Nebraska 2014 Republican Primary Survey Results 050914

386 views

Published on

Magellan Strategies survey of the 2014 Nebraska Republican primary for Governor and the United States Senate, toplines and crosstabs.

Published in: News & Politics, Technology
0 Comments
0 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Views
Total views
386
On SlideShare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
1
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
3
Comments
0
Likes
0
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

Nebraska 2014 Republican Primary Survey Results 050914

  1. 1. ! ! ! ! ! Nebraska Republican Primary Survey Topline Results Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 525n autodial survey of likely Republican primary voters in the state of Nebraska. The interviews were conducted May 8th , 2014. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.28% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon past Republican primary demographics. T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? Republican............................................................100% T2. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming May 13th Republican primary election? Extremely Likely......................................................92% Very Likely................................................................5% Somewhat Likely.......................................................3% T3. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Shane Osborn? Favorable................................................................40% Unfavorable............................................................32% No Opinion ............................................................24% Never Heard Of ........................................................1% Unsure......................................................................3% Name ID.................................................................96% Hard Name ID ........................................................72%
  2. 2. Magellan ID#: NEREP-050814 Nebraska Republican Primary Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 5/8/14, MoE +/- 4.28%, 525n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 2 T4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ben Sasse? Favorable................................................................59% Unfavorable............................................................24% No Opinion ............................................................15% Never Heard Of ........................................................1% Unsure......................................................................1% Name ID.................................................................98% Hard Name ID ........................................................83% T5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sid Dinsdale? Favorable................................................................47% Unfavorable............................................................23% No Opinion ............................................................26% Never Heard Of ........................................................2% Unsure......................................................................2% Name ID.................................................................96% Hard Name ID ........................................................70% T6. If the Republican primary election for the United States Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Sid Dinsdale, Clifton Johnson, Bart McLeay, Shane Osborn or Ben Sasse? Ben Sasse................................................................38% Sid Dinsdale............................................................24% Shane Osborn .........................................................20% Bart McLeay..............................................................6% Clifton Johnson .........................................................2% Some other candidate ...............................................3% Undecided................................................................7%
  3. 3. Magellan ID#: NEREP-050814 Nebraska Republican Primary Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 5/8/14, MoE +/- 4.28%, 525n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 3 T7. If the Republican primary election for Governor were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Jon Bruning, Peter Ricketts, Mike Foley, Tom Carlson, Beau McCoy, or Bryan Slone? Peter Ricketts ..........................................................25% Jon Bruning.............................................................24% Mike Foley..............................................................18% Beau McCoy ...........................................................16% Tom Carlson .............................................................5% Bryan Slone...............................................................5% Some other candidate ...............................................1% Undecided................................................................6% And now I have a couple questions for statistical purposes only… T8. Are you a man or a woman? Man ........................................................................50% Woman...................................................................50% T9. Which of the following age groups applies to you? 18-29........................................................................3% 30-44......................................................................12% 45-54......................................................................16% 55-64......................................................................24% 65+.........................................................................45% Unsure or no opinion................................................0% T10. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 4 if you belong to another ethnic group. White......................................................................97% Hispanic or Latino.....................................................0% Black or African American ........................................1% Another ethnic group ................................................2%
  4. 4. Magellan ID#: NEREP-050814 Nebraska Republican Primary Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 5/8/14, MoE +/- 4.28%, 525n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 4 Survey Methodology This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology. The sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a Nebraska voter file. The survey response data was weighted based upon past Republican primary demographics. The interviews were conducted on May 8th , 2014. Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of 4.28% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
  5. 5. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 1-1 SUMMARY TABLES GENDER AGE RACE REGION OSBORN IMG SASSE IMG DINSDALE IMG -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------- ------------------- -------------------- TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- WHTE -------- HISP LTNO --------- BLCK AA --------- OTHR -------- CD01 --------- CD02 -------- CD03 --------- FAV --------- UN FAV -------- FAV --------- UN FAV --------- FAV -------- UN FAV --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 262 100.0 262 100.0 16 100.0 63 100.0 84 100.0 126 100.0 236 100.0 509 100.0 2 100.0 4 100.0 10 100.0 194 100.0 84 100.0 247 100.0 209 100.0 170 100.0 311 100.0 124 100.0 245 100.0 123 100.0 US SENATE BALLOT BEN SASSE 200 38.1 92 35.0 108 41.3 1 5.9 19 30.2 35 42.2 52 41.2 93 39.3 193 37.9 2 51.5 6 54.6 81 41.9 30 35.7 89 36.0 53 25.3 87 51.2 194 62.4 2 1.8 64 26.2 60 48.9 SID DINSDALE 125 23.7 75 28.5 50 18.9 9 59.2 15 23.0 17 20.7 30 23.9 53 22.5 123 24.2 1 17.1 1 7.2 31 15.9 27 32.5 66 26.9 48 23.0 45 26.8 40 12.9 57 46.1 117 47.7 3 2.2 SHANE OSBORN 106 20.2 51 19.5 55 21.0 17 26.8 14 17.0 22 17.4 53 22.5 103 20.2 1 44.9 1 14.4 2 18.9 45 23.1 13 15.0 49 19.8 86 41.2 7 3.9 51 16.3 33 26.6 39 15.9 35 28.1 BART MCLEAY 30 5.6 17 6.5 13 4.8 5 29.0 7 11.2 5 5.9 8 6.4 5 2.1 29 5.7 1 17.1 15 7.8 5 6.3 9 3.7 10 4.5 13 7.8 9 2.8 11 8.9 10 3.9 9 7.3 CLIFTON JOHNSON 10 1.8 6 2.4 3 1.2 4 4.2 5 4.1 1 0.3 10 1.9 4 2.1 5 2.2 5 2.2 4 2.2 2 0.8 7 5.7 5 1.9 5 3.9 OTHER 15 2.8 5 2.1 9 3.6 1 5.9 5 6.2 9 3.7 13 2.5 1 55.1 1 9.0 4 2.3 3 3.1 8 3.2 2 0.9 6 3.8 2 0.6 6 5.2 2 0.7 7 6.0 UNDECIDED 40 7.6 16 6.1 24 9.2 6 8.8 3 3.9 9 7.0 22 9.5 39 7.7 1 10.3 13 6.9 6 7.4 21 8.3 6 2.8 7 4.3 13 4.2 7 5.8 9 3.6 4 3.5
  6. 6. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 1-2 SUMMARY TABLES US SENATE BALLOT GOVERNOR BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL --------- DINS DALE --------- JOHN SON -------- MC LEAY --------- OS BORN --------- SAS SE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- BRUN ING -------- RICK ETTS --------- FOL EY --------- CARL SON -------- MC COY --------- SL ONE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 125 100.0 10 100.0 30 100.0 106 100.0 200 100.0 15 100.0 40 100.0 126 100.0 132 100.0 94 100.0 26 100.0 86 100.0 26 100.0 6 100.0 28 100.0 US SENATE BALLOT BEN SASSE 200 38.1 200 100.0 49 38.6 54 41.1 37 39.0 4 13.9 39 45.1 12 45.6 2 31.3 4 15.2 SID DINSDALE 125 23.7 125 100.0 36 28.4 28 21.1 25 27.2 12 45.2 12 13.8 7 28.0 1 19.4 3 10.3 SHANE OSBORN 106 20.2 106 100.0 26 20.7 36 27.1 19 20.2 3 12.0 18 21.2 1 3.9 3 10.4 BART MCLEAY 30 5.6 30 100.0 7 5.2 3 2.3 4 4.6 3 12.3 9 10.4 3 10.4 1 10.9 CLIFTON JOHNSON 10 1.8 10 100.0 1 0.7 2 1.8 1 1.5 2 8.6 1 1.4 1 5.5 OTHER 15 2.8 15 100.0 2 1.5 3 2.0 4 4.5 2 2.3 2 6.6 2 38.4 UNDECIDED 40 7.6 40 100.0 6 4.9 6 4.6 3 3.0 2 8.0 5 5.8 18 64.0
  7. 7. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 2-1 SUMMARY TABLES GENDER AGE RACE REGION OSBORN IMG SASSE IMG DINSDALE IMG -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------- ------------------- -------------------- TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- WHTE -------- HISP LTNO --------- BLCK AA --------- OTHR -------- CD01 --------- CD02 -------- CD03 --------- FAV --------- UN FAV -------- FAV --------- UN FAV --------- FAV -------- UN FAV --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 262 100.0 262 100.0 16 100.0 63 100.0 84 100.0 126 100.0 236 100.0 509 100.0 2 100.0 4 100.0 10 100.0 194 100.0 84 100.0 247 100.0 209 100.0 170 100.0 311 100.0 124 100.0 245 100.0 123 100.0 GOVERNOR BALLOT PETER RICKETTS 132 25.2 57 21.5 76 28.9 2 11.8 20 32.5 24 28.6 25 19.6 61 25.9 126 24.8 2 100.0 2 41.2 3 25.0 49 25.4 29 34.8 54 21.8 52 24.8 48 28.1 82 26.2 26 20.7 53 21.6 40 32.8 JON BRUNING 126 24.1 71 27.1 55 21.0 9 60.1 13 20.0 12 13.7 30 24.0 62 26.5 124 24.3 1 14.4 2 18.6 37 18.9 17 20.8 72 29.2 52 25.0 33 19.7 82 26.2 20 16.4 62 25.3 18 15.0 MIKE FOLEY 94 17.9 52 19.8 42 16.0 2 11.6 6 9.5 18 21.0 26 20.5 43 18.0 90 17.7 1 17.1 3 29.2 44 22.6 10 11.5 40 16.3 40 19.0 34 20.3 50 16.0 33 26.5 45 18.2 30 24.3 BEAU MCCOY 86 16.4 47 18.0 39 14.9 2 10.2 16 24.7 17 19.6 23 18.0 30 12.7 83 16.4 1 27.4 2 16.9 39 20.2 14 16.7 33 13.4 38 17.9 25 14.7 61 19.5 14 11.0 37 15.0 24 19.3 TOM CARLSON 26 5.0 12 4.5 15 5.5 2 3.8 5 5.7 12 9.4 7 3.1 26 5.2 10 5.0 3 3.4 14 5.6 13 6.4 8 4.5 9 2.9 16 13.1 20 8.1 1 0.9 BRYAN SLONE 26 5.0 11 4.2 15 5.7 1 6.4 4 5.9 4 5.2 4 3.4 13 5.4 26 5.1 8 4.2 5 6.2 13 5.2 8 3.8 15 9.1 15 4.9 10 8.1 15 6.3 6 5.3 OTHER 6 1.2 3 1.0 3 1.3 2 2.9 1 0.9 2 1.0 6 1.2 2 1.1 2 2.1 2 0.9 3 1.8 2 0.6 3 2.4 2 0.8 2 1.5 UNDECIDED 28 5.3 10 3.9 18 6.7 2 3.8 3 3.1 5 4.1 17 7.4 27 5.3 1 10.3 5 2.5 4 4.5 19 7.7 6 3.0 3 1.9 12 3.8 2 1.8 11 4.7 1 0.9
