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Orthopaedics Medical
Device Industry
Overview
Market Analysis and
Future Trends
November 2016
Marco Berizzi
Chief Financial Officer
e-mail marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
mobile +39 342 9204033
Objective
• Historical perspective of Medical Device Macro
Sector and Orthopaedics Medical Device
Industry in terms of Market Size and
Competitive Landscape
• Focus on Factors driving Orthopaedics Medical
Device Industry Evolution
• Presentation of Orthopaedics Medical Device
Industry Market Size Trend
2
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
Agenda
• Historical perspective of Medical Device
Macro Sector and Orthopaedics Medical
Device Industry
• Business Drivers underlying Orthopaedics
Medical Device Industry Evolution
• Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry Market
Size Trend
3
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
In ’10 Implant Mkt accounts for ca. 25% of Medical
Device Mkt with Orthopaedics having the Highest Share
4
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com Note: Medical devices market data does not include Dental & Aesthetics. Cardiovascular does not include general
cardiac surgery
Source: Researches by health care information providers, investment banks and other analysts
Global Medical Device Market SizeGlobal Medical Device Market Size
(2010;B$)
z
Orthopaedic
Cardiovascular
Opthalmic
Neurological
Pheripheral vascular
ElectrophysiologyElectrophysiology
Wound care
Surgical
instruments
Infection
control
Syringes
Vascular acc.Vascular acc.
Gravity adminGravity admin
Beds and
transport
tools
Surgical fixt.Surgical fixt.
OtherOther
Urology andUrology and
nephrology
Endoscopy
Patient
monitoring
Patient
monitoring
VentilationVentilation
Infusion
Hernia rep.Hernia rep.
AnestesiaAnestesia
Imaging
Energy and
radiotherapy
Radio-pharma
Contrast agent
X-ray filmX-ray film
Tradiotional in
vitro
diagnostics
(IVD)
Point of care
IVD
Molecular IVD
Non electrical
diagnostic
Other
HearingHearing
tools
Home
respir.
MedicalMedical
non
wovens
Blood
donat.
$71B
Procedural
Instruments and
Devices
Imaging and
Radiology
$57B
IVD and Non
electrical
Diagnostics
$54B
Surgical
Instruments
and Medical
Supplies
$49B
Equipment
$44B
Other
$27B
0%
100%
50%
Tot. ca.
$300B
Focus of next
slides
Focus of next
slides
In ’10 Orthopaedics Market is moderately Fragmented
with a Few Number of Players covering All Segments
5
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com Note: With exception of top player n° 4 focused only on “Spine and Biologics” therapeutic segment
Source: Researches by health care information providers, investment banks and other analysts
Mkt ShareMkt Share
(2010;%)
Market Share by Therapeutic SegmentMarket Share by Therapeutic Segment
(2010;B$;%)
• First 4 players represents ca. 50% of the market covering major* part of segments
• Small and medium size players are focused on specific segments
100%
Market Leader
Medium Player n°5
Top Player n°2
Top Player n°3
Top Player n°4
Medium Player n°6
Medium Player n°7
$11.9B
T3
ML
T2
M7
M6
OtherOther
$8.5B
T4
ML
M5
T2T2
S8S8
M6M6
S8S8
T3T3
M7M7
Other
$4.0B
M5
ML
T2
M6
M7M7
T3T3
Other
$3.3B
M6
ML
S8
T2
M7M7
Other
S8
$1B
M5M5T2T2MLMLM7M7OthOth
$1B
MLMLS8S8M5M5T3T3M7M7OtherOther
Hips and Knees Spine and Biologics Trauma Sport
Medicine
Extrem
-ities
Cranio
maxilllo-
facial
0%
100%
50%
Tot.
$29.6B
Other
Small Player[s] n°8Small Player[s] n°8
“Like-for-like” data treating M&A deals as if occurred 1st Jan 2010
Concentration of Orthopaedics Market through M&A
deals occurs in ’10-’15 time interval
6
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com Source: Researches by health care information providers, investment banks and other analysts
Mkt ShareMkt Share
(2010;%)
Market Share by Therapeutic SegmentMarket Share by Therapeutic Segment
(2010;B$;%)
• M&A deals concentrate almost 50% of the market in the hands of 2 players
• Concentration is particularly relevant in Hips/Knees and Spine/Biologics segments
100%
Top Player n°2
Top Player n°4
Medium Player n°6
$11.9B
ML α
T2
M6
OtherOther
$8.5B
T4
T2T2
S8S8
M6M6
S8S8
Other
$4.0B
T2
M6
Other
$3.3B
M6
ML α
S8
T2
T βT β
Other
S8
$1B
T2T2TβTβOthOth
$1B
S8S8OtherOther
Hips and Knees Spine and Biologics Trauma Sport
Medicine
Extre-
mities
Cranio
maxilllo-
facial
0%
100%
50%
Tot.
