SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 25
Download to read offline
ADVICE for the WISE




    Newsletter – July’10
Contents




Index                        Page No.

Economic Update                   4

Equity Outlook                    7

Debt Outlook                     16

Insurance                         19

Forex                            21

Commodities                      22




                                        2
From the Desk of the CIO…

Dear Investor,                                                                      The global cues have been fairly mixed through last
Last month, RBI has raised its repo rate by 0.25% to 5.5%                           month. The Eurozone crisis has become broader but
and reverse repo rate by 0.25% to 4%. This has come on                              less immediate than what it was in Greece alone. The
the back of relatively robust GDP growth and continued                              assessment of the US Federal reserve regarding the
concerns on the inflation front. The economic growth in                             health of US economy has become more cautious in
recent quarters has been quite robust and the forecast of                           recent weeks. Renewed concerns of a real estate
growth in the next year has been revised upwards recently.                          bubble in China have dampened investors’
On the other hand inflation has continued to rise in recent                         sentiments further. A climate of mild caution globally
months. May inflation was as high as 10.2% and is                                   would be a positive for India. On the other hand panic
expected to rise further.                                                           due to a specific and sharp negative event on the
                                                                                    global level might lead to flight to safety on the part of
                                                                                    global investors.
As the growth momentum continues and so do worries on
inflation, RBI is expected to raise the rates further in its                        As a result, investors should be prepared to move
July 27th monetary policy announcement. We believe the                              into equities in either scenario. Continuity of neutral
impact of the rate hikes on the equity markets to be fairly                         global economic outlook is sufficient to gradually
muted. However, it will certainly dampen the possibility of                         invest in Indian equities. On the other hand, event
a break out on the higher side for equity markets in the                            driven     corrections    should     be     considered
next 2-3 months. The effect on the debt markets would be                            opportunities to move aggressively in Indian equities.
a rise in the yields. Yields may inch further up due to
expectation of another hike.                                                        Real estate markets across the country have revived
                                                                                    significantly. The medium term outlook on real estate
Positive domestic economic growth outlook augers well                               remains positive for tier 1 cities and cautious for tier 2
for profit growth of listed Indian companies. Hence profit                          cities. Residential real estate demand has risen due to
driven price increase of Indian equities looks quite                                pent up demand from the lack of transactions during
reliable. The other angle of valuation changes is                                   2008 and 2009. The improvement in commercial and
complicated by differences in the growth rates of Indian                            retail real estate has been more muted owing to
economy and global economy.                                                         oversupply created during the boom period.
Advisory services are provided through Karvy Stock Broking Ltd. (PMS) having SEBI Registration No: INP000001512. Investments are subject to market risks. Please
read the disclaimer on slide no.24                                                                                                                                 3
Snapshot of Key Markets

                                                   As on      Change over   Change over
                                         June   30th2010       last month      last year
                              BSE Sensex         17,701             4.5%        22.1%
     Equity                   S&P Nifty           5,312             4.4%        23.8%
     markets
                              S&P 500             1,031           (5.4%)        12.1%
                              Nikkei 225          9,383           (3.9%)        (5.8%)

                                                                                                   8


                              10-yr G-Sec Yield 7.54%            (1 bps)        53 bps           7.5




                                                                                           (%)
 Debt markets                 Call Markets      5.58%            28 bps        258 bps             7

                                                                                                 6.5
                              Fixed Deposit*    6.00%            (0 bps)     (100 bps)            6
                                                                                                  Jun-09                Sep-09                              Dec-09                               Mar-10                              Jun-10

                                                                                                                                        10 yr G-sec yield
                                                                                                                                        Line 2
                                                                                                                                        Line 3
                                                                                                                                        Line 4
                                                                                                 3,500                                  Line 5
                                                                                                                                        Line 6
                                                                                                 3,300                                  Line 7


  Commodity
                              RICI Index        2,951              0.1%           1.4%           3,100
                                                                                                                                        Line 8
                                                                                                                                        Line 9
                                                                                                                                        Line 10

   markets                    Gold (Rs/10gm) 18,805                2.3%          29.2%           2,900                                  Line 11
                                                                                                                                        Line 12
                                                                                                                                        Line 13
                                                                                                 2,700
                              Crude Oil ($/bbl)  74.1              7.7%          72.7%           2,500
                                                                                                                                        Line 14
                                                                                                                                        Line 15
                                                                                                                                        Line 16




                                                                                                                                                                  Nov-09
                                                                                                                                                      Oct-09
                                                                                                                    Jul-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                       Feb-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Mar-10
                                                                                                                               Aug-09
                                                                                                                                          Sep-09




                                                                                                                                                                               Dec-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Apr-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               May-10
                                                                                                          Jun-09




                                                                                                                                                                                             Jan-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jun-10
                                                                                                                                                                  RICI index


                                                                                                   50

      Forex                   Rupee/Dollar             46.6         0.3%        (2.6%)
                                                                                                   49
                                                                                                   48
                                                                                                   47
    markets                   Yen/Dollar               88.7       (2.7%)        (6.9%)             46
                                                                                                   45
                                                                                                   44




                                                                                                                   Jul-09




                                                                                                                                                                           Dec-09
                                                                                                                                                   Oct-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Apr-10
                                                                                                         Jun-09




                                                                                                                                                                                        Jan-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Jun-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Feb-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Mar-10
                                                                                                                             Aug-09
                                                                                                                                        Sep-09


                                                                                                                                                               Nov-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      May-10
* Indicates SBI one-year FD                                                                                                                                             Rupee/Dollar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    4
Economy Update - Global


            • The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index which had been on
              the rise for three consecutive months, declined sharply in June and now
   US         stands at 52.9, down from 62.7 in May indicating growing uncertainty
              about the future state of the economy and labor market .
            • US m-o-m unemployment rate edged down to 9.5 per cent in June 10.


             • Euro-zone purchasing managers index for June fell to 56.0 from 56.4 in
               May indicating a slow pace of growth.
 Europe      • Unemployment in the Euro zone remained at a record 10% in May for the
               third month running with almost 16m people out of work.
             • The industrial production grew by 0.8% in April from the March level
               which is a 9.5% rise on a 12-month comparison.


            • Though at a YoY increase of 20%, Japan’s industrial production slipped
              0.1% in May from the previous month marking the first decrease in three
  Japan       months.
            • Japan’s unemployment rate increased in May 10 (m-o-m) to 5.2% from
              5.1% in April 10.


            • China’s purchasing managers’ index released by HSBC Holdings Plc
 Emerging     dropped to a 4-month low of 50.4 from 52.7 in May as output and new
economies     orders dropped outright for the first time since the depths of the global
              downturn in March 2009.

                                                                                          5
Economy Outlook - Domestic

             IIP monthly data



                                                      • The GDP growth rate for FY10 came in at 7.4%;
                                                        better than the estimated 7.2% for FY10 with FY10
                                                        Q4 GDP figure coming in at 8.6%.

                                                      • For FY10, growth in construction sector remained
                                                        unchanged at 6.5%, while industry and services
• Industrial output as measured by the Index of         grew at 9.3% (vs 8.2% ) and 8.5% (vs 8.7%) year on
  Industrial Production (IIP) grew by 17.6% (y-o-y)     year.
  in April 10; with growth seen across all sectors.
  The manufacturing sector in April grew 19.4% as     • The Finance ministry is targeting FY11 growth at
  against 0.4% a year earlier                           ~8.50%. We believe the current target is sustainable
                                                        as we expect manufacturing and service sectors to
• We believe the growth in IIP will shift from          continue to drive growth in the next few quarters,
  consumption led sectors to manufacturing              even as farm output stages a turnaround.
  sectors as the economy keeps improving.


                                                                             GDP growth




                                                                                                               6
Economic Outlook - Domestic

             Growth in credit & deposits of SCBs


      28                              B ank Credit                  A ggregate Depo sits

      23
(%)




      18
                                                                                                      • Inflation as measured by WPI stood at 10.16%
      13                                                                                                (y-o-y) for the month of May-10 as compared to
                                                                                                        9.59% during April 10
      8
       M a y- 0 9   J ul- 0 9   S e p- 0 9   N o v-09   J a n- 10   M a r- 10   M a y- 10
                                                                                                      • We expect WPI inflation numbers to increase in
                                                                                                        coming months due to a direct fall out of the fuel
                                                                                                        price hike and wearing off of high base effect but
 • Bank credit growth further improved in the month of
                                                                                                        expect moderation in m-o-m inflation numbers
   May as it increased by 17.1% as compared to 17.0%
                                                                                                        as the RBI continues its monetary tightening
   in the month of April 2010
                                                                                                        stance.
 • We expect credit growth to further improve in the
   next few quarters and settle at ~20% levels on the
                                                                                                                           Inflation
   back of improving business confidence and decline                                         14


   in risk aversion on the part of banks as the                                              12

                                                                                             10
   economic recovery gathers momentum.
                                                                                                  8

                                                                                                  6
                                                                                            (%)




                                                                                                  4

                                                                                                  2

                                                                                                  0
                                                                                                  Apr-     Jul-   Oct-   Jan-   Apr-   Jul-   Oct-   Jan-   Apr-
                                                                                              -2 08         08     08     09     09     09     09     10     10

                                                                                              -4                                                                   7
Equity Outlook


                    FII & MF data                                             Sales growth




                                                          • Substantial improvement in sales was witnessed in
                                                            Q2 & Q3 mainly in consumption oriented sectors of
                                                            the economy.

