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Daily Com
                                                 D       mmodity Report

                                                                                                                  30th A
                                                                                                                       August 2012

                                                              MCX GOLD (5 O
                                                                X         OCTOBER 12) –
                    Go
                     old         Silver         Cru
                                                  ude
                   (5 O
                      Oct-12)   (5 Se
                                    ept-12)   (19 Se
                                                   ep-12)     Gold opened high at 30952a moved fu
                                                                  d            her         and           urther higher to touch an
                                                              intra
                                                                  a-day high of 31007. How
                                                                              f           wever, it failed to sustain higher and
 Open
    n                 30,952        57,525         5,358
                                                              mov lower to t
                                                                  ved                      a-day low of 30734. It end the day
                                                                              touch an intra                          ded
 High
    h                 31,007        57,861         5,366      with modest losse to close at 30847.
                                                                               es          t
 Low                  30,734        57,160         5,293      The RSI has slipp below its average. Mo
                                                                              ped                       oreover, the S
                                                                                                                     Stochastic is
 Close                30,847        57,559         5,314
                                                              alrea
                                                                  ady placed bbelow its ave  erage. The R and Sto
                                                                                                         RSI         ochastic still
                                                              rema placed in the over bou
                                                                  ain                       ught zone. Thhese negative conditions
                                                                                                                     e
 Prev Close
    v.                30,948        57,609         5,362      would lead to selling pressure and profit ta
                                                                                            e            aking. The AD line and
                                                                                                                      DX
                                                              +DI line are movving lower, inndicating buyyers are bookking profits.
 % Ch
    hange             -0.33%        -0.09%
                                    -             -0.90%
                                                              MCX Gold faces resistance at 31070, 31
                                                                  X           s                          1110, 31250 and 31500
Source – MCX
     e                                                                                       aced at 30840, 30428, 303
                                                              while the support levels are pla
                                                                  e           t                                       340, 30179,
                                                              2966 and 28859
                                                                  68          9
                    Vo
                     olume (In 000'
                                  's)                         Positional Call – SELL MCX GOLD (5 O
                                                                                       X         OCTOBER 12) around
                                                              3085 Stop Los 31100 Target of 30300
                                                                 50,         ss
                  29/0
                     08/2012    28/08/2012        % Chg.
                                                              MCX SILVER (5 SEPT 12) –
                                                                X
 Gold (gms)          33
                      3,613.0      35
                                    5,543.0       -5.43%
                                                              Silve opened low at 57525 but managed to move high to touch
                                                                  er           wer                        d              her
 Silver (kgs)         1,647.8
                      1             1,466.4
                                    1             12.36%
                                                              an inntra-day high of 57861. Hoowever, it failed to sustain higher and
 Crude (bbl)         25
                      5,596.6      27
                                    7,450.9       -6.75%      mov lower to t
                                                                  ved                        a-day low of 57160. It end the day
                                                                                touch an intra                          ded
                                                              with marginal loss to close a 57559.
                                                                                ses          at
Source – MCX
     e
                                                              The Stochastic is placed below its average. More so the RSI is also
                                                                                s           w                         e
                   Turnover (In Lac
                                  cs)                         on vverge of slipping below its average. Moreover, th RSI and
                                                                                                                       he
                                                              Stocchastic still r
                                                                                remain place in the ove bought zo
                                                                                           ed             er           one. These
                  29/0
                     08/2012    28/08/2012        % Chg.      negaative conditions would lead to selling pressure and p
                                                                                            d                           profit taking
                                                              at hi
                                                                  igher levels. T
                                                                                Though the A
                                                                                           ADX line is still moving high the +DI
                                                                                                                       her,
Gold              1,038
                      8,457.9   1,099
                                    9,838.2       -5.58%      line continues to move lower, indicating buuyers are booking profits.
                                                              MCX Silver faces resistance a 58050 584 and 5922 while the
                                                                  X             s           at           445           21
Silver
     r             947
                     7,901.9     844
                                   4,045.7        12.30%
                                                              suppports are placed at 57180 57000, 56
                                                                                            0,           6157, 55551, 54570 and
Crude
    e             1,364
                      4,077.9   1,468
                                    8,203.2       -7.09%      5367 levels.
                                                                  75
Source – MCX
     e                                                        MCX CRUDE (19 September 12) –
                                                                X         9
                                                              Crud opened low at 5358 b managed to move high to touch
                                                                  de           wer          but                       her
                Global Market (Nyme - $)
                                  ex                          an in
                                                                  ntra-day high of 5366. Ho
                                                                              h            owever, it faile to sustain higher and
                                                                                                          ed
                                                              movved lower to ttouch an intr
                                                                                           ra-day low of 5293. It endded the day
                  30/0
                     08/2012    29/08/2012        % Chg.
                                                                              sses to close at 5314.
                                                              with moderate los
Gold (oz)            1,
                      ,655.30      1,659.50       -0.25%
                                                              The Stochastic h again slip
                                                                               has           pped below it average. M
                                                                                                          ts           More so the
Silver (oz)
     r                  30.68         30.84       -0.51%      RSI is placed be elow its averaage. These c conditions woould lead to
WTI CCrude                                                    sellin pressure. However, the Stochastic is nearing the over sold
                                                                   ng                        e
                        95.03         95.49       -0.48%
(bbl)                                                         zone which woul lead to buy
                                                                  e,            ld           ying support a lower levels. The ADX
                                                                                                          at
Brent Crude
      t                                                       line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sidew
                                                                               d                           ways, indicat
                                                                                                                       ting a range
                      112.54        112.79        -0.22%
(bbl)
                                                              boun trend. It f
                                                                   nd           faces resistance at 5366, 5408, 5516 and 5600
                                                                                                                       6
Dollar Index            81.51         81.47        0.14%
                                                              while the support are placed at 5238, 5275 5180, 5126 and 5093.
                                                                   e           ts                         5,           6
Source – www.cmeg
     e          group.com
                                                              Positional Call – BOOK PR
                                                                                      ROFITS MCX CRUDE (19 Sept 12))
                                                                                               X         9
                                                              arou 5320, giv @ 5361 o August 24 29
                                                                 und          ven      on       4-

