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A Futurist Perspective

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A Futurist Perspective

  1. 1. A Futurist Perspective Innovating for the Internet of Everything Joseph M. Bradley General Manager and Founder, IoE Practice, Cisco Consulting Services @JosephMBradley September 16, 2014
  2. 2. Convergence of Mobile, Social, Cloud, and Data Is Driving Digital Disruption Digital Disruptors This year, the number of Globally, An estimated machine-77 billion to-machine apps In By 2012 2020, alone, about we 50 created billion objects more data connected than previous to the mobile-2/3 of the connected world’s mobile devices data will exceed traffic will the be number video of by people 2015 Digital Digital Disruption Disruption IP traffic will be will downloaded grow 20-fold from during 5,000 2012 Internet years 2014 to 2017 on earth In 2012 alone, we created more data than previous 5,000 years By 2020, ~50 billion objects connected to the Internet An estimated 77 billion apps will be downloaded during 2014 2/3 of the world’s mobile data traffic will be video by 2015 Globally, M2M IP traffic will grow 20-fold 2012 – 2017 This year, the number of mobile-connected devices will exceed people on earth © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 2
  3. 3. Implications of Digital Disruption 10 Every company is a technology company 9 Change isn’t constant, it’s instant 8 Value is in the platform, not the product 7 The majority doesn’t rule…but you do 6 Experience trumps functionality 5 Digitization…the gift that keeps on giving 4 Fail fast and often to win 3 Data is everywhere, insights are scarce 2 Insight is the new currency 1 Context, not content is king This year, the number of Globally, An estimated machine-77 billion to-machine apps In By 2012 2020, alone, about we 50 created billion objects more data connected than previous to the mobile-2/3 of the connected world’s mobile devices data will exceed traffic will the be number video of by people 2015 Digital Digital Disruption Disruption IP traffic will be will downloaded grow 20-fold from during 5,000 2012 Internet years 2014 to 2017 on earth © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 3
  4. 4. Are You Ready? © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 4
  5. 5. Value Is Not in the Number of Things, But the Connections of People, Process, Data, and Things Process Delivering the right information to the right person (or machine) at the right time Things Physical devices and objects connected to the Internet and each other for intelligent decision-making; often called Internet of Things (IoT) People Connecting people in more relevant, valuable ways Data Leveraging data into more useful information for decision-making © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 5
  6. 6. IoE Drives $19 Trillion In Value Over 10 Years Asset utilization: $2.5T Supply-chain / logistics Private Sector $14.4T Includes both industry-specific efficiency : $2.7T Employee Productivity: $2.5T Improved customer experience : and horizontal use cases. $3.7T Innovation: $3.0T Increased Revenue: $125B Reduced Costs: $740B Employee Productivity: $1.8T Defense: $1.5T Public Sector $4.6T Includes cities, agencies, and verticals such as healthcare, education, defense Citizen Experience: $412B Total IoE Value at Stake $19.0 Trillion © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 6
  7. 7. IoE Is Already Here © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 7
  8. 8. Creating Opportunity from IoE Innovation © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 8
  9. 9. © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 9
  10. 10. Where Do You Begin? Gesture Wi-Fi Recognition IR Motion Door Hinges Associate Mobile Digital Signage Customer Mobile Video Cameras Parking Space Sensor Central Compute Platform Wi-Fi Badge Shelf Weight Sensors Big Data Repository Wi-Fi Tags Fast Data Processing Weight Mat Action Enablement Wisdom from the Cloud eCommerce & Semantic Web Business Systems © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 10
  11. 11. Cart Path Tracking Visit # Zone Lingertime(s) in minutes Amount spent 909334 Apparel 152 $0 Meats 286 $19.88 Checkout 447 $8.88 Entertainment 97 $0 Girls 162 $0 Foods 1946 $110.85 H&W 201 $24.75 Hardlines 129 $0 Home 366 $28.70 TOTAL 3786 $223.48 In-store Analytics Identifies Time and Amount Spent © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 11
  12. 12. Out-of-Stock Identification 1 0.75 0.5 0.25 FastRetail Identifies Out-of-Stocks More Quickly than Current Systems Stock Level 1 0.75 0.5 0.25 Out of Shelf © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 12 Multi-day view 0 0 Current System reported shelf stock level FastRetail reported level Single day view Shelf inventory depleting while system inventory increasing Shelf inventory zero