                                                          • We expect improvement in sales in upcoming
                                                            quarters; especially in the manufacturing space as
                                                            domestic demand picks up.

• FIIs invested Rs. 10,244 Cr. in equities in the month                        Profit growth
  of June alone as the markets remained relatively
  stable throughout the month on cues of stable
  macroeconomic indicators.

• Mutual Funds sold around Rs. 1,092 Cr in the month
  of June as Corporates exited the markets to fulfill     • Recent Q3 & Q4 numbers have beaten estimates
  their advance tax liabilities for the quarter.            with higher sales and better operational efficiency
                                                            aiding profit growth.

                                                          • Margins are expected to remain stable in the
                                                            following quarters as lower interest costs are offset
                                                            by higher raw material costs                            8
Sector Outlook


Recommendation        Sector                                 Rationale

                     Power         Positive on Power cos. with installed capacity, Power
                                   equipment manufacturers and EPC contractors
                  Capital Goods    We expect the capex cycle to once again gather steam as
                                   demand picks up. Positive on manufacturing companies

                     Banks         Credit off take to improve driving core earnings growth and
                                   NPAs to decline as economy recovers.
 Overweight
                    Oil & Gas      The oil companies are expected to benefit from the deregulation
                                   of oil prices; positive on upstream oil companies and refineries.

                    Cement         Despite large capacity build-up, no sustained pressure seen
                                   on sales realization as demand growth is equally strong.
                                   Higher capacity of the existing players will help post strong
                                   profit growth and improved ROE

                 Consumer Goods    Sector currently enjoys rich valuations and is unlikely to see
                                   any P/E upgrades or earnings upgrades in the medium term.

                       IT          Upside capped in IT stocks due to the depreciating Euro and
   Neutral                         higher employee costs compressing profit margins.

                      Auto         Auto stocks look fully priced. Despite upbeat sales
                                   expectations, expect margins to come under pressure
                                                                                                       9
Our Equity MF Recommendations


                                        1 year
                                                    3 year return    Since Inception      AUM (Cr.)   Date of Inception
                                        return
Core Diversified
HDFC Top 200 Fund                        35.4%          17.3%             23.9%             7,220       03/09/1996
Franklin India Prima Plus                31.3%           9.1%             21.0%             1,727       29/09/1994
DSPBR Top 100 Equity Fund                29.8%          13.1%             35.7%             2,679       11/03/2003
Nifty                                   23.8%            7.1%
Aggressive Equity
DWS Investment Opportunity Fund          31.9%          12.3%             22.7%              178        10/02/2004
HDFC Growth                              42.0%          14.1%             23.6%             1,279       11/11/2000
Reliance Growth                          40.8%          14.2%             29.6%             7,353       08/12/1995
Mid and Small Cap
IDFC Small & Mid Cap Equity Fund         55.9%           N/A              26.6%              650        07/03/2008
Reliance RSF Equity Fund                 38.4%          19.5%             23.9%             2,635       12/06/2005
Birla Mid Cap                            47.7%          13.3%             36.0%             1,757       16/10/2002
CNX Mid Cap                              49.8%          10.8%
     Return below one year is absolute and above one year is CAGR
     Performance as on 30th June, 2010turn below one year is absolute and above one year is CAGR
  Performance as on 30th June, 2010
                                                                                                                          10
Our Equity MF Recommendations


                                                                         Since                  Date of
                                         1 year return 3 year return               AUM (Cr.)
                                                                       Inception               Inception
Index/ETFs
Benchmark Nifty BeES                        24.8%          7.9%         22.5%        537       28/12/2001
Benchmark Junior BeES                       45.0%          9.0%         35.6%        208       21/02/2003
Balanced
HDFC Prudence Fund                          44.8%         16.2%         19.9%       3,992      01/02/1994
DSPBR Balanced Fund                         31.3%         12.7%         17.9%        672       27/05/1999
Birla SL Balance 95                         30.7%         13.3%         24.8%        290       28/03/1995
Sector / Thematic
Sundaram Capex Opportunities                27.5%          7.8%         21.0%        542       29/09/2005
Reliance Banking Fund                       44.5%         23.9%         35.6%       1,121      28/05/2003
Reliance Diversified Power Sector Fund      29.1%         23.1%         40.3%       5,320      10/05/2004
Nifty                                       23.8%          7.1%
Crisil Balanced Index                       16.5%          8.5%


    Return below one year is absolute and above one year is CAGR
    Performance as on 30th June, 2010
   Return below one year is absolute and above one year is CAGR
   Performance as on 30th June, 2010
                                                                                                            11
Motilal Oswal – MOSt 50 NFO


Overview                                                  Positives
A fundamentally Weighted ETF based on the S&P
CNX Nifty Index. The MOSt 50 basket consists of all       • Higher allocation to stocks with superior
50 stocks of Nifty but in a proportion determined by        fundamentals & reasonable valuations giving a
using a pre-defined methodology that assigns                higher upside potential.
weights based on stock’s fundamentals (ROE, net
worth, retained earnings & price) against market cap      • It combines the benefit of active algorithmic
based weights used in Nifty.                                allocation & passive execution protecting
                                                            investors from any fund manager bias

Issue Terms                                               • Lower cost structure as compared to a traditional
                                                            investment product
• Entry Load : Nil
                                                          •    Real time prices – ETFs can be traded on real
• Exit Load : Nil                                             time ‘spot’ prices on the exchange, unlike mutual
•                                                             funds which can be bought/sold only at end of day
  Minimum Application amount :Rs. 10,000 & in                 NAVs
  multiple of Rs. 1 thereafter
                                                          • Speedy & Easy execution – Real time execution of
• NAV offer price :During NFO period MOSt Shares            buy-sell orders through any broking account thus
  M50 (units) will be allotted at 1/100th of M50 basket     offering intraday liquidity
  Value
                                                          • No Entry or Exit loads
• NFO Period : 30th June 2010 to 19th July 2010


                                                                                                                  12
Nifty Linked Debentures


    Nifty linked - Knockout structure


•    The structure is for those investors who are mildly bullish on the market and would not like to take "end of the period" or
     "point-to-point" risk on the market.




                                                   15 / 18 Months
      Tenure
                                                   110%
      Participation Rate
                                                   100%
      Principal Protection
                                                   Average of Nifty at 1M, 2M, 3M
      Initial Level
                                                   Average of Nifty at 13M, 14M, 15M
      Final Level
                                                   14% [absolute]
      KO Rebate
                                                   120%
      KO Level
                                                   1.1 * Max { 0, Final Level/Initial Level - 1}
      If KO is not triggered

      Barrier Observation Frequency                Monthly from 4M to 12M

                                                                                                                                   13
Payoff Structure – Scenario Analysis


                                                           Option 1             Option 2             Option 3             Option 4


                                                     Nifty depreciates or Nifty appreciates Nifty appreciates
                                                     appreciates by 0%         by 10%          by 19.99%       Knock Out @ 20%
Indicative Yield                                                      0%                11%            21.99%               14%
Tenure (Days)                                                         548                548               548               548
Indexation Rate                                                    6.32%              6.32%             0.00%             0.00%
Upfront Expenses                                                      2%                 2%                2%                2%
Face Value (Rs.)                                                      100                100               100               100
Investment Amount                                                     102                102               102               102
Value of FV after indexation                                      106.32              106.32            100.00            100.00
Absolute Return (%)                                                  0.00                11.00               21.99                 14.00
Total                                                                 100                  111             121.989                   114
Taxable Amount (LTGC with indexation)                                0.00                 4.68               19.99                 12.00
Tax Rate                                                          22.66%               22.66%              11.33%                11.33%
Tax Incidence                                                        0.00                 1.06                2.26                  1.36
Variable Expenses                                                     0%                   0%                  0%                    0%
Cash Flow (net of taxes)                                           100.00               109.94              119.72                112.64
Absolute Post Tax Return (%)                                         0.00                 9.94               19.72                 12.64
XIRR                                                               0.00%                6.52%              12.74%                 8.25%

  The indicative yields are expected to be in the range of 0% to 12.60%. The yield mentioned in the calculation is only indicative and in
  no way assures the exact yield of the portfolio. The exact portfolio would be determined after the portfolio is constructed. Past
  Performance may or may not be sustained in future Please consult your tax advisor before investing.
                                                                                                                                            14
Nifty Linked Debentures


Investment Rationale

•   Our in house view on Nifty is bullish, based on our assessment that the domestic economy will grow at near
    double digit levels led by strong growth in industry and services and resurgence in agriculture which will help drive
    corporate earnings growth at a CAGR of 18% to 20% over the next three years.

•   The product provides 110% participation on the Nifty and also provides 100% capital protection; thereby protecting
    the downside completely and providing returns higher than actual Nifty performance.

•   In case of any sharp up swings, the product ensures a coupon of 14%.

•   There is no end of period risk.

Risks

•   Credit risk of the issuer. However, the debentures will be secured partly by way of creation of charge on
    immovable property and partly by way of hypothecation / floating charge on the current assets and / or receivables
    and / or other movable tangible and / or intangible assets and/or any other asset of the issuer and / or its affiliates
    subject to the satisfaction of the debenture trustee.