$29.6B
Other
Small Players n°8Small Players n°8
Market Leader α
[Market leader +
Medium Player n°5]*
Medium
Top Player β
[Top player 3 + Medium
Player n°7]*
T β
ML α
T βT β
ML α
T β
MLαMLαTβTβ
MLαMLα
Note: * See categorization shown in previous slide
Concentration
impact due to
M&A deals
Orthopaedics Demand is driven by Americas and
Spine / Knees / Hips / Trauma Therapeutic Segments
7
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
Orthopaedics Medical Device Market SizeOrthopaedics Medical Device Market Size
(2010;B$;%)
Macro Business
Driver
Macro Business
Driver
Spine
Knees
Hips
Trauma
Extremite
CMF
Sports med
Biologics
Americas
Europe
Asia-pacific
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Therapeutic Segments Geo Area
$29.6B $29.6B
• Americas and in
particular US
territory have
driven and will
lead evolution of
orthopaedics
medical device
market …
• … Next chapter
articulates
business drivers
defining
orthopaedics
market with
special focus on
US territory
Main focus
of next
chapter
Main focus
of next
chapter
Source: Researches by health care information providers, life science information providers and other analysts
Agenda
• Historical perspective of Medical Device Macro
Sector and Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry
• Business Drivers underlying Orthopaedics
Medical Device Industry Evolution
• Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry Market
Size Trend
8
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
Specific Business Drivers determine Orthopaedics
Medical Device Industry Evolution
9
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
People Aging
Obesity
Activity and Inactivity
Product Innovation
Advertising
1
2
3
4
5
Public Health System
Constraints
6
Hospital and Health
Providers new Role
7
++++++++ --------= Positive Impact on
Market Size
= Negative Impact on
Market Size
++++++++
++++++++
++++++++
++++++++
++++++++
--------
--------
Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry Business Drivers
Almost 30% of US Population will be over 60
years old by ’45…
10
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com Source: United Nations – Population Division – Department of Economic and Social Affairs – August 2016
1
US Demographic Trend by Age ClusterUS Demographic Trend by Age Cluster
(2015-2045;%)
Over 60
years
20.7% 23.1% 25.2% 26.1% 26.8% 26.9% 27.4%
25% 25% 25% 24% 24% 24% 24%
60% 58% 57% 55% 54% 54% 55%
15% 17% 19% 21% 21% 22% 22%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045
Over 65 years
20 - 64 years
0 - 19 years
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
12%
8%
38%
29%
29%
38%
22% 24%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1996-1998 2009-2011
Over 65 years
45 - 64 years
18 - 44 years
Under 18 years
…and People Aging will increment the Demand for
Reconstructive Procedures
11
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com Source: The Burden of Musculoskeletal Diseases in the United States – 2014 Report
1
Persons with Musculoskeletal Diseases by Age Cluster in USPersons with Musculoskeletal Diseases by Age Cluster in US
(1996-1998 and 2009-2011;%)
100% 100%
Obesity is a rising Phenomenon which will affect
more than 40% of US Population by ’30
12
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
Source: 2012 Elesevier – Am J Prev Med – “Obesity and Severe Obesity Forecasts Through 2030”
2
12.7%
22.1%
28.6%
30.9%
34.5%
37.4%
39.9%
42.2%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
1990 2000 2008 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
0.9%
2.6%
4.1%
4.9%
6.4%
7.9%
9.5%
11.1%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
1990 2000 2008 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Obesity incidence on US Pop.
≥
Obesity incidence on US Pop.
(1990-2030;%;BMI ≥30)
Severe Obesity incid. on US Pop.
≥ 4
Severe Obesity incid. on US Pop.
