“Know You (self) Better”: N-of-1 Based Self-Examination using Wearables and Self-Reported Behaviours for an Improved Well-Being

Katarzyna Wac & The QoL Lab
Katarzyna Wac & The QoL LabResearch Lab at University of Geneva & Copenhagen & Stanford
Quality of Life Technologies Lab
University of Copenhagen & University of Geneva
qol.unige.ch
“Know You (self) Better”:
N-of-1 Based Self-Examination using Wearables and
Self-Reported Behaviours for an Improved Well-Being
Igor Matias, the QoL Team, and Eric J. Daza
2021
Evidation
Health
Bob is curious
Bob
Sleep
duration (t)
influence?
Steps (t)
Steps
on the next
day (t+1)
influence?
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 2
Option
#1
Randomised
Controlled Trial (RCT)
Bob
Using
or
For X months
and
and
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 4
In which
Forcing
< 7 hours
INTERVENTION
Forcing
≥ 7 hours
Randomised
Controlled Trial (RCT)
Bob
Why NOT?
≠
● Expensive;
● Needs to have Intervention;
● Results are only a
“Population Average”;
● etc.
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 5
Option
#2
N-of-1 Randomised
Controlled Trial
(N1RCT)
Bob
In which
Bob
and
Bob
or
and
Bob
Using
For X months
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 7
Forcing
< 7 hours
Forcing
≥ 7 hours
INTERVENTION
N-of-1 Randomised
Controlled Trial
(N1RCT)
Bob
Why NOT?
● Needs to have Intervention;
● etc.
Forcing
< 7
hours
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 8
Option
#3
N-of-1 Observational
Study
(Single Case Obs. Design)
Bob
In which
Bob
and
Bob
or
and
Bob
Using
For X months
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 10
NO INTERVENTION
N-of-1 Observational
Study
(Single Case Obs. Design)
Bob
Why YES?
● Possible in Real Life;
● No duration limits;
● No need for Intervention;
● etc.
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 11
Confounding
N-of-1 Observational
Study
(Single Case Obs. Design)
Bob
Limitations
influence?
influence!
influence!
influence?
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 12
influe
nce!
creates biased results
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 13
Strong Conclusions (less bias)
- +
Hard to Apply to Daily-Life
- +
N-of-1
Observational
Study
N-of-1
Randomised
Controlled
Trial
N-of-1
Observational
Study With
MoTR
N-of-1 Observational Study
Example
Case
Example case Day of study Total steps day
before
(log10 based)
Sleep
(1 - ≥ 7 hours
0 - < 7 hours)
Total steps day of
study
(log10 based)
1 0,8 0 1,0
2 1,0 1 1,9
3 1,9 1 1,7
4 1,7 0 0,5
5 0,5 0 0,9
6 0,9 1 0,2
7 0,2 1 1,7
8 1,7 0 1,3
9 1,3 1 0,9
10 0,9 0 1,2
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 15
Example case
≥ 7 hours
< 7 hours
Average Outcome for
≥ 7 hours of sleep
(APO ≥7)
Average Outcome for
< 7 hours of sleep
(APO <7)
Potential Impact of
Sleeping ≥ 7 hours in
the Steps Next Day
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 16
≥ 7 hours
< 7 hours
Average Potential
Outcome for
≥ 7 hours of sleep
(APO ≥7)
Average Potential
Outcome for
< 7 hours of sleep
(APO <7)
Potential Impact of
Sleeping ≥ 7 hours in
the Steps Next Day
Real-World data
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 16
Limitations
Confounding
influence?
influence!
influence!
influence?
influe
nce!
creates biased results
Model Twin Randomization
1st step
Machine Learning
Model Fit
Model Twin
Randomization
(MoTR) 1st step
Fit a Machine
Learning model
to the data
from Example
Case
Day of study Total steps day
before
(log10 based)
Sleep
(1 - ≥ 7 hours
0 - < 7 hours)
Total steps day of
study
(log10 based)
1 0,8 0 1,0
2 1,0 1 1,9
3 1,9 1 1,7
4 1,7 0 0,5
5 0,5 0 0,9
6 0,9 1 0,2
7 0,2 1 1,7
8 1,7 0 1,3
9 1,3 1 0,9
10 0,9 0 1,2
INPUT OUTPUT
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 18
Model Twin Randomization
2nd step
Randomize the
Binary Variable
Model Twin
Randomization
(MoTR) 2nd step
Day of study Total steps day
before
(log10 based)
Sleep
(1 - ≥ 7 hours
0 - < 7 hours)
Total steps day of
study
(log10 based)
1 0,8 1 ?
2 ? 1 ?
3 ? 0 ?
4 ? 1 ?
5 ? 0 ?
6 ? 0 ?
7 ? 0 ?
