8. First wave
Second wave
Third wave
- Building the Internet : Laying the
foundation for online world
- Key device : PCs
- Core risks : Technology
- App Economy and Mobile
revolution : Search, social,
and ecommerce startups
grow on top of the Internet
- Key device : Smartphones
- Core risks : Marketing
- Ubiquitous connectivity allows
entrepreneurs to transform
major, real-world sectors
- Key device : Sensors
- Core risks : Partnership + Policy
1985 - 1999
2000 - 2015
2016
Online Infrastructure
Digital Revolution
Disruption
8
Technology Revolution
9. • Real Time
• Mobilized and Intangible Asset
• Forecasting Capability
• Transparency
• Security & Trust
• Programmable
Key Factors
2016
Third Wave
9
13. We're at the pivot point of exponential change
Linear thinking will be detrimental
Presented by Dr. Settapong Malisuwan
01 02
03 04
05
06
04
08
16
32
64
13
16. "The Internet will be
Everywhere and
Nowhere"
Dr. Michio Kaku
An American theoretical, physicist,
futurist and popularizer of science 16
17. Disruption is always dangerous,
But digital disruptions are happening faster than ever
Incumbents’
Business models
are threatened
Bold movers (attackers and agile
incumbents) survive and rise
Tipping point
A few incumbents partially
transform and/or find niche
markets
Time
Incumbent
Business models
Market share
100
0
New digital
Business models
of companies
believe their business
model will remain
economically viable
through digitization
8%
Reference: McKinsey&Company
Majority of incumbents do not respond
and ultimately fail 17
45. X Super
Exponential
Growth
Mobile & Wireless
Social Media
Big Data Analytics
IoT
AI
Blockchain
Smart Material
(Next Generation)
Disruptive technologies
Disruptive innovation
Disruptive capability
Business disruption
S-Curve
((XY)B…)N)
Disruptive Technologies
Illustration Designed by Dr. Settapong Malisuwan
Convergence
Mobile Broadband
Exponential
45
50. Source: Professor Emanuel Sachs, Massachusetts Institute of Technology 50
Cumulative Production GigaWp
Installed
Cost of
Electricity
S/kWh
7% Global
Generation
from PV
Single crystal, evaporated contacts
Screen printed metal
Wire saws
Textured mono
Aluminum BSF
Cast multi
Point contact mono
Passivating SN
Wholesale Coal Electricity
0.1 1 10 100 1,000
$5.00
$0.50
$0.20
$0.05
Retail Natural Electricity
Wholesale Nat. GasElec. Grid Parity
Today (utility scale)
Iso texture multi
1978
Solar Energy Storage Revolution (Photovotaic)
2020
55. X
Data Storage
Revolution
Solar Energy Storage
Revolution
(Photovotaic)
Programmable
Internet Revolution
(Blockchain)
Super Smart Devices
Revolution
(AI)
Deep shift
&
Profound Impact
Super - Intelligence
Deep shift & Profound Impact
Illustration Designed by Dr. Settapong Malisuwan
Hyperconnected
55
56. Creating
new business
models
Exponential Price Declines
New Economy
Presented by Dr. Settapong Malisuwan
Exponential Capability Increase
ขีดความสามารถอันทรงพลัง
ราคาที่ต่าลงอย่างรวดเร็ว
56
Super – Intelligence
Hyperconnected
57. 57
Average Year Each Tipping Point Is Expected to Occur
Reference: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GAC15_Technological_Tipping_Points_report_2015.pdf
58. AI
OTT
Ai Search
Drone
SDV & EV
Clean Energy
Biometrics
Disruptive Innovation
Robot
Cloud
Cryptocurrency
Creative Destruction
การทาลายอย่างสร้างสรรค์
“องค์กรโบราณกาลังจะจากไป”
x Business
Disruption
Illustration Designed by Dr. Settapong Malisuwan
Energy Storage
58
60. DegreeofDisruption
2000 2015 2020 2030
Technology Convergence
Disruption Radical Change
in All
Business model
Time
Media
Telecommunication
Media
Telecommunication
Financial
Media
Telecommunication
Financial
Insurance
Logistic
Retail Business
Media
Telecommunication
Financial
Insurance
Logistic
Retail Business
Energy
Healthcare
Education
Business disruption!!! Media
Telecommunication
Financial
Insurance
Logistic
Retail Business
Energy
2025
Disruption
Reference: Illustration Designed by Dr. Settapong Malisuwan
Presented by Dr. Settapong Malisuwan 60
87. Emerging Objectives
Reduce Health and Environmental Impacts of Power System Operation
Meet Rapidly Growing Demand While Minimizing Environmental Impacts and Risk
Support Procurement of Renewable Energy
Integrate Renewable and distributed Generation Resources to the Grid
Incentivize Energy Efficiency, Demand Side Management and Smart Grid Technologies
Utilize Microgrid Technology
Facilitate Consumer Participation in Power Markets
Enhance Cybersecurity and Protect Privacy
Manage Increased Interactions with Other Sectors
87
88. “The role of users in energy markets is one of the
primary drivers of the changing environment, and
the need for the regulatory framework, the
regulated businesses and the regulators to realise
this and respond to it, is crucial.”
Reference: Australian Energy Regulator (AER) “Perspectives on regulation in a changing environment”
88