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Bond markets

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Bond Market definition, procedure, Problems etc.

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Bond markets

  1. 1. BOND MARKETS Presented by: Maksudul Huq Chowdhury
  2. 2. Background of Bonds A bond is a long term fixed denomination debt security issued by a corporate entity or government or any other authorized agency of the government which are authorized to raise funds through issuance of bond. A bond is issued for a limited time with a certain rate of interest to be paid over the principal amount outstanding. A bond is managed and terminated as per the covenants (term and conditions mentioned in the bond indenture (statement of contractual agreements on the part of the borrowing company).
  3. 3. Background of Bonds From the above definition we may find the following basic features of a bond:  A bond is a long term debt instrument.  It has a fixed monetary denomination – or face value.  The bond is a mortgage debt instrument.  It has a fixed or finite maturity period when the bond shall be terminated. Cont…..
  4. 4. Background of Bonds  Interest is paid at a fixed rate, which is charged on the principal amount outstanding at the time of payment.  Interest paid in general semi annually.  The bond has an indenture where all the terms and conditions for management and termination of the bond are mentioned.  The bond indenture is a legal agreement on the part of the borrowing company to the lender. Cont…..
  5. 5. Specific features of a Bond In addition to the basic features mentioned above, most bonds are issued with some specific features to suit the needs of the issuer. However, such features are not common to all bonds. Some of these additional features are also observed in case of most of the bonds in different forms. These are:
  6. 6. Trustees Instrumental credit arrangements in most of the cases includes provisions for one trustee to oversee the interest of the lenders (investors in the securities) so that the borrower company can not violate the terms and conditions mentioned in the indenture and thus minimize the risk of default. Most often, the trustee is an institution or person who is perceived to be acceptable to the general investors. The trustee oversees the activities of the bond issuer to ensure that it is performing as per the terms and conditions laid down in bond indenture. In Bangladesh ICB works as the trustee for most of the bonds issued so far by the different firm.
  7. 7. Trustees They perform 3 functions namely: i. Ensure that indenture and other documents are properly prepared and implemented ii. Monitor that the firm is performing in compliance with the indentures term and conditions and iii. Take necessary actions if the firm is not performing in compliance with the indenture. Cont…..
  8. 8. Protective covenants All most of all types of lending agreement include a set of protective covenants in favour of the lenders. These covenants can be general covenants like restriction on further borrowings, restriction on secondary mortgage, restriction on dividend payments in certain situations and also the requirements for maintaining certain debt equity ratio, requirements for insurance and normal wear and tear for the mortgaged assets etc.
  9. 9. Repayment Procedure The repayment of borrowed funds can be made in any of the following ways:  Flat of fully amortized payment: under this procedure, the borrowed fund along with the interest is repaid in equal periodic payments. Every installment includes interest on the unpaid balance plus some part of the principal loan.
  10. 10. Repayment Procedure  Balloon Payment: Under this payment plan the early stage repayments include the interest and a small segment of the principal. The major segment of principal is repaid at later stage and so the volume of installment becomes larger like a balloon. This payment procedure is also known as semi amortized payments.  Terminal Payment: Under this payment procedure, the interest is paid periodically but the principal is repaid at the end of maturity or through other form of retirements of debt. Cont…..
  11. 11. Termination or Retirement of a Bond  Most bonds have finite life. A bond is terminated or retired on or before that date. A bond can be terminated in any of the following ways:  Termination at Maturity: Normally a bond is terminated at the time of maturity. This repayment can be made by repaying the principal amount borrowed. This is the normal process of termination of a bond.
  12. 12. Termination or Retirement of a Bond  Termination by Conversion: A bond can be subject to termination by conversion into common stock of the firm. Most often, this conversion into common stock takes place at the time of maturity period. The conversion is done in any of the following approaches to be declared in the bond indenture. 1. A fixed percentage of the bond will be converted into a predetermined number of common stock. In this case the bond will be something like a stock warrant whose value will be equal to the market price of the underlying security. Cont…..