8 ? 1 ?
9 ? 1 ?
10 ? 0 ?
/
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 20
Randomize the
binary variable
Model Twin Randomization
3rd step
Predict the Output
Model Twin
Randomization
(MoTR) 3rd step
Predict the
output variable
Day of study Total steps day
before
(log10 based)
Sleep
(1 - ≥ 7 hours
0 - < 7 hours)
Total steps day of
study
(log10 based)
1 0,8 1 ?
2 ? 1 ?
3 ? 0 ?
4 ? 1 ?
5 ? 0 ?
6 ? 0 ?
7 ? 0 ?
8 ? 1 ?
9 ? 1 ?
10 ? 0 ?
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 22
Model Twin Randomization
4th step
Compare Results
Compare the
results
obtained
Model Twin
Randomization
(MoTR) 4th step
(e.g. X months VS life)
(approx.) Same Impact
Different Impact
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 24
Past
Work
Past Work (N1RCT)
Using
For 24 days
Collecting
● Sleep Duration;
● Blood Glucose
Level;
● Craving;
● Affect.
Concluding
Blood
Glucose
Sleep
Deprivation
influence?
Craving
Sleep
Deprivation
influence?
Emotions
Sleep
Deprivation
influence?
On an Individual Scale
Blood
Glucose
Variability
Sleep
Deprivation
influence?
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 26
Daza, E.J.; Wac, K.; Oppezzo, M. Effects of Sleep Deprivation on Blood Glucose,
Food Cravings, and Affect in a Non-Diabetic: An N-of-1 Randomized Pilot Study.
Healthcare 2020, 8, 6. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare8010006
Current
Work
Current Work
Using
For 4 years
Collecting
● Sleep Duration;
● Physical
Activity;
● Walking
Performance;
● Resting Heart
Rate;
● Stress Levels;
● Travelling;
● Relationships;
● Many more.
Concluding
Sleep
Duration
next night
Steps on one
day
influence?
Walking
Performance
Sleep
Duration
influence?
Resting
Heart Rate
Steps on one
day
influence?
On an Individual Scale
- Stress
- Relationship
- etc.
influence? - Resting
Heart Rate
- Sleep
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 28
Future
Work
Future Work
Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 30
5 years
RECRUITING
Quality of Life Technologies Lab
qol.unige.ch
Thank You
Igor Matias, the QoL Team, and Eric J. Daza#
Quality of Life, Center for Informatics, University of Geneva, Switzerland
igormatias.com | igor.matias@unige.ch
#
Evidation Health, Inc. | evidation.com
Images: unsplash.com, icons8.com, and flaticon.com
2021
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“Know You (self) Better”: N-of-1 Based Self-Examination using Wearables and Self-Reported Behaviours for an Improved Well-Being

  • 1. Quality of Life Technologies Lab University of Copenhagen & University of Geneva qol.unige.ch “Know You (self) Better”: N-of-1 Based Self-Examination using Wearables and Self-Reported Behaviours for an Improved Well-Being Igor Matias, the QoL Team, and Eric J. Daza 2021 Evidation Health
  • 2. Bob is curious Bob Sleep duration (t) influence? Steps (t) Steps on the next day (t+1) influence? Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 2
  • 4. Randomised Controlled Trial (RCT) Bob Using or For X months and and Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 4 In which Forcing < 7 hours INTERVENTION Forcing ≥ 7 hours
  • 5. Randomised Controlled Trial (RCT) Bob Why NOT? ≠ ● Expensive; ● Needs to have Intervention; ● Results are only a “Population Average”; ● etc. Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 5
  • 7. N-of-1 Randomised Controlled Trial (N1RCT) Bob In which Bob and Bob or and Bob Using For X months Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 7 Forcing < 7 hours Forcing ≥ 7 hours INTERVENTION
  • 8. N-of-1 Randomised Controlled Trial (N1RCT) Bob Why NOT? ● Needs to have Intervention; ● etc. Forcing < 7 hours Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 8
  • 10. N-of-1 Observational Study (Single Case Obs. Design) Bob In which Bob and Bob or and Bob Using For X months Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 10 NO INTERVENTION
  • 11. N-of-1 Observational Study (Single Case Obs. Design) Bob Why YES? ● Possible in Real Life; ● No duration limits; ● No need for Intervention; ● etc. Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 11
  • 12. Confounding N-of-1 Observational Study (Single Case Obs. Design) Bob Limitations influence? influence! influence! influence? Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 12 influe nce! creates biased results
