#China's Urban Dreams Highlights from the #EIU webinar

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Highlights of the EIU webinar (4 March 2014) on China's urbanisation and the economic opportunities and threats it may bring about.

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#China's Urban Dreams Highlights from the #EIU webinar

  1. 1. China’s Urban Dreams Highlights  of  the  04  March  2014  EIU  Webinar   50+ YEARS OF EXPERIENCE & KNOWHOW IN CHINA BUSINESS
  2. 2. URBANIZATION ! Urbanisa(on  will  not  be  equal   !   Most  recent  es*mate:  940  billion  urban   dwellers  by  2030   !   Biggest  provincial  gainers:  Guangdong,  Henan,   Hebei   ! Urbanisa*on  rate  will  vary  between  the  regions   (East,  North-­‐East,  Central,  West)  in  the  range  of  <60   to  >70%,  East  and  North-­‐East  leading  the  pack   !   In  some  provinces  (Yunnan,  Guizhou  etc.)   urbanisa*on  will  hardly  reach  50%  when  excluding   the  provincial  capital  
  3. 3. ECONOMIC BENEFITS ! Urbanisa(on  could  help  to  sustain  China’s   economic  growth   !   Urban  economies  more  produc*ve  than  rural  ones   !   Consump*on  supported  by  higher  income  levels   !   Provide  fruiXul  avenues  for  investment  
  4. 4. ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ! China’s  urbanisa(on  presents  huge   opportuni(es   !   Consumer  good  demand  will  boom   !   Services  such  as  educa*on  and  healthcare  will  be  in   high  demand   !   Urban  infrastructure  and  property   !   Logis*cs  and  e-­‐commerce  
  5. 5. ECONOMIC THREATS ! Over-­‐planning  could  sabotage  the  process   !   Focus  on  small  and  medium-­‐sized  ci*es  risks   running  against  market  forces   !   Investment  beyond  level  that  demographic  trends   will  support  risks  waste   !   Urban  popula*on  boom  is  short-­‐term:  already   slowing  trend  in  urban  popula*on  growth   !   Growth  post-­‐2030  will  be  delivered  by  other   emerging  markets  
  6. 6. RESOURCES ALLOCATION ! Resources  need  to  be  allocated  to  regions   that  will  see  a  popula(on  boom   !   Significant  variance  in  regional  and  city  popula*on   projec*ons   !   Huge  demand  for  so^  and  hard  infrastructure  in   major  ci*es   !   Fiscal  reform  cri*cal  as  financing  is  lacking   !   Awareness  of  local  level  governments’  plans  is   important  
  7. 7. RESOURCES ALLOCATION ! What  is  your  target  market  of  choice?  
  8. 8. slideshare.net/JuhaMoilanen1 facebook.com/ChinaWorks twitter.com/Juha_Moilanen fi.linkedin.com/in/juhamoilanen 谢谢 THANK YOU ! Finland Office China Office Osuusmyllynkatu 5 33700 Tampere, Finland Tel: +358 40 5253111 juha.moilanen@chinaworks.com www.kiinakoulutus.fi Room 3406, Block B, Central Plaza No. 22 Jian She Da Ma Lu 510060 Guangzhou, P.R China Tel: +86 20 8349 9613 Fax +86 20 8359 2972

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