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Publishers, libraries, and the food chain

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A NISO Webinar presentation on consolidation in academic publishing and systems, with a brief primer on how mergers and acquisitions work.

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Publishers, libraries, and the food chain

  1. 1. Publishers, Libraries, and the Food Chain A Webinar for NISO Joseph J. Esposito and David Lamb STM Advisers LLC March 8, 2017
  2. 2. Topics ● What is industry consolidation and why does it happen? ● Different kinds of buyers (financial and strategic) ● Private equity investors and venture capitalists: two types of financial investor ● How does private equity work? ● Why are so many deals happening at this time? ● Who are the strategic acquirers? ● An example of consolidation ● The interesting precedents of ResearchGate and Meta ● What to look for in the coming years 2
  3. 3. What is Industry Consolidation? ● Consolidation refers to the merger of companies in the same industry, leaving fewer but bigger companies ● A sign of a mature industry ● Key driver: the benefits of scale ● Large market share stabilizes pricing and locks in profits ● Rarely does consolidation yield significant innovation ● Example: merger of Springer and Nature ● Look for more consolidation ahead 3
  4. 4. Categories of Buyers ● Strategic buyers ○ Established company operating in same market ○ Interested in extending range, increasing market share ○ Finance acquisitions out of earnings, but may borrow money ■ Easily financeable because of size, assets ■ Interest is tax-deductible, which encourages acquisitions and borrowing ○ Acquisitions can be highly competitive ● Financial buyers ○ Investment firm that takes in money from investors ■ Your institution is likely invested in both private equity and venture capital ○ Don’t always have deep interest in the markets they invest in ○ Look to resell properties at profit after period of time ○ Tend to be highly cost-conscious; rarely encourage big investments by management 4
  5. 5. Private Equity vs. Venture Capital PRIVATE EQUITY (PE) ● Works with larger companies ● Requires cash flow ● Likes mature industries ● Focus is on generating cash ● In tandem with revenue growth increases company value ● Companies in this space funded by PE ○ Innovative Interfaces ○ Baker & Taylor ○ OverDrive ○ Ex Libris (ProQuest) ○ Springer Nature 5 VENTURE CAPITAL (VC) ● Works with start-ups ● Rarely involves debt ● Focus is on innovative products and services ● Investees rarely possess scale or have strong market position ● Successful start-ups sell out to larger entities ○ Mendeley ○ PubGet ○ Aer.io ○ *Meta
  6. 6. How Does Private Equity Work? ● Typically identifies “platform” company to serve as base for other acquisitions ○ ‘Bolt-ons’ ● Seeks to create large entity in specific market ● Uses some of its own capital, but borrows most of the money for the purchase ○ Hence term: “leveraged buyout” ○ Ratio of capital to debt varies with interest rates ■ Aim is to use as little capital as possible ■ Return generated by paying down debt as well as increase in company value ○ Strong focus on improving cash flow (as distinct from revenue) ● Strong focus on cutting costs ● Always seeks to resell enlarged company later 6
  7. 7. Why So Many Deals Now? ● Mature industry invites consolidation ● Perception (right or wrong) that scholarly communications is ripe for change ● Advantages of scale very apparent (e.g., Big Deal) ● Deals being used to lock up markets, create barriers for competition ○ ProQuest seeks to be library infrastructure provider (acquires ILS) ○ Follett seeks dominance of distribution channel (acquires Baker & Taylor) ○ EBSCO seeks to be library gatekeeper (acquires YBP) ● Investment environment ○ Low interest rates ○ A great deal of capital looking for a place to go to work ○ Highly efficient global network of investors ○ Low return from other investment categories 7
  8. 8. Who are the Strategic Acquirers? ● All large commercial companies use acquisitions as part of their strategy ● Usual suspects: Elsevier, Springer, Wiley, Taylor & Francis, SAGE, ProQuest, EBSCO, etc. ● Acquisitions large and small ● Important that acquisitions are always strategically appropriate ○ Elsevier would not acquire a trade publisher ○ HighWire would not acquire a college textbook publisher ● Likely that acquisitions will proceed apace in coming years 8
  9. 9. Example: ProQuest Acquisitions ● 2011 - ebrary ● 2013 - Ebook Library (EBL) ● 2013 - Coutts, MyiLibrary, OASIS ● 2015 - Ex Libris (from Golden Gate Capital) ● 2016 - Alexander Street Press 9
  10. 10. Meta and ResearchGate ● Harbinger of a new paradigm ● Meta acquired by CZI: Facebook money applied in the public interest (such is the claim) ○ First time major Silicon Valley entity has waded into scholarly communications ○ The aim of making this a free service alters perceptions of investments ● ResearchGate just announced huge financing ($53 Mn) ○ Among investors: Bill Gates, Wellcome Trust, Goldman Sachs ○ Once again, big capital deployed in market that never attracted it before ○ Implications of public interest despite commercial status ● These sources of capital dwarf the industry giants (e.g., Elsevier, Wiley) 10
  11. 11. What to Watch For Next ● Ongoing consolidation ● Increasing pricing strength on part of largest companies ● No detectable antitrust objections ● Many, many new start-ups ○ Largely technology-based ○ Providing highly specific services ● Strong possibility of ongoing interest from Silicon Valley ○ New strategic objectives ○ Blurring of line between public interest and commerce ○ Potential to rattle the largest traditional players, who cannot operate on the scale of a Google or Amazon 11
  12. 12. Contact Information ● Joseph J. Esposito ○ Partner, STM Advisers LLC ○ espositoj@gmail.com ○ @josephjesposito ○ http://scholarlykitchen.sspnet.org ● David Lamb ○ Partner, STM Advisers LLC ○ @lamb ○ lambdcL@gmail.com ○ STMadvisers.com 12

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  • patrickp

    Mar. 22, 2017
  • SaraJalalzadeh

    May. 23, 2017

A NISO Webinar presentation on consolidation in academic publishing and systems, with a brief primer on how mergers and acquisitions work.

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