  8. 8. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 2-2 SUMMARY TABLES US SENATE BALLOT GOVERNOR BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL --------- DINS DALE --------- JOHN SON -------- MC LEAY --------- OS BORN --------- SAS SE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- BRUN ING -------- RICK ETTS --------- FOL EY --------- CARL SON -------- MC COY --------- SL ONE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 125 100.0 10 100.0 30 100.0 106 100.0 200 100.0 15 100.0 40 100.0 126 100.0 132 100.0 94 100.0 26 100.0 86 100.0 26 100.0 6 100.0 28 100.0 GOVERNOR BALLOT PETER RICKETTS 132 25.2 28 22.4 2 25.0 3 10.3 36 33.7 54 27.1 3 18.0 6 15.3 132 100.0 JON BRUNING 126 24.1 36 28.8 1 8.6 7 22.4 26 24.6 49 24.3 2 12.8 6 15.5 126 100.0 MIKE FOLEY 94 17.9 25 20.5 1 15.1 4 14.7 19 17.8 37 18.3 4 28.7 3 7.0 94 100.0 BEAU MCCOY 86 16.4 12 9.6 1 12.4 9 30.3 18 17.2 39 19.4 2 13.4 5 12.5 86 100.0 TOM CARLSON 26 5.0 12 9.6 2 23.7 3 11.0 3 3.0 4 1.8 2 5.2 26 100.0 BRYAN SLONE 26 5.0 7 5.9 1 15.1 3 9.2 1 0.9 12 5.9 2 11.5 26 100.0 OTHER 6 1.2 1 0.9 1 2.2 2 0.9 2 15.6 6 100.0 UNDECIDED 28 5.3 3 2.3 3 2.7 4 2.1 18 44.4 28 100.0
  9. 9. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-1 T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? GENDER AGE RACE REGION OSBORN IMG SASSE IMG DINSDALE IMG -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------- ------------------- -------------------- TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- WHTE -------- HISP LTNO --------- BLCK AA --------- OTHR -------- CD01 --------- CD02 -------- CD03 --------- FAV --------- UN FAV -------- FAV --------- UN FAV --------- FAV -------- UN FAV --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 262 100.0 262 100.0 16 100.0 63 100.0 84 100.0 126 100.0 236 100.0 509 100.0 2 100.0 4 100.0 10 100.0 194 100.0 84 100.0 247 100.0 209 100.0 170 100.0 311 100.0 124 100.0 245 100.0 123 100.0 REPUBLICAN 525 100.0 262 100.0 262 100.0 16 100.0 63 100.0 84 100.0 126 100.0 236 100.0 509 100.0 2 100.0 4 100.0 10 100.0 194 100.0 84 100.0 247 100.0 209 100.0 170 100.0 311 100.0 124 100.0 245 100.0 123 100.0
  10. 10. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-2 T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? US SENATE BALLOT GOVERNOR BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL --------- DINS DALE --------- JOHN SON -------- MC LEAY --------- OS BORN --------- SAS SE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- BRUN ING -------- RICK ETTS --------- FOL EY --------- CARL SON -------- MC COY --------- SL ONE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 125 100.0 10 100.0 30 100.0 106 100.0 200 100.0 15 100.0 40 100.0 126 100.0 132 100.0 94 100.0 26 100.0 86 100.0 26 100.0 6 100.0 28 100.0 REPUBLICAN 525 100.0 125 100.0 10 100.0 30 100.0 106 100.0 200 100.0 15 100.0 40 100.0 126 100.0 132 100.0 94 100.0 26 100.0 86 100.0 26 100.0 6 100.0 28 100.0
  11. 11. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-1 T2. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming May 13th Republican primary election? GENDER AGE RACE REGION OSBORN IMG SASSE IMG DINSDALE IMG -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------- ------------------- -------------------- TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- WHTE -------- HISP LTNO --------- BLCK AA --------- OTHR -------- CD01 --------- CD02 -------- CD03 --------- FAV --------- UN FAV -------- FAV --------- UN FAV --------- FAV -------- UN FAV --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 262 100.0 262 100.0 16 100.0 63 100.0 84 100.0 126 100.0 236 100.0 509 100.0 2 100.0 4 100.0 10 100.0 194 100.0 84 100.0 247 100.0 209 100.0 170 100.0 311 100.0 124 100.0 245 100.0 123 100.0 EXTREMELY LIKELY 483 92.0 243 92.6 240 91.4 14 87.5 60 95.9 79 93.7 114 90.1 216 91.7 467 91.7 2 100.0 4 100.0 10 100.0 177 91.3 82 97.6 224 90.6 192 91.6 161 94.6 293 94.1 113 91.1 229 93.4 118 95.8 VERY LIKELY 27 5.1 13 5.1 13 5.1 2 12.5 3 4.1 3 3.7 8 6.1 11 4.8 27 5.3 7 3.8 2 2.4 17 7.1 11 5.2 5 2.7 11 3.5 7 5.6 10 4.1 3 2.3 SOMEWHAT LIKELY 15 2.9 6 2.3 9 3.5 2 2.6 5 3.7 8 3.5 15 3.0 9 4.9 6 2.3 7 3.1 5 2.7 7 2.3 4 3.3 6 2.4 2 1.9