  • 13. Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 13 Strong Conclusions (less bias) - + Hard to Apply to Daily-Life - + N-of-1 Observational Study N-of-1 Randomised Controlled Trial N-of-1 Observational Study With MoTR
  • 15. Example case Day of study Total steps day before (log10 based) Sleep (1 - ≥ 7 hours 0 - < 7 hours) Total steps day of study (log10 based) 1 0,8 0 1,0 2 1,0 1 1,9 3 1,9 1 1,7 4 1,7 0 0,5 5 0,5 0 0,9 6 0,9 1 0,2 7 0,2 1 1,7 8 1,7 0 1,3 9 1,3 1 0,9 10 0,9 0 1,2 Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 15
  • 16. Example case ≥ 7 hours < 7 hours Average Outcome for ≥ 7 hours of sleep (APO ≥7) Average Outcome for < 7 hours of sleep (APO <7) Potential Impact of Sleeping ≥ 7 hours in the Steps Next Day Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 16
  • 17. ≥ 7 hours < 7 hours Average Potential Outcome for ≥ 7 hours of sleep (APO ≥7) Average Potential Outcome for < 7 hours of sleep (APO <7) Potential Impact of Sleeping ≥ 7 hours in the Steps Next Day Real-World data Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 16 Limitations Confounding influence? influence! influence! influence? influe nce! creates biased results
  • 18. Model Twin Randomization 1st step Machine Learning Model Fit
  • 19. Model Twin Randomization (MoTR) 1st step Fit a Machine Learning model to the data from Example Case Day of study Total steps day before (log10 based) Sleep (1 - ≥ 7 hours 0 - < 7 hours) Total steps day of study (log10 based) 1 0,8 0 1,0 2 1,0 1 1,9 3 1,9 1 1,7 4 1,7 0 0,5 5 0,5 0 0,9 6 0,9 1 0,2 7 0,2 1 1,7 8 1,7 0 1,3 9 1,3 1 0,9 10 0,9 0 1,2 INPUT OUTPUT Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 18
  • 20. Model Twin Randomization 2nd step Randomize the Binary Variable
  • 21. Model Twin Randomization (MoTR) 2nd step Day of study Total steps day before (log10 based) Sleep (1 - ≥ 7 hours 0 - < 7 hours) Total steps day of study (log10 based) 1 0,8 1 ? 2 ? 1 ? 3 ? 0 ? 4 ? 1 ? 5 ? 0 ? 6 ? 0 ? 7 ? 0 ? 8 ? 1 ? 9 ? 1 ? 10 ? 0 ? / Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 20 Randomize the binary variable
  • 22. Model Twin Randomization 3rd step Predict the Output
  • 23. Model Twin Randomization (MoTR) 3rd step Predict the output variable Day of study Total steps day before (log10 based) Sleep (1 - ≥ 7 hours 0 - < 7 hours) Total steps day of study (log10 based) 1 0,8 1 ? 2 ? 1 ? 3 ? 0 ? 4 ? 1 ? 5 ? 0 ? 6 ? 0 ? 7 ? 0 ? 8 ? 1 ? 9 ? 1 ? 10 ? 0 ? Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 22
  • 24. Model Twin Randomization 4th step Compare Results
  • 25. Compare the results obtained Model Twin Randomization (MoTR) 4th step (e.g. X months VS life) (approx.) Same Impact Different Impact Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 24
  • 27. Past Work (N1RCT) Using For 24 days Collecting ● Sleep Duration; ● Blood Glucose Level; ● Craving; ● Affect. Concluding Blood Glucose Sleep Deprivation influence? Craving Sleep Deprivation influence? Emotions Sleep Deprivation influence? On an Individual Scale Blood Glucose Variability Sleep Deprivation influence? Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 26 Daza, E.J.; Wac, K.; Oppezzo, M. Effects of Sleep Deprivation on Blood Glucose, Food Cravings, and Affect in a Non-Diabetic: An N-of-1 Randomized Pilot Study. Healthcare 2020, 8, 6. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare8010006
  • 29. Current Work Using For 4 years Collecting ● Sleep Duration; ● Physical Activity; ● Walking Performance; ● Resting Heart Rate; ● Stress Levels; ● Travelling; ● Relationships; ● Many more. Concluding Sleep Duration next night Steps on one day influence? Walking Performance Sleep Duration influence? Resting Heart Rate Steps on one day influence? On an Individual Scale - Stress - Relationship - etc. influence? - Resting Heart Rate - Sleep Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 28
  • 31. Future Work Igor Matias, M.Sc., Ph.D. Student TA @ Université de Genève | igor.matias@unige.ch | www.igormatias.com | www.qualityoflifetechnologies.com | © QoL Lab 2021 30 5 years RECRUITING
  • 32. Quality of Life Technologies Lab qol.unige.ch Thank You Igor Matias, the QoL Team, and Eric J. Daza# Quality of Life, Center for Informatics, University of Geneva, Switzerland igormatias.com | igor.matias@unige.ch # Evidation Health, Inc. | evidation.com Images: unsplash.com, icons8.com, and flaticon.com 2021