(1990-2030;%;BMI ≥ 40)
Note: Study conducted in 2009 and 2010 with data from 1990 to 2008, sampling non pregnant adults aged ≥ 18
years and using non linear regression model
Major Part of Hip and Knee Surgeries is put in
place for Obese and Overweight People
13
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
2
Joint Replacement Surgeries by Weight Cluster – US exampleJoint Replacement Surgeries by Weight Cluster – US example
(2002-2004;%)
11%
5%
30%
12%
59%
83%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Hip replacement Knee replacement
Obese
Overweight
Normal
Source: 2006 Springer Verlag – International Orthopaedics – “Obesity increases the likelihood of
total joint replacement surgery among younger adults”
Note: Study conducted in 2006 on non elderly total joint replacement surgeries on 305 patients at MeritCare
Medical Center in Fargo, ND or in the outreach facilities of Bemidji and Detroit Lakes, MN
100% 100%
Almost 50% of US Population get less Basic
Exercises than Recommended…
14
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
Source: Early Release of Selected Estimates Based on Data From the National Health Interview Survey, 2014
3
Persons respecting US Aerobic
Activity (AA) Guidelines (GL)
Persons respecting US Aerobic
Activity (AA) Guidelines (GL)
Persons respecting US AA GL and
Muscle-strengthening Guidelines
Persons respecting US AA GL and
Muscle-strengthening Guidelines
48% 50% 49% 49%
52% 51% 51% 51%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2011 2012 2013 2014
Not respect of
guide lines
Respect of
guide lines
21% 20% 20% 21%
80% 80% 80% 79%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2011 2012 2013 2014
Not respect of
guide lines
Respect of
guide lines
Note: Data are based on household interviews of a sample of the civilian noninstitutionalized population elder than
18. Estimates in this figure are limited to leisure-time physical activity only.
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
… while more Active Lifestyles are leading to an
Increase in Injuries
15
3
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
“For America's baby boomers […] too much of a good thing has consequences.
Encouraged by doctors to continue to exercise three to five times a week for their
health, a legion of running, swimming and biking boomers are flouting the conventional
limits of the middle-aged body's abilities and filling the nation's operating rooms
and orthopedists' offices in the process. They need knee and hip replacements,
surgery for cartilage and ligament damage, and treatment for tendinitis, arthritis,
bursitis and stress fractures. The phenomenon even has a name in medical circles:
boomeritis.”
The New York Times
“In the U.S. about 30 million children and teens participate in some form of organized
sports and more than 3.5 million injuries each year which cause some loss of time of
participation, are experienced by the participants. Almost one-third of all injuries
incurred in childhood are sports-related injuries. By far the most common injuries
are sprains and strains”
Standford Children’s Health
“Ever since the advent of the "X Games" in the mid-1990s, Americans have embraced
so-called extreme sports such as mountain biking, skateboarding and
snowboarding. But experts are warning that the fun can quickly turn to tragedy when
amateurs try to mimic stunts they've seen on television. A new analysis finds that
extreme sports have been linked to more than 4 million injuries since 2000, and now
cause more than 40,000 head and neck injuries annually” Health Day News
Long-lasting Products and Less Invasive Surgery
drive Use earlier in Life
16
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com Source: *Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken) - 2014 June – “Time trends in the Characteristics of Patients Undergoing
Primary Total Knee Arthroplasty”;^NCHS Data Brief n.° 186 – February 2015 - Hospitalization for Total Hip
Replacement Among Inpatients Aged 45 and Over: United States, 2000–2010
4
Total Knee Replacement by Age
Cluster in US*
Total Knee Replacement by Age
Cluster in US*
Total Hip Replacement by Age
Cluster in US^
Total Hip Replacement by Age
Cluster in US^
2.9% 5.2%
19.5%
26.7%
67.2%
58.1%
10.4% 10.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1993-1995 2002-2005
Over 80 years
65 - 79 years
50 - 64 years
Under 50 years
12.0%
17.0%
24.0%
29.0%
34.0%
28.0%
30.0%
26.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2000 2010
Over 75 years
65 - 74 years
55 - 64 years
45 - 54 years
100% 100% 100% 100%
Consumer-Focused Advertising drives Patient-Led
Demand
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
5
“Some manufacturers of orthopedic medical
devices have launched new websites which
first ask if you are a patient, surgeon or
investor and then take the visitor to a
separate site geared for the answer
provided. A producer has launched several
websites for patients describing specific
products including mobile bearing knees
and the agility ankle”
Health care investor industry news
“An implant manufacturer has begun to air its television spot for its mobile bearing
knee and another one has run TV advertisements in selected regions / cities on the US