Taxation

•   As it is a listed debenture, it will be taxed at 10.3%



                                                                                                                              15
Debt Outlook


                   Yield curve
                                                          • The benchmark 10 yr G-sec yield increased from
  (%)




                                                            7.4% in May to settle around 7.54% in the month
  9                                                         of June. With high inflation numbers, we see the
  7                                                         RBI tightening its monetary stance in the coming
  5                                                         review.
  3
        1   4       7     10         13   16    19        • We believe that future monetary tightening
                                                            measures is unlikely to a major impact on the
                               Yrs                          longer end of the yield curve. We expect the 10 yr
                                                            G-sec yields to remain in the broad range of 7.25
                                                            – 8.0% in the next few quarters.
• We expect yields at the longer end of the yield
  curve to remain stable. High inflation, monetary
  tightening and rising credit growth will keep the
  yields at the longer end range bound.

• Short term liquidity concerns arising from 3G
  auctions and advance tax payments will keep
  yields at the shorter end at elevated levels.                             10-yr G-sec yield
                                                                8.5

• Due to rising inflationary expectations, we expect             8

                                                                7.5
  further interest rate hikes by RBI in the July policy
                                                          (%)



                                                                 7
  review.
                                                                6.5

                                                                 6
                                                                 Jun-09   Sep-09   Dec-09    Mar-10    Jun-10

                                                                                                                 16
Debt Strategy


  Category    Outlook                                 Details

                            We recommend short term bond funds with a 6-12 month
Short Term                  investment horizon as we expect them to deliver superior
Bond Funds                  returns due to high YTM and concerns over credit quality
                            ease as the economy recovers, thereby prompting ratings
                            upgrade.

                            MIPs should be considered as an investment option; given
                            the low returns in debt instruments. A 15%-20% equity
   MIPs                     kicker should deliver superior returns as compared to
                            pure debt instruments.


                           We recommend liquid plus funds for short-term parking of
                           money (up to two months). We expect returns from this
Liquid Plus
                           category of funds to improve as the RBI continues to exit
                           its loose monetary stance and as liquidity becomes tight.


                           We expect yields at the longer end of the yield curve to
  Long
                           remain stable. Yields may remain in the broad range of
 Tenure                    7.25 – 8.0% in the next few quarters. This may be an
 Income                    attractive investment once the inflationary pressure in the
  Funds                    economy settles down.
                                                                                         17
Our Debt MF Recommendations


                                       3 months   6 months                  Since                  Date of
 Fund                                                        1 year (%)               AUM (Cr.)
                                          (%)        (%)                  Inception               Inception
MIPs
HDFC MIP LT                             3.3%       5.0%       15.3%        12.6%       6,161      29/12/2003
Birla SL MIP II Savings 5               1.6%       2.7%        6.5%         8.7%       1,793      22/05/2004
Liquid Plus Funds
Reliance Medium Term Fund               1.3%       2.5%        4.9%         6.9%       13,942     25/09/2000
HDFC CMF- Treasury Advantage Plan       1.2%       2.3%        4.7%         6.9%       31,521     03/01/2000
Birla SL Floating Rate - LTP            1.3%       3.0%        7.2%         6.9%        587       05/06/2003
Short Term Funds
Birla Dynamic Bond Fund                 1.6%       3.4%        6.8%         8.2%       8,613      30/09/2004
Reliance Short Term Fund                1.6%       2.8%        5.9%         7.8%       8,613      23/12/2002
Reliance RSF Fund – Debt Option         1.5%       3.1%        7.2%         5.0%       2,890      12/06/2005
Kotak Credit Opportunities Fund          NA         NA          NA          6.3%        283       11/05/2010
Templeton India Income Opportunities
                                        2.2%       4.9%         NA          9.9%       2,653      21/12/2009
Fund
Income Funds
ICICI Pru Income Plan                   1.6%       1.7%        3.3%         9.7%        789       19/06/1998
Canara Robeco Income Fund               2.6%       3.0%        4.9%         9.2%        217       19/09/2002

 Returns are absolute
 Performance as on 30th June, 10
                                                                                                               18
Our Top Life
Insurance Recommendations


                 Term Plans
 Birla Sun Life High Net Worth Term Plan*
HDFC Standard Life – Term Assurance Plan
   ICICI Pru Life Insurance Pure Protect
          Metlife – Suraksha Plus


                    ULIPs
            Kotak Platinum EDGE
          Birla SL Platinum Premier

               Pension Plans
     TATA AIG Invest Assure Future Plus


                 Child Plans
       Kotak Headstart Future Protect
     Birla Sun Life Children Dream Plan
      Max New York Life Shiksha Plus

              Annuity Plans
    ICICI Pru Life Immediate Annuity

                                            19
Our Top Health
                             Insurance Recommendations


 Family Cover                                                 Sum Assured     Annual Premium
 Star Family Health Optima                                         Rs. 5 L           Rs.6,875
 Apollo Munich Easy Health Standard                                Rs. 5 L           Rs.9,999
Both policies cover self, spouse and 2 dependent children
Entry Age for Apollo is 3 months – 60 yrs
Entry Age for Star Health is 5 months – 60 yrs


Critical Illness                                               Sum Assured    Annual Premium
HDFC Critical Care Plan                                             Rs. 5 L          Rs. 3,465
Assuming an individual of 30 yrs of age and policy term of 20 years



Health Cover – Senior Citizens                                 Sum Assured    Annual Premium
Star Health Senior Citizens Red Carpet                              Rs. 2 L          Rs. 9,326
Entry age is 60-69 years




Loss of income coverage                                        Sum Assured    Annual Premium
TATA AIG Life Health First                                          Rs. 2 L        Rs. 13,605


                                                                                                 20
Forex

 Rupee movement vis-à-vis other currencies (M-o-M)             Trade balance and export-import data




                                                         • Exports for the month of May increased by 35.1%
                                                           y-o-y while imports increased by 38.5% increasing
                                                           the trade deficit to USD 11,292 Mn.

•The Rupee appreciated v/s the US dollar and the Euro
 in the month of May due to uncertainties emerging in
 Euro zone economies and slow pace of recovery in
 the U.S..                                                            Capital account balance

• Our medium term view is that the rupee is likely to
 strengthen further in 2010. Higher interest rates in
 India would attract large capital flows. Moreover the
 government is expected to simplify the rules on         • Capital account balance was positive in the first
 foreign inflows to facilitate larger foreign capital      nine months for FY10
 inflows in the form of FDI
                                                         • We expect the capital account balance to remain
                                                           positive due to expectations of higher interest
                                                           rates; thereby attracting inflows and buoyant
                                                           equity markets                                      21
Commodities

                                                                          20000

                                                                          19000

                                                                          18000
            • Gold likely to trade higher as low interest rates in the    17000
Precious      west enhances Gold’s alternate investment demand            16000

                                                                          15000
              Gold prices likely to average $1,200/oz on Comex and
 Metals                                                                   14000
              Rs. 17,900/10 gm on MCX, for the next six months.
                                                                                                                                                          Gold 10 gm




                                                                                         100
            • Though last month the crude prices increased by 7.7%, but




                                                                                  Oil ($ / bbl)
              they are expected to trade lower in Q2 due to no significant
Oil & Gas     seasonal demand (Q2 is the maintenance season for                                   70


              refineries)
            • Natural gas prices to trade lower in Q2 owing to speculation                        40

              over weak demand.                                                                    Jun-09                      Sep-09                      Dec-09                          Mar-10                                Jun-10

                                                                              1050

             • Prices of essential commodities have seen a marginal 1000
               increase in the last month. But, due to expectations of 950
                                                                            900

  Agri         higher production output, we see the prices declining in the 850
               coming months                                                800

             • A favorable Rabi output to further cool prices in the medium




                                                                                                                                                 Nov-09
                                                                                                                                        Oct-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                       Apr-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    May-10
                                                                                                   Jun-09




                                                                                                                                                                      Jan-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jun-10
                                                                                                            Jul-09




                                                                                                                                                                                 Feb-10
                                                                                                                                                                                            Mar-10
                                                                                                                     Aug-09
                                                                                                                               Sep-09




                                                                                                                                                            Dec-09
               term                                                                                                                                                  RICI Agri
                                                                                             2,700.00
                                                                                             2,500.00

             • The data released regarding consumer confidence, jobless                      2,300.00
                                                                                             2,100.00
  Base         claims and lower vehicle demand in the last month suggest                     1,900.00
               a decrease in metal prices in the shorter term but as the                     1,700.00

 Metals        markets stabilize over the next six months, we could expect                   1,500.00




                                                                                                                                                                     Nov-09
                                                                                                                                                           Oct-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Apr-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          May-10
                                                                                                                      Jun-09
                                                                                                                               Jul-09




                                                                                                                                                                                          Jan-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Jun-10
                                                                                                                                                                               Dec-09


                                                                                                                                                                                                     Feb-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Mar-10
                                                                                                                                        Aug-09
                                                                                                                                                 Sep-09
               a modest uptrend in prices.
                                                                                                                                                                       RICI Metal
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            22
Why Karvy Private Wealth?


                   Leveraging breadth of related businesses that KARVY is in
KARVY is an integrated financial services group, with Karvy Private Wealth being one of its arms. The
entire group’s strengths are leveraged to provide end-to-end wealth advice to Karvy Private Wealth
clients. For example, SME clients can receive advice on their personal wealth while also getting
investment banking advice from the I-banking arm of Karvy.

