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Colorado CD3
Immigration
Survey
October 17th – 18th, 2013
Magellan Strategies are pleased to
present the results of a 720n autodial
survey of likely 2014 general election
voters in Colorado Congressional
District 3. The survey was completed on
behalf of America’s Voice. The
interviewing was conducted October
17th - 18th, 2013. This survey has a
margin of error of +/-3.65% at the 95
percent confidence interval.
Scott Tipton
Image Rating
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of Scott Tipton?
40%

23%

3%

41%
31%
17%

35%

FAVORABLE

28%
4%

2%

MEN

39%

37%

WOMEN

UNFAVORABLE

NO OPINION

NEVER HEARD OF

58%
50%
39%
23%25%
FAVORABLE

UNFAVORABLE

NO OPINION

28%

22%

28%
5%

NEVER HEARD OF

2%
REPUBLICAN

17% 2%
DEMOCRAT

INDEPENDENT
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of Scott Tipton?
23%

3%

35%

39%

FAVORABLE

UNFAVORABLE

NO OPINION

NEVER HEARD OF

55%

39%
32%29%
28%
11%

24%

20%

35-44

26%

20%
2%

45-54

37%

38%
34%

22%

2%

18-34

41%

37%

2%

1%

55-64

65+
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of Scott Tipton?
FAVORABLE

23%

3%

UNFAVORABLE

NO OPINION

NEVER HEARD OF

35%
53%

42%

39%
32%

23%

22%

24%

3%

FAVORABLE

UNFAVORABLE

NO OPINION

NEVER HEARD OF

WHITE

1%

HISPANIC
Voter Opinion on
Immigration
Reform
Thinking now about immigration reform...As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to
consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase
border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that
undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If
immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this
information, would you support or oppose this legislation?
45%

33%

18%

6%

36%

10%

40%

10%

MEN

77%

WOM

STRONGLY SUPPORT

SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

STRONGLY OPPOSE

SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

44%
40%
OPPOSE

41%

35%

34%
SUPPORT

7%

8%

35%

UNSURE NO OPINION
10%
10%

REPUBLICAN

6%

7%
DEMOCRAT

11%

9%

INDEPENDENT
Thinking now about immigration reform...As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning
to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly
increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that
undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If
immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing
this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

6%

18%

77%

SUPPORT

OPPOSE

UNSURE NO OPINION

65%

35%

35%
34%

12%

14%
10%
18-34

STRONGLY SUPPORT

12% 11%
35-44

45%

46%

41%

33%

30%

11% 7%
45-54

SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

9% 7%
55-64

STRONGLY OPPOSE

7% 8%
65+
SOMEWHAT OPPOSE
Thinking now about immigration reform...As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning
to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly
increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that
undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If
immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing
this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

STRONGLY SUPPORT
STRONGLY OPPOSE

18%

SOMEWHAT SUPPORT
SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

6%

53%
39% 39%

77%
23%
9%
SUPPORT

OPPOSE

UNSURE NO OPINION

WHITE

8%

9%
HISPANIC

10%
Voter Opinion on
Immigration
Reform
Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that
ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a
penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes,
and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for
citizenship?
39%

36%
32%

29%

4%

14% 15%

28%

11%

MEN

68%

16%

WOMEN

STRONGLY SUPPORT

SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

STRONGLY OPPOSE

SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

46%
32%
TOTAL SUPPORT

TOTAL OPPOSE

31%
23%

UNSURE NO OPINION

22%
17%

12%
7%
REPUBLICAN

33%
34%

15%
12%

DEMOCRAT

INDEPENDENT
Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that
ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a
penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay
taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be
eligible for citizenship?
4%
28%
68%

TOTAL SUPPORT

TOTAL OPPOSE

UNSURE NO OPINION

37%

37%

34%
33%

35%

31%

27%

38%
35%

26%

23%

21%
15% 16%

17%

15%

12%
9%

9%

4%
18-34
STRONGLY SUPPORT

35-44

45-54

SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

55-64
STRONGLY OPPOSE

65+
SOMEWHAT OPPOSE
Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that
ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a
penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay
taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be
eligible for citizenship?