                                                            Keynot Capitals L
                                                                 te         Ltd.
              The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
                    by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
                                                 www.keyynotecapitals.com
Com
  mmodity New
            ws:

•   Gold importe stay awa seeking p
    G            ers          ay          price directio Indian go importers took to the s
                                                       on:          old                      sidelines on W
                                                                                                          Wednesday,
    seeking price direction dur
    s                         ring the ongo
                                          oing wedding and festive sseason as prices stayed s
                                                                                            steady near it peak. The
                                                                                                          ts
    most-active gold for Octob delivery o the Multi C
    m                         ber         on           Commodity Exchange (MC was 0.01 percent lower at 30,945
                                                                               CX)
    rupees per 10 grams. The contract touc
    r           0                         ched a record high of 31,11 rupees on Monday. (ET
                                                                    10                      T)
•   Wheat future plunge 3 pc on profit-
    W           es                         -booking: Affter persistent rise, wheat prices fell by almost 3 pe cent to Rs
                                                                      t                         y           er
    1,532 per qu
    1           uintal in futur
                              res trade today as specu ulators preferrred to book at prevailing higher leve
                                                                                                g           els. Besides,
    in
     ncreased sup
                pplies in the mandies (spot markets) als weighed on the grain prices at futures trade. (ET)
                              m            t           so            n                           s
•   Oil
    O prices fa amid calls for increas
                 all            s            sed output: Crude prices fell Wednesday after fin
                                                                      s                        nance ministe from the
                                                                                                             ers
    world's leading industrialize economies called on oil producers t increase ou
    w                           ed           s                        to           utput and said they stood ready to ask
                                                                                                d
    the Internation Energy Agency to rele
                  nal          A                                      Benchmark oil for October delivery fell 72 cents by
                                             ease strategic reserves. B
                                                           c                                   r
    la afternoon Bangkok tim to $95.61 per barrel in electronic tr
     ate         n             me                         n           rading on the New York M Mercantile Excchange. The
    contract rose 86 cents to finish at $96.33 per barrel o the Nymex on Tuesday. (ET)
    c                                                     on          x            .
•   Chilli futures fall 1.54 pc on sluggish demand: C
    C            s            c             h            Chilli prices de
                                                                        eclined by Rs 80 to Rs 5,098 per quint in futures
                                                                                    s                        tal
    trade today a speculators reduced po
                 as            s                          king a weak trend at spot market on sluggish dem
                                            ositions, track                                                 mand. At the
    National Com
    N           mmodity and Derivatives Ex
                               D            xchange, chilli for delivery in Septembe declined by Rs 80, or 1. per cent,
                                                                                    er          y            .54
    to Rs 509 per quintal, with an open inter
     o                                      rest of 10,700 lots.
                                                          0