                             Maximum choice of products & services
KARVY Private Wealth offers the widest breadth of products and services, providing clients a variety of
options through a single contact. Products and services include equities, debt instruments,
commodities, Mutual Funds, Insurance, Structured Products, Financial Planning, real estate advice,
etc.
                                       Product-neutral advice
We ensure that our recommendations are 100% product-neutral and unbiased because unlike other
players, we are neither tied up with any one particular insurance company nor do we have our own
mutual funds.
                                        All-India presence

Set to have business in 20 - 25 cities we are poised to cater to families and businesses spread across
multiple cities in India providing them with combined and integrated advice. For one-off services, if
required, we can also leverage KARVY Group’s presence in 400 cities.
                                                                                                          23
Disclaimer


The information and views presented here are prepared by Karvy Private Wealth or other Karvy Group
companies. The information contained herein is based on our analysis and upon sources that we consider
reliable. We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. This material is for personal
information and we are not responsible for any loss incurred based upon it.

The investments discussed or recommended here may not be suitable for all investors. Investors must make
their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives and financial position and using
such independent advice, as they believe necessary. While acting upon any information or analysis mentioned
here, investors may please note that neither Karvy nor any person connected with any associated companies
of Karvy accepts any liability arising from the use of this information and views mentioned here.

The author, directors and other employees of Karvy and its affiliates may hold long or short positions in the
above-mentioned companies from time to time. Every employee of Karvy and its associated companies are
required to disclose their individual stock holdings and details of trades, if any, that they undertake. The team
rendering corporate analysis and investment recommendations are restricted in purchasing/selling of shares
or other securities till such a time this recommendation has either been displayed or has been forwarded to
clients of Karvy. All employees are further restricted to place orders only through Karvy Stock Broking Ltd.

The information given in this document on tax are for guidance only, and should not be construed as tax
advice. Investors are advised to consult their respective tax advisers to understand the specific tax incidence
applicable to them. We also expect significant changes in the tax laws once the new Direct Tax Code is in force
– this could change the applicability and incidence of tax on investments




                                                                                                                    24
Contact Us



                     Bangalore                  080-26606126

                     Chennai                    044-28269695

                     Delhi                     011-43509268

                     Goa                        0832-2731822

                     Hyderabad                  040-23312454

                     Kolkata                    033-40515100

                    Mumbai                      022-33055000

                     Pune                      020-66048791

 Email: wealth@karvy.com       SMS: ‘HNI’ to 56767   Website: www.karvywealth.com

Corporate Office : 702, Hallmark Business Plaza, Sant Dnyaneshwar Marg, Bandra (East),
                   Mumbai – 400 051
                                                                                         25

More Related Content

What's hot

Market Wrap Up: 10th December, 2010
Market Wrap Up: 10th December, 2010Market Wrap Up: 10th December, 2010
Market Wrap Up: 10th December, 2010Fullerton Securities
 
Market wrap up for october 21, 2010
Market wrap up for october 21, 2010Market wrap up for october 21, 2010
Market wrap up for october 21, 2010Fullerton Securities
 
Market outlook 16 09 10
Market outlook 16 09 10Market outlook 16 09 10
Market outlook 16 09 10Angel Broking
 
Market Outlook - September 20, 2010
Market Outlook - September 20, 2010Market Outlook - September 20, 2010
Market Outlook - September 20, 2010Angel Broking
 
Daily newsletter - October 21, 2011
Daily newsletter - October 21, 2011Daily newsletter - October 21, 2011
Daily newsletter - October 21, 2011Fullerton Securities
 
Market Outlook - 17 September 2010
Market Outlook - 17 September 2010Market Outlook - 17 September 2010
Market Outlook - 17 September 2010Angel Broking
 
August 2011 Commentary
August 2011 CommentaryAugust 2011 Commentary
August 2011 CommentaryMartin Leduc
 
Daily newsletter - October 20, 2011
Daily newsletter - October 20, 2011Daily newsletter - October 20, 2011
Daily newsletter - October 20, 2011Fullerton Securities
 
Hedging Risk in a High Yield Bond Portfolio
Hedging Risk in a High Yield Bond PortfolioHedging Risk in a High Yield Bond Portfolio
Hedging Risk in a High Yield Bond PortfolioIndex Strategy Advisors
 
Keynote capitals india morning note aug 5-'11
Keynote capitals india morning note aug 5-'11Keynote capitals india morning note aug 5-'11
Keynote capitals india morning note aug 5-'11Keynote Capitals Ltd.
 
Mid Quarter Monetary Policy Review
Mid Quarter Monetary Policy ReviewMid Quarter Monetary Policy Review
Mid Quarter Monetary Policy ReviewAngel Broking
 
Cazenove Presentation 03 11 09
Cazenove Presentation 03 11 09Cazenove Presentation 03 11 09
Cazenove Presentation 03 11 09Creaseys LLP
 
Market Wrap Up: 17th January, 2011
Market Wrap Up: 17th January, 2011Market Wrap Up: 17th January, 2011
Market Wrap Up: 17th January, 2011Fullerton Securities
 
Keynote capitals india morning note december 16-'11
Keynote capitals india morning note december 16-'11Keynote capitals india morning note december 16-'11
Keynote capitals india morning note december 16-'11Keynote Capitals Ltd.
 

What's hot (20)

Market Wrap Up: 10th December, 2010
Market Wrap Up: 10th December, 2010Market Wrap Up: 10th December, 2010
Market Wrap Up: 10th December, 2010
 
Market wrap up for october 21, 2010
Market wrap up for october 21, 2010Market wrap up for october 21, 2010
Market wrap up for october 21, 2010
 
Market outlook 16 09 10
Market outlook 16 09 10Market outlook 16 09 10
Market outlook 16 09 10
 
Debt market review
Debt market reviewDebt market review
Debt market review
 
Market Outlook - September 20, 2010
Market Outlook - September 20, 2010Market Outlook - September 20, 2010
Market Outlook - September 20, 2010
 
Weekly market outlook 14.01.12
Weekly market outlook 14.01.12Weekly market outlook 14.01.12
Weekly market outlook 14.01.12
 
Weekly market review july 13 2012
Weekly market review   july 13 2012Weekly market review   july 13 2012
Weekly market review july 13 2012
 
Daily newsletter - October 21, 2011
Daily newsletter - October 21, 2011Daily newsletter - October 21, 2011
Daily newsletter - October 21, 2011
 
Market Outlook - 17 September 2010
Market Outlook - 17 September 2010Market Outlook - 17 September 2010
Market Outlook - 17 September 2010
 
August 2011 Commentary
August 2011 CommentaryAugust 2011 Commentary
August 2011 Commentary
 
Daily newsletter - October 20, 2011
Daily newsletter - October 20, 2011Daily newsletter - October 20, 2011
Daily newsletter - October 20, 2011
 
Maket Wrap Up: 19th January, 2011
Maket Wrap Up: 19th January, 2011Maket Wrap Up: 19th January, 2011
Maket Wrap Up: 19th January, 2011
 
Hedging Risk in a High Yield Bond Portfolio
Hedging Risk in a High Yield Bond PortfolioHedging Risk in a High Yield Bond Portfolio
Hedging Risk in a High Yield Bond Portfolio
 
Keynote capitals india morning note aug 5-'11
Keynote capitals india morning note aug 5-'11Keynote capitals india morning note aug 5-'11
Keynote capitals india morning note aug 5-'11
 
July 2010
July 2010July 2010
July 2010
 
Mid Quarter Monetary Policy Review
Mid Quarter Monetary Policy ReviewMid Quarter Monetary Policy Review
Mid Quarter Monetary Policy Review
 
Cazenove Presentation 03 11 09
Cazenove Presentation 03 11 09Cazenove Presentation 03 11 09
Cazenove Presentation 03 11 09
 
Weekly market review May 4, 2012
Weekly market review May 4, 2012Weekly market review May 4, 2012
Weekly market review May 4, 2012
 
Market Wrap Up: 17th January, 2011
Market Wrap Up: 17th January, 2011Market Wrap Up: 17th January, 2011
Market Wrap Up: 17th January, 2011
 
Keynote capitals india morning note december 16-'11
Keynote capitals india morning note december 16-'11Keynote capitals india morning note december 16-'11
Keynote capitals india morning note december 16-'11
 

Viewers also liked

Karvy Private Wealth - Advice for the Wise (October 2010)
Karvy Private Wealth - Advice for the Wise (October 2010)Karvy Private Wealth - Advice for the Wise (October 2010)
Karvy Private Wealth - Advice for the Wise (October 2010)Karvy Private Wealth
 
The World This Week - 16th to 19th August, 2016
The World This Week - 16th to 19th August, 2016The World This Week - 16th to 19th August, 2016
The World This Week - 16th to 19th August, 2016Karvy Private Wealth
 
The World This Week - 29th Aug to 2nd Sept, 2016
The World This Week - 29th Aug to 2nd Sept, 2016The World This Week - 29th Aug to 2nd Sept, 2016
The World This Week - 29th Aug to 2nd Sept, 2016Karvy Private Wealth
 
The World This Week - 22nd to 26th Aug, 2016
The World This Week - 22nd to 26th Aug, 2016The World This Week - 22nd to 26th Aug, 2016
The World This Week - 22nd to 26th Aug, 2016Karvy Private Wealth
 
Advice for the Wise - September 2016
Advice for the Wise - September 2016Advice for the Wise - September 2016
Advice for the Wise - September 2016Karvy Private Wealth
 
The World This Week - 5th to 9th Sept, 2016
The World This Week - 5th to 9th Sept, 2016The World This Week - 5th to 9th Sept, 2016
The World This Week - 5th to 9th Sept, 2016Karvy Private Wealth
 
