K bank daily feb 7

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K bank daily feb 7

  1. 1. Capital Markets Research Feb 7, 2011Thai Stock Market Feb 04 Change US Market Feb 04 ChangeSET Index 984.78 +4.18 Dow Jones 12,092.15 +29.89Market Turnover (Bt mn) 32,716.36 +17,432.88 Nasdaq 2,769.30 +15.42Foreign Net Position (Bt mn) +279.10 +317.14 S&P 500 1,310.87 +3.77Thai Bond Market Feb 04 Change US 10 yr T-note (%) 3.64 +9 bpTotal Return Index 200.53 -0.10 US 2yr T-note (%) 0.75 +3 bpTotal Market Turnover (Bt mn) NYMEX crude ($/b) 89.03 -1.51Change (bp) 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 5yr 7yr 10yr 12yr 14yr 18yrFeb 04 (%) 2.04 2.12 2.29 2.58 2.96 3.22 3.40 3.62 3.85 4.04 4.15 4.21Change (bp) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Interbank Rates Feb 07 Feb 03 BIBOR 1w 1m 2m 3m 6m 9m 1yrOvernight (%) 2.25 1.950-2.270 Feb 04 2.26250 2.29016 2.35125 2.40250 2.51891 2.58500 2.68750Repurchase Rates 1-day 7-day 14-day 1m SIBOR 1m 3m 6mFeb 04 2.25000 2.25000 - - Feb 02 0.27100 0.30900 0.46550THBFIX (Ref.) 1m 2m 3m 6m 9m 1yr LIBOR 1m 3m 6mFeb 04 1.11442 1.09532 1.24071 1.52322 1.81692 2.02724 Feb 04 0.26275 0.31150 0.46125SWAP (THB/THB,Onshore) 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr 7yr 10yrFeb 07 Bid/Ask 2.00/2.05 2.75/2.80 3.22/3.27 3.52/3.57 3.76/3.81 4.08/4.13 4.30/4.35KBank Counter Rates Buying Selling Premium/Discount (stgs/m)(against THB) Sight Bill T/T T/T Export/ImportUSD 30.58 30.68 30.93 0.50/3.24EUR 41.4813 41.6163 42.1425 -0.91/2.11GBP 49.1800 49.3400 49.9300 0.10/2.74JPY 0.3700 0.3713 0.3780 0.32/4.66KBank Technical Analysis Feb 07 Feb 04 Support Resistance Trend StrategyTHB (Onshore) 30.81 30.77 30.75 30.90 Sideway Buy USD near supportJPY 82.2 82.17 81.80 82.60 Sideway Buy USD near supportEUR/USD 1.3617 1.3585 1.3520 1.3640 Sideway Sell EUR near resistance Macro and Market Outlook • U.S. non-farm payrolls disappointed on Friday with the actual figure showing an increase of only 36,000 jobs in January, when the market was expecting a 145,000 job increase • Yet, unemployment rate dropped to 9.0% from 9.4% in December as the labor force fell, a possible indication of remaining discouraged workers FX Market Wrap • EUR/USD closed lower to 1.356 as the dollar gained strength after ECB showed no hurry to raise interest rate last Thursday and U.S. unemployment rate fell. USD/JPY also rose by 0.75% to settle above 82.00 due to the broad rebound of the greenback • USD/THB closed lower to 30.77 amid light volume trade. Asian currencies were mixed as several financial markets remained closed for Chinese New Year holiday Economic News Update • Egypt’s political crisis poses a risk to oil prices and will “impact” the Indian central bank’s actions, Deputy Governor Subir Gokarn said Now you can listen to today’s exchange rate trend (press 711) and our summary of exchange rate movements (press 721) via K-BIZ Contact Center 0 2888 8822, available 24 Hours www.twitter.com/KBankFX www.facebook.com/KBankFX 1For private circulation only. The foregoing is for informational purposes only and not to be considered as an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security. Although the information herein wasobtained from sources we believe to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy nor do we assume responsibility for any error or mistake contained herein.Further information on the securities referred to herein may be obtained upon request.