  12. 12. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-2 T2. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming May 13th Republican primary election? US SENATE BALLOT GOVERNOR BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL --------- DINS DALE --------- JOHN SON -------- MC LEAY --------- OS BORN --------- SAS SE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- BRUN ING -------- RICK ETTS --------- FOL EY --------- CARL SON -------- MC COY --------- SL ONE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 125 100.0 10 100.0 30 100.0 106 100.0 200 100.0 15 100.0 40 100.0 126 100.0 132 100.0 94 100.0 26 100.0 86 100.0 26 100.0 6 100.0 28 100.0 EXTREMELY LIKELY 483 92.0 113 90.8 7 75.0 27 92.3 98 92.2 194 97.1 13 86.4 30 75.7 115 91.4 122 92.2 92 97.9 22 84.9 80 92.6 25 96.8 4 63.6 22 80.6 VERY LIKELY 27 5.1 8 6.5 2 25.0 2 7.7 5 5.2 5 2.4 4 9.4 6 5.0 9 6.5 1 0.9 3 10.9 5 5.4 1 16.7 2 8.7 SOMEWHAT LIKELY 15 2.9 3 2.7 3 2.6 1 0.5 2 13.6 6 14.9 5 3.6 2 1.3 1 1.2 1 4.1 2 2.0 1 3.2 1 19.8 3 10.7
  13. 13. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-1 T3. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Shane Osborn? GENDER AGE RACE REGION OSBORN IMG SASSE IMG DINSDALE IMG -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------- ------------------- -------------------- TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- WHTE -------- HISP LTNO --------- BLCK AA --------- OTHR -------- CD01 --------- CD02 -------- CD03 --------- FAV --------- UN FAV -------- FAV --------- UN FAV --------- FAV -------- UN FAV --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 262 100.0 262 100.0 16 100.0 63 100.0 84 100.0 126 100.0 236 100.0 509 100.0 2 100.0 4 100.0 10 100.0 194 100.0 84 100.0 247 100.0 209 100.0 170 100.0 311 100.0 124 100.0 245 100.0 123 100.0 (FAV - UNFAV) 40 7.6 12 4.4 28 10.7 5 32.2 7 11.4 14 17.2 5 4.1 8 3.4 45 8.8 1 44.9 -3 -71.2 -3 -32.6 29 15.1 -0.3 11 4.3 209 100.0 -170 -100.0 31 9.9 -10 -7.7 40 16.4 -13 -10.9 FAVORABLE 209 39.9 106 40.3 104 39.5 9 56.9 29 45.5 42 50.0 51 40.2 79 33.5 206 40.5 1 44.9 1 14.4 2 18.9 89 45.8 32 37.8 89 36.0 209 100.0 134 43.0 53 42.6 120 49.0 50 40.5 UNFAVORABLE 170 32.3 94 35.9 76 28.8 4 24.7 21 34.1 28 32.8 45 36.1 71 30.2 161 31.7 3 85.6 5 51.5 60 30.7 32 38.1 78 31.6 170 100.0 103 33.1 62 50.2 80 32.6 63 51.4 NO OPINION 126 24.0 56 21.4 70 26.6 9 13.6 14 16.4 27 21.7 76 32.3 123 24.1 1 55.1 2 20.5 38 19.8 18 21.0 70 28.4 68 21.8 9 7.2 41 16.5 8 6.6 NVR HEARD OF 3 0.6 1 0.5 2 0.8 1 5.9 1 0.8 1 0.9 1 0.2 2 0.5 1 9.0 1 0.6 2 2.6 1 0.4 UNSURE 17 3.2 5 2.0 11 4.3 2 12.5 4 6.9 1 1.1 9 3.7 17 3.3 6 3.2 1 0.6 10 4.0 7 2.1 4 1.5 2 1.6 NAME ID 505 96.2 256 97.5 249 95.0 13 81.6 59 93.1 83 99.2 123 98.0 226 96.0 490 96.3 2 100.0 4 100.0 9 91.0 187 96.3 81 96.8 237 96.0 209 100.0 170 100.0 305 97.9 124 100.0 240 98.0 121 98.4 HARD NAME ID 379 72.2 200 76.1 179 68.3 13 81.6 50 79.6 70 82.8 96 76.3 150 63.7 367 72.2 1 44.9 4 100.0 7 70.4 149 76.5 64 75.8 167 67.6 209 100.0 170 100.0 237 76.0 115 92.8 200 81.5 113 91.8
  14. 14. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-2 T3. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Shane Osborn? US SENATE BALLOT GOVERNOR BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL --------- DINS DALE --------- JOHN SON -------- MC LEAY --------- OS BORN --------- SAS SE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- BRUN ING -------- RICK ETTS --------- FOL EY --------- CARL SON -------- MC COY --------- SL ONE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 125 100.0 10 100.0 30 100.0 106 100.0 200 100.0 15 100.0 40 100.0 126 100.0 132 100.0 94 100.0 26 100.0 86 100.0 26 100.0 6 100.0 28 100.0 (FAV - UNFAV) 40 7.6 3 2.3 1 9.8 -4 -12.7 80 75.1 -34 -16.9 -5 -31.1 -2 -4.0 19 15.1 4 3.2 5 5.8 6 21.2 13 14.6 -7 -28.5 -3 -49.3 3 11.4 FAVORABLE 209 39.9 48 38.8 5 48.7 10 32.2 86 81.3 53 26.5 2 12.1 6 14.4 52 41.5 52 39.3 40 42.5 13 50.6 38 43.5 8 30.4 6 22.8 UNFAVORABLE 170 32.3 45 36.5 4 38.9 13 45.0 7 6.2 87 43.4 6 43.2 7 18.4 33 26.4 48 36.1 34 36.7 8 29.4 25 28.9 15 58.9 3 49.3 3 11.4 NO OPINION 126 24.0 27 21.4 1 12.4 6 20.5 12 11.6 53 26.5 6 38.4 21 52.4 33 26.5 32 23.9 15 16.5 5 20.1 22 25.0 3 10.7 2 39.8 13 47.9 NVR HEARD OF 3 0.6 1 0.9 1 2.2 1 0.3 1 6.3 1 0.4 1 0.7 1 1.2 1 10.9 UNSURE 17 3.2 3 2.4 1 0.9 7 3.3 6 14.8 6 5.1 3 3.1 2 2.6 5 17.9 NAME ID 505 96.2 120 96.7 10 100.0 29 97.8 105 99.1 193 96.4 14 93.7 34 85.2 119 94.5 131 99.3 90 95.7 26 100.0 84 97.4 26 100.0 5 89.1 23 82.1 HARD NAME ID 379 72.2 94 75.3 8 87.6 23 77.2 93 87.5 140 69.9 8 55.4 13 32.8 86 68.0 100 75.4 74 79.2 21 79.9 62 72.4 23 89.3 3 49.3 10 34.2
  15. 15. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-1 T4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ben Sasse? GENDER AGE RACE REGION OSBORN IMG SASSE IMG DINSDALE IMG -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------- ------------------- -------------------- TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- WHTE -------- HISP LTNO --------- BLCK AA --------- OTHR -------- CD01 --------- CD02 -------- CD03 --------- FAV --------- UN FAV -------- FAV --------- UN FAV --------- FAV -------- UN FAV --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 262 100.0 262 100.0 16 100.0 63 100.0 84 100.0 126 100.0 236 100.0 509 100.0 2 100.0 4 100.0 10 100.0 194 100.0 84 100.0 247 100.0 209 100.0 170 100.0 311 100.0 124 100.0 245 100.0 123 100.0 (FAV - UNFAV) 187 35.7 92 34.9 96 36.5 6 35.6 19 29.4 37 44.1 36 28.7 90 38.2 181 35.6 1 44.9 1 20.0 4 42.8 66 34.0 23 27.2 98 39.9 81 38.7 41 24.0 311 100.0 -124 -100.0 74 30.0 31 25.4 FAVORABLE 311 59.3 158 60.1 154 58.5 8 53.5 37 58.3 56 66.7 73 57.8 137 58.3 302 59.4 1 44.9 2 51.5 6 61.8 115 59.0 45 53.2 152 61.7 134 63.9 103 60.7 311 100.0 144 58.6 75 61.4 UNFAVORABLE 124 23.6 66 25.3 58 22.0 3 17.9 18 28.8 19 22.6 37 29.1 47 20.1 121 23.8 1 31.5 2 18.9 48 24.9 22 26.0 54 21.8 53 25.2 62 36.7 124 100.0 70 28.6 44 35.9 NO OPINION 76 14.5 32 12.2 44 16.8 2 10.2 8 12.9 8 9.2 15 12.3 43 18.3 74 14.5 1 55.1 1 10.3 29 14.7 14 16.8 33 13.6 22 10.5 4 2.2 26 10.6 3 2.7 NVR HEARD OF 6 1.1 2 0.7 4 1.5 1 5.9 1 0.8 4 1.8 5 1.0 1 9.0 3 3.1 3 1.3 2 0.6 UNSURE 8 1.4 5 1.8 3 1.1 2 12.5 1 0.8 1 0.9 4 1.6 7 1.4 1 17.1 3 1.4 1 0.8 4 1.7 1 0.4 1 0.4 4 1.5 NAME ID 512 97.5 256 97.6 255 97.3 13 81.6 63 100.0 83 98.4 125 99.1 228 96.6 497 97.7 2 100.0 3 82.9 9 91.0 191 98.6 81 96.1 239 97.0 209 99.6 169 99.6 311 100.0 124 100.0 240 97.9 123 100.0 HARD NAME ID 435 82.9 224 85.4 211 80.5 11 71.4 55 87.1 75 89.2 109 86.9 185 78.3 423 83.2 1 44.9 3 82.9 8 80.7 163 83.9 67 79.3 206 83.5 187 89.1 165 97.4 311 100.0 124 100.0 214 87.2 120 97.3