A project report on strategic approach of karvy stock broking ltd and its com...
A project report on strategic approach of karvy stock broking ltd and its com...A project report on strategic approach of karvy stock broking ltd and its com...
A project report on strategic approach of karvy stock broking ltd and its com...Projects Kart
 

Viewers also liked (9)

Karvy Private Wealth - Advice for the Wise (October 2010)
Karvy Private Wealth - Advice for the Wise (October 2010)Karvy Private Wealth - Advice for the Wise (October 2010)
Karvy Private Wealth - Advice for the Wise (October 2010)
 
Sensex 2020
Sensex  2020Sensex  2020
Sensex 2020
 
The World This Week - 16th to 19th August, 2016
The World This Week - 16th to 19th August, 2016The World This Week - 16th to 19th August, 2016
The World This Week - 16th to 19th August, 2016
 
The World This Week - 29th Aug to 2nd Sept, 2016
The World This Week - 29th Aug to 2nd Sept, 2016The World This Week - 29th Aug to 2nd Sept, 2016
The World This Week - 29th Aug to 2nd Sept, 2016
 
The World This Week - 22nd to 26th Aug, 2016
The World This Week - 22nd to 26th Aug, 2016The World This Week - 22nd to 26th Aug, 2016
The World This Week - 22nd to 26th Aug, 2016
 
Advice for the Wise - September 2016
Advice for the Wise - September 2016Advice for the Wise - September 2016
Advice for the Wise - September 2016
 
The World This Week - 5th to 9th Sept, 2016
The World This Week - 5th to 9th Sept, 2016The World This Week - 5th to 9th Sept, 2016
The World This Week - 5th to 9th Sept, 2016
 
GST Bill - Infographic
GST Bill - InfographicGST Bill - Infographic
GST Bill - Infographic
 
A project report on strategic approach of karvy stock broking ltd and its com...
A project report on strategic approach of karvy stock broking ltd and its com...A project report on strategic approach of karvy stock broking ltd and its com...
A project report on strategic approach of karvy stock broking ltd and its com...
 

Similar to Karvy Private Wealth - Advice for the Wise - July 2010

Advice for the wise september 2012
Advice for the wise september 2012Advice for the wise september 2012
Advice for the wise september 2012Karvy Private Wealth
 
Advice for the Wise - February 2012
Advice for the Wise - February 2012Advice for the Wise - February 2012
Advice for the Wise - February 2012Karvy Private Wealth
 
Advice for the Wise - February 2013
Advice for the Wise - February 2013Advice for the Wise - February 2013
Advice for the Wise - February 2013Karvy Private Wealth
 
Equity Update - March 2020
Equity Update - March 2020Equity Update - March 2020
Equity Update - March 2020iciciprumf
 
Market insight rbi policy review_april 12
Market insight rbi policy review_april 12Market insight rbi policy review_april 12
Market insight rbi policy review_april 12sudhanshuarora1
 
SBI Dynamic Bond Fund : Debt Mutual Fund - Apr 2016
SBI Dynamic Bond Fund : Debt Mutual Fund - Apr 2016SBI Dynamic Bond Fund : Debt Mutual Fund - Apr 2016
SBI Dynamic Bond Fund : Debt Mutual Fund - Apr 2016SBI Mutual Fund
 
Equity Update - December 2019
Equity Update - December 2019Equity Update - December 2019
Equity Update - December 2019iciciprumf
 
Monthly Market Outlook | Dec 2023
Monthly Market Outlook | Dec 2023Monthly Market Outlook | Dec 2023
Monthly Market Outlook | Dec 2023iciciprumf
 

Similar to Karvy Private Wealth - Advice for the Wise - July 2010 (20)

Advice for the wise september 2012
Advice for the wise september 2012Advice for the wise september 2012
Advice for the wise september 2012
 
Advice for the wise August 2012
Advice for the wise August 2012Advice for the wise August 2012
Advice for the wise August 2012
 
Advice for the Wise - February 2012
Advice for the Wise - February 2012Advice for the Wise - February 2012
Advice for the Wise - February 2012
 
Advice for the wise february 2012
Advice for the wise february 2012Advice for the wise february 2012
Advice for the wise february 2012
 
Advice for the Wise July 2012
Advice for the Wise July 2012Advice for the Wise July 2012
Advice for the Wise July 2012
 
Advice for the Wise - February 2013
Advice for the Wise - February 2013Advice for the Wise - February 2013
Advice for the Wise - February 2013
 
Advice for the wise december'10
Advice for the wise   december'10Advice for the wise   december'10
Advice for the wise december'10
 
Advice For The Wise March 2013
Advice For The Wise  March 2013Advice For The Wise  March 2013
Advice For The Wise March 2013
 
Advice for the wise oct 10
Advice for the wise oct 10Advice for the wise oct 10
Advice for the wise oct 10
 
Advice For The Wise November 2012
Advice For The Wise  November 2012Advice For The Wise  November 2012
Advice For The Wise November 2012
 
Advice for the wise January' 11
Advice for the wise January' 11Advice for the wise January' 11
Advice for the wise January' 11
 
Equity Update - March 2020
Equity Update - March 2020Equity Update - March 2020
Equity Update - March 2020
 
Advice For The Wise - July'2011
Advice For The Wise - July'2011Advice For The Wise - July'2011
Advice For The Wise - July'2011
 
Market insight rbi policy review_april 12
Market insight rbi policy review_april 12Market insight rbi policy review_april 12
Market insight rbi policy review_april 12
 
Market insight rbi policy review_april 12
Market insight rbi policy review_april 12Market insight rbi policy review_april 12
Market insight rbi policy review_april 12
 
SBI Dynamic Bond Fund : Debt Mutual Fund - Apr 2016
SBI Dynamic Bond Fund : Debt Mutual Fund - Apr 2016SBI Dynamic Bond Fund : Debt Mutual Fund - Apr 2016
SBI Dynamic Bond Fund : Debt Mutual Fund - Apr 2016
 
Advice For The Wise - August'2011
Advice For The Wise - August'2011Advice For The Wise - August'2011
Advice For The Wise - August'2011
 
Market insight rbi policy review_jan 13
Market insight rbi policy review_jan 13Market insight rbi policy review_jan 13
Market insight rbi policy review_jan 13
 
Equity Update - December 2019
Equity Update - December 2019Equity Update - December 2019
Equity Update - December 2019
 
Monthly Market Outlook | Dec 2023
Monthly Market Outlook | Dec 2023Monthly Market Outlook | Dec 2023
Monthly Market Outlook | Dec 2023
 

More from Karvy Private Wealth

The world this week 15th june From Karvy Wealth
The world this week 15th june From Karvy WealthThe world this week 15th june From Karvy Wealth
The world this week 15th june From Karvy WealthKarvy Private Wealth
 
The World This Week November 14 - November 18 2016
The World This Week November 14 - November 18 2016The World This Week November 14 - November 18 2016
The World This Week November 14 - November 18 2016Karvy Private Wealth
 
The World This Week November 7 - November 11 - 2016
The World This Week November 7 - November 11 - 2016The World This Week November 7 - November 11 - 2016
The World This Week November 7 - November 11 - 2016Karvy Private Wealth
 
The World This Week October 31 - November 4 - 2016
The World This Week October 31 - November 4 - 2016The World This Week October 31 - November 4 - 2016
The World This Week October 31 - November 4 - 2016Karvy Private Wealth
 
The World This Week October 24 - October 28 - 2016
The World This Week October 24 - October 28  - 2016The World This Week October 24 - October 28  - 2016
The World This Week October 24 - October 28 - 2016Karvy Private Wealth
 
The World This Week October 17 - October21 2016
The World This Week October 17 - October21 2016The World This Week October 17 - October21 2016
The World This Week October 17 - October21 2016Karvy Private Wealth
 
The world this week October 10 - October 14 - 2016
The world this week October  10 - October 14  - 2016The world this week October  10 - October 14  - 2016
The world this week October 10 - October 14 - 2016Karvy Private Wealth
 
The World This Week October 3 - October 7 - 2016
The World This Week October 3 - October 7  - 2016The World This Week October 3 - October 7  - 2016
The World This Week October 3 - October 7 - 2016Karvy Private Wealth
 
The World This Week - 8th to 12th August, 2016
The World This Week - 8th to 12th August, 2016The World This Week - 8th to 12th August, 2016
The World This Week - 8th to 12th August, 2016Karvy Private Wealth
 
The World This Week - 1st to 5th August, 2016
The World This Week - 1st to 5th August, 2016The World This Week - 1st to 5th August, 2016
The World This Week - 1st to 5th August, 2016Karvy Private Wealth
 
The World This Week - 25 to 29th July, 2016
The World This Week - 25 to 29th July, 2016The World This Week - 25 to 29th July, 2016
The World This Week - 25 to 29th July, 2016Karvy Private Wealth
 
The World This Week - 18th to 22nd July, 2016
The World This Week - 18th to 22nd July, 2016The World This Week - 18th to 22nd July, 2016
The World This Week - 18th to 22nd July, 2016Karvy Private Wealth
 
The World This Week - 11th to 15th July, 2016
The World This Week - 11th to 15th July, 2016The World This Week - 11th to 15th July, 2016
The World This Week - 11th to 15th July, 2016Karvy Private Wealth
 
The World This Week - 4th to 8th July, 2016
The World This Week - 4th to 8th July, 2016The World This Week - 4th to 8th July, 2016
The World This Week - 4th to 8th July, 2016Karvy Private Wealth
 