  2. 2. KBank Daily Update Feb 7, 2011 financial markets could be limited for the near term as Macro and Market Outlook economic data continued to show strong growth. U.S. non-farm payrolls disappointed on Friday with the actual figure showing an increase of only 36,000 jobs in This week – U.S economic data is rather light, with the January, when the market was expecting a 145,000 job key focus likely to be weekly jobless claims on Thursday, increase (December 121K). Nevertheless, unemployment and two other releases on Friday – the international trade rate dropped to 9.0% from 9.4% in December. The private data and consumer sentiment index. sector had added 50K jobs for the month while the manufacturing sector took up an increase of 49K. Hourly wage increase rose 0.4% mom in January after a gain of US Treasuries and Thai rates 0.2% in December while average weekly hours remained unchanged near 34.2 hours. 000 Treasury yields were about two basis points away from a US Non-farm payrolls % nine-month high as the U.S. prepared to sell $72 billion of 600 11 debt this week starting tomorrow. 400 10 200 9 The difference between 2- and 10-year rates widened to 0 the most in almost a year as economists said reports this 8 -200 -400 7 week will show consumer confidence climbed and initial -600 6 claims for jobless benefits fell. An unexpected decline in -800 5 the U.S. jobless rate in January spurred speculation -1000 4 employment will improve in 2011. Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Benchmark 10-year notes yielded 3.64 percent as of 9:47 increase in Non-farm payrolls Unemployment rate a.m. in Tokyo, according to BGCantor Market Data. The spread between 2- and 10-year yields increased to as Economic data from the U.S. last week were mostly much as 2.93 percentage points today, the widest since positive, lending support to the dollar and the stock market. Feb. 18 last year. (Source: Bloomberg) The Labor Department’s report was, however, rather mixed. The 9.0% jobless rate was from the U.S. household S&P Index (bp) survey that showed a drop of 504K in labor force, likely to 1350 300 signal that there remained a substantial number of 1300 280 discouraged workers. However, there was also an increase 1250 260 of 117K job among the households. 1200 240 600 14500 1150 14000 220 580 1100 13500 1050 200 560 13000 1000 180 540 12500 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 520 12000 11500 S&P Index 2-10 Spread (bps, RHS) 500 11000 480 10500 460 10000 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Thai interest rate: Bond yields were little changed on Friday and the 2-10 spread was at 91bp. Last week, bond MSCI Asia Pacific ex Japan Index (LHS) Dow Jones Industrial Average (RHS) yields remained in range trade – external factors were the key factors affecting the market sentiment while domestic th Egypt’s political scene remained in a confrontational mode factors were few (next MPC meeting on March 9 ). At the but impact on international stock market had been limited same time, the consumer price inflation was showed to so far. A prolonged turmoil may continue to affect oil prices have stayed put at 3.0% on Tuesday, reducing some but the market will also anticipate some comments from concerns about rising inflation. OPEC nations going forward, especially as global demand continues to expand. 1100 28 bp Government bond yield change % 1000 29 5 4.5 30 4 900 3 4.0 31 800 32 2 3.5 1 700 33 0 3.0 600 34 -1 35 -2 2.5 500 36 -3 400 2.0 37 -4 300 38 -5 1.5 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 0.3 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 15.0 16.0 20.0 yrs SET index (left axis) USD/THB (inverted right axis) Spread (left axis) 4-Feb-11 28-Jan-11 At the same time, Thailand’s political risks (both locally and with Cambodia) have increased, not boding well for both the local stock market and the strength of the Thai baht against other currencies. Nevertheless, impacts on the 2 For private circulation only. The foregoing is for informational purposes only and not to be considered as an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security. Although the information herein was obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy nor do we assume responsibility for any error or mistake contained herein. Further information on the securities referred to herein may be obtained upon request.