  13. 13. Checkout Optimization Economics: $100M / yr. Savings for 1,500 Store Chain Current State With FastRetail Cashier Hours/Day: Cost/Day: Average Queue Length: 95% Queue Length: Average Wait Time: 95% Wait Time: Utilization Weekday Weekend 150 $ 1800 2.5 2 1:13 3:49 70% 200 $ 2400 2.7 3 1:31 4:01 78% Weekday Weekend 140 $ 1680 1.6 1.7 0:29 1:55 77% 180 $ 2160 1.9 2.5 1:09 4:00 86% An estimated annual savings of $50-$70K can be achieved at one large store in a year 2-3 FTE Free per large store to redirect to other tasks 95-percentile wait time cut by ½ on weekdays Up to 50%+ reduction in average wait time © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 13
  14. 14. Retailer Value at Stake: 12% Higher Profits / 0.8 Percentage Point EBIT Margin Gain Next-gen workers $182M contribution to EBIT driven by higher employee productivity and lower real estate rentals (telecommuting) Innovative payments $28M contribution to EBIT due to lower merchant processing fees Connected marketing and advertising $60M contribution to EBIT resulting from more targeted, location-based advertising Reduced out-of-stocks $20M contribution to EBIT generated by reduced out-of-stock occurrences Increase in IT costs IT connectivity cost of $41M to enable IoE Revenue base: $20.0B Projected revenue: $20.8B 12,800 13,312 4,400 4,366 800 832 2,000 2,249 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 As-it P&L To-be P&L Retailer P&L ($ mn) EBIT D&A SG&A COGS © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 14
  15. 15. © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 15
  16. 16. Public Sector Leading the Way: Top 10 Insights Public sector organizations leading IoE innovation Cities using comprehensive strategies to capture IoE value A powerful network foundation expands the “art of the possible” Scalable pilot projects build support, momentum and expertise Data analytics magnify the impact of IoE It’s an app world IoE solutions must address people and process, not just data and things Transparency and open data drive stakeholder engagement 5 9 IoE is a catalyst for breaking down organizational silos © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 16 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 10 Senior leadership and tangible public benefits essential or IoE success
  17. 17. Nice City Increased Parking Revenue 40-60% without Raising Taxes Process Innovation  Pricing  Payment  Finding spaces People Impact  Traffic wardens  Citizens/drivers  City planners  Increase compliance by 30%  Parking Revenue increase 40 – 60%  City data sales  Reduced congestion, time-to-park  Dynamic pricing — revenue increase New Things Connected  Parking spaces  Parking meters Value Impact New Data Flows  Space availability © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 17
  18. 18. Barcelona: Smart City Creates $3B in Value Smart Lighting Smart Buses Smart Water Smart Bus Stop Smart Parking Smart Waste  Reduced costs, more revenues, better productivity and citizen experiences  Created 47,000 jobs Smart citizens Smart Water: $58 million Smart Parking: $53 million Smart Lighting: $47 million Smart Buildings: $124 million Connected Learning: $170 million Revenue Citizen Experiences Jobs Productivity Cost Avoidance © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 18
  19. 19. What To Do Now © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 19
  20. 20. Last Year, Companies Left 47% of IoE Value on the Table $613B (53%) Value Realized in 2013 $544B (47%) Value “Left on Table” in 2013 2013 $1.2T Value at Stake © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 20
  21. 21. What We’ve Learned: Infrastructure, Inclusion, and Information To Capture More IoE Value, Companies Must: 1 2 3 Adopt and follow inclusive practices that foster collaboration Develop effective information management practices Invest In high-quality technology infrastructure and tools © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 21
  22. 22. A New Platform for Business and IT Is Required Internet of Everything New Breed Big Data & IoT of Apps Analytics Hyper-Aware Predictive Agile Fast IT Mobile Cloud Infrastructure automation IT-as-a-Service Application-centric Security © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 22
  23. 23. Let’s Get Started TWITTER SLIDE SHARE EMAIL LINKEDIN @JosephMBradley JosephMBradley josbradl@cisco.com JosephMBradley © 2013-2014 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Consulting Services Cisco Confidential 23
  24. 24. Thank you.