More from Karvy Private Wealth (20)

The world this week 8th june
The world this week 8th juneThe world this week 8th june
The world this week 8th june
 
The world this week 1st june
The world this week 1st juneThe world this week 1st june
The world this week 1st june
 
The world this week 15th june From Karvy Wealth
The world this week 15th june From Karvy WealthThe world this week 15th june From Karvy Wealth
The world this week 15th june From Karvy Wealth
 
Advice for the Wise November 2016
Advice for the Wise   November 2016Advice for the Wise   November 2016
Advice for the Wise November 2016
 
Advice for the Wise October 2016
Advice for the Wise   October 2016Advice for the Wise   October 2016
Advice for the Wise October 2016
 
The World This Week November 14 - November 18 2016
The World This Week November 14 - November 18 2016The World This Week November 14 - November 18 2016
The World This Week November 14 - November 18 2016
 
The World This Week November 7 - November 11 - 2016
The World This Week November 7 - November 11 - 2016The World This Week November 7 - November 11 - 2016
The World This Week November 7 - November 11 - 2016
 
The World This Week October 31 - November 4 - 2016
The World This Week October 31 - November 4 - 2016The World This Week October 31 - November 4 - 2016
The World This Week October 31 - November 4 - 2016
 
The World This Week October 24 - October 28 - 2016
The World This Week October 24 - October 28  - 2016The World This Week October 24 - October 28  - 2016
The World This Week October 24 - October 28 - 2016
 
The World This Week October 17 - October21 2016
The World This Week October 17 - October21 2016The World This Week October 17 - October21 2016
The World This Week October 17 - October21 2016
 
The world this week October 10 - October 14 - 2016
The world this week October  10 - October 14  - 2016The world this week October  10 - October 14  - 2016
The world this week October 10 - October 14 - 2016
 
The World This Week October 3 - October 7 - 2016
The World This Week October 3 - October 7  - 2016The World This Week October 3 - October 7  - 2016
The World This Week October 3 - October 7 - 2016
 
The World This Week - 8th to 12th August, 2016
The World This Week - 8th to 12th August, 2016The World This Week - 8th to 12th August, 2016
The World This Week - 8th to 12th August, 2016
 
GST Bill - Infographic
GST Bill - InfographicGST Bill - Infographic
GST Bill - Infographic
 
The World This Week - 1st to 5th August, 2016
The World This Week - 1st to 5th August, 2016The World This Week - 1st to 5th August, 2016
The World This Week - 1st to 5th August, 2016
 
The World This Week - 25 to 29th July, 2016
The World This Week - 25 to 29th July, 2016The World This Week - 25 to 29th July, 2016
The World This Week - 25 to 29th July, 2016
 
Advice for the Wise - August 2016
Advice for the Wise - August 2016Advice for the Wise - August 2016
Advice for the Wise - August 2016
 
The World This Week - 18th to 22nd July, 2016
The World This Week - 18th to 22nd July, 2016The World This Week - 18th to 22nd July, 2016
The World This Week - 18th to 22nd July, 2016
 
The World This Week - 11th to 15th July, 2016
The World This Week - 11th to 15th July, 2016The World This Week - 11th to 15th July, 2016
The World This Week - 11th to 15th July, 2016
 
The World This Week - 4th to 8th July, 2016
The World This Week - 4th to 8th July, 2016The World This Week - 4th to 8th July, 2016
The World This Week - 4th to 8th July, 2016
 