  3. 3. KBank Daily Update Feb 7, 2011 FX Wrap Currency Movement Fri 04-Feb-11 Thu 03-Feb-11 % Change 1.42 1.40 USD/THB 30.77 30.82 -0.16 1.38 USD/JPY 82.20 81.59 +0.75 1.36 EUR/USD 1.356 1.363 -0.54 1.34 GBP/USD 1.6096 1.6137 -0.25 1.32 1.30 USD/CHF 0.9584 0.9455 +1.36 1.28 USD/SGD 1.2745 1.2740 +0.04 1.26 USD/TWD 29.04 29.03 +0.03 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 USD/KRW 1,114.3 1,113.6 +0.06 EUR/USD USD/PHP 43.71 43.78 -0.16 USD/IDR 8,950 9,020 -0.78 EUR/USD closed lower to 1.356 as the dollar gained strength after ECB showed no hurry to raise interest rate USD/MYR 3.045 3.042 +0.10 last Thursday and U.S. unemployment rate fell. The USD/CNY 6.561 6.556 +0.08 rebound of the dollar also led several other major Source: Reuters currencies weaker on Friday. USD/JPY also rose by .FX Consensus Forecast 0.75% to settle above 82.00 due to the broad rebound of Spot Jun 2011 Dec 2011 the greenback. At the same time, the rise of U.S. Treasury yields had also been a contributing factor. The market is USD/THB 30.83 - 29.00 expecting U.S. data this week to continue showing positive USD/JPY 82.20 86.00 89.00 signs in the economy, boosting long-term yields. EUR/USD 1.36 1.30 1.30 38.50 80 GBP/USD 1.61 1.55 1.60 38.00 81 USD/CNY 6.58 6.45 6.29 37.50 82 37.00 USD/SGD 1.27 1.27 1.23 83 36.50 USD/IDR 8,973 8,900 8,825 84 36.00 USD/MYR 3.04 3.03 2.97 35.50 85 USD/PHP 43.67 42.80 41.50 35.00 86 USD/KRW 1,106 1,090 1,050 1-Dec 16-Dec 31-Dec 15-Jan 30-Jan USD/TWD 28.99 29.05 28.55 JPY/THB (LHS) USD/JPY (RHS, inverted axis) AUD/USD 1.01 0.99 0.98 USD/THB closed lower to 30.77 amid light volume trade. Asian currencies were mixed as several financial markets NZD/USD 0.77 0.77 0.75 Source: Bloomberg, KBank for USD/THB remained closed for Chinese New Year holiday. We expect this week’s regional stock market to offer more insights into Currency Pair Targets what investors think about the strength of Asian growth, Spot Jun 2011 Dec 2011 especially after last week’s political turmoil in Egypt. USD/THB 30.82 - 29.0 31.30 EUR/THB 41.97 40.0 37.0 31.10 30.90 JPY/THB 37.51 34.70 29.5 30.70 GBP/THB 49.67 47.40 43.7 30.50 30.30 CNY/THB 4.68 4.78 4.2 30.10 AUD/THB 31.23 27.4 26.0 29.90 29.70 CHF/THB 32.33 29.6 27.7 Source: KBank, Bloomberg 29.50 1-Dec 16-Dec 31-Dec 15-Jan 30-Jan KBank NEER Index USD/THB Current 97.74 YTD + 4.96% vs 52 weeks ago + 3.79% vs 1mth ago - 2.99% vs 1 week ago + 0.10% vs 1 day ago + 0.18% vs long term average + 9.88% Note: NEER is constructed from the weighted average of bilateral exchange rates of the baht via Thailand’s 21 major trading partners and trade competitors. An increase in NEER refers to an appreciation 3 For private circulation only. The foregoing is for informational purposes only and not to be considered as an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security. Although the information herein was obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy nor do we assume responsibility for any error or mistake contained herein. Further information on the securities referred to herein may be obtained upon request.
