXXXXXXX. The total cost of the project' has been estimated at USD. 60 million.. Corporate set up: FDI / JV / Private Limited Company. Promoters and Management. SI. No. Name of the Person Position in the Company No. of Shares 1 JV Capitalist Chairman XXXXX 2 Md. Hafizul Haque Managing Director XXXXX 3 XXXXX XXXXXXX Director XXXXX 4 XXXXX XXXXXXX Director XXXXX 5 XXXXX XXXXXXX Director XXXXX Management and Organization: The overall affair of the company is vested with the Managing Director who will formulate the company's day to day policy with the help of the other Director/s. Experienced and skilled Page 9 of 34
  • 10. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH personnel will be deputed from the manufacturer of the luxury bus and recruited locally for smooth running of the project. The proposed project will be equipped with most modern and sophisticated luxury bus and equipment. The workshop will be operated by highly trained and skilled manpower. The project will be self-sufficient continuous trouble free operation of daily bus services. The Managing Director and other Director/s of the project have dynamic leadership in various businesses and sector. So, the proposal for financial assistance may be accepted to all concern authorities with great pleasure. Details of the promoters: A) Name: XXXXXXXXX Father's Name : XXXXXXXXXXXX. Mother's Name : XXXXXXXXXXXXX. Present Address : XXXXXXXXXXXXree, Dhaka -1217 Permanent Address: XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX DOB: 23/09/1967 Education: M Sc. In Marine Biology. B) Name: XXXXXXXX. Father's Name : XXXXXXXXXXXXXXX. Mother's Name : XXXXXXXXXXXXXXX Present Address : XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX Permanent Address: XXXXXXXXXXXXXX DOB: Education: National Id No : Land and location The selected location is cheaper than other areas. Tariff structure can be availed. Transport facilities to run the project will not be problem. Manpower availability is enough. TECHNICAL ASPECT INTRODUCTION The project will be set up at Xxxxxx Ltd, Madanganj, Gazipur and Bogra, Corporate Office: Suite 03/3rd floor 3/3B Purana Paltan, Dhaka-1000. Tel: 7976307, Fax: XXXXXX on the area of 20-acre land to carry on transport business. The project land is well communicated by road. All the infrastructure facilities like Wide Road, Wide Channel, Gas, Electricity etc. are available in the project area. For the selection of proposed luxury bus have been procured on the basis of performance considering versatility durability, cost benefit and improved operational performance. The required selected luxury bus is useful and balanced for the project and the prices of the luxury bus are competitive. GUARANTEE AND WARRANTY: Page 10 of 34
  • 11. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH All the items of the project offered by the suppliers a complete/ balance unit, guaranteed and trouble free performance/operation of all luxury buses, equipments and materials of the project for a period of three years from the date of operation of the bus services and also shall undertake the warranty of replacement free of cost of any part of the entire project as the case may be due to manufacturing defects. Suppliers shall be responsible for the efficiency and capacity of the luxury bus and other equipments on the trial production period. TECHNICAL SERVICE AND SUPERVISION: Manufacturer shall depute four engineer to the BUYER'S work site to supervise the bus services, will also continue their services for the project for three years. PRODUCT MIX AND PRODUCTION CAPACITY The annual capacity of daily bus services of the project has been calculated on the basis of rated capacity the working days considered 360 days in year. Items Quantity (At 100%Capacity) USD IN 000 Production Passanger Daily Service Unit sales Total Value price in USD. (a) Dhaka to Chittagong 40 20 7 2,044 (b) Chittagong to Dhaka 40 20 7 2,044 (c) Dhaka to Cox's Bazar 40 6 11 964 (d) Cox's Bazar to Dhaka 40 6 11 964 (e) Dhaka to Sylhet 40 10 9 1,241 (f) Sylhet to Dhaka 40 10 9 1,241 (g) Dhaka to Jessore, Khulana 40 6 9 788 (h) Khulana, Jessore to Dhaka 40 6 9 788 (i) Dhaka to Rajshahi 40 6 9 788 (j) Rajshahi to Dhaka 40 6 9 788 (k) Dhaka