STRONGLY SUPPORT
STRONGLY OPPOSE

4%

SOMEWHAT SUPPORT
SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

28%
35%

35%

33%

30%

68%

20%
14% 14%
9%

WHITE
TOTAL SUPPORT

TOTAL OPPOSE

UNSURE NO OPINION

HISPANIC
Voter Opinion on
Republican
Reform
If the Republicans in the House do not pass an immigration reform bill
this year, would you be more or less likely to vote for a Republican
candidate in the 2014 general election, or would it not make a
difference in your decision?
37%

36% 35%
25%

6%
34%

23%

24%

8%

4%

MEN

36%

33%

MORE LIKELY

WOMEN

LESS LIKELY

NO DIFFERENCE

UNSURE NO OPINION

59%

40%
MORE LIKELY

35%36%

LESS LIKELY

NO DIFFERENCE

37%

UNSURE NO OPINION

28%
18%

REPUBLICAN

19%
5%

8%
DEMOCRAT

10%

5%

INDEPENDENT
If the Republicans in the House do not pass an immigration reform bill
this year, would you be more or less likely to vote for a Republican
candidate in the 2014 general election, or would it not make a
difference in your decision?
34%

6% 24%
36%

MORE LIKELY

LESS LIKELY

NO DIFFERENCE

UNSURE NO OPINION

52%
44%
36%
32%

30%

27%

45-54

55-64

24%
10%

5%

1%
35-44

26%

22%

6%

4%

18-34

35%

32%

19%

17%

40%

37%

65+
If the Republicans in the House do not pass an immigration reform bill
this year, would you be more or less likely to vote for a Republican
candidate in the 2014 general election, or would it not make a
difference in your decision?

MORE LIKELY
NO DIFFERENCE

6%
34%

LESS LIKELY
UNSURE NO OPINION

24%
42%
36%

36%

35%
27%

27%

23%
6%

MORE LIKELY

LESS LIKELY

NO DIFFERENCE

UNSURE NO OPINION

WHITE

4%

HISPANIC
Voter Opinion on
Bi-partisan Plan
~
Image of Tipton
If your Congressman Scott Tipton worked with other Republicans and
Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented
immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal
background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before
becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less
favorable opinion of Scott Tipton, or would it not make a difference in your
opinion of him?
22%

24%

13%

5%

14%

16%

13%

12%
9%

37%

34%

MEN

24%

WOMEN

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE

SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE

MUCH LESS FAVORABLE

SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

30%

27%

18%
TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE

TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE

UNSURE NO OPINION

8%

10%

REPUBLICAN

20%14%
12%
12%

DEMOCRAT

12%
13%

7%

INDEPENDENT
If your Congressman Scott Tipton worked with other Republicans and
Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented
immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal
background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before
becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less
favorable opinion of Scott Tipton, or would it not make a difference in your
opinion of him?

34%

5%

37%

24%
TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE

TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE

UNSURE NO OPINION

27%
22%

22%

21%

20%
17%
15%

15% 15%

11%

5%
6%

11%

13%

11%

15%

13%
12%

7%

18-34
35-44
MUCH MORE FAVORABLE
MUCH LESS FAVORABLE

15%

45-54

55-64
65+
SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE
SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE
If your Congressman Scott Tipton worked with other Republicans and
Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented
immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal
background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before
becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less
favorable opinion of Scott Tipton, or would it not make a difference in your
opinion of him?
MUCH MORE FAVORABLE
MUCH LESS FAVORABLE

5%

37%

34%

SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE
SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

25%

15%

24%

18%

16%

13%

14%
12%

9%

WHITE

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE

TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE

UNSURE NO OPINION

HISPANIC
Demographics
Demographics
34%

48%

52%

26%
18%
10%

FEMALE

18-34

MALE

83%

12%
35-44

45-54

55-64

25%

41%

15%
1%
WHITE

HISPANIC
LATINO

BLACK /
AFRICAN
AMERICAN

1%

65+

34%

OTHER

REPUBLICAN

DEMOCRAT

INDEPENDENT

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Colorado Congressional District 3 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