  4. 4. KBank Daily Update Feb 7, 2011 Total Return Analysis – 3 month horizon, annualized Auction results of BoT Bonds Feb 04 Yield shift (bps) -40 -30 -20 -10 0 +10 +20 +30 +40 Bid- Tenor Amt. Accepted LB113A 2.07 2.09 2.12 2.14 2.17 2.19 2.21 2.24 2.01 Symbol Avg. Yield (%) coverage (yrs) (Bt mn) Range (%) ratio LB116A 2.66 2.57 2.49 2.40 2.31 2.22 2.13 2.04 1.70 CB11222A 0.04 80,000 2.040/2.114 2.091900 1.12 LB11NA 3.56 3.30 3.04 2.78 2.52 2.25 1.99 1.73 1.22 Source: ThaiBMA LB123A 4.18 3.81 3.45 3.08 2.72 2.35 1.99 1.62 1.01 Auction Calendar of BoT Bonds LB12NA 5.33 4.72 4.12 3.51 2.90 2.30 1.69 1.09 0.23 LB133A 5.99 5.26 4.52 3.79 3.06 2.32 1.59 0.86 -0.13 Tenor Amt. Symbol Auction Date Maturity Date Remark (yrs) (Bt mn) LB137A 6.56 5.71 4.85 3.99 3.14 2.28 1.43 0.57 -0.54 LB13OA 7.00 6.05 5.10 4.14 3.19 2.24 1.29 0.34 -0.86 CB11310C 0.08 25,000 08-Feb-11 11-Mar-11 - LB143A 7.36 6.34 5.33 4.31 3.29 2.28 1.26 0.25 -1.02 CB11512B 0.25 22,000 08-Feb-11 12-May-11 - LB145A 7.91 6.77 5.63 4.49 3.35 2.21 1.07 -0.07 -1.46 CB118011A 0.50 15,000 08-Feb-11 11-Aug-11 - LB145B 7.91 6.77 5.63 4.49 3.35 2.21 1.07 -0.07 -1.46 BOT142A 3.00 15,000 11-Feb-11 15-Feb-14 - LB14DA 8.71 7.38 6.06 4.73 3.40 2.08 0.75 -0.58 -2.15 BOT132A 2.00 30,000 15-Feb-11 17-Feb-13 LB155A 9.48 7.96 6.45 4.94 3.42 1.91 0.40 -1.12 -2.88 BOT152A 4.00 15,000 22-Feb-11 24-Feb-15 - LB157A 9.34 7.86 6.39 4.91 3.44 1.97 0.49 -0.98 -2.71 Source: ThaiBMA LB15DA 10.31 8.59 6.87 5.15 3.43 1.71 -0.01 -1.73 -3.70 Auction Calendar of Government Bonds LB167A 10.93 9.08 7.23 5.38 3.53 1.69 -0.16 -2.01 -4.10 Tenor Amt. LB16NA 11.48 9.50 7.53 5.55 3.57 1.59 -0.38 -2.36 -4.58 Symbol Auction Date Maturity Date Remark (yrs) (Bt mn) LB171A 11.56 9.57 7.59 5.60 3.62 1.64 -0.34 -2.33 -4.56 LB15DA 5.32 10,000 09-Feb-11 11-Dec-15 - LB175A 12.08 9.97 7.86 5.75 3.64 1.53 -0.58 -2.69 -5.04 LB416A 30.65 5,000 16-Feb-11 14-Jun-41 - LB183A 13.16 10.79 8.41 6.04 3.67 1.30 -1.07 -3.43 -6.05 LB183B 12.86 10.56 8.27 5.97 3.67 1.38 -0.92 -3.21 -5.76 LB25DA 15.05 8,000 23-Feb-11 12-Dec-25 - LB191A 13.84 11.30 8.77 6.23 3.70 1.17 -1.37 -3.90 -6.68 Source: ThaiBMA LB196A 14.78 12.01 9.24 6.47 3.70 0.93 -1.83 -4.60 -7.61 LB198A 14.61 11.90 9.19 6.48 3.77 1.07 -1.64 -4.35 -7.30 LB19DA 14.90 12.13 9.36 6.59 3.82 1.05 -1.71 -4.48 -7.49 * Note that the MOF suspends auction of Treasury bills for two months LB213A 16.04 13.00 9.97 6.94 3.91 0.88 -2.15 -5.17 -8.45 during January – February 2011. This is due to the large amount of Treasury LB214A 15.92 12.93 9.94 6.94 3.95 0.96 -2.02 -5.01 -8.25 cash balance. LB22NA 18.02 14.53 11.04 7.56 4.07 0.59 -2.89 -6.37 -10.10 LB233A 18.07 14.58 11.08 7.59 4.10 0.61 -2.88 -6.36 -10.10 LB236A 19.53 15.68 11.82 7.97 4.12 0.27 -3.57 -7.42 -11.51 LB244A 19.65 15.77 11.90 8.03 4.16 0.29 -3.57 -7.44 -11.55 LB24DA 20.26 16.24 12.22 8.21 4.19 0.18 -3.83 -7.84 -12.09 LB267A 20.76 16.62 12.49 8.35 4.22 0.09 -4.03 -8.16 -12.53 LB283A 22.01 17.56 13.12 8.68 4.25 -0.18 -4.61 -9.04 -13.72 LB296A 23.72 18.85 13.98 9.12 4.26 -0.59 -5.44 -10.29 -15.39 LB383A 27.94 22.04 16.13 10.24 4.34 -1.54 -7.43 -13.30 -19.43 LB396A 29.28 23.04 16.81 10.58 4.36 -1.86 -8.07 -14.27 -20.72 Average 12.97 10.62 8.27 5.92 3.58 1.23 -1.11 -3.46 -6.05 Source: KBank, Bloomberg KBank Rich – Cheap Model 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 -10.00 -20.00 -30.00 3 mth avg Now -40.00 LB296A LB113A LB116A LB11NA LB123A LB133A LB137A LB145B LB14DA LB155A LB15DA LB167A LB16NA LB175A LB183B LB191A LB196A LB198A LB19DA LB213A LB24DA LB267A LB283A LB396A Source: Bloomberg, KBank The 3-month average indicates the average differences between observed and derived yields 4 For private circulation only. The foregoing is for informational purposes only and not to be considered as an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security. Although the information herein was obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy nor do we assume responsibility for any error or mistake contained herein. Further information on the securities referred to herein may be obtained upon request.