territory” Orthopaedic industry news
“Given changing patient
demographics and the information
revolution, the effects of Direct-to-
consumer Advertising (DTCM) likely
will continue to grow”
Orthopaedic scientific news
“Now medical device companies are
directly contacting consumers but
not necessarily through the traditional
television airways. The above
companies have patient education
websites advertised on social
media to deliver information about
their products”
Spine and Orthopaedic industry news
“A medical device company website
features patient stories about back pain and
managing chronic pain issues. The website
has a "doctor discussion guide" to
optimize appointments and a tool to
connect with back pain specialists”
Spine and Orthopaedic industry news
17
Public Health System Constraints affect
Orthopaedics Expenditure
18
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
6
• Public health systems - in US and
all around the world - are
increasingly required to contain
and rationalize expenditure
• Increased pricing pressure may
be the norm in orthopaedics
implant segment going forward
Public Health
System
Impact
• New reimbursement schemes are
supposed to reward quality and
efficiency
• Health care providers are strongly
pushed to be accountable for
resource use and for efficiency
achievement
• Relevant impact on orthopaedics
implant pricing and volumes is
supposed to occur
Increased Grip on Sourcing by Hospitals and HC
Providers affects Orthopaedics Expenditure
19
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
7
• Hospitals are progressively
regulating interactions of
physicians with med tech
suppliers
• Physicians
disintermediation allows
sourcing centralization
and standardization with
relevant impact on
orthopaedics implant
pricing and volumes
• Improvement of sourcing
practice in terms of new
processes, resource
quality and sound
competences inside health
care provider hospital
procurement
departments allows
significant expenditure
saving with relevant impact
on orthopaedics implant
pricing and volumes
Hospitals and Health
Care Providers Role
Physician
Affiliation
• Physician affiliation
as hospital
employees allows
sourcing
centralization and
standardization
with relevant impact
on orthopaedics
implant pricing and
volumes
Agenda
• Historical perspective of Medical Device Macro
Sector and Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry
• Business Drivers underlying Orthopaedics
Medical Device Industry Evolution
• Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry
Market Size Trend
20
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
z
Orthopaedics Mkt in ’07-’20 is dominated by Americas
with Asia Pacific registering Highest Growth Rate
21
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
Orthopaedics Medical Device Mkt Size Trend by Geo AreaOrthopaedics Medical Device Mkt Size Trend by Geo Area
(2007-2020;B$;%)
18.0
21.3 22.8 23.7 24.5 25.4
29.0
4.2
5.3
5.8
6.1
6.4
6.8
8.5
2.1
3.1
3.8
4.1
4.5
4.9
6.5
24.3
29.6
32.4
33.8
35.4
37.0
44.0
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2007 2010 2013 2014 2015 2016 2020
Asia-pacific
Europe
Americas
Total
Source: Researches by health care information providers, life science information providers and other analysts
coupled with forecasting simulations
CAGR
07-13
CAGR
13-16
CAGR
16-20
10.1% 9.3% 7.2%
5.3% 5.4% 5.8%
4.1% 3.6% 3.4%
4.9% 4.6% 4.4%
z
Orthopaedics Mkt Trend in ’16-’20 period is driven by
Knees, Hips and Trauma Therapeutic Segments
22
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
Orthopaedics Medical Device Mkt Size Trend by Therapeutic SegmentOrthopaedics Medical Device Mkt Size Trend by Therapeutic Segment
(2007-2020;B$;%)
5.8 6.7 7.1 7.3 7.6 7.8 8.8
5.7
6.7 7.1 7.5 7.9 8.4
10.44.3
5.2
5.5 5.8
6.2
6.5
8.1
3.3
4.0
4.6
4.8
5.0
5.3
6.3
1.0
1.3
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.3
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.9
0.9
1.0
2.4
3.3
3.8
3.9
4.1
4.2
4.8
1.3
1.8
1.8
1.9
1.9
2.0
2.2
24.3
29.6
32.4
33.8
35.4
37.0
44.0
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2007 2010 2013 2014 2015 2016 2020
Biologics
Sports med
CMF
Extremite
Trauma
Hips
Knees
Spine
Total ex dental
CAGR
07-13
CAGR
13-16
CAGR
16-20
5.5% 3.4% 3.0%
7.9% 3.6% 3.4%
6.3% 3.8% 3.6%
9.3% 4.7% 4.5%
5.7% 4.6% 4.4%
4.0% 5.9% 5.6%
3.9% 5.7% 5.5%
3.4% 3.3% 3.0%
4.9% 4.6% 4.4%
Source: Researches by health care information providers, life science information providers and other analysts
coupled with forecasting simulations
DisclaimerDisclaimerDisclaimerDisclaimer
23
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
• This document (“Document”) has been prepared by the author (“Author”) solely for
informational purposes
• The Author shall not have liability for the contents of, for any representation (expressed or
implied) contained in, or for omissions from, this Document or any other written or oral
communication
• The information contained herein is being made as of the date of this Document, unless
another time is specified, and the Author has no obligation to update such information
• Reference to other authors (“Other Authors”) publications, analysis, economic model or