  • 2. Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the results of a 720n autodial survey of likely 2014 general election voters in Colorado Congressional District 3. The survey was completed on behalf of America’s Voice. The interviewing was conducted October 17th - 18th, 2013. This survey has a margin of error of +/-3.65% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
  • 4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Tipton? 40% 23% 3% 41% 31% 17% 35% FAVORABLE 28% 4% 2% MEN 39% 37% WOMEN UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF 58% 50% 39% 23%25% FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION 28% 22% 28% 5% NEVER HEARD OF 2% REPUBLICAN 17% 2% DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT
  • 5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Tipton? 23% 3% 35% 39% FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF 55% 39% 32%29% 28% 11% 24% 20% 35-44 26% 20% 2% 45-54 37% 38% 34% 22% 2% 18-34 41% 37% 2% 1% 55-64 65+
  • 6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Tipton? FAVORABLE 23% 3% UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF 35% 53% 42% 39% 32% 23% 22% 24% 3% FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF WHITE 1% HISPANIC
  • 8. Thinking now about immigration reform...As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation? 45% 33% 18% 6% 36% 10% 40% 10% MEN 77% WOM STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 44% 40% OPPOSE 41% 35% 34% SUPPORT 7% 8% 35% UNSURE NO OPINION 10% 10% REPUBLICAN 6% 7% DEMOCRAT 11% 9% INDEPENDENT
  • 9. Thinking now about immigration reform...As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation? 6% 18% 77% SUPPORT OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION 65% 35% 35% 34% 12% 14% 10% 18-34 STRONGLY SUPPORT 12% 11% 35-44 45% 46% 41% 33% 30% 11% 7% 45-54 SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 9% 7% 55-64 STRONGLY OPPOSE 7% 8% 65+ SOMEWHAT OPPOSE
  • 10. Thinking now about immigration reform...As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation? STRONGLY SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE 18% SOMEWHAT SUPPORT SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 6% 53% 39% 39% 77% 23% 9% SUPPORT OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION WHITE 8% 9% HISPANIC 10%
  • 12. Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship? 39% 36% 32% 29% 4% 14% 15% 28% 11% MEN 68% 16% WOMEN STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 46% 32% TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE 31% 23% UNSURE NO OPINION 22% 17% 12% 7% REPUBLICAN 33% 34% 15% 12% DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT
  • 13. Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship? 4% 28% 68% TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION 37% 37% 34% 33% 35% 31% 27% 38% 35% 26% 23% 21% 15% 16% 17% 15% 12% 9% 9% 4% 18-34 STRONGLY SUPPORT 35-44 45-54 SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 55-64 STRONGLY OPPOSE 65+ SOMEWHAT OPPOSE
  • 14. Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship? STRONGLY SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE 4% SOMEWHAT SUPPORT SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 28% 35% 35% 33% 30% 68% 20% 14% 14% 9% WHITE TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION HISPANIC
  • 16. If the Republicans in the House do not pass an immigration reform bill this year, would you be more or less likely to vote for a Republican candidate in the 2014 general election, or would it not make a difference in your decision? 37% 36% 35% 25% 6% 34% 23% 24% 8% 4% MEN 36% 33% MORE LIKELY WOMEN LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION 59% 40% MORE LIKELY 35%36% LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE 37% UNSURE NO OPINION 28% 18% REPUBLICAN 19% 5% 8% DEMOCRAT 10% 5% INDEPENDENT
  • 17. If the Republicans in the House do not pass an immigration reform bill this year, would you be more or less likely to vote for a Republican candidate in the 2014 general election, or would it not make a difference in your decision? 34% 6% 24% 36% MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION 52% 44% 36% 32% 30% 27% 45-54 55-64 24% 10% 5% 1% 35-44 26% 22% 6% 4% 18-34 35% 32% 19% 17% 40% 37% 65+
  • 18. If the Republicans in the House do not pass an immigration reform bill this year, would you be more or less likely to vote for a Republican candidate in the 2014 general election, or would it not make a difference in your decision? MORE LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE 6% 34% LESS LIKELY UNSURE NO OPINION 24% 42% 36% 36% 35% 27% 27% 23% 6% MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION WHITE 4% HISPANIC
  • 19. Voter Opinion on Bi-partisan Plan ~ Image of Tipton
  • 20. If your Congressman Scott Tipton worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Scott Tipton, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him? 22% 24% 13% 5% 14% 16% 13% 12% 9% 37% 34% MEN 24% WOMEN MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE 30% 27% 18% TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION 8% 10% REPUBLICAN 20%14% 12% 12% DEMOCRAT 12% 13% 7% INDEPENDENT
  • 21. If your Congressman Scott Tipton worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Scott Tipton, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him? 34% 5% 37% 24% TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION 27% 22% 22% 21% 20% 17% 15% 15% 15% 11% 5% 6% 11% 13% 11% 15% 13% 12% 7% 18-34 35-44 MUCH MORE FAVORABLE MUCH LESS FAVORABLE 15% 45-54 55-64 65+ SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE
  • 22. If your Congressman Scott Tipton worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Scott Tipton, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him? MUCH MORE FAVORABLE MUCH LESS FAVORABLE 5% 37% 34% SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE 25% 15% 24% 18% 16% 13% 14% 12% 9% WHITE TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION HISPANIC