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Moodle Moot 2014
21 February 2014

In the post-MOOC era,
what is the future of Moodle?
NPO CCC-TIES・Tezukayama University
Masumi Hori
Today’s Topics
1.

Open Education Including MOOCs

2.

The post-MOOC Era

3.

Strategies for Higher Education

4.

Overview of CHiLOs Project Features

5.

Expectations for Moodle

2
3

Open Education Including MOOCs
The Ideals of Open Education


Global diversity
»
»
»
»
»
»

Economic gap
The disadvantaged
NEETs
Hikikomori
Older adults
Business persons
:

Anyone who wants to learn
and needs to learn in the world

Education for everyone

4
History of Open Education

5

•CCK08
•Social media and open education
•2200 online students from all over the world

2002
OCW

OER

2006
Khan
Academy

2008

2012

cMOOC xMOOC
MOOCs and the Traditional University Model
Traditional University

MOOCs

Face-to-face lecture

Method

Lecture video

Teacher

Guided study

Learning community

Campus

Platform

LMS

Credits

Authentication

Certification or badges

$16,000(public)- $37,000(private)

Tuition Fees

Free or low cost

6
Higher Education in the USA
The College Wage Premium

• Increasing Advancement Rat

• Sharp Increase in Tuition
• State Governments in Financial Difficulty

7
Farm Out Coursework?


Course Outsourcing Plan: California State Universities



MOOCs for ACE credit

8
Abolish the Monopoly of Higher Education

Education for everyone

Traditional University

MOOCs

9
The Revolution of Mooc
Destructive event

Higher Education 2013-

10
The MOOC hype cycle

An end of era of MOOCs
The year of
the MOOC

2012

2013

2014

11
Low MOOC Completion Rates
Low MOOC completion rates: less than 10%

12
An end of era of MOOCs

Low passing rate

13
14

The post-MOOC Era
Rise in Post MOOCs
Blended learning
» Harvard plans to boldly go with SPOCs
• SPOCs : Small Private Online Courses

» Other
• OOC : (Massive) Open Online Courses
• MOC : Massive (Open) Online Courses

Online learning
» Udacity's corporate training
» MIT’s professional MOOC in big data
» Coursera’s Specializations

15
MOOCs in Different Directions
Traditional
University

MOOCs

Blended learning
for the school

Professional

Online learning
for the company

16
On-line learning or Blended learning
Characteristics of online communities

10% Active

⇒ Pass

⇒ On-line learning
for the company

90% Lurker ⇒ Drop out ⇒ Blended learning

for the school

Nielsen,J:Participation Inequality: Encouraging More
Users to Contribute, Jakob Nielsen’s Alertbox,October
2006

17
Online Learning Experiment
“European Economics” at Tezukayama
University in 2005 using TIES
Students made a choice between on-campus or
onine course

←On-campus was chosen
by140 students
Learning with a teacher

↓Online was chosen by 60
students
Learning
without a
teacher

18
Online Education Impact
Online students
One-sided High Achiever

Low

High

Grade

19
A Similar Finding at Udacity
“…scores for a group of about 200
Stanford students who took a particular
course, along with some 23,000 who
completed it on Udacity, and found that
the top 412 were all online students, with
the best Stanford student coming in at
No. 413.”
Presumably independent of challenge
levels or academic abilities

20
Online Learning or Blended Learning
Characteristic of Online communities

10% Active

High Achiever
⇒ Pass ⇒ Online learning

for the company

90% Lurker ⇒ Drop out ⇒ Blended learning

for the school

Nielsen,J :Participation Inequality: Encouraging More
Users to Contribute, Jakob Nielsen’s Alertbox,October,
2006

21
Sobering Prospects for Higher Education
in Japan


Hiring good workers at low cost
No degree

Traditional recruitment
methods
Newly hired university
graduate in a degreeoriented society

Future recruitment
methods

• Enough credit for
professional badges
• Easy grading on
personal efficiency by
online learning

22
Anant Agarwal: Why massive open
online courses (still) matter

23
24

Strategies for Higher Education
Four Strategies for Higher Education
MOOC Provider

Traditional University
Online learning
division

Blended learning

Do nothing

25
Imitate MIT, Harvard

MOOC Provider

26

Second Step
MOOCs

Japanese MOOCs...
( not JMOOC)

Late action?
Challenge such as SNHU


Online division

Southern New Hampshire University
» Five years ago, it was a struggling 2000-student
private school.
» Today, it’s the Amazon.com of higher education.
» The school’s burgeoning online division has 180
different programs with an enrollment of 34,000.
» It provides fast, cheap and convenient learning
by competency-based education.

Winner takes all.