to Rangpur, Dinajpur 40 20 9 2,628 (l)Dinajpur,Rangpur to Dhaka 40 20 9 2,628 (m) Dhaka to Bogra, Noagaon 40 6 9 788 (n) Noagaon, Bogra to Dhaka 40 6 9 788 (o) Dhaka to Barishal 40 5 10 730 (p) Barishal to Dhaka 40 5 10 730 19,944 Note: Transport will be double+, if this project will be Joint Venture…… Land and location The project will be located at Madanganj, Gazipur and Bogra. The place is very suitable for setting up Transport Project. All infrastructure facilities like road, channel, power, water and commercial facilities are available at the project site and also flood free zone. Building and other civil works The civil construction of the proposed project for main Factory' Building, raw materials go-down, finished goods go-down, generator room, sub-station room, workshop and maintenance room, boiler house, workers shed, security barrack, office building etc. Cost of the building & other civil works has been estimated at USD 4.559 million. Machinery and Equipments Imported Machinery The project will be equipped with brand new most modern and sophisticated luxury bus with all auxiliaries and equipment. The luxury bus for the project will be imported from China. Machinery: CNG Luxury Bus, CNG Station complete, Petrol Pump. Page 11 of 34
  • 12. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH Local Machinery: In addition to the importable machinery, the project will also require some local machinery and equipment these are Generator, Transformer, Electric control panel, Electrical cables, Pipes, etc. Erection and Installation: The machinery and equipment of the project will be installed, commissioned and put under trial run under the direct supervision of the foreign erectors to be deputed by the suppliers in this regard. Utilities: Power: The connected load of the project has been estimated at 440 KVA. The maximum requirement of power will be 400 KVA. The required will be available from REB/DESA/PDB besides there will be a standby Generator of 330 KVA. For emergency purpose. Connected 440 KVA Maximum load 400 KVA Source: PDB Fuel and Lubricant: Item Quantity Grease 2500 kgs Lubricating Oil 10000Itrs Diesel 620000 Itrs Petrol 120000 Itrs Water: The total requirement of water for the project, llift up with the help of a Submersible pump. Furniture Fixture and office Equipment: The project has office furniture fixture, computer, fax, telephone etc for which and amount of USD 50 thousand has been estimated. Safety Provision: Precaution against fire, necessary fire fighting equipment and first aid box has been required for which an amount of USD 50 thousand has been estimated. Environmental impact: Changes of environmental pollution are nil. Therefore, there will be no impact on environment because of erection and operation of the plant. No change of ecological imbalance is there. Stores and Spare: Store and Spare for the project has been estimated 1%, 1.55 & 2% for the 1st , 2nd and subsequent Years for total machinery cost. Repair and Maintenance: The total manpower requirement of repair and maintenance for the machinery has been established at it 1%, 1.55 & 2% of its cost for 1st , 2nd and 3rd year operation respectively. Manpower Requirement: The total manpower requirement for the project during commercial operation has been shown below and will be recruited locally. A) Administrative: General Manager 1 Manager (Admin) 1 Admin Officer 2 Accounts officer 2 Commercial Officer/Asstt. Com. Of 6 Page 12 of 34 China CNG Bus
  • 13. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH Stores Officer 2 Medical Officer 2 Medical Asstt. 6 Security Officer 1 Labour Officer 1 Asstt. Accountant 2 Wage Clerks 2 Compter/telex/fax operator 2 Time Keeper 2 Clerk-cum-Typist 3 Compounder 2 Driver 6 Bus Supervisor 100 Security Guard 4 Peon 4 Sweeper 2 Marketing Ticket Sales Man 100 Ticket sales Asstt. 100 B) Technical personnel: Workshop Manager 3 Supervisors 6 Automobile Engineer 3 Automobile Mechanic 6 Welder 3 Driver 100 Helper 100 Skilled labour 12 Semi-skilled labour 6 Labour 6 Generator operator 2 CNG Station Manager 6 CNG Mechanic operator 12 Electrical Mechanic 3 Security Officer 3 Security Guard 12 Store Officer 2 Asstt Store Officer 3 Computer Operator 2 Computer Operator Asstt 3 Office Asstt. 3 Sweeper 8 Total Manpower will be (A+B) = 657 persons Rents, Tax & Insurance: The rents and insurance`s have been estimated @ 1% of the Fixed Assets of the project. Page 13 of 34