formula is made solely for communication or informational purposes and it does not imply
any linkage between Other Authors and content presented within this Document in terms
of accuracy and completeness of information conveyed
• This Document does not contain any data or confidential information concerning the
business, contractual arrangements, deals, transactions or particular affairs of the
Company or his affiliates for which the Author had or currently has an employment
agreement
AuthorAuthorAuthorAuthor
24
marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
Marco Berizzi
Chief Financial Officer
e-mail marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
mobile +39 342 9204033
linkedin https://ch.linkedin.com/in/marco-berizzi-6957bb12
MSc in Probability and Application (spec. Probability and Finance)
UPMC - Pierre et Marie Curie University (Paris VI University), Paris
MSc and BSc in Economics
L. Bocconi University, Milan

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Orthopaedics Medical Device Market Analysys and Future Trends

  • 1. 1 Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry Overview Market Analysis and Future Trends November 2016 Marco Berizzi Chief Financial Officer e-mail marco.berizzi71@gmail.com mobile +39 342 9204033
  • 2. Objective • Historical perspective of Medical Device Macro Sector and Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry in terms of Market Size and Competitive Landscape • Focus on Factors driving Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry Evolution • Presentation of Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry Market Size Trend 2 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
  • 3. Agenda • Historical perspective of Medical Device Macro Sector and Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry • Business Drivers underlying Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry Evolution • Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry Market Size Trend 3 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
  • 4. In ’10 Implant Mkt accounts for ca. 25% of Medical Device Mkt with Orthopaedics having the Highest Share 4 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com Note: Medical devices market data does not include Dental & Aesthetics. Cardiovascular does not include general cardiac surgery Source: Researches by health care information providers, investment banks and other analysts Global Medical Device Market SizeGlobal Medical Device Market Size (2010;B$) z Orthopaedic Cardiovascular Opthalmic Neurological Pheripheral vascular ElectrophysiologyElectrophysiology Wound care Surgical instruments Infection control Syringes Vascular acc.Vascular acc. Gravity adminGravity admin Beds and transport tools Surgical fixt.Surgical fixt. OtherOther Urology andUrology and nephrology Endoscopy Patient monitoring Patient monitoring VentilationVentilation Infusion Hernia rep.Hernia rep. AnestesiaAnestesia Imaging Energy and radiotherapy Radio-pharma Contrast agent X-ray filmX-ray film Tradiotional in vitro diagnostics (IVD) Point of care IVD Molecular IVD Non electrical diagnostic Other HearingHearing tools Home respir. MedicalMedical non wovens Blood donat. $71B Procedural Instruments and Devices Imaging and Radiology $57B IVD and Non electrical Diagnostics $54B Surgical Instruments and Medical Supplies $49B Equipment $44B Other $27B 0% 100% 50% Tot. ca. $300B Focus of next slides Focus of next slides
  • 5. In ’10 Orthopaedics Market is moderately Fragmented with a Few Number of Players covering All Segments 5 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com Note: With exception of top player n° 4 focused only on “Spine and Biologics” therapeutic segment Source: Researches by health care information providers, investment banks and other analysts Mkt ShareMkt Share (2010;%) Market Share by Therapeutic SegmentMarket Share by Therapeutic Segment (2010;B$;%) • First 4 players represents ca. 50% of the market covering major* part of segments • Small and medium size players are focused on specific segments 100% Market Leader Medium Player n°5 Top Player n°2 Top Player n°3 Top Player n°4 Medium Player n°6 Medium Player n°7 $11.9B T3 ML T2 M7 M6 OtherOther $8.5B T4 ML M5 T2T2 S8S8 M6M6 S8S8 T3T3 M7M7 Other $4.0B M5 ML T2 M6 M7M7 T3T3 Other $3.3B M6 ML S8 T2 M7M7 Other S8 $1B M5M5T2T2MLMLM7M7OthOth $1B MLMLS8S8M5M5T3T3M7M7OtherOther Hips and Knees Spine and Biologics Trauma Sport Medicine Extrem -ities Cranio maxilllo- facial 0% 100% 50% Tot. $29.6B Other Small Player[s] n°8Small Player[s] n°8
  • 6. “Like-for-like” data treating M&A deals as if occurred 1st Jan 2010 Concentration of Orthopaedics Market through M&A deals occurs in ’10-’15 time interval 6 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com Source: Researches by health care information providers, investment banks and other analysts Mkt ShareMkt Share (2010;%) Market Share by Therapeutic SegmentMarket Share by Therapeutic Segment (2010;B$;%) • M&A deals concentrate almost 50% of the market in the hands of 2 players • Concentration is particularly relevant in Hips/Knees and Spine/Biologics segments 100% Top Player n°2 Top Player n°4 Medium Player n°6 $11.9B ML α T2 M6 OtherOther $8.5B T4 T2T2 S8S8 M6M6 S8S8 Other $4.0B T2 M6 Other $3.3B M6 ML α S8 T2 T βT β Other S8 $1B T2T2TβTβOthOth $1B S8S8OtherOther Hips and Knees Spine and Biologics Trauma Sport Medicine Extre- mities Cranio maxilllo- facial 0% 100% 50% Tot. $29.6B Other Small Players n°8Small Players n°8 Market Leader α [Market leader + Medium Player n°5]* Medium Top Player β [Top player 3 + Medium Player n°7]* T β ML α T βT β ML α T β MLαMLαTβTβ MLαMLα Note: * See categorization shown in previous slide Concentration impact due to M&A deals