Karvy Private Wealth - Advice for the Wise - July 2010

  • 1. ADVICE for the WISE Newsletter – July’10
  • 2. Contents Index Page No. Economic Update 4 Equity Outlook 7 Debt Outlook 16 Insurance 19 Forex 21 Commodities 22 2
  • 3. From the Desk of the CIO… Dear Investor, The global cues have been fairly mixed through last Last month, RBI has raised its repo rate by 0.25% to 5.5% month. The Eurozone crisis has become broader but and reverse repo rate by 0.25% to 4%. This has come on less immediate than what it was in Greece alone. The the back of relatively robust GDP growth and continued assessment of the US Federal reserve regarding the concerns on the inflation front. The economic growth in health of US economy has become more cautious in recent quarters has been quite robust and the forecast of recent weeks. Renewed concerns of a real estate growth in the next year has been revised upwards recently. bubble in China have dampened investors’ On the other hand inflation has continued to rise in recent sentiments further. A climate of mild caution globally months. May inflation was as high as 10.2% and is would be a positive for India. On the other hand panic expected to rise further. due to a specific and sharp negative event on the global level might lead to flight to safety on the part of global investors. As the growth momentum continues and so do worries on inflation, RBI is expected to raise the rates further in its As a result, investors should be prepared to move July 27th monetary policy announcement. We believe the into equities in either scenario. Continuity of neutral impact of the rate hikes on the equity markets to be fairly global economic outlook is sufficient to gradually muted. However, it will certainly dampen the possibility of invest in Indian equities. On the other hand, event a break out on the higher side for equity markets in the driven corrections should be considered next 2-3 months. The effect on the debt markets would be opportunities to move aggressively in Indian equities. a rise in the yields. Yields may inch further up due to expectation of another hike. Real estate markets across the country have revived significantly. The medium term outlook on real estate Positive domestic economic growth outlook augers well remains positive for tier 1 cities and cautious for tier 2 for profit growth of listed Indian companies. Hence profit cities. Residential real estate demand has risen due to driven price increase of Indian equities looks quite pent up demand from the lack of transactions during reliable. The other angle of valuation changes is 2008 and 2009. The improvement in commercial and complicated by differences in the growth rates of Indian retail real estate has been more muted owing to economy and global economy. oversupply created during the boom period. Advisory services are provided through Karvy Stock Broking Ltd. (PMS) having SEBI Registration No: INP000001512. Investments are subject to market risks. Please read the disclaimer on slide no.24 3
  • 4. Snapshot of Key Markets As on Change over Change over June 30th2010 last month last year BSE Sensex 17,701 4.5% 22.1% Equity S&P Nifty 5,312 4.4% 23.8% markets S&P 500 1,031 (5.4%) 12.1% Nikkei 225 9,383 (3.9%) (5.8%) 8 10-yr G-Sec Yield 7.54% (1 bps) 53 bps 7.5 (%) Debt markets Call Markets 5.58% 28 bps 258 bps 7 6.5 Fixed Deposit* 6.00% (0 bps) (100 bps) 6 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 10 yr G-sec yield Line 2 Line 3 Line 4 3,500 Line 5 Line 6 3,300 Line 7 Commodity RICI Index 2,951 0.1% 1.4% 3,100 Line 8 Line 9 Line 10 markets Gold (Rs/10gm) 18,805 2.3% 29.2% 2,900 Line 11 Line 12 Line 13 2,700 Crude Oil ($/bbl) 74.1 7.7% 72.7% 2,500 Line 14 Line 15 Line 16 Nov-09 Oct-09 Jul-09 Feb-10 Mar-10 Aug-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-09 Jan-10 Jun-10 RICI index 50 Forex Rupee/Dollar 46.6 0.3% (2.6%) 49 48 47 markets Yen/Dollar 88.7 (2.7%) (6.9%) 46 45 44 Jul-09 Dec-09 Oct-09 Apr-10 Jun-09 Jan-10 Jun-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Aug-09 Sep-09 Nov-09 May-10 * Indicates SBI one-year FD Rupee/Dollar 4
  • 5. Economy Update - Global • The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index which had been on the rise for three consecutive months, declined sharply in June and now US stands at 52.9, down from 62.7 in May indicating growing uncertainty about the future state of the economy and labor market . • US m-o-m unemployment rate edged down to 9.5 per cent in June 10. • Euro-zone purchasing managers index for June fell to 56.0 from 56.4 in May indicating a slow pace of growth. Europe • Unemployment in the Euro zone remained at a record 10% in May for the third month running with almost 16m people out of work. • The industrial production grew by 0.8% in April from the March level which is a 9.5% rise on a 12-month comparison. • Though at a YoY increase of 20%, Japan’s industrial production slipped 0.1% in May from the previous month marking the first decrease in three Japan months. • Japan’s unemployment rate increased in May 10 (m-o-m) to 5.2% from 5.1% in April 10. • China’s purchasing managers’ index released by HSBC Holdings Plc Emerging dropped to a 4-month low of 50.4 from 52.7 in May as output and new economies orders dropped outright for the first time since the depths of the global downturn in March 2009. 5
  • 6. Economy Outlook - Domestic IIP monthly data • The GDP growth rate for FY10 came in at 7.4%; better than the estimated 7.2% for FY10 with FY10 Q4 GDP figure coming in at 8.6%. • For FY10, growth in construction sector remained unchanged at 6.5%, while industry and services • Industrial output as measured by the Index of grew at 9.3% (vs 8.2% ) and 8.5% (vs 8.7%) year on Industrial Production (IIP) grew by 17.6% (y-o-y) year. in April 10; with growth seen across all sectors. The manufacturing sector in April grew 19.4% as • The Finance ministry is targeting FY11 growth at against 0.4% a year earlier ~8.50%. We believe the current target is sustainable as we expect manufacturing and service sectors to • We believe the growth in IIP will shift from continue to drive growth in the next few quarters, consumption led sectors to manufacturing even as farm output stages a turnaround. sectors as the economy keeps improving. GDP growth 6
  • 7. Economic Outlook - Domestic Growth in credit & deposits of SCBs 28 B ank Credit A ggregate Depo sits 23 (%) 18 • Inflation as measured by WPI stood at 10.16% 13 (y-o-y) for the month of May-10 as compared to 9.59% during April 10 8 M a y- 0 9 J ul- 0 9 S e p- 0 9 N o v-09 J a n- 10 M a r- 10 M a y- 10 • We expect WPI inflation numbers to increase in coming months due to a direct fall out of the fuel price hike and wearing off of high base effect but • Bank credit growth further improved in the month of expect moderation in m-o-m inflation numbers May as it increased by 17.1% as compared to 17.0% as the RBI continues its monetary tightening in the month of April 2010 stance. • We expect credit growth to further improve in the next few quarters and settle at ~20% levels on the Inflation back of improving business confidence and decline 14 in risk aversion on the part of banks as the 12 10 economic recovery gathers momentum. 8 6 (%) 4 2 0 Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- -2 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 -4 7
  • 8. Equity Outlook FII & MF data Sales growth • Substantial improvement in sales was witnessed in Q2 & Q3 mainly in consumption oriented sectors of the economy. • We expect improvement in sales in upcoming quarters; especially in the manufacturing space as domestic demand picks up. • FIIs invested Rs. 10,244 Cr. in equities in the month Profit growth of June alone as the markets remained relatively stable throughout the month on cues of stable macroeconomic indicators. • Mutual Funds sold around Rs. 1,092 Cr in the month of June as Corporates exited the markets to fulfill • Recent Q3 & Q4 numbers have beaten estimates their advance tax liabilities for the quarter. with higher sales and better operational efficiency aiding profit growth. • Margins are expected to remain stable in the following quarters as lower interest costs are offset by higher raw material costs 8
  • 9. Sector Outlook Recommendation Sector Rationale Power Positive on Power cos. with installed capacity, Power equipment manufacturers and EPC contractors Capital Goods We expect the capex cycle to once again gather steam as demand picks up. Positive on manufacturing companies Banks Credit off take to improve driving core earnings growth and NPAs to decline as economy recovers. Overweight Oil & Gas The oil companies are expected to benefit from the deregulation of oil prices; positive on upstream oil companies and refineries. Cement Despite large capacity build-up, no sustained pressure seen on sales realization as demand growth is equally strong. Higher capacity of the existing players will help post strong profit growth and improved ROE Consumer Goods Sector currently enjoys rich valuations and is unlikely to see any P/E upgrades or earnings upgrades in the medium term. IT Upside capped in IT stocks due to the depreciating Euro and Neutral higher employee costs compressing profit margins. Auto Auto stocks look fully priced. Despite upbeat sales expectations, expect margins to come under pressure 9
  • 10. Our Equity MF Recommendations 1 year 3 year return Since Inception AUM (Cr.) Date of Inception return Core Diversified HDFC Top 200 Fund 35.4% 17.3% 23.9% 7,220 03/09/1996 Franklin India Prima Plus 31.3% 9.1% 21.0% 1,727 29/09/1994 DSPBR Top 100 Equity Fund 29.8% 13.1% 35.7% 2,679 11/03/2003 Nifty 23.8% 7.1% Aggressive Equity DWS Investment Opportunity Fund 31.9% 12.3% 22.7% 178 10/02/2004 HDFC Growth 42.0% 14.1% 23.6% 1,279 11/11/2000 Reliance Growth 40.8% 14.2% 29.6% 7,353 08/12/1995 Mid and Small Cap IDFC Small & Mid Cap Equity Fund 55.9% N/A 26.6% 650 07/03/2008 Reliance RSF Equity Fund 38.4% 19.5% 23.9% 2,635 12/06/2005 Birla Mid Cap 47.7% 13.3% 36.0% 1,757 16/10/2002 CNX Mid Cap 49.8% 10.8% Return below one year is absolute and above one year is CAGR Performance as on 30th June, 2010turn below one year is absolute and above one year is CAGR Performance as on 30th June, 2010 10
  • 11. Our Equity MF Recommendations Since Date of 1 year return 3 year return AUM (Cr.) Inception Inception Index/ETFs Benchmark Nifty BeES 24.8% 7.9% 22.5% 537 28/12/2001 Benchmark Junior BeES 45.0% 9.0% 35.6% 208 21/02/2003 Balanced HDFC Prudence Fund 44.8% 16.2% 19.9% 3,992 01/02/1994 DSPBR Balanced Fund 31.3% 12.7% 17.9% 672 27/05/1999 Birla SL Balance 95 30.7% 13.3% 24.8% 290 28/03/1995 Sector / Thematic Sundaram Capex Opportunities 27.5% 7.8% 21.0% 542 29/09/2005 Reliance Banking Fund 44.5% 23.9% 35.6% 1,121 28/05/2003 Reliance Diversified Power Sector Fund 29.1% 23.1% 40.3% 5,320 10/05/2004 Nifty 23.8% 7.1% Crisil Balanced Index 16.5% 8.5% Return below one year is absolute and above one year is CAGR Performance as on 30th June, 2010 Return below one year is absolute and above one year is CAGR Performance as on 30th June, 2010 11
  • 12. Motilal Oswal – MOSt 50 NFO Overview Positives A fundamentally Weighted ETF based on the S&P CNX Nifty Index. The MOSt 50 basket consists of all • Higher allocation to stocks with superior 50 stocks of Nifty but in a proportion determined by fundamentals & reasonable valuations giving a using a pre-defined methodology that assigns higher upside potential. weights based on stock’s fundamentals (ROE, net worth, retained earnings & price) against market cap • It combines the benefit of active algorithmic based weights used in Nifty. allocation & passive execution protecting investors from any fund manager bias Issue Terms • Lower cost structure as compared to a traditional investment product • Entry Load : Nil • Real time prices – ETFs can be traded on real • Exit Load : Nil time ‘spot’ prices on the exchange, unlike mutual • funds which can be bought/sold only at end of day Minimum Application amount :Rs. 10,000 & in NAVs multiple of Rs. 1 thereafter • Speedy & Easy execution – Real time execution of • NAV offer price :During NFO period MOSt Shares buy-sell orders through any broking account thus M50 (units) will be allotted at 1/100th of M50 basket offering intraday liquidity Value • No Entry or Exit loads • NFO Period : 30th June 2010 to 19th July 2010 12
  • 13. Nifty Linked Debentures Nifty linked - Knockout structure • The structure is for those investors who are mildly bullish on the market and would not like to take "end of the period" or "point-to-point" risk on the market. 15 / 18 Months Tenure 110% Participation Rate 100% Principal Protection Average of Nifty at 1M, 2M, 3M Initial Level Average of Nifty at 13M, 14M, 15M Final Level 14% [absolute] KO Rebate 120% KO Level 1.1 * Max { 0, Final Level/Initial Level - 1} If KO is not triggered Barrier Observation Frequency Monthly from 4M to 12M 13