  • 14. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH Depreciation and Amortization: The following basis has been used for calculation of depreciation on Fixed Assets of the project: Fixed Assets Depreciation Rate Factory Sheds/ Building 5% P.A. Machinery/ Equipment 20% P.A. Cost of Installation: The expense is composed of the cost of expatriate and local manpower necessary for erection of the plant. The erection cost is estimated of USD 50 thousand. Foreign Direct Investment (FID) has played a key role a key in the modernization of the Bangladesh economy for the last 15 years. Inflows of foreign direct investment There was an inflow of $666m foreign direct investment in 2007, which increased significantly in 2008 to $1086m. As of June 2009, inflows of foreign direct investment recorded to $358m. Inflows of foreign direct investment during 2001-2009* As of June, 2009 Source: Bangladesh Economic Review-2010 (Bangla version), Ministry of Finance Private investment statistics: Year Proposed local investment Proposed foreign investment Total proposed investment Growth % Project US$ m Project US$ m Project US$ m 2005- 2006 1,754 2,662.31 135 3,621.15 1,889 6,283.46 125% 2006- 2007 1,930 2,848.98 191 1,728.26 2,121 4,577.24 (-27%) 2007- 2008 1,615 2,833.76 143 787.39 1,758 3,621.15 (-21%) 2008- 2009 1,336 2,480.72 132 2,137.53 1,468 4,618.25 27% 2009- 2010 876 1,831.44 92 617.68 968 2,449.12 - * February, 2010 Source: Bangladesh Economic Review-2010 (Bangla version), Ministry of Finance 13.1 TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATION BY TYPE . Classification Units 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 Airway (Nos) 17 17 14 DC-10 (Nos) 12 12 10 Page 14 of 34
  • 15. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH Fokker/ATP (Nos) 5 5 4 Passengers Carried (Nos) '000' 1529000 1647000 1639000 Goods Carried '000' MT 39000 38000 40000 Revenue (Tk in Crore) - Income 1901.53(P) 2179.59(E) - Expenditure 1954.71(p) 2162.02(E) - Railway - Railway Track Operated (Km) - 2880.07 - Goods Traffic Ton Km (Million) 951.99 922.3 - Passengers (Million) Traffic Km 4024.21 4392 - Rail Engine (Nos) 275 275 - Freight Wagons (Nos) 10605 10605 - Passengers Coaches 1273 1273 - Other Coaches 137 137 - Unorganized Road Transports (000) Rickshaw 1820 1919 1980 Push Cart 21 22 23 Bullock Cart 56 55 54 Organized Road Transports (000) - Bus/Minibus 32 33 34 Microbus 16 17 19 Truck 51 53 55 Motor Car/Taxi/Jeep 84 90 94 Auto Rickshaw 85 94 100 Tractors/Tailor/Others 18 21 Organized Water Transports (000) Vessel owned by BSC (Nos) 13 13 13 Vessel owned by BIWTC (Nos) 208 194 194 Unorganized Water Transports (Nos) Country Boat for Motorize 67 68 69 Country Boat for Cargo 68 65 66 Country Boat for Passenger 118 110 111 Communication Facilities 3783 3914 3937 Post Office (Nos) 9859 10007 9886 Telegraph Office (Nos) 657 - - Telephone Sets '000' (Nos) 707 967 1010 Page 15 of 34
  • 16. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH Source : Economic Revue 2004, BBS and statistical Pocketbook 2005 Foreign and joint venture investment In the year 2009-10 (February), three were 89 new foreign and joint venture investment project registered to BOI which amount to $590m. The project was invested to mainly in the service engineering clothing and auricular sectors. Sector wise foreign and joint venture investment during 2009-2010* * As of February, 2010 Source Bangladesh Economic Review-2010 (Bangla version), Ministry of Finance Country wise foreign and joint venture investment during 2009-2010* Country No. of project Proposed investment (US$ M) Saudi Arabia 3 478,652.17 Australia 4 2,036.23 USA 5 2,990.33 Finland 2 3,023.89 India 9 8,451.53 South Korea 12 33,768.91 Malaysia 3 3,056.52 Netherlands 5 8,544.76 China 12 21,000.36 United Kingdom 5 3,507.85 Pakistan 2 990.91 Japan 8 2,624.85 Denmaek 1 1,217.39 Sir Lanka 2 646.23 Canada 2 1,017.23 Taiwan 1 502.97 Singapore 4 1,929.62 Turkey 1 150.94 Greece 1 156.81 Italy 2 1,039.95 Hong Kong 5 14,805.94 Total 89 590,114.91 As February, 2010 Page 16 of 34