  16. 16. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-2 T4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ben Sasse? US SENATE BALLOT GOVERNOR BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL --------- DINS DALE --------- JOHN SON -------- MC LEAY --------- OS BORN --------- SAS SE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- BRUN ING -------- RICK ETTS --------- FOL EY --------- CARL SON -------- MC COY --------- SL ONE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 125 100.0 10 100.0 30 100.0 106 100.0 200 100.0 15 100.0 40 100.0 126 100.0 132 100.0 94 100.0 26 100.0 86 100.0 26 100.0 6 100.0 28 100.0 (FAV - UNFAV) 187 35.7 -17 -13.7 -5 -48.1 -2 -7.7 18 16.8 192 95.9 -5 -31.1 6 14.8 61 48.6 56 42.3 17 17.9 -7 -27.6 47 54.4 5 19.7 -1 -18.0 10 34.3 FAVORABLE 311 59.3 40 32.3 2 25.9 9 29.5 51 47.8 194 97.0 2 12.1 13 32.8 82 64.7 82 61.7 50 53.0 9 34.3 61 70.2 15 58.3 2 31.3 12 42.2 UNFAVORABLE 124 23.6 57 45.9 7 74.1 11 37.3 33 31.0 2 1.1 6 43.2 7 18.0 20 16.1 26 19.4 33 35.1 16 61.9 14 15.8 10 38.6 3 49.3 2 7.9 NO OPINION 76 14.5 22 17.4 8 27.3 22 20.3 3 1.6 6 38.4 16 39.8 21 16.4 22 17.0 9 9.8 1 3.8 12 13.4 1 3.2 1 8.5 10 35.4 NVR HEARD OF 6 1.1 1 0.8 1 2.2 0.1 1 0.3 1 6.3 3 6.5 1 0.4 2 1.5 1 0.6 1 10.9 2 7.8 UNSURE 8 1.4 5 3.6 1 3.7 1 0.8 1 2.9 3 2.4 1 0.5 2 2.1 2 6.8 NAME ID 512 97.5 119 95.6 10 100.0 28 94.1 105 99.2 200 99.7 14 93.7 36 90.6 123 97.2 130 98.0 92 97.9 26 100.0 86 99.4 26 100.0 5 89.1 24 85.4 HARD NAME ID 435 82.9 97 78.2 10 100.0 20 66.8 84 78.9 196 98.1 8 55.4 20 50.8 102 80.8 107 81.0 83 88.1 25 96.2 74 86.0 25 96.8 5 80.6 14 50.1
  17. 17. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-1 T5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sid Dinsdale? GENDER AGE RACE REGION OSBORN IMG SASSE IMG DINSDALE IMG -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------- ------------------- -------------------- TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- WHTE -------- HISP LTNO --------- BLCK AA --------- OTHR -------- CD01 --------- CD02 -------- CD03 --------- FAV --------- UN FAV -------- FAV --------- UN FAV --------- FAV -------- UN FAV --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 262 100.0 262 100.0 16 100.0 63 100.0 84 100.0 126 100.0 236 100.0 509 100.0 2 100.0 4 100.0 10 100.0 194 100.0 84 100.0 247 100.0 209 100.0 170 100.0 311 100.0 124 100.0 245 100.0 123 100.0 (FAV - UNFAV) 122 23.3 79 30.1 43 16.5 12 75.7 13 19.8 16 18.5 36 28.2 47 19.8 126 24.7 1 44.9 4.1 -5 -44.7 35 17.8 37 43.7 51 20.7 70 33.6 17 9.8 68 22.0 26 20.9 245 100.0 -123 -100.0 FAVORABLE 245 46.7 139 52.9 106 40.5 12 75.7 29 46.6 38 45.0 66 52.6 100 42.3 242 47.6 1 44.9 1 31.5 1 7.2 90 46.1 51 61.0 104 42.3 120 57.3 80 47.0 144 46.2 70 56.5 245 100.0 UNFAVORABLE 123 23.4 60 22.8 63 24.0 17 26.8 22 26.5 31 24.3 53 22.5 117 22.9 1 27.4 5 51.8 55 28.3 14 17.2 53 21.6 50 23.7 63 37.2 75 24.2 44 35.6 123 100.0 NO OPINION 138 26.2 57 21.6 81 30.8 1 5.9 14 22.8 21 25.1 28 22.0 73 31.1 131 25.8 1 55.1 2 41.2 3 32.0 45 23.3 15 17.5 78 31.5 37 17.7 26 15.2 85 27.3 8 6.6 NVR HEARD OF 11 2.2 4 1.4 8 2.9 1 5.9 2 3.8 2 2.2 6 2.6 10 2.0 1 9.0 1 0.5 4 4.3 7 2.7 2 0.8 2 0.7 2 1.3 UNSURE 8 1.5 3 1.3 5 1.7 2 12.5 1 1.2 1 1.1 3 1.5 8 1.6 3 1.8 5 1.8 1 0.4 1 0.6 5 1.6 NAME ID 506 96.3 255 97.3 250 95.4 13 81.6 61 96.2 81 96.6 125 98.9 226 95.9 490 96.4 2 100.0 4 100.0 9 91.0 190 97.8 80 95.7 235 95.4 207 98.8 169 99.4 304 97.7 122 98.7 245 100.0 123 100.0 HARD NAME ID 368 70.1 199 75.7 169 64.5 12 75.7 46 73.4 60 71.5 97 76.9 153 64.8 359 70.5 1 44.9 2 58.8 6 59.0 145 74.5 66 78.2 158 64.0 170 81.1 143 84.2 219 70.4 114 92.2 245 100.0 123 100.0
  18. 18. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-2 T5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sid Dinsdale? US SENATE BALLOT GOVERNOR BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL --------- DINS DALE --------- JOHN SON -------- MC LEAY --------- OS BORN --------- SAS SE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- BRUN ING -------- RICK ETTS --------- FOL EY --------- CARL SON -------- MC COY --------- SL ONE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 125 100.0 10 100.0 30 100.0 106 100.0 200 100.0 15 100.0 40 100.0 126 100.0 132 100.0 94 100.0 26 100.0 86 100.0 26 100.0 6 100.0 28 100.0 (FAV - UNFAV) 122 23.3 114 91.9 1 1.8 5 4.3 4 2.0 -6 -37.9 4 11.1 44 34.5 13 9.6 15 15.6 19 71.7 13 15.1 9 34.3 4.2 10 37.2 FAVORABLE 245 46.7 117 94.1 5 50.0 10 32.2 39 36.8 64 32.0 2 12.1 9 21.9 62 49.2 53 40.1 45 47.4 20 75.7 37 42.6 15 59.1 2 34.1 11 41.1 UNFAVORABLE 123 23.4 3 2.1 5 50.0 9 30.5 35 32.5 60 30.0 7 50.0 4 10.8 18 14.6 40 30.5 30 31.9 1 4.0 24 27.5 6 24.8 2 29.9 1 4.0 NO OPINION 138 26.2 3 2.2 10 35.0 30 28.2 70 34.9 5 31.6 20 49.7 41 32.2 36 27.5 17 18.3 5 20.3 23 27.2 4 16.2 2 25.1 9 31.5 NVR HEARD OF 11 2.2 1 2.2 2 1.6 1 0.5 1 6.3 7 17.4 1 1.1 2 1.9 1 1.3 1 10.9 6 20.0 UNSURE 8 1.5 2 1.6 1 0.8 5 2.5 0.2 4 2.9 1 1.1 2 2.8 1 3.4 NAME ID 506 96.3 123 98.4 10 100.0 29 97.8 104 97.6 194 97.0 14 93.7 33 82.5 121 96.0 130 98.1 92 97.6 26 100.0 84 97.2 26 100.0 5 89.1 21 76.6 HARD NAME ID 368 70.1 120 96.2 10 100.0 19 62.7 74 69.3 124 62.1 9 62.1 13 32.8 81 63.8 93 70.6 74 79.3 21 79.7 60 70.0 22 83.8 4 64.0 13 45.1