  • 14. Payoff Structure – Scenario Analysis Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Nifty depreciates or Nifty appreciates Nifty appreciates appreciates by 0% by 10% by 19.99% Knock Out @ 20% Indicative Yield 0% 11% 21.99% 14% Tenure (Days) 548 548 548 548 Indexation Rate 6.32% 6.32% 0.00% 0.00% Upfront Expenses 2% 2% 2% 2% Face Value (Rs.) 100 100 100 100 Investment Amount 102 102 102 102 Value of FV after indexation 106.32 106.32 100.00 100.00 Absolute Return (%) 0.00 11.00 21.99 14.00 Total 100 111 121.989 114 Taxable Amount (LTGC with indexation) 0.00 4.68 19.99 12.00 Tax Rate 22.66% 22.66% 11.33% 11.33% Tax Incidence 0.00 1.06 2.26 1.36 Variable Expenses 0% 0% 0% 0% Cash Flow (net of taxes) 100.00 109.94 119.72 112.64 Absolute Post Tax Return (%) 0.00 9.94 19.72 12.64 XIRR 0.00% 6.52% 12.74% 8.25% The indicative yields are expected to be in the range of 0% to 12.60%. The yield mentioned in the calculation is only indicative and in no way assures the exact yield of the portfolio. The exact portfolio would be determined after the portfolio is constructed. Past Performance may or may not be sustained in future Please consult your tax advisor before investing. 14
  • 15. Nifty Linked Debentures Investment Rationale • Our in house view on Nifty is bullish, based on our assessment that the domestic economy will grow at near double digit levels led by strong growth in industry and services and resurgence in agriculture which will help drive corporate earnings growth at a CAGR of 18% to 20% over the next three years. • The product provides 110% participation on the Nifty and also provides 100% capital protection; thereby protecting the downside completely and providing returns higher than actual Nifty performance. • In case of any sharp up swings, the product ensures a coupon of 14%. • There is no end of period risk. Risks • Credit risk of the issuer. However, the debentures will be secured partly by way of creation of charge on immovable property and partly by way of hypothecation / floating charge on the current assets and / or receivables and / or other movable tangible and / or intangible assets and/or any other asset of the issuer and / or its affiliates subject to the satisfaction of the debenture trustee. Taxation • As it is a listed debenture, it will be taxed at 10.3% 15
  • 16. Debt Outlook Yield curve • The benchmark 10 yr G-sec yield increased from (%) 7.4% in May to settle around 7.54% in the month 9 of June. With high inflation numbers, we see the 7 RBI tightening its monetary stance in the coming 5 review. 3 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 • We believe that future monetary tightening measures is unlikely to a major impact on the Yrs longer end of the yield curve. We expect the 10 yr G-sec yields to remain in the broad range of 7.25 – 8.0% in the next few quarters. • We expect yields at the longer end of the yield curve to remain stable. High inflation, monetary tightening and rising credit growth will keep the yields at the longer end range bound. • Short term liquidity concerns arising from 3G auctions and advance tax payments will keep yields at the shorter end at elevated levels. 10-yr G-sec yield 8.5 • Due to rising inflationary expectations, we expect 8 7.5 further interest rate hikes by RBI in the July policy (%) 7 review. 6.5 6 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 16
  • 17. Debt Strategy Category Outlook Details We recommend short term bond funds with a 6-12 month Short Term investment horizon as we expect them to deliver superior Bond Funds returns due to high YTM and concerns over credit quality ease as the economy recovers, thereby prompting ratings upgrade. MIPs should be considered as an investment option; given the low returns in debt instruments. A 15%-20% equity MIPs kicker should deliver superior returns as compared to pure debt instruments. We recommend liquid plus funds for short-term parking of money (up to two months). We expect returns from this Liquid Plus category of funds to improve as the RBI continues to exit its loose monetary stance and as liquidity becomes tight. We expect yields at the longer end of the yield curve to Long remain stable. Yields may remain in the broad range of Tenure 7.25 – 8.0% in the next few quarters. This may be an Income attractive investment once the inflationary pressure in the Funds economy settles down. 17
  • 18. Our Debt MF Recommendations 3 months 6 months Since Date of Fund 1 year (%) AUM (Cr.) (%) (%) Inception Inception MIPs HDFC MIP LT 3.3% 5.0% 15.3% 12.6% 6,161 29/12/2003 Birla SL MIP II Savings 5 1.6% 2.7% 6.5% 8.7% 1,793 22/05/2004 Liquid Plus Funds Reliance Medium Term Fund 1.3% 2.5% 4.9% 6.9% 13,942 25/09/2000 HDFC CMF- Treasury Advantage Plan 1.2% 2.3% 4.7% 6.9% 31,521 03/01/2000 Birla SL Floating Rate - LTP 1.3% 3.0% 7.2% 6.9% 587 05/06/2003 Short Term Funds Birla Dynamic Bond Fund 1.6% 3.4% 6.8% 8.2% 8,613 30/09/2004 Reliance Short Term Fund 1.6% 2.8% 5.9% 7.8% 8,613 23/12/2002 Reliance RSF Fund – Debt Option 1.5% 3.1% 7.2% 5.0% 2,890 12/06/2005 Kotak Credit Opportunities Fund NA NA NA 6.3% 283 11/05/2010 Templeton India Income Opportunities 2.2% 4.9% NA 9.9% 2,653 21/12/2009 Fund Income Funds ICICI Pru Income Plan 1.6% 1.7% 3.3% 9.7% 789 19/06/1998 Canara Robeco Income Fund 2.6% 3.0% 4.9% 9.2% 217 19/09/2002 Returns are absolute Performance as on 30th June, 10 18
  • 19. Our Top Life Insurance Recommendations Term Plans Birla Sun Life High Net Worth Term Plan* HDFC Standard Life – Term Assurance Plan ICICI Pru Life Insurance Pure Protect Metlife – Suraksha Plus ULIPs Kotak Platinum EDGE Birla SL Platinum Premier Pension Plans TATA AIG Invest Assure Future Plus Child Plans Kotak Headstart Future Protect Birla Sun Life Children Dream Plan Max New York Life Shiksha Plus Annuity Plans ICICI Pru Life Immediate Annuity 19
  • 20. Our Top Health Insurance Recommendations Family Cover Sum Assured Annual Premium Star Family Health Optima Rs. 5 L Rs.6,875 Apollo Munich Easy Health Standard Rs. 5 L Rs.9,999 Both policies cover self, spouse and 2 dependent children Entry Age for Apollo is 3 months – 60 yrs Entry Age for Star Health is 5 months – 60 yrs Critical Illness Sum Assured Annual Premium HDFC Critical Care Plan Rs. 5 L Rs. 3,465 Assuming an individual of 30 yrs of age and policy term of 20 years Health Cover – Senior Citizens Sum Assured Annual Premium Star Health Senior Citizens Red Carpet Rs. 2 L Rs. 9,326 Entry age is 60-69 years Loss of income coverage Sum Assured Annual Premium TATA AIG Life Health First Rs. 2 L Rs. 13,605 20
  • 21. Forex Rupee movement vis-à-vis other currencies (M-o-M) Trade balance and export-import data • Exports for the month of May increased by 35.1% y-o-y while imports increased by 38.5% increasing the trade deficit to USD 11,292 Mn. •The Rupee appreciated v/s the US dollar and the Euro in the month of May due to uncertainties emerging in Euro zone economies and slow pace of recovery in the U.S.. Capital account balance • Our medium term view is that the rupee is likely to strengthen further in 2010. Higher interest rates in India would attract large capital flows. Moreover the government is expected to simplify the rules on • Capital account balance was positive in the first foreign inflows to facilitate larger foreign capital nine months for FY10 inflows in the form of FDI • We expect the capital account balance to remain positive due to expectations of higher interest rates; thereby attracting inflows and buoyant equity markets 21
  • 22. Commodities 20000 19000 18000 • Gold likely to trade higher as low interest rates in the 17000 Precious west enhances Gold’s alternate investment demand 16000 15000 Gold prices likely to average $1,200/oz on Comex and Metals 14000 Rs. 17,900/10 gm on MCX, for the next six months. Gold 10 gm 100 • Though last month the crude prices increased by 7.7%, but Oil ($ / bbl) they are expected to trade lower in Q2 due to no significant Oil & Gas seasonal demand (Q2 is the maintenance season for 70 refineries) • Natural gas prices to trade lower in Q2 owing to speculation 40 over weak demand. Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 1050 • Prices of essential commodities have seen a marginal 1000 increase in the last month. But, due to expectations of 950 900 Agri higher production output, we see the prices declining in the 850 coming months 800 • A favorable Rabi output to further cool prices in the medium Nov-09 Oct-09 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-09 Jan-10 Jun-10 Jul-09 Feb-10 Mar-10 Aug-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 term RICI Agri 2,700.00 2,500.00 • The data released regarding consumer confidence, jobless 2,300.00 2,100.00 Base claims and lower vehicle demand in the last month suggest 1,900.00 a decrease in metal prices in the shorter term but as the 1,700.00 Metals markets stabilize over the next six months, we could expect 1,500.00 Nov-09 Oct-09 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jun-10 Dec-09 Feb-10 Mar-10 Aug-09 Sep-09 a modest uptrend in prices. RICI Metal 22
  • 23. Why Karvy Private Wealth? Leveraging breadth of related businesses that KARVY is in KARVY is an integrated financial services group, with Karvy Private Wealth being one of its arms. The entire group’s strengths are leveraged to provide end-to-end wealth advice to Karvy Private Wealth clients. For example, SME clients can receive advice on their personal wealth while also getting investment banking advice from the I-banking arm of Karvy. Maximum choice of products & services KARVY Private Wealth offers the widest breadth of products and services, providing clients a variety of options through a single contact. Products and services include equities, debt instruments, commodities, Mutual Funds, Insurance, Structured Products, Financial Planning, real estate advice, etc. Product-neutral advice We ensure that our recommendations are 100% product-neutral and unbiased because unlike other players, we are neither tied up with any one particular insurance company nor do we have our own mutual funds. All-India presence Set to have business in 20 - 25 cities we are poised to cater to families and businesses spread across multiple cities in India providing them with combined and integrated advice. For one-off services, if required, we can also leverage KARVY Group’s presence in 400 cities. 23
  • 24. Disclaimer The information and views presented here are prepared by Karvy Private Wealth or other Karvy Group companies. The information contained herein is based on our analysis and upon sources that we consider reliable. We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. This material is for personal information and we are not responsible for any loss incurred based upon it. The investments discussed or recommended here may not be suitable for all investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives and financial position and using such independent advice, as they believe necessary. While acting upon any information or analysis mentioned here, investors may please note that neither Karvy nor any person connected with any associated companies of Karvy accepts any liability arising from the use of this information and views mentioned here. The author, directors and other employees of Karvy and its affiliates may hold long or short positions in the above-mentioned companies from time to time. Every employee of Karvy and its associated companies are required to disclose their individual stock holdings and details of trades, if any, that they undertake. The team rendering corporate analysis and investment recommendations are restricted in purchasing/selling of shares or other securities till such a time this recommendation has either been displayed or has been forwarded to clients of Karvy. All employees are further restricted to place orders only through Karvy Stock Broking Ltd. The information given in this document on tax are for guidance only, and should not be construed as tax advice. Investors are advised to consult their respective tax advisers to understand the specific tax incidence applicable to them. We also expect significant changes in the tax laws once the new Direct Tax Code is in force – this could change the applicability and incidence of tax on investments 24
  • 25. Contact Us Bangalore 080-26606126 Chennai 044-28269695 Delhi 011-43509268 Goa 0832-2731822 Hyderabad 040-23312454 Kolkata 033-40515100 Mumbai 022-33055000 Pune 020-66048791 Email: wealth@karvy.com SMS: ‘HNI’ to 56767 Website: www.karvywealth.com Corporate Office : 702, Hallmark Business Plaza, Sant Dnyaneshwar Marg, Bandra (East), Mumbai – 400 051 25