  5. 5. KBank Daily Update Feb 7, 2011 Economic News Update Egypt Crisis to ‘Impact’ India Central Bank Actions, Gokarn Says: Egypt’s political crisis poses a risk to oil prices and will “impact” the Indian central bank’s actions, Deputy Governor Subir Gokarn said. “A whole set of events unfolded in the Middle East which are starting to have an impact on oil prices and that is something which we didn’t anticipate at the time of making the policy announcement on Jan. 25,” Gokarn said yesterday in Dabolim, in the western Indian state of Goa. “It is going to have an impact on our thinking, on our actions going forward.” India, which meets about three-quarters of its annual energy needs from imports, is bracing for the economic impact of anti-government protests in Egypt. Oil prices could more than double if the unrest in Egypt forces the closure of the Suez Canal, Venezuelan Oil Minister Rafael Ramirez said Feb. 4. The Reserve Bank of India last month increased its key repurchase rate for the seventh time in a year, boosting the measure by a quarter of a percentage point to 6.5 percent, to rein in inflation. Protests demanding an end to President Hosni Mubarak’s 30- year rule erupted Jan. 25 in Cairo and have left as many as 300 people dead, according to the United Nations. Concern that turmoil in Egypt could force the closure of the Suez Canal, halting crude shipments through the crucial waterway, sent North Sea Brent crude oil prices above $100 a barrel for the first time since October 2008 last week. About 2.5 percent of world oil output moves through Egypt via the waterway and the Suez-Mediterranean Pipeline, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Egyptian Vice President Omar Suleiman and representatives from the nation’s opposition groups agreed yesterday to conclude studying amendments to the constitution by the first week of March, following demonstrations that led Mubarak to announce he would step down. India’s Prime Minister Manmohan Singh said Feb. 4 the nation needs to urgently contain prices, that are rising at the fastest pace among major economies in Asia, as inflation poses a “serious threat to the growth momentum.” India’s benchmark wholesale-price inflation accelerated to 8.43 percent in December, from 7.48 percent in the previous month, due to higher costs of food and oil. (Source: Bloomberg) Market Strategists: Nalin Chutchotitham Email: nalin.c@kasikornbank.com Tel: 02-470-3235 5 For private circulation only. The foregoing is for informational purposes only and not to be considered as an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security. Although the information herein was obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy nor do we assume responsibility for any error or mistake contained herein. Further information on the securities referred to herein may be obtained upon request.