  13. 13. Termination or Retirement of a Bond  For example, Faith 11 (BD) Ltd issued some Tk. 2000 10-years bonds. The bonds were convertible into 15 Tk.100 common stock of the firm for 80% of its value, which is Tk. 1600. The balance of Tk. 400 was payable in cash. Now if the price of stock of Faith 11 (BD) Ltd goes up to Tk. 120 each, the market value of the bond should be 15 * tk. 120 + Tk. 400 = Tk. 1800 + Tk. 400 = Tk. 2200. If the stock price goes further up to Tk. 150 each, the bond price will be Tk. 2250 + Tk. 400 = Tk. 2650. In the same way, if the stock price decline, the bond price will also decline. Cont…..
  14. 14. Termination or Retirement of a Bond 2. Another approach is to declare that a fixed percentage of the face value (par value) of the bond will be converted into common stock of the firm at a price to be prevailing at the time of conversion. The number of common stock to be converted into remains an undefined number. The number will depend on the market price of the common stock prevailing at the time of conversion. Since the bond holders can not gain from this type of conversion provisions, the bond price remain the same as any other form of bonds with same risk class. Cont…..
  15. 15. Termination or Retirement of a Bond  For example, in the above case if 80% of Faith 11 (BD) Ltd bonds were converted (80% of Tk. 2000 or Tk. 1600 in this example) into the common stocks of the firm, then the bond holders would have received stocks of the firm in as per the market price of the stock at the time of conversion. Therefore, if the market price is Tk. 120 per share, the bond holders will receive (1600/120) 13 share of the firm plus Tk. 440 [Tk. 400 + (Tk. 1600 – Tk. 120*13)] in cash. Cont…..
  16. 16. Termination or Retirement of a Bond  Termination by Gradual withdrawal: A debt instrument’s total retirement can take long time. Total repayment most often is made at the end of bond life. However, in some cases, it can take time as long as a number of years. This type of gradual retirement can take place in a number of ways. For this purpose, the bond issuing firm needs a sinking fund provision. Under sinking fund provision, the borrowing firm is required to set aside a certain part of its net profit after tax in a fund created for regular partial retirement of the outstanding loan. The sinking fund provision also allows the firm to develop necessary funds at the time of maturity if a single repayment is planned. The serial bond allows the issuing company to retire certain number of outstanding bonds every year. Cont…..
  17. 17. Termination or Retirement of a Bond Thus by the time of maturity only a few number of bonds will remain outstanding. 1. Gradual retirement of Bond: Under this method issuer withdraws the bond gradually adopting a systematic retirement plan. Most often Gradual retirement is made by  Buying back, a fixed (predetermined) number of bonds from the open market every year and retire the same. Cont…..
  18. 18. Termination or Retirement of a Bond  The bond issuer repays the total amount of a fixed number of bonds every year through the serial numbers of the bonds (serial bond). For this purpose, the bond issuer declares in advance which number of bonds will be retired when. The investor can also plan what type of maturity they want to invest into their money.  Gradually repaying a fixed (predetermined) portion of outstanding amount along with the interest payments. This provision applies for all the bonds altogether. Cont…..
  19. 19. Termination or Retirement of a Bond 2. Call Provision: Under the call provision, the outstanding bonds can be called back by the issuing company before the maturity period. In this case, the bond holders receive certain premium price over the face value of the bond. The issuing company can call back an outstanding bond after the expiry of a minimum waiting period. After this date, the bond issuer retains the right to call back the bond at any time it finds convenient but has to pay call premium on it. Cont…..
  20. 20. Termination or Retirement of a Bond 3. Replacement of Bond: The convertibility features coupled with call provision enables the issuing company a provision to convert the bonds outstanding into the stock of the company. Thus through conversion, the bond holders become shareholder as per market price of the bond and the stock at the time of conversion. An outstanding long-term debt can also be retired and replaced by issuing a new debt. This is done if the market interest rate comes down to a level too low, in comparison to that of the outstanding bond’s interest rate. In this case, if the firm can issue a new bond and uses the proceeds to repay the existing loan, the firm can minimize its long-term cost of debt. The replacement approach can be ensured only when the outstanding bond has a call provision. Cont…..