                                                 Keynot Capitals L
                                                      te         Ltd.
          The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
                by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
                                             www.keyynotecapitals.com
Econ
    nomic Cale
             endar:




         Countrie /
                es             Thursday                        Friday                         Mondayy
           Regio
               ons              30/Aug                         31
                                                                1/Aug                          3/Sep

                                                        Forex Reserves Data;
India
                                                         Federal F
                                                                 Fiscal Deficit
                                                                              t
                                                         GDP Qua aterly (YoY) ;
                                                     Infrastructure Output (YYoY)


                                                       Factory O
                                                               Orders (MoM));
US                       Init Jobless C
                            tial      Claims            Chicago Purchasing
                                                               o
                                                          Managger's Index
                        Pers
                           sonal Consum mption
                      Expennditures - Price Index      Fed's Bern
                                                                nanke Speec
                                                                          ch
                                (MoM)
                       EIA Natural Gas S
                           N            Storage          Reuters Michigan
                                                               s/
                               change                Consumer S
                                                              Sentiment Index


                       Japan's Unemplo
                                     oyment            Eurozone CConsumer Price      UK's Halifax Hou Prices
                                                                                        s           use
Global
                                Rate                          Inde (YoY)
                                                                 ex                          (3m/YoYY)
                                                       Japan Vehicle Productioon
                        Eur
                          rozone's Economic                                              Germany's M
                                                                                         G          Markit
                                                      (YoY); Consstruction Orders
                         Sentiment Indicator                                             Manufacturin PMI
                                                                                         M          ng
                                                                 (YoY)
                      Germa
                          any's Unempployment        Japan Housing Starts (Yo oY);
                              Change                  Annualized Housing Sta arts




                                             Keynot Capitals L
                                                  te         Ltd.
         The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
               by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
                                            www.keyynotecapitals.com
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                                                              Keynot Capitals L
                                                                   te         Ltd.
            The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
                  by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
                                               www.keyynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report for 300812

