2011 Census: modal share + change in Newcastle

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Neil Murphy @newcycling Members Meeting June 2013

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2011 Census: modal share + change in Newcastle

  1. 1. 2011 Census: modal share +change in NewcastleNeil Murphy
  2. 2. Overview• Census data on car /van availability + travel-to-work mode share• Comparison of 2011 + 2001 Census data atward level/ citywide/ North East/ England– Population growth– Walking and cycling– Public transport– Car/van ownership and use– Modal shift 2001-11
  3. 3. Notes/caveats• Newcastle city only – TTWA-wide analysis wouldgive truer state-of-the-city view• No comparative data for Ouseburn, Parklands,South Jesmond or Westgate Wards as these arenew post-2001• Beware small absolute numbers yielding big%ages• NB methodological changes to treatment ofhomeworking – affects year-on-year comparisons
  4. 4. -10.0%0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%50.0%EnglandNorthEastNewcastleuponTyneNorthJesmondSouthHeatonWingroveKentonElswickEastGosforthBykerFenhamDeneWestGosforthCastleNewburnNorthHeatonBlakelawWalkergateWoolsingtonWalkerFawdonLemingtonWesterhopeDentonBenwellandScotswoodUsual residents aged 16-74; % change 2001-2011
  5. 5. -20.0%-10.0%0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%50.0%60.0%70.0% EnglandNorthEastNewcastleuponTyneWestgateOuseburnSouthJesmondNorthJesmondWingroveSouthHeatonElswickBykerFawdonDeneWalkerEastGosforthNorthHeatonBlakelawWestGosforthFenhamBenwellandScotswoodKentonWalkergateWoolsingtonNewburnDentonCastleParklandsLemingtonWesterhopeTravel to work on foot, % of all aged 16-74 in work in 2011 and %change on 2001% of all people in work, 2011 % change
  6. 6. 0%1%2%3%4%5%6%EnglandNorthEastNewcastleuponTyneNorthJesmondEastGosforthSouthHeatonWestGosforthNorthHeatonSouthJesmondOuseburnDeneWingroveBykerParklandsKentonFawdonWalkergateWalkerCastleBlakelawWestgateFenhamElswickWoolsingtonBenwellandScotswoodLemingtonNewburnDentonWesterhopeTravel to work by bicycle, % of all aged 16-74 in work in 2011
  7. 7. -40%-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%120%EnglandNorthEastNewcastleuponTyneNorthJesmondEastGosforthSouthHeatonWestGosforthNorthHeatonSouthJesmondOuseburnDeneWingroveBykerParklandsKentonFawdonWalkergateWalkerCastleBlakelawWestgateFenhamElswickWoolsingtonBenwellandScotswoodLemingtonNewburnDentonWesterhopeTravel to work by bicycle, % of all aged 16-74 in work in 2011 and % changeon 2001% of all people in work, 2011 % change
  8. 8. -20%-10%0%10%20%30%40% EnglandNorthEastNewcastleuponTyneWalkerSouthHeatonElswickBykerWingroveBenwellandScotswoodWestgateBlakelawFawdonNorthJesmondDentonFenhamWalkergateEastGosforthWoolsingtonKentonOuseburnNorthHeatonLemingtonCastleNewburnSouthJesmondDeneWestGosforthWesterhopeParklandsTravel to work by public transport (bus, train, metro), % of all aged16-74 in work in 2011 and % change on 2001% of all people in work, 2011 % change
  9. 9. 0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%EnglandNorthEastNewcastleuponTyneWalkerSouthHeatonElswickBykerWingroveBenwellandScotswoodWestgateBlakelawFawdonNorthJesmondDentonFenhamWalkergateEastGosforthWoolsingtonKentonOuseburnNorthHeatonLemingtonCastleNewburnSouthJesmondDeneWestGosforthWesterhopeParklandsTravel to work by public transport, % of all aged 16-74 in work in2011, modal compositionUnderground, Metro, Light Rail, Tram Train Bus, Minibus or Coach
  10. 10. 0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%EnglandNorthEastNewcastleuponTyneWestgateElswickWalkerBykerOuseburnWingroveBenwellandScotswoodSouthHeatonFawdonBlakelawWalkergateKentonDentonFenhamWoolsingtonSouthJesmondNewburnNorthJesmondLemingtonEastGosforthNorthHeatonWesterhopeCastleWestGosforthDeneParklandsCar and van availability, % of households by no., 2011No Cars or Vans 1 Car or Van 2 Cars or Vans 3 Cars or Vans 4 or More Cars or Vans
  11. 11. -0.200.400.600.801.001.201.40EnglandNorthEastNewcastleuponTyneWestgateElswickWalkerBykerOuseburnWingroveBenwellandScotswoodSouthHeatonFawdonBlakelawWalkergateKentonDentonFenhamWoolsingtonSouthJesmondNewburnNorthJesmondLemingtonEastGosforthNorthHeatonWesterhopeCastleWestGosforthDeneParklandsAverage rate of household car/van availability 2001 and 20112001 average 2011 average
  12. 12. -30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80% EnglandNorthEastNewcastleuponTyneWestgateOuseburnSouthHeatonWingroveElswickSouthJesmondNorthJesmondWalkerBykerFawdonEastGosforthBenwellandScotswoodBlakelawNorthHeatonFenhamWalkergateKentonWoolsingtonDentonDeneWestGosforthLemingtonNewburnCastleParklandsWesterhopeTravel to work by car/van as driver, % of all aged 16-74 in work in2011 and % change on 2001% of all people in work, 2011 % change
  13. 13. -35%-30%-25%-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10% EnglandNorthEastNewcastleuponTyneNorthJesmondWestgateSouthJesmondEastGosforthOuseburnSouthHeatonWestGosforthParklandsWingroveBykerDeneCastleNorthHeatonFawdonNewburnWesterhopeWalkerDentonElswickWoolsingtonBenwellandScotswoodWalkergateFenhamBlakelawLemingtonKentonTravel to work by car/van as passenger, % of all aged 16-74 in workin 2011 and % change on 2001% of all people in work, 2011 % change
  14. 14. -12%-2%8%18%28%38%48%58%68%78% EnglandNorthEastNewcastleuponTyneWestgateOuseburnSouthHeatonSouthJesmondWingroveNorthJesmondElswickBykerWalkerFawdonEastGosforthBenwellandScotswoodBlakelawNorthHeatonFenhamWalkergateKentonDentonWoolsingtonDeneWestGosforthLemingtonNewburnCastleParklandsWesterhopeTravel to work by "sustainable" modes, % of all aged 16-74 in workin 2011 and % change on 2001% of all people in work, 2011 % change
  15. 15. Observations• Wide variation in modal splits across the city• Large %age growth in walking + cycling but from v. low base• Poorer + more central = greater propensity to walk/ cycle/ usePT• Jesmond/Heaton/Gosforth/Fenham strongest on cycling modeshare• Big student effects in Jesmond + Heaton (?)• Car ownership and use continues to rise, esp. in outersuburbs, but over 40% of households have no car/van andfewer than 50% of TTW journeys are by car (compare vsspending?!)• Almost everywhere ‘better’ than the NE and England averages• Some areas really not good enough given accessibility + PTinfrastructure (Jesmond, Gosforth)• Need distance and destination data to complete picture –understand “irreducible core” of car-dependence

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