  21. 21. Institutional Participation in Bond Markets All types of financial institutions participate in bond markets. Commercial banks, savings institutions and finance companies commonly issue bonds in order to raise capital to support their operations. Commercial banks, savings institutions, bond mutual funds, insurance companies and pension funds are investors in the bond market. Financial institutions dominate the bond market in that they purchase a large proportion of bonds issued.
  22. 22. Institutional Participation in Bond Markets Cont….. Reasons for participation of Financial Institutions in bond markets: Financial Institution Reasons for participation Commercial banks  Purchase bonds for their asset portfolio  Sometimes issue bonds as a source of secondary capital. Finance Companies  Commonly issue bonds as a source of long- term funds. Mutual funds  Use funds received from the sale of shares to purchase bonds. Some bond mutual funds specialize in particular types of bonds, while other invest in all type.
  23. 23. Institutional Participation in Bond Markets Cont….. Brokerage firms  Facilitate bond trading by matching up buyers and sellers of bonds in the secondary market. Investment banking firm  Place newly issued bonds for government and corporations. They may place the bonds and assume the risk of market price uncertainty or place the bonds on a best- efforts basis in which they do not guarantee a price for the issuer. Insurance companies  Purchase bonds for their asset portfolio. Pension funds  Purchase bonds for their asset portfolio.
  24. 24. Types of Bonds A. On the basis of issuer, bonds may be categorized into 3 major categories: 1. Treasury and Agency bonds 2. Municipal Bonds and 3. Corporate Bonds
  25. 25. Types of Bonds  1. Treasury and Agency bonds: This types of bonds issued by government to financed government expenditures in the form of Treasury notes and Treasury bonds. The key difference between a note and a bond is that note maturities are less than 10 years whereas bond maturities are more than 10 years. Investors in Treasury notes and bonds receive semiannual interest payments from the Treasury. Cont…..
  26. 26. Types of Bonds  2. Municipal Bonds:  3. Corporate Bonds: Corporate bonds are long-term debt securities, issued by corporations that promise the owner coupon payments (interest) usually on a semiannual basis. Cont…..
  27. 27. Types of Bonds B. On the basis of Variability of Coupon: 1. Zero Coupon Bonds: Zero Coupon Bonds are issued at a discount to their face value and at the time of maturity, the principal/face value is repaid to the holders. No interest (coupon) is paid to the holders and hence, there are no cash inflows in zero coupon bonds. The difference between issue price (discounted price) and redeemable price (face value) itself acts as interest to holders. Cont…..
  28. 28. Types of Bonds 2. Floating Rate Bonds: In some bonds, fixed coupon rate to be provided to the holders is not specified. Instead, the coupon rate keeps fluctuating from time to time, with reference to a benchmark rate. Such types of bonds are referred to as Floating Rate Bonds. These bonds are known as Inverse Floaters and are common in developed markets. Cont…..
  29. 29. Types of Bonds 3. Junk Bonds: Corporate bonds that are perceived to have very high risk are referred to as Junk bonds. The primary investors in junk bonds are mutual funds, life insurance companies and pension funds. In addition, many institutional investors continue to invest in junk bonds because the yields offered on these bonds are so much higher than yields on safer debt securities. Cont…..
  30. 30. Types of Bonds C. On the Basis of Variability of Maturity: 1. Callable Bonds: These securities have provisions allowing the issuer to redeem the issue prior to the scheduled maturity date. 2. Puttable Bonds: The holder of a puttable bond has the right (but not an obligation) to seek redemption (sell) from the issuer at any time before the maturity date. The holder may exercise put option in part or in full. Cont…..