  • 1. Daily Com D mmodity Report 30th A August 2012 MCX GOLD (5 O X OCTOBER 12) – Go old Silver Cru ude (5 O Oct-12) (5 Se ept-12) (19 Se ep-12) Gold opened high at 30952a moved fu d her and urther higher to touch an intra a-day high of 31007. How f wever, it failed to sustain higher and Open n 30,952 57,525 5,358 mov lower to t ved a-day low of 30734. It end the day touch an intra ded High h 31,007 57,861 5,366 with modest losse to close at 30847. es t Low 30,734 57,160 5,293 The RSI has slipp below its average. Mo ped oreover, the S Stochastic is Close 30,847 57,559 5,314 alrea ady placed bbelow its ave erage. The R and Sto RSI ochastic still rema placed in the over bou ain ught zone. Thhese negative conditions e Prev Close v. 30,948 57,609 5,362 would lead to selling pressure and profit ta e aking. The AD line and DX +DI line are movving lower, inndicating buyyers are bookking profits. % Ch hange -0.33% -0.09% - -0.90% MCX Gold faces resistance at 31070, 31 X s 1110, 31250 and 31500 Source – MCX e aced at 30840, 30428, 303 while the support levels are pla e t 340, 30179, 2966 and 28859 68 9 Vo olume (In 000' 's) Positional Call – SELL MCX GOLD (5 O X OCTOBER 12) around 3085 Stop Los 31100 Target of 30300 50, ss 29/0 08/2012 28/08/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 SEPT 12) – X Gold (gms) 33 3,613.0 35 5,543.0 -5.43% Silve opened low at 57525 but managed to move high to touch er wer d her Silver (kgs) 1,647.8 1 1,466.4 1 12.36% an inntra-day high of 57861. Hoowever, it failed to sustain higher and Crude (bbl) 25 5,596.6 27 7,450.9 -6.75% mov lower to t ved a-day low of 57160. It end the day touch an intra ded with marginal loss to close a 57559. ses at Source – MCX e The Stochastic is placed below its average. More so the RSI is also s w e Turnover (In Lac cs) on vverge of slipping below its average. Moreover, th RSI and he Stocchastic still r remain place in the ove bought zo ed er one. These 29/0 08/2012 28/08/2012 % Chg. negaative conditions would lead to selling pressure and p d profit taking at hi igher levels. T Though the A ADX line is still moving high the +DI her, Gold 1,038 8,457.9 1,099 9,838.2 -5.58% line continues to move lower, indicating buuyers are booking profits. MCX Silver faces resistance a 58050 584 and 5922 while the X s at 445 21 Silver r 947 7,901.9 844 4,045.7 12.30% suppports are placed at 57180 57000, 56 0, 6157, 55551, 54570 and Crude e 1,364 4,077.9 1,468 8,203.2 -7.09% 5367 levels. 75 Source – MCX e MCX CRUDE (19 September 12) – X 9 Crud opened low at 5358 b managed to move high to touch de wer but her Global Market (Nyme - $) ex an in ntra-day high of 5366. Ho h owever, it faile to sustain higher and ed movved lower to ttouch an intr ra-day low of 5293. It endded the day 30/0 08/2012 29/08/2012 % Chg. sses to close at 5314. with moderate los Gold (oz) 1, ,655.30 1,659.50 -0.25% The Stochastic h again slip has pped below it average. M ts More so the Silver (oz) r 30.68 30.84 -0.51% RSI is placed be elow its averaage. These c conditions woould lead to WTI CCrude sellin pressure. However, the Stochastic is nearing the over sold ng e 95.03 95.49 -0.48% (bbl) zone which woul lead to buy e, ld ying support a lower levels. The ADX at Brent Crude t line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sidew d ways, indicat ting a range 112.54 112.79 -0.22% (bbl) boun trend. It f nd faces resistance at 5366, 5408, 5516 and 5600 6 Dollar Index 81.51 81.47 0.14% while the support are placed at 5238, 5275 5180, 5126 and 5093. e ts 5, 6 Source – www.cmeg e group.com Positional Call – BOOK PR ROFITS MCX CRUDE (19 Sept 12)) X 9 arou 5320, giv @ 5361 o August 24 29 und ven on 4- Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Com mmodity New ws: • Gold importe stay awa seeking p G ers ay price directio Indian go importers took to the s on: old sidelines on W Wednesday, seeking price direction dur s ring the ongo oing wedding and festive sseason as prices stayed s steady near it peak. The ts most-active gold for Octob delivery o the Multi C m ber on Commodity Exchange (MC was 0.01 percent lower at 30,945 CX) rupees per 10 grams. The contract touc r 0 ched a record high of 31,11 rupees on Monday. (ET 10 T) • Wheat future plunge 3 pc on profit- W es -booking: Affter persistent rise, wheat prices fell by almost 3 pe cent to Rs t y er 1,532 per qu 1 uintal in futur res trade today as specu ulators preferrred to book at prevailing higher leve g els. Besides, in ncreased sup pplies in the mandies (spot markets) als weighed on the grain prices at futures trade. (ET) m t so n s • Oil O prices fa amid calls for increas all s sed output: Crude prices fell Wednesday after fin s nance ministe from the ers world's leading industrialize economies called on oil producers t increase ou w ed s to utput and said they stood ready to ask d the Internation Energy Agency to rele nal A Benchmark oil for October delivery fell 72 cents by ease strategic reserves. B c r la afternoon Bangkok tim to $95.61 per barrel in electronic tr ate n me n rading on the New York M Mercantile Excchange. The contract rose 86 cents to finish at $96.33 