Michael Musgrove
 Recession and recovery – Ross
 Porter's diamond analysis – David
 India and Brazil – Raj
 China – Lisa
 A closer loo...
• NBER (National Bureau of Economic
Research)
•Declared beginning around December
2007
• Recession = Domino Effect
Subprim...
•“Recession” is defined by NBER as
“significant decline in the economic activity
lasting more than a few months”
 Governmental Actions
 October 2008
 $700 billion TARP (Troubled Asset Relief Program)
 January 2009
 $787 billion St...
 Reason for Optimism
 Well-developed Economy
 Leadership in Auto, Telecommunication, Aerospace, IT
 Trade Deficit Lowe...
 Strong entrepreneurial culture
 Technological advancement leader
 China is forcing the U.S. to become more
efficient
...
 Determines the direction of innovation and
economic development
 Diverse culture
 Trend setter nation
 Domestic firm ...
 The U.S. encourages fair competition (FTC)
 Labor freedom
 Privatization
 Strong global position
 Judicial system
 Product performance
 Environmental safety standards
 Population: 1.1 billion
 GNI Per capita: $1,066.5
 Starting business – 13 procedures and 195 days
 Profit tax: 25.1%
...
 Rural poverty and slums
 Entrenched corruption
 Poor infrastructure
 Longest national constitution
 Second largest English speaking
population
 Educated human capital
 Evolving politics and media –
Empowering democracy...
 Population: 191 million
 GNI Per capita: $7,351.22
 Starting business – 16 procedures and 120 days
 Profit tax: 21.3%...
 Poverty and slums
 Poor infrastructure
 High public debt
 Unequal income distribution
 Brazil is far less reliant on exports
 Only 17% are exports
 Resource-rich country
 Surge in domestic consumption
 A...
 Population: 1.3 billion
 GNI Per capita: $ 2774.88
 Starting business – 14 procedures and
37days
 Closing a business:...
 Cheap Labor & Education
 Government policy
 High saving rate
 A strong manufacture base
 The lack of rule of Law
 Real Estate bubble
 China has been the fastest growing U.S. export
market among its major trading partners.
 China has become the second-la...
 The Rise of China
 9% growth over past 3 decades
 20 fastest growing cities
 Industrial growth
 Top Down Growth
 Co...
 The Rise of India
 6.9% growth over past decade
 Shift in poverty and income
 Bottom up Growth
 Initiated from the p...
 The Rise of Brazil
 5% growth rate
 Leading emerging market
 Well Planned Growth
 Top economists and international b...
USA-Geopolitical Superpower vs. the World
USA-Geopolitical Superpower vs. the World
USA-Geopolitical Superpower vs. the World
USA-Geopolitical Superpower vs. the World
USA-Geopolitical Superpower vs. the World
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USA-Geopolitical Superpower vs. the World

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A little something from Spring 2010 regarding America and the "Rise of the Rest," being Brazil, Argentina, Russia, India, China.

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  • Revamp of the constitution and judicial laws required in future
    Infrastructure – Bangalore example
  • Right to information improves the efficiency of the Indian bureaucrats and government officials.
    Media improves the efficiency of politicians
  • 41 vacations, terminating an employee is a big process, lots of drug use and crime,
  • USA-Geopolitical Superpower vs. the World

    1. 1. Michael Musgrove
    2. 2.  Recession and recovery – Ross  Porter's diamond analysis – David  India and Brazil – Raj  China – Lisa  A closer look at the rising rest – Adam  Strategy and wrap up – Thomas
    3. 3. • NBER (National Bureau of Economic Research) •Declared beginning around December 2007 • Recession = Domino Effect Subprime Mortgage Crisis Banks Collapse Lending Frozen Manufacturing Layoffs
    4. 4. •“Recession” is defined by NBER as “significant decline in the economic activity lasting more than a few months”
    5. 5.  Governmental Actions  October 2008  $700 billion TARP (Troubled Asset Relief Program)  January 2009  $787 billion Stimulus  Lowering Interest Rate  Home buyer tax credit  Job Creation Bill (Pending)
    6. 6.  Reason for Optimism  Well-developed Economy  Leadership in Auto, Telecommunication, Aerospace, IT  Trade Deficit Lowering Slightly  Shrank in 2008 (707.8 bn to 681.1 bn)
    7. 7.  Strong entrepreneurial culture  Technological advancement leader  China is forcing the U.S. to become more efficient  Excellent infrastructure to promote trade  Communication is widely available
    8. 8.  Determines the direction of innovation and economic development  Diverse culture  Trend setter nation  Domestic firm global forecasting
    9. 9.  The U.S. encourages fair competition (FTC)  Labor freedom  Privatization
    10. 10.  Strong global position  Judicial system  Product performance  Environmental safety standards
    11. 11.  Population: 1.1 billion  GNI Per capita: $1,066.5  Starting business – 13 procedures and 195 days  Profit tax: 25.1%  Closing a business: 7 years (for resolving bankruptcies)
    12. 12.  Rural poverty and slums  Entrenched corruption  Poor infrastructure  Longest national constitution
    13. 13.  Second largest English speaking population  Educated human capital  Evolving politics and media – Empowering democracy  Impact of services industry on overall economy
    14. 14.  Population: 191 million  GNI Per capita: $7,351.22  Starting business – 16 procedures and 120 days  Profit tax: 21.3%  Closing a business: 4 years (for resolving bankruptcies)  Latin America’s first super power
    15. 15.  Poverty and slums  Poor infrastructure  High public debt  Unequal income distribution
    16. 16.  Brazil is far less reliant on exports  Only 17% are exports  Resource-rich country  Surge in domestic consumption  Attention from global investors
    17. 17.  Population: 1.3 billion  GNI Per capita: $ 2774.88  Starting business – 14 procedures and 37days  Closing a business: 1.7 years (for resolving bankruptcies)  Profit tax: 6.3%
    18. 18.  Cheap Labor & Education  Government policy  High saving rate  A strong manufacture base
    19. 19.  The lack of rule of Law  Real Estate bubble
    20. 20.  China has been the fastest growing U.S. export market among its major trading partners.  China has become the second-largest source for U.S. imports.  China has become the second-largest purchaser of U.S. Treasury securities.
    21. 21.  The Rise of China  9% growth over past 3 decades  20 fastest growing cities  Industrial growth  Top Down Growth  Communist government  400 million pulled out of poverty  Future of China  Future growth  Government stability  Reliance on exporting
    22. 22.  The Rise of India  6.9% growth over past decade  Shift in poverty and income  Bottom up Growth  Initiated from the people  Language and services  Future of India  Expected growth  Reliance on exporting  Democratic government
    23. 23.  The Rise of Brazil  5% growth rate  Leading emerging market  Well Planned Growth  Top economists and international bankers  Structural reforms and fiscal policies  Future of Brazil  Exports account for 13% of GDP  Commodities exports  Domestic focus

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