  6. 6. KBank Daily Update Feb 7, 2011 Economic Calendar Date / Time Country Event Period Consensus Actual Prior Revised Reserve Bank Quarterly Monetary Policy 02/04/2011 07:30 AU Statement 02/04/2011 08:00 PH Consumer Price Index (YoY) JAN 3.30% 3.50% 3.00% -- 02/04/2011 08:00 PH Consumer Price Index NSA (MoM) JAN 0.50% 0.80% 0.50% -- 02/04/2011 13:07 ID Bank Indonesia Reference Rate Feb-04 6.50% 6.75% 6.50% -- 02/04/2011 14:30 TH Forward Contracts Jan-28 -- $19.0B $18.4B -- 02/04/2011 14:30 TH Foreign Reserves Jan-28 -- $174.0B $174.4B -- 02/04/2011 15:00 UK Halifax House Prices sa (MoM) JAN -0.30% 0.80% -1.30% -1.10% 02/04/2011 15:00 UK Halifax House Price 3Mths/Year JAN -3.00% -2.40% -1.60% -- 02/04/2011 15:57 UK New Car Registrations (YoY) JAN -- -11.50% -18.00% -- Istat Releases the New Consumer Prices 02/04/2011 16:00 IT Basket and Methodology 02/04/2011 17:00 IT CPI (NIC incl. tobacco) (MoM) JAN P 0.30% 0.40% 0.40% -- 02/04/2011 17:00 IT CPI (NIC incl. tobacco) (YoY) JAN P 2.00% 2.10% 1.90% -- 02/04/2011 17:00 IT CPI - EU Harmonized (MoM) JAN P -1.30% -1.20% 0.40% -- 02/04/2011 17:00 IT CPI - EU Harmonized (YoY) JAN P 2.20% 2.40% 2.10% -- 02/04/2011 17:23 ID Consumer Confidence Index JAN -- 113.9 109.3 -- 02/04/2011 19:00 CA Unemployment Rate JAN 7.60% 7.80% 7.60% -- 02/04/2011 19:00 CA Net Change in Employment JAN 15.0K 69.2K 22.0K -- 02/04/2011 19:00 CA Full Time Employment Change JAN -- 31.1 38 40.5 02/04/2011 19:00 CA Part Time Employment Change JAN -- 38 -16.1 -9.9 02/04/2011 19:00 CA Participation Rate JAN 67 67 66.9 66.7 02/04/2011 20:30 US Change in Nonfarm Payrolls JAN 146K 36K 103K 121K 02/04/2011 20:30 US Change in Private Payrolls JAN 145K 50K 113K 139K 02/04/2011 20:30 US Change in Manufact. Payrolls JAN 10K 49K 10K 14K 02/04/2011 20:30 US Unemployment Rate JAN 9.50% 9.00% 9.40% -- 02/04/2011 20:30 US Avg Hourly Earning MOM All Emp JAN 0.20% 0.40% 0.10% -- 02/04/2011 20:30 US Avg Hourly Earning YOY All Emp JAN 1.70% 1.90% 1.80% 1.70% 02/04/2011 20:30 US Avg Weekly Hours All Employees JAN 34.3 34.2 34.3 -- 02/04/2011 22:00 CA Ivey Purchasing Managers Index JAN 53.2 41.4 50 -- 02/07/2011 04:00 SK Foreign Exchange Reserve USD JAN -- $295.96B $291.57B -- 02/07/2011 05:30 AU AiG Perf of Construction Index JAN -- 40.2 43.8 -- 02/07/2011 06:50 JN Official Reserve Assets JAN -- $1093.0B $1096.2B -- 02/07/2011 07:30 AU ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) JAN -- 2.40% 2.00% 1.20% 02/07/2011 07:30 AU Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) DEC 0.50% 0.20% 0.30% 0.40% 02/07/2011 07:30 AU Retail Sales Ex Inflation(QoQ) 4Q -0.30% -0.30% 0.70% 0.50% 02/07/2011 09:30 HK Purchasing Managers Index JAN -- -- 55 -- 02/07/2011 12:00 JN Coincident Index CI DEC P 103.1 -- 102.4 -- 02/07/2011 12:00 JN Leading Index CI DEC P 101.4 -- 100.6 -- 02/07/2011 12:30 AU Foreign Reserves JAN -- -- 41.6B -- 02/07/2011 12:30 IN FY11 Annual GDP Constant YoY% 1Q A 8.60% -- 8.00% -- 02/07/2011 16:00 SI Foreign Reserves JAN -- -- $225.75B -- 02/07/2011 16:30 MA Foreign Reserves Jan-31 -- -- $106.50B -- Source: Bloomberg 6 For private circulation only. The foregoing is for informational purposes only and not to be considered as an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security. Although the information herein was obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy nor do we assume responsibility for any error or mistake contained herein. Further information on the securities referred to herein may be obtained upon request.

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