Editor's Notes

  • Today, a confluence of social, economic, and technological factors is challenging our basic assumptions about business, government, and society.
    Driven by digital disruptors such as cloud, mobile, social media, Big Data analytics, and constantly shifting security requirements, new competitors are creating new business models that threaten incumbents and challenge the status quo.
    These forces are innovative and disruptive on their own; taken together they are revolutionizing business and society, disrupting old business models, and creating new leaders.
  • Audience takeaway – While customers really are king, they often don’t know what they want until they are able to experience it. Most people said the iPad would fail or it wasn’t needed; now we can’t live without it.

    Data points
    No one watches porn, but it’s a $10 billion industry (equivalent).
    Things that people don’t recognize they need or use. Average citizen in France spend 4 years looking for a parking space.
    More money spent on video game releases than blockbuster movies. Only X players of Fifa Soccer, play soccer. Only x percent of people who play John madden football, play football. Tiger Woods.
    If it’s not in their day to day routine. Customers don’t have the insights. What people do or will do but don’t realize it.

    Stories
    - [Add]


    Fablet, ipad, Nest, Uber,
  • The Internet of Everything is the mother of all market transitions, knitting together multiple technology-driven disruptions. At its essence, the IoE is the networked connection of people, process, data and things.

    To better understand this definition, we must first break down IoE’s individual components.

    People: As the Internet evolves toward IoE, we will be connected in more relevant and valuable ways. Today, most people connect to the Internet through their use of devices (such as PCs, tablets, TVs, and smartphones) and social networks such as Facebook. In the future, people will be able to swallow a pill that senses and reports the health of their digestive tract to a doctor over a secure Internet connection. In addition, sensors placed on the skin or sewn into clothing will provide information about a person’s vital signs. According to Gartner, people themselves will become nodes on the Internet, with both static information and a constantly emitting activity system.

    Process: Process plays an important role in how each of these entities — people, data, and things — works with the others to deliver value in the connected world of IoE. With the correct process, connections become relevant and add value because the right information is delivered to the right person at the right time in the appropriate way.

    Data: With IoT, devices typically gather data and stream it over the Internet to a central source, where it is analyzed and processed. As the capabilities of things connected to the Internet continue to advance, they will become more intelligent by combining data into more useful information. Rather than just reporting raw data, connected things will soon send higher-level information back to machines, computers, and people for further evaluation and decision making. This transformation from data to information in IoE is important because it will allow us to make faster, more intelligent decisions, as well as control our environment more effectively.

    Things: This group is made up of physical items like sensors (e.g. pressure, image, temperature, vibration), consumer devices, enterprise assets that are connected to both the Internet and each other, RFID (a simple tag that can used to identify an object) and "actuator". An actuator is an object that makes an "action": for example, it could turn off an engine, a light, or start a process to control a more complex system. In IoE, these things will sense more data, become context-aware, and provide more experiential information to help people and machines make more relevant and valuable decisions. Examples of “things” in IoE include smart sensors built into structures like bridges, and disposable sensors that will be placed on everyday items such as milk cartons.
    It is also important to understand the difference between IoE and IoT. Essentially, IoT includes data and things, while IoE adds people and process to the mix.

    Public Sector Use Cases
    Cisco’s Value at Stake analysis covers 40 use cases across eight public-sector categories: Education, Culture & Entertainment, Transportation, Safety & Justice, Energy & Environment, Healthcare, Defense, and Next-Generation Work & Operations.
    The goal is not to deliver all 40 of these use cases to a given city or agency, but rather to provide targeted sets of use cases that address specific issues. Different cities and agencies will be interested in different combinations of the use cases.
    Often, these use cases include both short- and medium-term opportunities for cities, states, and federal agencies.

