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NBA: Shooting Guard + Small Forward Selection

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Saahil Sud, formerly Maxdalury, talks about best practices for selecting shooting guards and small forwards in daily fantasy sports (DFS).

Published in: Sports
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NBA: Shooting Guard + Small Forward Selection

  1. 1. Course 5: NBA Strategy Shooting Guard and Small Forward Selection www.rotoql.com 1
  2. 2. www.rotoql.com www.rotoql.com Lesson Overview 2 I. SG and SF selection fundamentals II. Advanced SG and SF research tips
  3. 3. I. SG and SF Fundamentals
  4. 4. www.rotoql.com www.rotoql.com Key Elements 4 Stat Notes Minutes Recent minutes will tell how much opportunity is available Pace Teams who run will have more chances to score Usage Rate Point guards control team usage rates 3-Point Rate Ability to make 3s has more upside at these positions Defense vs. Position All-in-one matchup indicator, featured in RotoQL app Def. Personal Fouls Is the defender prone to giving up free points? Value When players are injured, use projected minutes to find value
  5. 5. www.rotoql.com www.rotoql.com Fantasy Production 5 Position Average FD Points* Point Guard 39.5 Shooting Guard 35.3 Small Forward 36.3 Power Forward 41.74 Center 42.93 * Data from 2015-2016 NBA season from Rotogrinders
  6. 6. www.rotoql.com www.rotoql.com Scoring System 6 Stat DK Points FD Points 2-point FG +2.0 PT +2.0 PT 3-point FG +3.5 PT +3.0 PT Free throw +1.0 PT +1.0 PT Rebound +1.25 PT +1.2 PT Assist +1.5 PT +1.5 PT Steal +2.0 PT +2.0 PT Block +2.0 PT +2.0 PT Turnover -0.5 PT -1.0 PT Double-double +1.5 PT N/A Triple-double +3.0 PT N/A Lineup 8 players (PG, SG, SF, PF, C, G, F, Util) 9 players (PG, PG, SG, SG, SF, SF, PF, PF, C) ● Be aware of scoring dependency and 3-point reliance ● FanDuel features two shooting guards in their lineups
  7. 7. www.rotoql.com Avg stats put up by SG against every NBA team* 7 * Data from 2015-2016 NBA season from Rotowire
  8. 8. www.rotoql.com Avg stats put up by SF against every NBA team* 8 * Data from 2015-2016 NBA season from Rotowire
  9. 9. www.rotoql.com www.rotoql.com True DvP vs Defensive Rating & Pace 9 * Data from 2015-2016 NBA season from Fantasy Labs DR - opponent team’s defensive rating or points allowed per 100 possessions Pace - possessions per game
  10. 10. II. Advanced SG / SF Research Tips
  11. 11. www.rotoql.com www.rotoql.com SG-Usage 11 Source: Rotoworld Note: data is from FanDuel’s 2014-15 NBA Season 9-cat-z-scores Usage (%)
  12. 12. www.rotoql.com www.rotoql.com SF-Usage 12 Source: Rotoworld Note: data is from FanDuel’s 2014-15 NBA Season 9-cat-z-scores Usage (%)
  13. 13. www.rotoql.com Top 20 Z-Scores for SG 13 Source: numberFireNote: data is from FanDuel’s 2015-16 NBA Season
  14. 14. www.rotoql.com Top 20 Z-Scores for SF 14 Source: numberFireNote: data is from FanDuel’s 2015-16 NBA Season
  15. 15. www.rotoql.com www.rotoql.com NBA Lineup Example 15* Data Provided from DraftKings
  16. 16. www.rotoql.com www.rotoql.com More Resources Visit our Support Center to watch video tutorials on how to use RotoQL • rotoql.zendesk.com Monitor daily fantasy news, strategy and advice articles at the QL Wire • rotoql.com/qlwire If you are new to DFS or just need a refresher on the fundamentals, visit RotoU • rotoql.com/university 16

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