  19. 19. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-1 T6. If the Republican primary election for the United States Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Sid Dinsdale, Clifton Johnson, Bart McLeay, Shane Osborn or Ben Sasse? GENDER AGE RACE REGION OSBORN IMG SASSE IMG DINSDALE IMG -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------- ------------------- -------------------- TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- WHTE -------- HISP LTNO --------- BLCK AA --------- OTHR -------- CD01 --------- CD02 -------- CD03 --------- FAV --------- UN FAV -------- FAV --------- UN FAV --------- FAV -------- UN FAV --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 262 100.0 262 100.0 16 100.0 63 100.0 84 100.0 126 100.0 236 100.0 509 100.0 2 100.0 4 100.0 10 100.0 194 100.0 84 100.0 247 100.0 209 100.0 170 100.0 311 100.0 124 100.0 245 100.0 123 100.0 BEN SASSE 200 38.1 92 35.0 108 41.3 1 5.9 19 30.2 35 42.2 52 41.2 93 39.3 193 37.9 2 51.5 6 54.6 81 41.9 30 35.7 89 36.0 53 25.3 87 51.2 194 62.4 2 1.8 64 26.2 60 48.9 SID DINSDALE 125 23.7 75 28.5 50 18.9 9 59.2 15 23.0 17 20.7 30 23.9 53 22.5 123 24.2 1 17.1 1 7.2 31 15.9 27 32.5 66 26.9 48 23.0 45 26.8 40 12.9 57 46.1 117 47.7 3 2.2 SHANE OSBORN 106 20.2 51 19.5 55 21.0 17 26.8 14 17.0 22 17.4 53 22.5 103 20.2 1 44.9 1 14.4 2 18.9 45 23.1 13 15.0 49 19.8 86 41.2 7 3.9 51 16.3 33 26.6 39 15.9 35 28.1 BART MCLEAY 30 5.6 17 6.5 13 4.8 5 29.0 7 11.2 5 5.9 8 6.4 5 2.1 29 5.7 1 17.1 15 7.8 5 6.3 9 3.7 10 4.5 13 7.8 9 2.8 11 8.9 10 3.9 9 7.3 CLIFTON JOHNSON 10 1.8 6 2.4 3 1.2 4 4.2 5 4.1 1 0.3 10 1.9 4 2.1 5 2.2 5 2.2 4 2.2 2 0.8 7 5.7 5 1.9 5 3.9 OTHER 15 2.8 5 2.1 9 3.6 1 5.9 5 6.2 9 3.7 13 2.5 1 55.1 1 9.0 4 2.3 3 3.1 8 3.2 2 0.9 6 3.8 2 0.6 6 5.2 2 0.7 7 6.0 UNDECIDED 40 7.6 16 6.1 24 9.2 6 8.8 3 3.9 9 7.0 22 9.5 39 7.7 1 10.3 13 6.9 6 7.4 21 8.3 6 2.8 7 4.3 13 4.2 7 5.8 9 3.6 4 3.5
  20. 20. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-2 T6. If the Republican primary election for the United States Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Sid Dinsdale, Clifton Johnson, Bart McLeay, Shane Osborn or Ben Sasse? US SENATE BALLOT GOVERNOR BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL --------- DINS DALE --------- JOHN SON -------- MC LEAY --------- OS BORN --------- SAS SE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- BRUN ING -------- RICK ETTS --------- FOL EY --------- CARL SON -------- MC COY --------- SL ONE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 125 100.0 10 100.0 30 100.0 106 100.0 200 100.0 15 100.0 40 100.0 126 100.0 132 100.0 94 100.0 26 100.0 86 100.0 26 100.0 6 100.0 28 100.0 BEN SASSE 200 38.1 200 100.0 49 38.6 54 41.1 37 39.0 4 13.9 39 45.1 12 45.6 2 31.3 4 15.2 SID DINSDALE 125 23.7 125 100.0 36 28.4 28 21.1 25 27.2 12 45.2 12 13.8 7 28.0 1 19.4 3 10.3 SHANE OSBORN 106 20.2 106 100.0 26 20.7 36 27.1 19 20.2 3 12.0 18 21.2 1 3.9 3 10.4 BART MCLEAY 30 5.6 30 100.0 7 5.2 3 2.3 4 4.6 3 12.3 9 10.4 3 10.4 1 10.9 CLIFTON JOHNSON 10 1.8 10 100.0 1 0.7 2 1.8 1 1.5 2 8.6 1 1.4 1 5.5 OTHER 15 2.8 15 100.0 2 1.5 3 2.0 4 4.5 2 2.3 2 6.6 2 38.4 UNDECIDED 40 7.6 40 100.0 6 4.9 6 4.6 3 3.0 2 8.0 5 5.8 18 64.0
  21. 21. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-1 T7. If the Republican primary election for Governor were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Jon Bruning, Peter Ricketts, Mike Foley, Tom Carlson, Beau McCoy, or Bryan Slone? GENDER AGE RACE REGION OSBORN IMG SASSE IMG DINSDALE IMG -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------- ------------------- -------------------- TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- WHTE -------- HISP LTNO --------- BLCK AA --------- OTHR -------- CD01 --------- CD02 -------- CD03 --------- FAV --------- UN FAV -------- FAV --------- UN FAV --------- FAV -------- UN FAV --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 262 100.0 262 100.0 16 100.0 63 100.0 84 100.0 126 100.0 236 100.0 509 100.0 2 100.0 4 100.0 10 100.0 194 100.0 84 100.0 247 100.0 209 100.0 170 100.0 311 100.0 124 100.0 245 100.0 123 100.0 PETER RICKETTS 132 25.2 57 21.5 76 28.9 2 11.8 20 32.5 24 28.6 25 19.6 61 25.9 126 24.8 2 100.0 2 41.2 3 25.0 49 25.4 29 34.8 54 21.8 52 24.8 48 28.1 82 26.2 26 20.7 53 21.6 40 32.8 JON BRUNING 126 24.1 71 27.1 55 21.0 9 60.1 13 20.0 12 13.7 30 24.0 62 26.5 124 24.3 1 14.4 2 18.6 37 18.9 17 20.8 72 29.2 52 25.0 33 19.7 82 26.2 20 16.4 62 25.3 18 15.0 MIKE FOLEY 94 17.9 52 19.8 42 16.0 2 11.6 6 9.5 18 21.0 26 20.5 43 18.0 90 17.7 1 17.1 3 29.2 44 22.6 10 11.5 40 16.3 40 19.0 34 20.3 50 16.0 33 26.5 45 18.2 30 24.3 BEAU MCCOY 86 16.4 47 18.0 39 14.9 2 10.2 16 24.7 17 19.6 23 18.0 30 12.7 83 16.4 1 27.4 2 16.9 39 20.2 14 16.7 33 13.4 38 17.9 25 14.7 61 19.5 14 11.0 37 15.0 24 19.3 TOM CARLSON 26 5.0 12 4.5 15 5.5 2 3.8 5 5.7 12 9.4 7 3.1 26 5.2 10 5.0 3 3.4 14 5.6 13 6.4 8 4.5 9 2.9 16 13.1 20 8.1 1 0.9 BRYAN SLONE 26 5.0 11 4.2 15 5.7 1 6.4 4 5.9 4 5.2 4 3.4 13 5.4 26 5.1 8 4.2 5 6.2 13 5.2 8 3.8 15 9.1 15 4.9 10 8.1 15 6.3 6 5.3 OTHER 6 1.2 3 1.0 3 1.3 2 2.9 1 0.9 2 1.0 6 1.2 2 1.1 2 2.1 2 0.9 3 1.8 2 0.6 3 2.4 2 0.8 2 1.5 UNDECIDED 28 5.3 10 3.9 18 6.7 2 3.8 3 3.1 5 4.1 17 7.4 27 5.3 1 10.3 5 2.5 4 4.5 19 7.7 6 3.0 3 1.9 12 3.8 2 1.8 11 4.7 1 0.9