  • 7. Orthopaedics Demand is driven by Americas and Spine / Knees / Hips / Trauma Therapeutic Segments 7 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com Orthopaedics Medical Device Market SizeOrthopaedics Medical Device Market Size (2010;B$;%) Macro Business Driver Macro Business Driver Spine Knees Hips Trauma Extremite CMF Sports med Biologics Americas Europe Asia-pacific 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Therapeutic Segments Geo Area $29.6B $29.6B • Americas and in particular US territory have driven and will lead evolution of orthopaedics medical device market … • … Next chapter articulates business drivers defining orthopaedics market with special focus on US territory Main focus of next chapter Main focus of next chapter Source: Researches by health care information providers, life science information providers and other analysts
  • 8. Agenda • Historical perspective of Medical Device Macro Sector and Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry • Business Drivers underlying Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry Evolution • Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry Market Size Trend 8 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
  • 9. Specific Business Drivers determine Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry Evolution 9 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com People Aging Obesity Activity and Inactivity Product Innovation Advertising 1 2 3 4 5 Public Health System Constraints 6 Hospital and Health Providers new Role 7 ++++++++ --------= Positive Impact on Market Size = Negative Impact on Market Size ++++++++ ++++++++ ++++++++ ++++++++ ++++++++ -------- -------- Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry Business Drivers
  • 10. Almost 30% of US Population will be over 60 years old by ’45… 10 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com Source: United Nations – Population Division – Department of Economic and Social Affairs – August 2016 1 US Demographic Trend by Age ClusterUS Demographic Trend by Age Cluster (2015-2045;%) Over 60 years 20.7% 23.1% 25.2% 26.1% 26.8% 26.9% 27.4% 25% 25% 25% 24% 24% 24% 24% 60% 58% 57% 55% 54% 54% 55% 15% 17% 19% 21% 21% 22% 22% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 Over 65 years 20 - 64 years 0 - 19 years 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 11. 12% 8% 38% 29% 29% 38% 22% 24% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1996-1998 2009-2011 Over 65 years 45 - 64 years 18 - 44 years Under 18 years …and People Aging will increment the Demand for Reconstructive Procedures 11 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com Source: The Burden of Musculoskeletal Diseases in the United States – 2014 Report 1 Persons with Musculoskeletal Diseases by Age Cluster in USPersons with Musculoskeletal Diseases by Age Cluster in US (1996-1998 and 2009-2011;%) 100% 100%
  • 12. Obesity is a rising Phenomenon which will affect more than 40% of US Population by ’30 12 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com Source: 2012 Elesevier – Am J Prev Med – “Obesity and Severe Obesity Forecasts Through 2030” 2 12.7% 22.1% 28.6% 30.9% 34.5% 37.4% 39.9% 42.2% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 1990 2000 2008 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 0.9% 2.6% 4.1% 4.9% 6.4% 7.9% 9.5% 11.1% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 1990 2000 2008 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Obesity incidence on US Pop. ≥ Obesity incidence on US Pop. (1990-2030;%;BMI ≥30) Severe Obesity incid. on US Pop. ≥ 4 Severe Obesity incid. on US Pop. (1990-2030;%;BMI ≥ 40) Note: Study conducted in 2009 and 2010 with data from 1990 to 2008, sampling non pregnant adults aged ≥ 18 years and using non linear regression model
  • 13. Major Part of Hip and Knee Surgeries is put in place for Obese and Overweight People 13 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com 2 Joint Replacement Surgeries by Weight Cluster – US exampleJoint Replacement Surgeries by Weight Cluster – US example (2002-2004;%) 11% 5% 30% 12% 59% 83% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Hip replacement Knee replacement Obese Overweight Normal Source: 2006 Springer Verlag – International Orthopaedics – “Obesity increases the likelihood of total joint replacement surgery among younger adults” Note: Study conducted in 2006 on non elderly total joint replacement surgeries on 305 patients at MeritCare Medical Center in Fargo, ND or in the outreach facilities of Bemidji and Detroit Lakes, MN 100% 100%