  31. 31. Types of Bonds 3. Convertible Bonds: The holder of a convertible bond has the option to convert the bond into equity (in the same value as of the bond) of the issuing firm (borrowing firm) on pre-specified terms. This results in an automatic redemption of the bond before the maturity date. Cont…..
  32. 32. Types of Bonds D. On the basis of Principal Repayment: 1. Amortizing Bonds: Amortizing Bonds are those types of bonds in which the borrower (issuer) repays the principal along with the coupon over the life of the bond. For example - auto loans, home loans, consumer loans, etc. 2. Bonds with Sinking Fund Provisions: Bonds with Sinking Fund Provisions have a provision as per which the issuer is required to retire some amount of outstanding bonds every year. The issuer has following options for doing so: i. By buying from the market, ii. By creating a separate fund which calls the bonds on behalf of the issuer Cont…..
  33. 33. Why are bonds risky Default risk Inflation risk Interest rate risk
  34. 34. Why are bonds risky Default risk Risk that the issuer fails to make promised payments on time Zero for government debt Other issuers: corporate, municipal, foreign have some default risk Greater default risk means a greater yield Cont…..
  35. 35. Why are bonds risky Inflation risk Most bonds promise fixed interest payments Inflation erodes the real value of these payments Future inflation is unknown Larger for longer term bonds Cont…..
  36. 36. Why are bonds risky Interest rate risk Changing interest rates change the value (price) of a bond in the opposite direction. All bonds have interest rate risk But it is larger for the long term bonds Cont…..
  37. 37. Types of bond market The Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association classify the broader bond market into five specific bond markets. 1. Corporate 2. Government & Agency. 3. Municipal. 4. Mortgage Backed, Asset Backed, and Collateralized Debt Obligation 5. Funding
  38. 38. Corporate bond market of Bangladesh The issues of developing a corporate bond market that is currently near non-existent in Bangladesh. The two major sources of financing are the banks and capital market. Equity financing from capital markets through issuing new shares is lenient whereas debt financing through issuing corporate bonds is almost nonexistent.
  39. 39. Reasons for Non-existence of Corporate Bond Market 1. High interest rate is a barrier to the corporate bond market. Government still borrows through various national savings schemes at high interest rates and banks collect deposits at quite high interest rates in competition with government securities. 2. Absence of secondary bond market is a major reason for non- existence of corporate bond market in Bangladesh. They mean that secondary organized market which includes OTC market, and private placement market for corporate bonds.
  40. 40. Reasons for Non-existence of Corporate Bond Market 3. Lack of awareness and education deter to attract right issuers and investors in the corporate bond market. 4. Lack of knowledge-based trading even for government bonds is an important reason for inactive corporate bond market. 5. Lack of innovative products has kept the market unattractive. Securities bearing zero and fixed coupons, and bonds following Islamic shariah only are available currently in Bangladesh. Bonds like Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), Islamic Bonds (SUKUK Bond), High-Yield Bonds (HYB), and Deep Discount Bonds may help formation of corporate bonds market in Bangladesh. Cont…..
  41. 41. Cost of bond issuance in Bangladesh bond market To issue new bonds in Bangladesh is very much formal which includes huge amount of oversubscription fees. It greatly affects the issuance of bond in Bangladesh. The following is a list of considering factor. 1. Securities and Exchange Commission registration. 2. Publication of prospectus 3. Printing of prospectus and application Cont…..
  42. 42. Cost of bond issuance in Bangladesh bond market 4. Certificate, post issue, postage 5. Listing fees 6. Issue manager or underwriter 7. Trustee fee 8. Credit rating, bankers, legal and audit 9. Central depository fee Cont…..