  22. 22. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-2 T7. If the Republican primary election for Governor were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Jon Bruning, Peter Ricketts, Mike Foley, Tom Carlson, Beau McCoy, or Bryan Slone? US SENATE BALLOT GOVERNOR BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL --------- DINS DALE --------- JOHN SON -------- MC LEAY --------- OS BORN --------- SAS SE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- BRUN ING -------- RICK ETTS --------- FOL EY --------- CARL SON -------- MC COY --------- SL ONE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 125 100.0 10 100.0 30 100.0 106 100.0 200 100.0 15 100.0 40 100.0 126 100.0 132 100.0 94 100.0 26 100.0 86 100.0 26 100.0 6 100.0 28 100.0 PETER RICKETTS 132 25.2 28 22.4 2 25.0 3 10.3 36 33.7 54 27.1 3 18.0 6 15.3 132 100.0 JON BRUNING 126 24.1 36 28.8 1 8.6 7 22.4 26 24.6 49 24.3 2 12.8 6 15.5 126 100.0 MIKE FOLEY 94 17.9 25 20.5 1 15.1 4 14.7 19 17.8 37 18.3 4 28.7 3 7.0 94 100.0 BEAU MCCOY 86 16.4 12 9.6 1 12.4 9 30.3 18 17.2 39 19.4 2 13.4 5 12.5 86 100.0 TOM CARLSON 26 5.0 12 9.6 2 23.7 3 11.0 3 3.0 4 1.8 2 5.2 26 100.0 BRYAN SLONE 26 5.0 7 5.9 1 15.1 3 9.2 1 0.9 12 5.9 2 11.5 26 100.0 OTHER 6 1.2 1 0.9 1 2.2 2 0.9 2 15.6 6 100.0 UNDECIDED 28 5.3 3 2.3 3 2.7 4 2.1 18 44.4 28 100.0
  23. 23. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-1 And now I have a couple questions for statistical purposes only... T8. Are you a man or a woman? GENDER AGE RACE REGION OSBORN IMG SASSE IMG DINSDALE IMG -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------- ------------------- -------------------- TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- WHTE -------- HISP LTNO --------- BLCK AA --------- OTHR -------- CD01 --------- CD02 -------- CD03 --------- FAV --------- UN FAV -------- FAV --------- UN FAV --------- FAV -------- UN FAV --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 262 100.0 262 100.0 16 100.0 63 100.0 84 100.0 126 100.0 236 100.0 509 100.0 2 100.0 4 100.0 10 100.0 194 100.0 84 100.0 247 100.0 209 100.0 170 100.0 311 100.0 124 100.0 245 100.0 123 100.0 MAN 262 50.0 262 100.0 12 76.6 31 50.0 43 51.2 62 49.5 113 48.1 253 49.7 3 75.9 7 65.4 100 51.6 44 52.0 119 48.0 106 50.5 94 55.5 158 50.7 66 53.5 139 56.6 60 48.7 WOMAN 262 50.0 262 100.0 4 23.4 32 50.0 41 48.8 64 50.5 122 51.9 256 50.3 2 100.0 1 24.1 4 34.6 94 48.4 40 48.0 128 52.0 104 49.5 76 44.5 154 49.3 58 46.5 106 43.4 63 51.3
  24. 24. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-2 And now I have a couple questions for statistical purposes only... T8. Are you a man or a woman? US SENATE BALLOT GOVERNOR BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL --------- DINS DALE --------- JOHN SON -------- MC LEAY --------- OS BORN --------- SAS SE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- BRUN ING -------- RICK ETTS --------- FOL EY --------- CARL SON -------- MC COY --------- SL ONE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 125 100.0 10 100.0 30 100.0 106 100.0 200 100.0 15 100.0 40 100.0 126 100.0 132 100.0 94 100.0 26 100.0 86 100.0 26 100.0 6 100.0 28 100.0 MAN 262 50.0 75 60.2 6 67.3 17 57.6 51 48.1 92 45.8 5 36.3 16 39.8 71 56.3 57 42.7 52 55.3 12 44.7 47 54.6 11 42.5 3 45.0 10 36.7 WOMAN 262 50.0 50 39.8 3 32.7 13 42.4 55 51.9 108 54.2 9 63.7 24 60.2 55 43.7 76 57.3 42 44.7 15 55.3 39 45.4 15 57.5 3 55.0 18 63.3
  25. 25. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-1 T9. Which of the following age groups applies to you? GENDER AGE RACE REGION OSBORN IMG SASSE IMG DINSDALE IMG -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------- ------------------- -------------------- TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- WHTE -------- HISP LTNO --------- BLCK AA --------- OTHR -------- CD01 --------- CD02 -------- CD03 --------- FAV --------- UN FAV -------- FAV --------- UN FAV --------- FAV -------- UN FAV --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 262 100.0 262 100.0 16 100.0 63 100.0 84 100.0 126 100.0 236 100.0 509 100.0 2 100.0 4 100.0 10 100.0 194 100.0 84 100.0 247 100.0 209 100.0 170 100.0 311 100.0 124 100.0 245 100.0 123 100.0 18-29 16 3.0 12 4.6 4 1.4 16 100.0 14 2.7 1 24.1 1 9.0 3 1.7 3 3.4 10 3.9 9 4.3 4 2.3 8 2.7 3 2.3 12 4.9 30-44 63 12.0 31 12.0 32 12.0 63 100.0 61 12.0 2 18.9 28 14.6 10 12.1 25 9.9 29 13.7 21 12.7 37 11.8 18 14.6 29 12.0 17 13.7 45-54 84 16.0 43 16.4 41 15.6 84 100.0 76 15.0 2 100.0 2 61.5 3 30.8 35 17.9 16 19.0 33 13.5 42 20.1 28 16.3 56 18.0 19 15.3 38 15.4 22 18.1 55-64 126 24.0 62 23.8 64 24.2 126 100.0 123 24.3 3 25.3 48 25.0 18 21.0 60 24.3 51 24.2 45 26.8 73 23.4 37 29.6 66 27.0 31 24.9 65+ 236 44.9 113 43.2 122 46.6 236 100.0 234 45.9 1 14.4 2 16.0 79 40.9 37 44.5 119 48.2 79 37.7 71 41.9 137 44.1 47 38.1 100 40.7 53 43.2 UNSURE NO OPINION 1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