  • 14. Almost 50% of US Population get less Basic Exercises than Recommended… 14 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com Source: Early Release of Selected Estimates Based on Data From the National Health Interview Survey, 2014 3 Persons respecting US Aerobic Activity (AA) Guidelines (GL) Persons respecting US Aerobic Activity (AA) Guidelines (GL) Persons respecting US AA GL and Muscle-strengthening Guidelines Persons respecting US AA GL and Muscle-strengthening Guidelines 48% 50% 49% 49% 52% 51% 51% 51% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2011 2012 2013 2014 Not respect of guide lines Respect of guide lines 21% 20% 20% 21% 80% 80% 80% 79% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2011 2012 2013 2014 Not respect of guide lines Respect of guide lines Note: Data are based on household interviews of a sample of the civilian noninstitutionalized population elder than 18. Estimates in this figure are limited to leisure-time physical activity only. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 15. … while more Active Lifestyles are leading to an Increase in Injuries 15 3 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com “For America's baby boomers […] too much of a good thing has consequences. Encouraged by doctors to continue to exercise three to five times a week for their health, a legion of running, swimming and biking boomers are flouting the conventional limits of the middle-aged body's abilities and filling the nation's operating rooms and orthopedists' offices in the process. They need knee and hip replacements, surgery for cartilage and ligament damage, and treatment for tendinitis, arthritis, bursitis and stress fractures. The phenomenon even has a name in medical circles: boomeritis.” The New York Times “In the U.S. about 30 million children and teens participate in some form of organized sports and more than 3.5 million injuries each year which cause some loss of time of participation, are experienced by the participants. Almost one-third of all injuries incurred in childhood are sports-related injuries. By far the most common injuries are sprains and strains” Standford Children’s Health “Ever since the advent of the "X Games" in the mid-1990s, Americans have embraced so-called extreme sports such as mountain biking, skateboarding and snowboarding. But experts are warning that the fun can quickly turn to tragedy when amateurs try to mimic stunts they've seen on television. A new analysis finds that extreme sports have been linked to more than 4 million injuries since 2000, and now cause more than 40,000 head and neck injuries annually” Health Day News
  • 16. Long-lasting Products and Less Invasive Surgery drive Use earlier in Life 16 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com Source: *Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken) - 2014 June – “Time trends in the Characteristics of Patients Undergoing Primary Total Knee Arthroplasty”;^NCHS Data Brief n.° 186 – February 2015 - Hospitalization for Total Hip Replacement Among Inpatients Aged 45 and Over: United States, 2000–2010 4 Total Knee Replacement by Age Cluster in US* Total Knee Replacement by Age Cluster in US* Total Hip Replacement by Age Cluster in US^ Total Hip Replacement by Age Cluster in US^ 2.9% 5.2% 19.5% 26.7% 67.2% 58.1% 10.4% 10.0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1993-1995 2002-2005 Over 80 years 65 - 79 years 50 - 64 years Under 50 years 12.0% 17.0% 24.0% 29.0% 34.0% 28.0% 30.0% 26.0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2000 2010 Over 75 years 65 - 74 years 55 - 64 years 45 - 54 years 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 17. Consumer-Focused Advertising drives Patient-Led Demand marco.berizzi71@gmail.com 5 “Some manufacturers of orthopedic medical devices have launched new websites which first ask if you are a patient, surgeon or investor and then take the visitor to a separate site geared for the answer provided. A producer has launched several websites for patients describing specific products including mobile bearing knees and the agility ankle” Health care investor industry news “An implant manufacturer has begun to air its television spot for its mobile bearing knee and another one has run TV advertisements in selected regions / cities on the US territory” Orthopaedic industry news “Given changing patient demographics and the information revolution, the effects of Direct-to- consumer Advertising (DTCM) likely will continue to grow” Orthopaedic scientific news “Now medical device companies are directly contacting consumers but not necessarily through the traditional television airways. The above companies have patient education websites advertised on social media to deliver information about their products” Spine and Orthopaedic industry news “A medical device company website features patient stories about back pain and managing chronic pain issues. The website has a "doctor discussion guide" to optimize appointments and a tool to connect with back pain specialists” Spine and Orthopaedic industry news 17