  • 17. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH COST OF THE PROJECT SL. No. Item Existing Wealth Proposed Investment Total 2 Building & civil Works 4,559 4,559 3 Imported Machinery Duty (38%) Marine Insurance (1%) Clearing & Forwarding (1%) L/C Commission (1%) Pre-shipment inspection charge (0.5%) 14,670 5,584 147 147 147 73 14,670 5,584 147 147 147 73 4 Local Machinery 683 683 5 Cost of Installation 50 50 6 Vehicles 93 93 7 Office equipment, furniture & Fixtures 50 50 8 Salary equipments 10 10 9 Contingencies On Machinery`s (5%) 735 735 10 Per-operating and start up expenses 3,000 3,000 11 Working capital 52 52 Fixed cost - 30,000 30,000 Page 17 of 34
  • 18. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH Means of Finance: Foreign Fund 30,000 COST OF BUILDING & OTHER CIVIL WORKS FOR XXXXXX LTD.: (Existing) Sl No. Items Specification Covered Rate of Estimated cost area sq.m. const. (BDT) (BDT 000) 11 Surface Drain Surface drain 12 Internal road Road Size: 167368mx 7.62m Page 18 of 34 1 Main workshop At Gazipur 5m ht. R.C.C frame structure factory building godowns, generators building with to storied foundation (without under ground duct) 2 Workshop Madangonj At 6m ht R.C.C. frame godowns building (ground floor) size: 25.91m ×27.43m 3 Workshop at Bogra A/C plant room over the factory building. As per machine suppliers drawing. 4 Duct humidification For Under ground duct with R.C.C wall with net Cement finishing (water tight) Size: 1m× 1.5m 5 Residential Building 6(six) Storied R.C.C. frame structure residential building size: 6×8.8m×34.4m = 1829.30, 6×2.18m×34.45mc = 1070.70 6 Administrative Building 3 (Three storied R.C.C. frame structure administrative building/security & labour office 7 Workshop & Quarter 4 storied R.C.C. frame workshop building and quarter, (Ground Floor to 3rd Floor) size: 4 x 10.97m x 5.46m 8 Scrap Yard Scarp yard Size : 1×8.84m× 12.19m 9 Raw Material Store R.M.S. Size: 1/2× 1.076m × 8.53m×1 /2 10 Boundary wall Boundary wall with R.C.C. column @ 8`c/c with 5″ thick wall plaster Both side & snowcem (ht-8′-0″)
  • 19. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH 13 Water tank Water tank over the root of Factory building Size: (ht-2.0) 8.7mx5.48m 14 Electrical Meter Size: ½ ×10-76×8.53×1 /2 room 15 Spare parts Size: 1×25.91ms ×45.12m Store (First Floor) 16 Air compressor Size: 1× 10.97m × 17.37m Store (First Floor) Total 4559 LOCAL MACHINERY USD in “000” Sl No. Item Quantity Unit Price Total Price 1 Way bill 2 Ticket printing 3 Different size leather machine & ancillary equip. 4 Ticket counter and office 5 Generator 6 Transformer 7 Electric control panel 683 Per- Operating Expenses USD in “000” Sl No Item Total Price 1 Service Charge & 1st year interest, Total 2% on USD 60 million 1200 1200 IMPORTED MACHINERY (Proposed) USD in “000” Sl No. Particulars Quantity Unit Price Total Price 1 2 3 CNG Luxury Bus, China YUTONG HONGKONG LIMITED CNG Station Complete Petrol pump 100 6 6 122200 300000 75000 12220 1800 675 14,695 LIST OF VECHICLES USD in “000” Items Quantity Unit Price Total Price (USD) i) Hino Ranger Covered Van Capacity 7000KG 1 36 Page 19 of 34
  • 20. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH iv) Toyota Liteage Total 2 57 US$ “000” 93 Page 20 of 34
  • 21. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH WORKING CAPITAL REQUIREMENT USD in ‘000’ A) Current Assets: Stores & Spares Fuel & Lubricant Wages Totalcurrent assets Tied up period 15 Days 15 Days 15 Days Yr-1 3 20 29 52 Yr-2 6 22 30 58 Yr-3 10 23 32 64 Yr-4 13 24 33 70 Yr-5 16 26 35 77 B) Current Liabilities: Working capital (100%) loan 52 58 64 70 77 Net working capital requirement (%) Sponsors Equity - - - - - Net Working Capital 52 58 64 70 77 EARNING FORECAST USD in ‘000’ Sales revenue Cost of goof sold Gross Profit Admin & selling exp Net Operating Profit Financial expense Net profit before Tax Yr-1 13,961 5,838 8,123 818 7,305 360 6,645 Yr-2 15,955 6,205 9,750 874 8,876 1,860 7,016 Yr-3 17,949 6573 11,376 929 10,446 1,860 8,586 Yr-4 17,949 6,824 11,126 988 10,137 1,860 8,277 Yr-5 17,949 7,052 10,897 1,020 9,878 1,860 8,018 Tax 40% Net profit after tax 2778 4,167 2806 4,210 3435 5,152 3311 4,966 3207 4,811 Reserve fund for currency Fluctuation (2%) Profit after reserve fund Return on fixed deposit of currency Fluctuation amount (9%) Profit after return on fixed deposit Share Holder Dividend (10%) Retained earning Ratios: Gross profit to sales Operation profit to sales Net Profit to sales 600 3,567 - 3567 812 2755 58 52 20 557 3,652 54 3706 975 2731 61 56 17 514 4,638 50 4688 1138 3550 63 58 20 471 4,495 46 4541 1113 3429 62 56 19 429 4,382 42 4425 1090 3335 61 55 19 Page 21 of 34
