MCAD Futures Course 2010 – summary slide show

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Slide show 58 pages in length summarizing work assigned and done in Kevin Byrne's course titled FUTURES: SOCIETY AND INDIVIDUAL at the Minneapolis College of Art and Design, Fall 2010.

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MCAD Futures Course 2010 – summary slide show

  1. 1. Forum: 360 SCANNING Blog--2010 http://learn.mcad.edu/webapps/discussionboard/do/message?fo... Futures For Society and Individuals (Fall 2010) Discussion Board Edit Mode: OFF Forum: 360 SCANNING Blog--2010 Collection Collection Society and Users can Collect posts into a printable, sortable format. Collections are a Individuals good way to organize posts for quick reading. A Collection must be (Fall 2010) created to tag posts. More Help Print Preview Filter Sort by Date Order ▲ Ascending Mark COURSE MANAGEMENT Control Panel Thread: SHELTER Posted Date: September Post: SHELTER 9, 2010 Course Tools 1:54 PM Author: Jordan Wyss Course Links Status: Published Overall Rating: Users and Groups Flying Apartment Systems: The Future of Mobile Residences Utilities Help What is the future of air travel? Imagine being in Shanghi and then just twenty short minutes later stepping off the plane in New York. Dennus Ingemansson has visualized the future of air travel and apartment living combining the two into a hybrid floating apartment system. The exterior of the air ship has morphing capabilities that allow the ship to easily battle through the harshness of our atmosphere and allows residents to get back and forth from continent to continent in extremely short amounts of time. Forecast made in: 2009 Predicted time of arrival: 2060 STEEPA (T)echnological - It is going to take advanced technology to build something like this. (A)rt (& Design)- Design is key in making this work. http://www.thedesignblog.org/entry/flying-apartments- systems-the-future-of-mobile-residences/ Reply Quote Mark as Unread OK Thread:1 of 3 9/12/10 4:22 PM
  2. 2. ”Riddley Walker“ Acceptable (sustainable) ”Ecotopia” worlds “Star Trek” b1 a1 b a2 “Nature” “Blade Runner” “Technology” a3 Present aFigure 5, Pathways to sustainable future worldsPath (a) is unsustainable, and may lead to ecological collapse (a1) , or it may be deflected towardssustainability (a2) and (a3). Path (b) is sustainable, but may be fine-tuned (b1).
  3. 3. TheTRENDMASTER’S Guide G E T A J U M P O N W H ATY O U R C U S T O M E R WA N T S N E X T Robyn Waters Illustrated by Lindsay Van De Weghe Portfolio
  4. 4. A Is forANTENNAE
  5. 5. ___LOVE ___KINDNESS ___FRIENDSHIP ___TENDERNESS ___AFFECTION ______RECOGNITION ___HONOR ___COURTESY ___ADMIRATION ___RESPECT ______ABILITY ___TALENT ___INGENUITY ___CAPABILITY ___SKILL ______KNOWLEDGE ___EDUCATION ___WISDOM ___UNDERSTANDING ___ENLIGHTENMENT ______LEADERSHIP ___AUTHORITY ___INFLUENCE ___DECISION-MAKING ___POWER ______MONEY ___PROPERTY ___INCOME ___FOOD ___WEALTH ______HEALTH ___HAPPINESS ___CONTENTMENT ___RELAXATION ___WELL-BEING ______HONESTY ___JUSTICE ___TRUST ___FAIRPLAY ___RECTITUDE ___ Remember: please dontOverview rate the above list forHere are words that hold now — wait for yoursome sort of meaning to facilitator to help.most people. As suchthese words embodysomething we callvalues. Please ponderthem. Wed like to findout which ones you thinkare important to you.InstructionsTo do this were askingyou to rate theimportance of values ona scale of 1 to 8. 1 is themost important, 8 is leastimportant. Assign onerating (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or8) for each slot thatprecedes a word. Workone list at a time, startingwith the left-most listfirst. Once youre donerating each list move on;please avoid going backto revise previous lists.Please do not rate thelast list (the one boxedin). Your facilitator will This values surveyguide you through a final courtesy Ann Blockerphase pertaining to thislist. MI2002/1/07ValSurv.doc
  6. 6. Envision scenarios that might affect your futurePosted 8/2/2010 4:04 AM | Comment | Recommend 2 E-mail | S By Andrea Kay, Gannett I just spent three days listening to people from across the planet talk about how we might live, work and think in 2025 and beyond. It seems eons away, and you may be so focused on getting or keeping your job today that you dont give the future much thought. But the choices you make now can help you discover how things could pan out later. Mind you, no one can predict the future with certainty. One after the other, these researchers,inventors, professors, consultants and futurists at the World Future Conference who covered everything from the most highly valued future professions tosimulating the human brain always added this caveat: Of course, no one knows for sure.So how do you plan for your future if you dont know whats around the corner? How do you know whether your industry will even exist by 2025?One thing we do know is that the pace of change is accelerating because of "exponential growth of information technology," says Ray Kurzweil, one ofthe speakers.Dubbed by Inc. magazine as the "rightful heir to Thomas Edison," this inventor and author demonstrated just how fast."The first steps in technology — fire, stone tools, the wheel — took tens of thousands of years to take hold," he says. "Guttenbergs invention of the printingabout 400 years to reach a mass audience. The telephone reached a quarter of the U.S. population in 50 years, the cellphone did that in seven years. Sociwikis and blogs took about three years."So how do you decide whether to go into this or that career when things change so quickly? Research, right?But "its simply impossible to research away the uncertainties on which the success of a key decision will hang," Lawrence Wilkinson, co-founder of the thinBusiness Network, says in Wired.The tool of choice for making decisions in the midst of uncertainty is scenario planning. The military began using it after Word War II to imagine what enemito plan alternative strategies.Shell Oil, which in the 1970s was looking for events that might affect the price of oil, has used it extensively. When the energy crisis burst upon the world inmajor oil companies, only Shell was prepared emotionally for the change" and responded quickly, says Peter Schwartz, author of The Art of the Long View.Scenario thinking is an organized way to "dream effectively about our own future," he says. It helps you present "alternative images of the future, not just extrends of the present" and make choices today with an understanding of how they might turn out.
  7. 7. Scenarios versus forecasts The Present The Path The Future FORECAST Current Multiple Alternative Realities Paths Future Images (mental maps) SCENARIOS6
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  9. 9. Energy Demand Predetermineds Overall Demand Coal % Fossil fuels in demand 2025 range of possible outcomes Renewables % Oil in Transport 2005 Power/Transport Diesel demand position and magnitude Developing countries of change demand relative to28 developed
  10. 10. Which signposts?32

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