  26. 26. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-2 T9. Which of the following age groups applies to you? US SENATE BALLOT GOVERNOR BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL --------- DINS DALE --------- JOHN SON -------- MC LEAY --------- OS BORN --------- SAS SE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- BRUN ING -------- RICK ETTS --------- FOL EY --------- CARL SON -------- MC COY --------- SL ONE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 125 100.0 10 100.0 30 100.0 106 100.0 200 100.0 15 100.0 40 100.0 126 100.0 132 100.0 94 100.0 26 100.0 86 100.0 26 100.0 6 100.0 28 100.0 18-29 16 3.0 9 7.5 5 15.5 1 0.5 1 6.3 9 7.5 2 1.4 2 1.9 2 1.9 1 3.8 30-44 63 12.0 15 11.7 7 23.8 17 15.9 19 9.5 6 13.8 13 10.0 20 15.5 6 6.4 2 9.1 16 18.0 4 14.1 2 8.6 45-54 84 16.0 17 13.9 4 37.2 5 16.7 14 13.4 35 17.7 5 34.9 3 8.1 12 9.1 24 18.2 18 18.8 5 18.3 17 19.1 4 16.7 2 40.8 3 9.5 55-64 126 24.0 30 24.2 5 54.1 8 27.4 22 20.6 52 25.9 9 22.0 30 24.0 25 18.7 26 27.5 12 44.9 23 26.3 4 16.5 1 19.4 5 18.7 65+ 236 44.9 53 42.6 1 8.6 5 16.6 53 50.0 93 46.3 9 58.9 22 55.8 62 49.5 61 46.1 43 45.3 7 27.7 30 34.6 13 48.8 2 39.8 17 62.6 UNSURE NO OPINION 1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7
  27. 27. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-1 T10. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 4 if you belong to another ethnic group. GENDER AGE RACE REGION OSBORN IMG SASSE IMG DINSDALE IMG -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------- ------------------- -------------------- TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- WHTE -------- HISP LTNO --------- BLCK AA --------- OTHR -------- CD01 --------- CD02 -------- CD03 --------- FAV --------- UN FAV -------- FAV --------- UN FAV --------- FAV -------- UN FAV --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 262 100.0 262 100.0 16 100.0 63 100.0 84 100.0 126 100.0 236 100.0 509 100.0 2 100.0 4 100.0 10 100.0 194 100.0 84 100.0 247 100.0 209 100.0 170 100.0 311 100.0 124 100.0 245 100.0 123 100.0 WHITE 509 96.9 253 96.3 256 97.5 14 88.2 61 96.9 76 90.8 123 97.9 234 99.1 509 100.0 186 95.7 78 93.2 244 99.1 206 98.3 161 94.9 302 97.0 121 97.5 242 98.8 117 94.8 HISPANIC LATINO 2 0.4 2 0.8 2 2.6 2 100.0 1 0.5 1 0.5 1 0.5 1 0.3 1 0.4 BLACK AA 4 0.7 3 1.1 1 0.4 1 5.9 2 2.8 1 0.2 4 100.0 1 0.5 3 3.3 1 0.3 3 1.9 2 0.6 1 1.0 1 0.5 1 0.9 OTHER 10 2.0 7 2.6 4 1.4 1 5.9 2 3.1 3 3.8 3 2.1 2 0.7 10 100.0 6 3.2 3 3.5 1 0.4 2 0.9 5 3.1 6 2.0 2 1.6 1 0.3 5 4.3
  28. 28. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-2 T10. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 4 if you belong to another ethnic group. US SENATE BALLOT GOVERNOR BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL --------- DINS DALE --------- JOHN SON -------- MC LEAY --------- OS BORN --------- SAS SE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- BRUN ING -------- RICK ETTS --------- FOL EY --------- CARL SON -------- MC COY --------- SL ONE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 125 100.0 10 100.0 30 100.0 106 100.0 200 100.0 15 100.0 40 100.0 126 100.0 132 100.0 94 100.0 26 100.0 86 100.0 26 100.0 6 100.0 28 100.0 WHITE 509 96.9 123 98.9 10 100.0 29 97.8 103 96.7 193 96.2 13 85.7 39 97.4 124 98.0 126 95.2 90 96.1 26 100.0 83 96.8 26 100.0 6 100.0 27 96.2 HISPANIC LATINO 2 0.4 1 0.9 1 8.1 2 1.6 BLACK AA 4 0.7 1 0.5 1 2.2 1 0.5 2 1.0 1 0.4 2 1.2 1 0.7 1 1.2 OTHER 10 2.0 1 0.6 2 1.8 6 2.8 1 6.3 1 2.6 2 1.5 3 1.9 3 3.2 2 2.0 1 3.8
  29. 29. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-1 REGION GENDER AGE RACE REGION OSBORN IMG SASSE IMG DINSDALE IMG -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------- ------------------- -------------------- TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- WHTE -------- HISP LTNO --------- BLCK AA --------- OTHR -------- CD01 --------- CD02 -------- CD03 --------- FAV --------- UN FAV -------- FAV --------- UN FAV --------- FAV -------- UN FAV --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 262 100.0 262 100.0 16 100.0 63 100.0 84 100.0 126 100.0 236 100.0 509 100.0 2 100.0 4 100.0 10 100.0 194 100.0 84 100.0 247 100.0 209 100.0 170 100.0 311 100.0 124 100.0 245 100.0 123 100.0 CD01 194 37.0 100 38.2 94 35.8 3 20.4 28 44.9 35 41.5 48 38.5 79 33.7 186 36.6 1 44.9 1 27.4 6 61.2 194 100.0 89 42.5 60 35.2 115 36.8 48 39.0 90 36.5 55 44.8 CD02 84 16.0 44 16.6 40 15.4 3 18.2 10 16.2 16 19.0 18 14.0 37 15.8 78 15.4 3 72.6 3 28.2 84 100.0 32 15.1 32 18.8 45 14.4 22 17.6 51 20.9 14 11.8 CD03 247 47.0 119 45.2 128 48.8 10 61.5 25 39.0 33 39.5 60 47.5 119 50.5 244 48.1 1 55.1 1 10.6 247 100.0 89 42.4 78 46.0 152 48.9 54 43.4 104 42.6 53 43.4
  30. 30. Nebraska Republican Primary Survey, May 8th, 2014, 525N, 4.28% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-2 REGION US SENATE BALLOT GOVERNOR BALLOT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL --------- DINS DALE --------- JOHN SON -------- MC LEAY --------- OS BORN --------- SAS SE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- BRUN ING -------- RICK ETTS --------- FOL EY --------- CARL SON -------- MC COY --------- SL ONE -------- OTHR --------- UNDE CIDE --------- TOTAL 525 100.0 125 100.0 10 100.0 30 100.0 106 100.0 200 100.0 15 100.0 40 100.0 126 100.0 132 100.0 94 100.0 26 100.0 86 100.0 26 100.0 6 100.0 28 100.0 CD01 194 37.0 31 24.8 4 43.6 15 51.2 45 42.2 81 40.7 4 30.0 13 33.3 37 29.1 49 37.3 44 46.8 10 37.0 39 45.6 8 31.2 2 34.1 5 17.7 CD02 84 16.0 27 21.9 5 18.0 13 11.8 30 15.0 3 17.6 6 15.5 17 13.8 29 22.1 10 10.3 3 10.7 14 16.2 5 20.1 2 29.5 4 13.7 CD03 247 47.0 66 53.3 5 56.4 9 30.7 49 46.0 89 44.4 8 52.4 21 51.2 72 57.1 54 40.6 40 42.9 14 52.3 33 38.2 13 48.7 2 36.4 19 68.6

×