  • 22. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH SALES REVENUE USD in ‘000’ Rated capacity Capacity utilization`s Net Sales Yr-1 19,944 70% 13,961 Yr-2 19,944 80% 15,955 Yr-3 19,944 90% 17,949 Yr-4 19,944 90% 17,949 Yr-5 19,944 90% 17,949 Assumptions Sales Estimate Assumptions: 1. Operating Time and Production period: 330-360 working days in year. 2. Assumed capacity Utilization : 70%, 75%, 80%, 85%, for the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th years respectively and 90% for the 5th and subsequent years: USD in ‘000’ Production Passenger Daly service Unit sales Piece in USD Total Value (a) Dhaka to Chittagong (b) Chittagong to Dhaka © Dhaka to Cox`s Bazar (d) Cox`s Bazar to Dhaka (e) Dhaka to Sylhet (f) Sylhet to Dhaka (g) Dhaka to Jessore, Khulana (h) Dhaka to essore, Khulana (i) Rajshahi to Dhaka (j) Dhaka to Rajshahi (k) Dhaka to Rangpur, Dinajpur (l) Rangpur, Dinajpur to Dhaka (m) Dhaka to Bogra, Noagaon (n) Bogra, Noagaon to Dhaka (o) Dhaka to Barishal (p) Barishal to Dhaka 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 20 20 6 6 10 10 6 6 6 6 20 20 6 6 5 5 7 7 11 11 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 2,044 2,044 964 964 1,241 1,241 788 788 788 788 2,628 2,628 788 788 730 730 19,944 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS-I (On the basis of 10% decrease in the sales price) USD in ‘000’ Sales revenue Cost of goof sold Gross Profit Admin & selling exp Net Operating Profit Financial expense Net profit before Tax Yr-1 12,564 5,838 6,727 818 5,909 360 5,549 Yr-2 14,359 6,205 8,155 874 7,281 1,860 5,421 Yr-3 16,154 6,573 9,581 929 8,651 1,860 6,791 Yr-4 16,154 6,824 9,331 988 8,342 1,860 6,482 Yr-5 16,154 7,052 9,103 1,020 9,878 1,860 6,223 Page 22 of 34
  • 23. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH Tax 40% Net profit after tax 2,219 3,329 2,168 3,252 2,717 4,075 2,593 3,889 2,489 3,734 Reserve fund for currency Fluctuation (2%) Profit after reserve fund Return on fixed deposit of currency Fluctuation amount (9%) Profit after return on fixed deposit Dividend (10%) Retained earning Retained earning : 600 2,729 - 2729 673 2057 557 2,695 54 2749 815 1734 514 3,561 50 3611 958 2653 471 3,418 46 3464 933 2531 429 3,305 42 3,348 910 2437 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS-II (On the basis of 10% increase in production cost) USD in ‘000’ Sales revenue Cost of goof sold Gross Profit Admin & selling exp Net Operating Profit Financial expense Net profit before Tax Yr-1 13,961 5,838 8,123 818 7,305 360 6,945 Yr-2 15,955 6,205 9,750 874 8,876 1,860 7,016 Yr-3 17,949 6,573 11,376 929 10,446 1,860 8,586 Yr-4 17,949 6,824 11,126 988 10, 137 1,860 8,277 Yr-5 17,949 7,052 10,897 1,020 9,878 1,860 8,018 Tax 40% Net profit after tax 2,778 4,167 2,806 4,210 3,435 5,152 3,311 4,966 3,207 4,811 Reserve fund for currency Fluctuation (2%) Profit after reserve fund Return on fixed deposit of currency Fluctuation amount (9%) Profit after return on fixed 600 3,657 - 3567 557 3,652 54 3706 514 4,638 50 4688 471 4,495 46 4541 429 4,382 42 4,425 Page 23 of 34
  • 24. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH deposit Dividend (10%) Retained earning Retained earning : 812 2755 975 2731 1138 3550 1113 3429 1090 3335 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS-III (On the basis of 10% increase in production cost And 5% decrease in the sales price) USD in ‘000’ Sales revenue Cost of goof sold Gross Profit Admin & selling exp Net Operating Profit Financial expense Net profit before Tax Yr-1 13,262 6,130 7,133 818 6,315 360 5,955 Yr-2 1,157 6,515 8,642 874 7,768 1,860 5,908 Yr-3 17,052 6,902 10,150 929 9,220 1,860 7,360 Yr-4 17,052 7,165 9,887 988 8,899 1,860 7,039 Yr-5 17,052 7,404 9,647 1,020 8,628 1,860 6,768 Tax 40% Net profit after tax 2,382 3,573 2,363 3,545 2,944 4,416 2,815 4,223 2,707 4,061 Reserve fund for currency Fluctuation (2%) Profit after reserve fund Return on fixed deposit of currency Fluctuation amount (9%) Profit after return on fixed deposit Dividend (10%) Retained earning Retained earning : 600 2,973 - 2,973 713 2260 557 2,988 54 3042 864 2177 514 3,902 50 3,952 1015 2937 471 3,752 46 3,798 989 2809 429 3,632 42 3,675 965 2710 Page 24 of 34