per barrel o the Nymex on Tuesday. (ET) c on x . • Chilli futures fall 1.54 pc on sluggish demand: C C s c h Chilli prices de eclined by Rs 80 to Rs 5,098 per quint in futures s tal trade today a speculators reduced po as s king a weak trend at spot market on sluggish dem ositions, track mand. At the National Com N mmodity and Derivatives Ex D xchange, chilli for delivery in Septembe declined by Rs 80, or 1. per cent, er y .54 to Rs 509 per quintal, with an open inter o rest of 10,700 lots. 0 Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Econ nomic Cale endar: Countrie / es Thursday Friday Mondayy Regio ons 30/Aug 31 1/Aug 3/Sep Forex Reserves Data; India Federal F Fiscal Deficit t GDP Qua aterly (YoY) ; Infrastructure Output (YYoY) Factory O Orders (MoM)); US Init Jobless C tial Claims Chicago Purchasing o Managger's Index Pers sonal Consum mption Expennditures - Price Index Fed's Bern nanke Speec ch (MoM) EIA Natural Gas S N Storage Reuters Michigan s/ change Consumer S Sentiment Index Japan's Unemplo oyment Eurozone CConsumer Price UK's Halifax Hou Prices s use Global Rate Inde (YoY) ex (3m/YoYY) Japan Vehicle Productioon Eur rozone's Economic Germany's M G Markit (YoY); Consstruction Orders Sentiment Indicator Manufacturin PMI M ng (YoY) Germa any's Unempployment Japan Housing Starts (Yo oY); Change Annualized Housing Sta arts Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  • 4. Disc claimer This document is n for public distribution and has been furn not d nished to you s solely for your information and must not be reproduced or d redisstributed to any other person. Persons into who possession this document may come are required to obse P ose erve these restrrictions. This material is for t personal info the ormation of the authorized recip pient, and we are not soliciting any action base upon it. This report is not to ed be co onstrued as an offer to sell or the solicitation o an offer to buy any security in any jurisdictio where such a offer or solicit t of y n on an tation would be illega It is for the general informa al. ation of clients of Keynote Ca apitals Ltd. It do not constitute a personal recommendatio or take into oes on acco ount the particular investment objectives, financial situations, o needs of indiv o or vidual clients. We h have reviewed t report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be r the t reliable though its accuracy or comp pleteness cannot be guarantee Neither Key ed. ynote Capitals LLtd., nor any pe erson connected with it, accept any liability a d ts arising from the use o this documen The recipient of this material should rely o their own inve of nt. ts on estigations and take their own professional ad dvice. Price and value of the investm e ments referred to in this mater may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide fo future perform rial s or mance. Certain transsactions -including those involv ving futures, opt tions and other derivatives as w as non-inve well estment grade securities - invo olve substantial risk a are not suitable for all inv and vestors. Reports based on tech s hnical analysis ccenters on stud dying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to fo ocusing on a c company’s fund damentals and as such, may not match w y with a report on a company’s n fundamentals. Opin nions expressed are our curren opinions as o the date appe d nt of earing on this m material only. W While we endeav to update on a reasonable vor n basis the informatio discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, com s on n mpliance, or ot ther reasons th prevent us f hat from doing so. Pros spective investo and others are cautioned that any forward-looking state ors ements are not predictions an may be sub t nd bject to change witho notice. Our proprietary trading and inv out t vestment businnesses may m make investmen decisions th are inconsistent with the nt hat recommendations e expressed herein n. We a our affiliates officers, direc and s, ctors, and emplo oyees world wid may: (a) from time to time, h de m have long or sho positions in, and buy or sell ort the s securities there eof, of company (ies) mentione herein or (b be engaged in any other tra y ed b) ansaction involv ving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a ma arket maker in the financial instruments of th company (ies) discussed he he erein or act as advis or lender / b sor borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflic of interest with respect to any recommendat h ) ct y tion and related information and opin nions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the vviews expressed in this report a d accurately reflec his or her per ct rsonal views abbout the subject comp pany or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her com mpensation was is or will be, directly or indir s, rectly related to spec recommend cific dations or views expressed in th report. s his No p of this material may be dup part plicated in any fo and/or redis orm stributed withou Keynote Capit ut tals Ltd’s., prior written consent. r Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com