Successfully reported this slideshow.
We use your LinkedIn profile and activity data to personalize ads and to show you more relevant ads. You can change your ad preferences anytime.
1
Real-Time Monitoring
and
Integrated Forecasting
of
Arctic Ice Floes
P. AnnoK. Soofi
C. Yetsko D. Glover
J. Santosuosso B...
2
above the Arctic Circle
• ~ 25% of world’s
undiscovered reserves
• no production to date
in ice congested waters
3
Limited Infrastructure
 emergency evacuation
 search & rescue
 firefighting
 towing
 salvage operations
 costly mo...
4
iceberg
5
ice location,
speed,
geometry
Russia
United States
Canada
satellite-based Tracking
6
ice-hardened mobile drilling concepts
7
ice floe Tracking & Forecasting
move the rig
8
ice floe Tracking & Forecasting
stay put
9
Arctic Cost Drivers & Projected Savings
extended drilling season
 1 well
 ↕ $300 MM savings ↕
 2 wells
production pla...
10
satellite
imagery
sonar
radar
video
currents
temps
wind
structural
load cell
data
Continuous Ingestion Continuous Analy...
11
ice movie 1 – Tracking & Forecasting
km
12
Project Objective
 Prototype automatic & continual tracking/forecasting of all individual ice
floes
Real-Time Analysis...
14
ice floe Detection
km
15
ice floe Model
km
18
Forecasting Equations
 
 
2 2
2
conservation of linear momentum
( ) is velocity of the ice floe.
is m
ˆ+
wh
ass of ...
19
metocean Data Stream
0900 09 March 2011
22
ice floe forecasting – Data Constraints
km
23
ice floe forecasting – Data Constraints & Solutions
km
24
Project Objective
 Prototype automatic & continual tracking/forecasting of all individual ice
floes
Real-Time Analysis...
25
ice movie 2 – Forecast Uncertainty Cones
km
26
a BiG Data problem
 volume, variety, velocity
favors the Stream Computing paradigm
 real-time decision support
 natu...
27
Real-Time Monitoring
and
Integrated Forecasting
of
Arctic Ice Floes
P. AnnoK. Soofi
C. Yetsko D. Glover
J. Santosuosso ...
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in …5
×

0

Share

Download to read offline

Presentation_icetracking

Download to read offline

Related Audiobooks

Free with a 30 day trial from Scribd

See all
  • Be the first to like this

Presentation_icetracking

  1. 1. 1 Real-Time Monitoring and Integrated Forecasting of Arctic Ice Floes P. AnnoK. Soofi C. Yetsko D. Glover J. Santosuosso B. Cobb
  2. 2. 2 above the Arctic Circle • ~ 25% of world’s undiscovered reserves • no production to date in ice congested waters
  3. 3. 3 Limited Infrastructure  emergency evacuation  search & rescue  firefighting  towing  salvage operations  costly mobilization Dangerous Working Conditions  low temperatures  icing on equipment  darkness  moving ice on ocean surface the Arctic Challenge
  4. 4. 4 iceberg
  5. 5. 5 ice location, speed, geometry Russia United States Canada satellite-based Tracking
  6. 6. 6 ice-hardened mobile drilling concepts
  7. 7. 7 ice floe Tracking & Forecasting move the rig
  8. 8. 8 ice floe Tracking & Forecasting stay put
  9. 9. 9 Arctic Cost Drivers & Projected Savings extended drilling season  1 well  ↕ $300 MM savings ↕  2 wells production platform construction  mechanical design (max ice load)  ↕ $1,000 MM savings ↕  ice management operations
  10. 10. 10 satellite imagery sonar radar video currents temps wind structural load cell data Continuous Ingestion Continuous Analytics Stream Computing for ice floe tracking
  11. 11. 11 ice movie 1 – Tracking & Forecasting km
  12. 12. 12 Project Objective  Prototype automatic & continual tracking/forecasting of all individual ice floes Real-Time Analysis & Modeling  Ice detection / classification from SAR  Ice floe tracking from SAR  Ice floe trajectory forecasting  Trajectory uncertainty quantification Deliverable  Real-time visualization of ice floe positions, tracks, & trajectory cone forecasts ice floe Tracking & Forecasting
  13. 13. 14 ice floe Detection km
  14. 14. 15 ice floe Model km
  15. 15. 18 Forecasting Equations     2 2 2 conservation of linear momentum ( ) is velocity of the ice floe. is m ˆ+ wh ass of the ice floe, is area of the ice floe, ere is force o i . f ce add i w w w a a a w i w w d m m C A C unkno A mf d n t w m A         v F V V k v V v v v v v F pack acting on floe, , are velocities of the water & air currents.w av v
  16. 16. 19 metocean Data Stream 0900 09 March 2011
  17. 17. 22 ice floe forecasting – Data Constraints km
  18. 18. 23 ice floe forecasting – Data Constraints & Solutions km
  19. 19. 24 Project Objective  Prototype automatic & continual tracking/forecasting of all individual ice floes Real-Time Analysis & Modeling  Ice detection / classification from SAR  Ice floe tracking from SAR  Ice floe trajectory forecasting  Trajectory uncertainty quantification Deliverable  Real-time visualization of ice floe positions, tracks, & trajectory cone forecasts ice floe Tracking & Forecasting
  20. 20. 25 ice movie 2 – Forecast Uncertainty Cones km
  21. 21. 26 a BiG Data problem  volume, variety, velocity favors the Stream Computing paradigm  real-time decision support  natural, continuous data integration  effective high-end analytics computationally feasible  shifts burden to engineering of data acquisition systems near-real-time ice floe Tracking & Forecasting
  22. 22. 27 Real-Time Monitoring and Integrated Forecasting of Arctic Ice Floes P. AnnoK. Soofi C. Yetsko D. Glover J. Santosuosso B. Cobb

Views

Total views

87

On Slideshare

0

From embeds

0

Number of embeds

3

Actions

Downloads

8

Shares

0

Comments

0

Likes

0

×