  • 25. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH OPERATING EXPENSES USD in ‘000’ Raw materials at rated capacity Capacity utilization `s Raw materials at capacity Wages & Salaries Storages & Spares Repairs and maintenance Rent, Tax & Insurance Power, Fuel & Lubricant Depreciation Misc. Overhead expenses Cost of goods sold Yr-1 1,202 70% 841 689 77 23 300 438 3,329 96 5,838 Yr-2 1,202 80% 962 724 154 100 300 517 3,329 120 6,205 Yr-3 1,202 90% 1,082 760 231 177 300 551 3,329 144 6,573 Yr-4 1,202 90% 1,082 798 308 253 300 586 3,329 168 6,824 Yr-5 1,202 90% 1,082 838 384 330 300 620 3,329 168 7,052 ASSUMPTIONS COST OF RAW MATERIALS Equipment of raw materials USD in ‘000’ Qty Unit Price Total CNG for 100 bus 100CuM 0.22 803 Per bus per day other expense 100 10 365 Ticket Counter per month rent 100 20 24 Ticket yearly 10 1202 Factory wages and salaries: USD in ‘000’ Technical Nos. Salary Annual salary Workshop Manager Supervisors Auto Mobile Engineer Auto Mobile Machanic Welder Driver Helper Skilled labour Semi-skilled labour Labour Generator operator CNG Station Manager CNG Machine operator Electrical Machanic 3 1000 36 6 500 36 3 700 25 6 300 22 3 200 7 100 200 240 100 100 120 12 100 14 6 80 6 6 70 5 2 100 2 6 150 11 12 100 14 3 150 5 Page 25 of 34
  • 26. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH Security officer Security Guard Store officer Asstt Store officer Computer operator Computer operator Asstt. Office Asstt. Sweeper 3 150 5 12 120 17 2 150 4 3 100 4 2 100 2 3 100 4 3 80 3 8 80 8 304 591 Benefits: Basic Increment (5%) Bonus (2 months pay) Total Yr-1 591 - 591 98 689 Yr-2 591 30 620 103 724 Yr-3 620 31 651 109 760 Yr-4 651 33 684 114 798 Yr-5 684 34 718 120 838 Requirment of Water. Power. Fuel & Lubricants: Water: Sources of water: Project's own water supply system. Power: a) Source of power for operation: Projects own generator. b) Power development Board: For domestic use and general lighting. The consumption of power for this purpose has been estimated as under: Total Consumption: 400KW X 16 Hrs. X 360 = 2304000 KWH Cost: 2304000 KWH X 4 = Tk. 9216000 Govt. duty 2304000 KWH X 0.15 = Tk. 345600 Total Tk in "000" 9562 USD in "000" 137 Fuel and Lubricant: Item Quantity Rate in US Total Cost in USD Grease 2500kgs 2.3 6 Lubricant Oil 10000 Itrs 0.6 6 Diesel 620000 Itrs 0.65 403 Petrol 120000 Itrs 1.15 138 Total 553 Total power & Fuel consumption: Capacity Water Power Fuel & Lubricant Total Yr-1 70% - 96 387 Yr-2 75% - 102 415 Yr-3 80% - 109 442 Yr-4 85% - 116 470 Yr-5 90% - 123 497 Page 26 of 34
  • 27. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH 483 517 551 586 620 Stores and Spares On Vehicle machinery 0.5%,1% 1.5%,2% and 2.5% Yr-1 77 Yr-2 154 Yr-3 231 Yr-4 308 Yr-5 384 Repair & Maintenance Machinery 0.5%, 1%, 1.5%,2% and 2.5% Building cost (0.5%) Yr-1 - 23 23 Yr-2 77 23 100 Yr-3 154 23 177 Yr-4 231 23 253 Yr-5 308 23 330 Rent. Tax, Insurance (1% of fixed cost) 300 Depreciation Item Amount Rate Amount a) Building 4,559 5% 228 b) Machinery 15,378 20% 3076 3304 Misc. Overhead expenses Yr-1 96 Yr-2 120 Yr-3 144 Yr-4 168 Yr-5 168 General Administrative and Selling Expenses USD in ‘000’ Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3 Yr-4 Yr-5 Salaries (Admin) 541 568 597 627 658 Directors Remunerations 137 137 137 137 137 Postage, Telephone.E-mail, etc. 5 7 8 10 10 Stationery & Printing 5 7 8 10 10 Traveling & Conveyance 7 8 9 10 10 Depreciation & Write off 26 26 26 26 26 Audit fee 1 1 1 1 1 Misc. expenses 96 120 144 168 168 818 874 929 988 1,020 Assumptions: Admin. Salary No. of Proposed Designation Salary Annualsalary 1 General Manager 1 1500 18 2 Manager (Admin) 1 500 6 Page 27 of 34