27
Jump on the bandwagon

e-learning

for blended learning

Course

Blended Learning

28

MOOCs for blended learning
Course

Credit
Credit

The undertaking will
Course
require real resolution
Accept the whole






Do nothing

MOOCs are over
Nothing to fear from MOOCs
Ignore the MOOCs
Shut our eyes to MOOCs
An ostrich burying its head in the sand

Yet easy way of
securing students?

29
30

Post-MOOC!

Undock
MOOCs
31

Overview of CHiLOs Project Features
Goal of Open Education for TIES
We do not learn for
the school, but for life

CHiLOs
Non Scholae
sed vitae
Synthesis

for the school
Traditional University

Thesis

MOOCs

Creative Higher Education
Learning Objects

for the company
Professional

Antithesis
Four CHiLOs
1min 1min 1min 1min

CHiLO

Lectures

Seriesofone-minutenanolectures

CHiLO

Books

LMS using e-Book

CHiLO

Badges
Issue of Certificate

CHiLO

Community

P2P Learning by Connoisseurs

33
CHiLO Lectures

probability

Learners’ Viewing Time for Lecture Videos
A real experiment involving 30,000 learners in 2008

Most learners prefer
one or two-minute
short lectures

Packaging
one-minute nano lectures
as e-books
1min

Viewing Time(minutes)

1min

1min

1min

One Volume

34
CHiLO Books and CHiLO Badges
CHiLO Books

LMS using e-Book

LMS

LMS

LMS

Common
Authentication Platform

CHiLO badges

35
CHiLO Communities

Learning
connoisseur

Learning
connoisseur

Learning
connoisseur

Learning
connoisseur

Learning
connoisseur

Personalization

36
New Type Of Higher Education Using CHiLOs
Content production

CHiLO Course
Communities
1 week
2 week

Guided study

Teacher

3 week
:

Connoisseur
(Learner)

Enroll
Download
Learning

Personalized
Course

competence
Learning assessment

For Corporate

Credit

For to society
Open University Courses, Sprint 2014

コース名

講師

にほんご にゅうも
ん
NIHONGO
STARTER
A1
(英語)

放送大学+国際交
流基金コースチー
ム
(主任:放送大学
教授・山田恒夫)

コンピュータのしく
み
岡部洋一(放送大
(日 学・学長)
本語)

特徴

全10冊

全15冊
正規放送番組科
目をベース
Demonstration

39
40

Expectations for Moodle
Customized Moodle 2.61


Hide related courses
» Skin-module



User registration, course
registration
» AutoEnrol
» OAuth2

41
Long Past E-learning

Interest over time by Google trends

e-learning
MOOC

42
Expectations for Moodle
Open
Education

Traditional
School

Little CHiLOs

Other
institution

43
Nihongo Starter Official page

https://www.facebook.com/nihongostarter
To make dreams come true!

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In the post-MOOC era, what is the future of Moodle?