  43. 43. Problems of bond market of Bangladesh 1. Absence of Market-determined Interest Rate 2. Regulatory Reform 3. Lack of Benchmark Bonds 4. Unbundled Pension and Insurance Funds 5. High Yielding Government Instruments Hindering Private Sector Bond Issue 6. Poor Marketability 7. High Time to Market for Time Consuming and Complicated Administrative Process
  44. 44. Problems of bond market of Bangladesh 8. Undefined Economic Benefits 9. Investor’s Reluctance to Maintain Bond Portfolio 10. Conservative Policy of Investors 11. Lack of Awareness Program for Investors 12.Adverse Perception by Market Participant of Settlement Risk 13.Lack of Intermediaries with Expertise in Debt Products 14. Political Instability 15.Poor Disclosure of Accounting Information 16. Dominance of Banking System 17.Financial Sector Vulnerability for Huge Non-Performing Loans Cont…..
  45. 45. Valuation of Bonds General Valuation: The following comments are valid for all kind of assets.  Book Value  Stated value from the firm’s Balance Sheet  Market Value  The price for the asset at any given time--determined by supply and demand in the marketplace. Asset can be bought or sold at this price.
  46. 46. Valuation of Bonds  Intrinsic Value  Present value of the asset’s expected cash flow  Investor estimates cash flows  Investor determines required rate based on risk of asset and market conditions. In a perfect market where all investors have the same expectations & risk aversion: Market Value = Intrinsic Value Cont…..
  47. 47. Bond Terminology  Par Value  Also called the Face Value  Coupon Interest Rate  Borrowers (firms) typically make periodic payments to the bondholders. Coupon rate is the percent of face value paid every year.  Maturity  Time at which the maturity value (Par Value) is paid to the bondholder.
  48. 48. Bond Valuation Model  Bond Valuation is an application of Present Value.  The Value of the bond is the present value of all the cash flows the investor receives as a result of holding the bond.
  49. 49. Bond Valuation Model  3 Cash Flows  Amount that is paid to purchase the bond (PV)  Periodic Interest Payments made to the bondholders (PMT)  Payment of maturity value at end of Bond’s life. Cont…..
  50. 50. Bond Valuation Model  Other Terminology  Time frame for cash flows (N) = Bond’s Maturity  Interest Rate for Time Value is the rate at which future cash flows are being discounted to present. Cont…..
  51. 51. Relationships between Coupon Rate, Required Return, and Bond Price  Zero-Coupon Bonds  No periodic coupon  Pays face value at maturity  Trade at discount from face value  No reinvestment risk  Considerable price risk
  52. 52. Discount bonds are bonds priced below face value; premium bonds above face value  Discounted bond  Coupon < Market rates  Rates have increased since issuance  Adverse risks factors that may have occurred  Price risk—depends on maturity  Default risk may have increased  Fisher effect of higher expected inflation
  53. 53. Discount bonds are bonds priced below face value; premium bonds above face value  Premium bond  Coupon > Market  Rates decreased since issuance  Favorable risk experience  Price risk—depends on maturity  Default risk might have decreased as economic activity has increased  Low inflation expectations Cont…..
  54. 54. Bond Maturity and Price Variability  Long-term bond prices are more sensitive to given changes in market rates than short-term bonds  Changes in rates compounded many times for later coupon and maturity value, impacting price (PV) significantly  Short-term securities have smaller price movements Cont…..
  55. 55. Explaining Bond Price Movements  The price of a bond should reflect the present value of future cash flows discounted at a required rate of return  The required return on a bond is primarily determined by  Prevailing risk-free rate  Risk premium
  56. 56. Explaining Bond Price Movements  Factors that affect the risk-free rate  Changes in returns on real investment  Financial investment an alternative to real investment  Opportunity cost of financial investment is the returns available from real investment  Government deficits/surplus position Cont…..
  57. 57. Explaining Bond Price Movements  Inflationary expectations  Consumer price index  Federal Reserve monetary policy position  Oil prices and other commodity prices  Exchange rate movements Cont…..
  58. 58. Explaining Bond Price Movements  Factors that affect the credit or default risk premium  Strong economic growth  High level of cash flows  Investors bid up bond prices; lower default premium  Weak economic growth  Lower profits and cash flows  Impact on specific industries varied  Investors flee from risky bonds to Treasury bonds  Bond prices fall; default premiums increase Cont…..

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