  • 28. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH 3 Admin. Officer 2 300 7 4 Accounts officer 2 300 7 5 Commercial Officer/Asstt.com.Of 6 200 14 6 Stores Officer 2 150 4 7 Medical Officer 2 300 7 8 Medical Asstt. 6 150 11 9 Security Officer 1 150 2 10 Labour Officer 1 150 2 11 Asstt. Accountant 2 100 2 12 Wage Clerks 2 100 2 13 Computer/telex/fax operator 2 100 2 14 Time Keeper 2 100 2 15 Clerk-cum-Typist 3 100 4 16 Compounder 2 100 2 17 Driver 6 150 1 18 Bus Superviser 100 120 144 19 Security Guard 4 100 5 20 Peon 4 100 5 21 Sweeper 2 80 2 260 Marketing 22 Ticket Sales Man 100 100 120 23 Ticket Sales Asstt. 100 70 84 Total 353 464 Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3 Yr-4 Yr-5 Basic 464 464 487 511 537 Increment @ 5% - 23 24 26 27 464 487 511 537 564 Bonus (2 months basic) 77 81 85 90 94 Total 541 568 597 627 658 Depreciation % write off Item Cost Rate Total 2. Vehicles 93 20% 19 3. Safety equipments 10 20% 2 4. Office equipment, furniture & fixtures 25 20% 5 Total - 26 Postage, Telephone & E-mail: 1st yr. US$ 5000, 2nd yr, US$ 7000, 3rd yr, US$ 8000,4th yr. US$ 10000 and 5th yr. US$ 10000 has been considered each year. Stationary & Printing: 1st yr. US$ 5000, 2nd yr, US$ 7000, 3rd yr, US$ 8000,4th yr. US$ 1000 and 5th yr. US$ 1000 has been considered each year. Traveling & Conveyance: 1st yr. US$ 7000, 2nd yr, US$ 8000, 3rd yr, US$ 9000,4th yr. US$ 1000 and 5th yr. US$ 1000 has been considered for each year. Page 28 of 34
  • 29. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH FINANCIAL EXPENSES USD in ‘000’ Financial Expenses Local BG Fee 1.20% Interest 2% Total Yr-1 360 - 360 Yr-2 360 1200 1560 Yr-3 360 1200 1560 Yr-4 360 1200 1560 Yr-5 360 1200 1560 Assumptions: Though the principal Amount is US$ 60,000,000, so the principal amount will be return back, after completion of 11 (including 1 year grace period) years (at a time as US$60,000,000 + last installment of interest as 1,200,000=61,200,000US$) Service charge & 0%Interest = @ 2% on USD 60 million = US$1200000 X 9 installment (started from the 1st day of the first month of the third year) = US$10,800,000 BREAK EVEN ANALYSIS 1. Revenue excluding other income (10th year): 35,898 2. Total cost of operation, Admin. 9,728 for the first five year X 2 = 19,456 Selling, Financial expenses Analysis of total cost Total cost Fixed cost Variable cost Raw Materials Wages & Salaries Power, Fuel & Lubricant Stores & Spares Repair & Maintenance Depreciation & Write off Rent, Tax & Insurance Salaries (admin.) Postage, Telephone & Telegram Printing & Stationery Traveling & Conveyance Misc. overhead Audit Fee Finanancial exp. 1,202 838 620 384 330 3,329 300 658 10 10 10 168 1 360 - 168 62 77 66 3,329 300 658 3 3 3 168 1 360 1,202 670 558 308 264 - - - 8 8 8 - - - 8,221 5,196 3,025 I) PA/ Ratio S-V 17949-3038 14,924 0.83S 17,949 17,949 Page 29 of 34
  • 30. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH II) Breakeven sales F 5,196 6,249 P/V Ratio 0.83 Note: This estimation is based only for the five years. So, it needs to multiply with 2 unit. Borrower has right to return Lenders amount, within 5th year and or the end of the 10th year. Break even sales is 34.82% of the assumed capacity CASH FLOW STATEMENT USD in ‘000’ A. Source of fund Cont. Yr. Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3 Yr-4 Yr-5 Paid up capital Operating profit Increase in current liabilities Deprecation & write off Loan from Foreign Lender Total - - - 60,000 60,000 7305 52 3329 - 10,686 - 8876 6 3329 - 12,211 - 10446 6 3329 - 13,782 - 10137 6 3329 - 13,473 - 9878 6 3329 - 13,213 B. Utilization of fund Fixed capital expense Increase in current assets Repayment of principal amount Tax Dividend Currency fluctuation factor Payment of interest Total 60000 - - - - 60,000 - 52 0 2,778 812 600 360 4,602 - 6 0 2,806 975 557 1,860 6,304 - 6 0 3,435 1,138 514 1,860 6,953 - 6 0 3,311 1,113 471 1,860 6,761 - 6 0 3,207 1,090 429 1,860 6,592 Cash Surplus (A-B) Opening balance of cash Closing balance of cash - - - 3,941 - 3,941 3864 3,941 7,805 4,686 7,805 12,491 4,569 12,491 17,060 4,479 17,060 21,538 DEBT SERVICE COVERAGE RATIO USD in ‘000’ Income Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3 Yr-4 Yr-5 Profit after dividend Depreciation and write off Interest on term loan Total 2,755 3,329 360 6,444 2,731 3,329 1,860 7,921 3,550 3,329 1,860 8,739 3,429 3,329 1,860 8,618 3,335 3,329 1,860 8,524 Page 30 of 34