  • 1. Moodle Moot 2014 21 February 2014 In the post-MOOC era, what is the future of Moodle? NPO CCC-TIES・Tezukayama University Masumi Hori
  • 2. Today’s Topics 1. Open Education Including MOOCs 2. The post-MOOC Era 3. Strategies for Higher Education 4. Overview of CHiLOs Project Features 5. Expectations for Moodle 2
  • 4. The Ideals of Open Education  Global diversity » » » » » » Economic gap The disadvantaged NEETs Hikikomori Older adults Business persons : Anyone who wants to learn and needs to learn in the world Education for everyone 4
  • 5. History of Open Education 5 •CCK08 •Social media and open education •2200 online students from all over the world 2002 OCW OER 2006 Khan Academy 2008 2012 cMOOC xMOOC
  • 6. MOOCs and the Traditional University Model Traditional University MOOCs Face-to-face lecture Method Lecture video Teacher Guided study Learning community Campus Platform LMS Credits Authentication Certification or badges $16,000(public)- $37,000(private) Tuition Fees Free or low cost 6
  • 7. Higher Education in the USA The College Wage Premium • Increasing Advancement Rat • Sharp Increase in Tuition • State Governments in Financial Difficulty 7
  • 8. Farm Out Coursework?  Course Outsourcing Plan: California State Universities  MOOCs for ACE credit 8
  • 9. Abolish the Monopoly of Higher Education Education for everyone Traditional University MOOCs 9
  • 10. The Revolution of Mooc Destructive event Higher Education 2013- 10
  • 11. The MOOC hype cycle An end of era of MOOCs The year of the MOOC 2012 2013 2014 11
  • 12. Low MOOC Completion Rates Low MOOC completion rates: less than 10% 12
  • 13. An end of era of MOOCs Low passing rate 13
  • 15. Rise in Post MOOCs Blended learning » Harvard plans to boldly go with SPOCs • SPOCs : Small Private Online Courses » Other • OOC : (Massive) Open Online Courses • MOC : Massive (Open) Online Courses Online learning » Udacity's corporate training » MIT’s professional MOOC in big data » Coursera’s Specializations 15
  • 16. MOOCs in Different Directions Traditional University MOOCs Blended learning for the school Professional Online learning for the company 16
  • 17. On-line learning or Blended learning Characteristics of online communities 10% Active ⇒ Pass ⇒ On-line learning for the company 90% Lurker ⇒ Drop out ⇒ Blended learning for the school Nielsen,J:Participation Inequality: Encouraging More Users to Contribute, Jakob Nielsen’s Alertbox,October 2006 17
  • 18. Online Learning Experiment “European Economics” at Tezukayama University in 2005 using TIES Students made a choice between on-campus or onine course ←On-campus was chosen by140 students Learning with a teacher ↓Online was chosen by 60 students Learning without a teacher 18
  • 19. Online Education Impact Online students One-sided High Achiever Low High Grade 19
  • 20. A Similar Finding at Udacity “…scores for a group of about 200 Stanford students who took a particular course, along with some 23,000 who completed it on Udacity, and found that the top 412 were all online students, with the best Stanford student coming in at No. 413.” Presumably independent of challenge levels or academic abilities 20
  • 21. Online Learning or Blended Learning Characteristic of Online communities 10% Active High Achiever ⇒ Pass ⇒ Online learning for the company 90% Lurker ⇒ Drop out ⇒ Blended learning for the school Nielsen,J :Participation Inequality: Encouraging More Users to Contribute, Jakob Nielsen’s Alertbox,October, 2006 21
  • 22. Sobering Prospects for Higher Education in Japan  Hiring good workers at low cost No degree Traditional recruitment methods Newly hired university graduate in a degreeoriented society Future recruitment methods • Enough credit for professional badges • Easy grading on personal efficiency by online learning 22
  • 23. Anant Agarwal: Why massive open online courses (still) matter 23
  • 25. Four Strategies for Higher Education MOOC Provider Traditional University Online learning division Blended learning Do nothing 25
  • 26. Imitate MIT, Harvard MOOC Provider 26 Second Step MOOCs Japanese MOOCs... ( not JMOOC) Late action?
  • 27. Challenge such as SNHU  Online division Southern New Hampshire University » Five years ago, it was a struggling 2000-student private school. » Today, it’s the Amazon.com of higher education. » The school’s burgeoning online division has 180 different programs with an enrollment of 34,000. » It provides fast, cheap and convenient learning by competency-based education. Winner takes all. 27
  • 28. Jump on the bandwagon e-learning for blended learning Course Blended Learning 28 MOOCs for blended learning Course Credit Credit The undertaking will Course require real resolution
  • 29. Accept the whole      Do nothing MOOCs are over Nothing to fear from MOOCs Ignore the MOOCs Shut our eyes to MOOCs An ostrich burying its head in the sand Yet easy way of securing students? 29
  • 31. 31 Overview of CHiLOs Project Features
  • 32. Goal of Open Education for TIES We do not learn for the school, but for life CHiLOs Non Scholae sed vitae Synthesis for the school Traditional University Thesis MOOCs Creative Higher Education Learning Objects for the company Professional Antithesis
  • 33. Four CHiLOs 1min 1min 1min 1min CHiLO Lectures Seriesofone-minutenanolectures CHiLO Books LMS using e-Book CHiLO Badges Issue of Certificate CHiLO Community P2P Learning by Connoisseurs 33
  • 34. CHiLO Lectures probability Learners’ Viewing Time for Lecture Videos A real experiment involving 30,000 learners in 2008 Most learners prefer one or two-minute short lectures Packaging one-minute nano lectures as e-books 1min Viewing Time(minutes) 1min 1min 1min One Volume 34
  • 35. CHiLO Books and CHiLO Badges CHiLO Books LMS using e-Book LMS LMS LMS Common Authentication Platform CHiLO badges 35
  • 37. New Type Of Higher Education Using CHiLOs Content production CHiLO Course Communities 1 week 2 week Guided study Teacher 3 week : Connoisseur (Learner) Enroll Download Learning Personalized Course competence Learning assessment For Corporate Credit For to society
  • 38. Open University Courses, Sprint 2014 コース名 講師 にほんご にゅうも ん NIHONGO STARTER A1 (英語) 放送大学+国際交 流基金コースチー ム (主任:放送大学 教授・山田恒夫) コンピュータのしく み 岡部洋一(放送大 (日 学・学長) 本語) 特徴 全10冊 全15冊 正規放送番組科 目をベース
  • 41. Customized Moodle 2.61  Hide related courses » Skin-module  User registration, course registration » AutoEnrol » OAuth2 41
  • 42. Long Past E-learning Interest over time by Google trends e-learning MOOC 42
  • 44. Nihongo Starter Official page https://www.facebook.com/nihongostarter
  • 45. To make dreams come true!