    Private Sector Use Cases


  • In 2012, Cisco released groundbreaking research about a market transition of immense importance, which we call the Internet of Everything (IoE). IoE is the confluence of multiple technology trends: mobility (ubiquitous high-speed mobile networks, smart devices, and apps); cloud computing; social networks; the ability to collaborate with anyone, anywhere, instantly; data analytics; and finally, the possibility of connecting “things” with inexpensive, intelligent sensors. IoE brings these elements together through standards-based IP networks, generating $19 trillion in value over the next ten years.
     
    A full $4.6 trillion of this value is within the grasp of public sector organizations. Leading public sector organizations — federal, state, and local governments; healthcare organizations; educational institutions; and non-governmental organizations (NGOs) — are seizing the opportunity. They are using IoE-enabled solutions to increase efficiency, reduce costs, and most importantly, improve the lives of citizens. Their innovations are delivering positive measurable results, some of which have the potential to transform entire sectors of the economy.
     
    Demands for lower taxes, fiscal austerity, and global recession are reducing the financial resources of public sector organizations just as the demand for public transportation, education, healthcare, social insurance, and services of all kinds is expanding. The consequences for public sector organizations of failing to do more with less – and of losing the fight to attract businesses and citizens – are immense.
  • Audience takeaway – While customers really are king, they often don’t know what they want until they are able to experience it. Most people said the iPad would fail or it wasn’t needed; now we can’t live without it.

    Data points
    No one watches porn, but it’s a $10 billion industry (equivalent).
    Things that people don’t recognize they need or use. Average citizen in France spend 4 years looking for a parking space.
    More money spent on video game releases than blockbuster movies. Only X players of Fifa Soccer, play soccer. Only x percent of people who play John madden football, play football. Tiger Woods.
    If it’s not in their day to day routine. Customers don’t have the insights. What people do or will do but don’t realize it.

    Stories
    - [Add]


    Fablet, ipad, Nest, Uber,
  • The management practices that best predict changes in value realized are:
    Inclusiveness — enabling all employees to contribute and collaborate effectively. Companies make better decisions and maximize the value of experts located throughout the organization when they are more inclusive. In fact, better collaboration within companies is one of the three areas executives think will benefit most from IoE. According to Cisco’s recent “Enterprise Collaboration” study (http://www.cisco.com/web/about/ac79/ docs/re/Enterprise-Collaboration_Top-10.pdf), 93 percent of respondents from companies with inclusive business environments indicated that their investments in collaboration solutions outperformed expectations in terms of business value created. By contrast, only 28 percent of respondents from non- inclusive companies felt the same way.
    Information management — using data strategically to achieve company objectives. It is not data itself, but how it is managed and used, that determines success in realizing IoE value.
    Human capital management — managing a company’s workforce and developing needed talent. Having and managing the right mix of employee skill sets is crucial for any company. However, as IoE becomes a bigger contributor to corporate profits, firms will have to evaluate their technical and management expertise continually in order to thrive.
    Measurement — tracking progress toward company goals or targets. Companies that measure performance gain a larger share of IoE Value at Stake than competitors that are less “fact-based” in their decision-making processes.
    Based on these findings, to capture value from IoE, companies must follow a roadmap that invests in a high-quality infrastructure, adopt inclusive practices that foster greater and more effective collaboration, and develop effective information management practices.
  • We believe the new model for the next generation of information technology will help our customers address the technology transitions captured in the Internet of Everything :
    A new breed of applications
    New consumption models (cloud, mobile)
    Convergence of all connections to IP (IoT)
    Broad application of new sources of data with analytics
    A need to create smarter business processes that provide relevance

    This new model is an integrated, architectural approach that addresses customers biggest business challenges and a platform that helps them drive business agility through new services, operational simplicity through automation, and application-centric performance, with pervasive security

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