  • 31. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH Liabilities Installment of term loan Debt service coverage ratio (Time) 2,143 2,143 3.01 2,143 2,143 3.70 2,143 2,143 4.08 2,143 2,143 4.02 2,143 2,143 3.98 PAY BACK PERIOD 1. Amount to be paid back (project Cost) US$ 72,000,000 2. Amount to be available for interest for the lender from the income:- USD in ‘000’ Item Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Net Interest P. amount - 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 - - - - - - Total 1200 1200 1200 1200 1200 Item Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 93 Yr 10 Grand total Net Interest P. amount 1200 1200 1200 1200 12,000 - - - 60,000 60,000 Total 1200 1200 1200 61,200 72,000 Pay Back Period = end of the 10th year. FINANCIAL INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN Year Cost Benefit Net cash flow NPV discounting 35% NPV discounting 40% 0 1 2 3 3 5-9 year 10 Salvage Value 30,000 52 6 6 6 6 6 - 10,634 12,205 13,776 13,466 13,207 1,302 (30,000) 10,582 12,199 13,769 13,460 13,301 1,302 (30,000) 7,841 6,697 5,590 4,052 6,640 65 (30,000) 7,555 6,222 5,012 3,500 5,241 46 885 (2,425) Though the principal Amount is US$ 60,000,000, so the principal amount will be return back, after completion of 10 years (at a time as US$60,000,000 + last installment of interest as 1,200,000=61,200,000US$) Page 31 of 34
  • 32. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH Service charge & Interest @ 2% on USD 60 million = US$1200000 X 9 installment (started from the 1st day of the second year) = US$10,800,000 Gross amount to be paid to the Lender will be: US$ (61,200,000 + 10,800.000) = US$ 72,000,000 FIRE = 36.34% Assumptions b) The project life (economic) is considered to be 10 years without any major replacement. c) The fixed cost of the project is estimated at US$ 30 Mln. BENEFIT OF THE PROJECT Year Operating Profit Depreciation Total 1 2 3 4 5 7305 8876 10446 10137 9878 3329 3329 3329 3329 3329 10,634 12,205 13,776 13,466 13,207 Salvage value Land Building Machinery Inventory Cost 100% 10% 5% 100% - 456 769 77 1,302 Inventory Calculation Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Wages FL S & S 29 20 3 52 30 22 6 58 32 23 10 64 33 24 13 70 35 26 16 77 Incremental Inventory 6 6 6 6 6 1. Contribution to GDP: The project will contribute an amount of US$ 14.913 M to the gross domestic products of the country which is shown as under: US$ in '000' A. Net Sales (5th year) 17,949 B. Inter-farm Transaction: Page 32 of 34
  • 33. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH Raw materials 1,202 Repair & maintenance 330 Rent, Tax & Insurance 300 Water, Power & Fuel 620 Stores & Spares 384 Postage, Telephone & Telegram 10 Printing & Stationery 10 Traveling & Conveyance 10 Audit fee 1 Misc. overhead 168 3,036 C. Contribution to GDP( A-B) 14,913 2. Directs employment generation 657 persons. Most of employees will be skilled and unskilled labour. From this point of view the project will help to improve distribution of income. Besides, additional employment opportunities will be created for production, supply and distribution of materials and products. PROJECTS BALANCE SHEET Const. ASSETS Year Yr-1 Yr-2 Yr-3 Yr-4 Yr-5 Current assets Cash & Bank balance Other current assets Total current assets - 3,941 52 3,993 7,805 58 7,863 12,491 64 12,555 17,060 70 17,130 21,538 77 21,615 Fixed assets Fixed assets Net Return on Fixed Deposit Total Fixed assets Total assets 30,000 30,000 30,000 60,000 26,671 3,000 29,671 59,671 23,342 3,000 26,342 56,342 20,013 3,000 23,013 53,013 16,684 3,000 19,684 59,684 13,354 3,000 16,354 46,354 LIABILITIES & OWNERS EQUITY Liabilities Term loan Short term loan Total liabilities 60,000 0 60,000 60,000 0 60,000 60,000 0 60,000 60,000 0 60,000 60,000 0 60,000 60,000 0 60,000 Page 33 of 34
  • 34. TRANSPORT BUSINESS AT BANGLADESH Equity Paid up capital Retained earnings Total equity Total liabilities & equity - - - 60,000 - 2,755 2,755 60,664 - 5,486 5,486 61,259 - 9,036 9,036 62,672 - 12,465 12,465 63,964 - 15,800 15,800 65,162 Page 34 of 34