  • 18. Public Health System Constraints affect Orthopaedics Expenditure 18 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com 6 • Public health systems - in US and all around the world - are increasingly required to contain and rationalize expenditure • Increased pricing pressure may be the norm in orthopaedics implant segment going forward Public Health System Impact • New reimbursement schemes are supposed to reward quality and efficiency • Health care providers are strongly pushed to be accountable for resource use and for efficiency achievement • Relevant impact on orthopaedics implant pricing and volumes is supposed to occur
  • 19. Increased Grip on Sourcing by Hospitals and HC Providers affects Orthopaedics Expenditure 19 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com 7 • Hospitals are progressively regulating interactions of physicians with med tech suppliers • Physicians disintermediation allows sourcing centralization and standardization with relevant impact on orthopaedics implant pricing and volumes • Improvement of sourcing practice in terms of new processes, resource quality and sound competences inside health care provider hospital procurement departments allows significant expenditure saving with relevant impact on orthopaedics implant pricing and volumes Hospitals and Health Care Providers Role Physician Affiliation • Physician affiliation as hospital employees allows sourcing centralization and standardization with relevant impact on orthopaedics implant pricing and volumes
  • 20. Agenda • Historical perspective of Medical Device Macro Sector and Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry • Business Drivers underlying Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry Evolution • Orthopaedics Medical Device Industry Market Size Trend 20 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com
  • 21. z Orthopaedics Mkt in ’07-’20 is dominated by Americas with Asia Pacific registering Highest Growth Rate 21 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com Orthopaedics Medical Device Mkt Size Trend by Geo AreaOrthopaedics Medical Device Mkt Size Trend by Geo Area (2007-2020;B$;%) 18.0 21.3 22.8 23.7 24.5 25.4 29.0 4.2 5.3 5.8 6.1 6.4 6.8 8.5 2.1 3.1 3.8 4.1 4.5 4.9 6.5 24.3 29.6 32.4 33.8 35.4 37.0 44.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 2007 2010 2013 2014 2015 2016 2020 Asia-pacific Europe Americas Total Source: Researches by health care information providers, life science information providers and other analysts coupled with forecasting simulations CAGR 07-13 CAGR 13-16 CAGR 16-20 10.1% 9.3% 7.2% 5.3% 5.4% 5.8% 4.1% 3.6% 3.4% 4.9% 4.6% 4.4%
  • 22. z Orthopaedics Mkt Trend in ’16-’20 period is driven by Knees, Hips and Trauma Therapeutic Segments 22 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com Orthopaedics Medical Device Mkt Size Trend by Therapeutic SegmentOrthopaedics Medical Device Mkt Size Trend by Therapeutic Segment (2007-2020;B$;%) 5.8 6.7 7.1 7.3 7.6 7.8 8.8 5.7 6.7 7.1 7.5 7.9 8.4 10.44.3 5.2 5.5 5.8 6.2 6.5 8.1 3.3 4.0 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.3 6.3 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 2.4 3.3 3.8 3.9 4.1 4.2 4.8 1.3 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.2 24.3 29.6 32.4 33.8 35.4 37.0 44.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 2007 2010 2013 2014 2015 2016 2020 Biologics Sports med CMF Extremite Trauma Hips Knees Spine Total ex dental CAGR 07-13 CAGR 13-16 CAGR 16-20 5.5% 3.4% 3.0% 7.9% 3.6% 3.4% 6.3% 3.8% 3.6% 9.3% 4.7% 4.5% 5.7% 4.6% 4.4% 4.0% 5.9% 5.6% 3.9% 5.7% 5.5% 3.4% 3.3% 3.0% 4.9% 4.6% 4.4% Source: Researches by health care information providers, life science information providers and other analysts coupled with forecasting simulations
  • 23. DisclaimerDisclaimerDisclaimerDisclaimer 23 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com • This document (“Document”) has been prepared by the author (“Author”) solely for informational purposes • The Author shall not have liability for the contents of, for any representation (expressed or implied) contained in, or for omissions from, this Document or any other written or oral communication • The information contained herein is being made as of the date of this Document, unless another time is specified, and the Author has no obligation to update such information • Reference to other authors (“Other Authors”) publications, analysis, economic model or formula is made solely for communication or informational purposes and it does not imply any linkage between Other Authors and content presented within this Document in terms of accuracy and completeness of information conveyed • This Document does not contain any data or confidential information concerning the business, contractual arrangements, deals, transactions or particular affairs of the Company or his affiliates for which the Author had or currently has an employment agreement
  • 24. AuthorAuthorAuthorAuthor 24 marco.berizzi71@gmail.com Marco Berizzi Chief Financial Officer e-mail marco.berizzi71@gmail.com mobile +39 342 9204033 linkedin https://ch.linkedin.com/in/marco-berizzi-6957bb12 MSc in Probability and Application (spec. Probability and Finance) UPMC - Pierre et Marie Curie University (Paris VI University), Paris MSc and BSc in Economics L. Bocconi University, Milan