Does The     PTCMake Sense? (Professional Version) Alliance For Wise Energy Decisions               8/21/12
Make SURE to View This Presentation    in the FULL SCREEN Mode!        Click the “FULL” icon   in the lower right hand cor...
Do NOT click on the Triangle     below to run this presentation!                Instead,use your keyboard arrow keys to na...
Does The Production Tax Credit (PTC) Make Sense?This “Professional Version” is intended for Congressional Staffers and ene...
— Outline of this Presentation —1   -   Rationale for the PTC by its Advocates2   -   Are Job Claims Accurate?3   -   The ...
DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE?            Part 1:Benefits Claimed by Lobbyists
The Claimed Benefits for wind energy subsidies  have radically evolvedover the last twenty years.
20 Specious Claims: How the supposed     Benefits of    Wind Energy have continued to evolve, as they are proven to be false.
For a Scientific Assessmentof Wind Energy Realities, see:   EnergyPresentation.Info
The Wind Lobbyists’ Current Major Excuse       for the PTC to be extended          are purported JOBs.
How do lobbyists    take advantage  of good legislators?1 - By telling them what they    want to hear, and2 - by counting ...
They alsoknow that  there isno penaltyfor makingunscientific  claims.
First we’re told that the planetis facing imminent catastrophe— then a lobbyist comes to ourlegislators with a solution!Th...
It’s Lobbyists vs Science    —and Science is Losing   The main concern here is that our energy &environmental policies are...
Some Carl Sagan Science Quotes To Ponder —1 - Skeptical scrutiny is the means by which deep thoughts can be separated    f...
In short, our position is that — 1) we do have environmental and energy issues, and 2) these matters should be solved scie...
The Soundbite:Wind Energy = High Cost, Low Benefits      See EnergyPresentation.Info for some specifics.
Part 1:Benefits Claimed by Lobbyists?             — THE TAKEAWAY —      Since there are no scientifically proven         n...
DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE?           Part 2:  Are Job Claims Accurate?
Independent Studies    Have Concluded:Wind Job Claims are Exaggerated
Fact:Almost all US Wind Job Claimscome from One Source: AWEA (Wind Industry Lobbyists).
Fact:Industry Lobbyists have one  (and only one) Objective:  To Hype their Industry.
Fact:Technical Data (e.g. job counts)  from such a Biased Source  is NOT Very Dependable.
The Lobbyist Marketing Pitch  The PTC is needed to “...save 37,000 jobs...”
A Sample Federal Jobs Report    “The stats were generated by AWEA”
A Sample Independent Study  “Green jobs studies make estimates using pooreconomic models, based on dubious assumptions”
A Sample Independent Study
A Sample Independent Study“‘Green jobs’ include: college professors teaching any environmental class,          clerks at b...
A Sample Independent Study
A Sample Independent Study
Do Real World Facts Correlate with AWEA Claims?
Part 2:Are Job Claims Accurate?          — THE TAKEAWAY — Job claims from wind industry lobbyists         have very little...
DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE?            Part 3:         Cost Per Job?
Every Independent Study    Has Concluded    the Same Thing:The Cost Per Job is OUTRAGEOUS!
A Sample Independent Analysis             “$135,000 to $270,000 per wind job”
The Congressional Figures      $12.2 Billion / 37,000 jobs       = $330,000 per wind job
A Sample Independent Study                   $578,000                  per green job
A Sample Independent Study                  $1,600,000                  per wind job
A Sample Independent Study                  $9,800,000                  per wind job
A Sample Independent Study                 $34,000,000                  per wind job
Part 3:        Cost Per Wind Job?             — THE TAKEAWAY —          No matter how it is calculated,the cost per wind j...
DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE?           Part 4:    What are the Net Jobs?
Almost All  Independent Studies    Have Concluded    the Same Thing:Wind Energy is a NET Jobs Loser
Indisputable Jobs Fact             No Jobs claim has any merit   unless it accurately considers the NET impact. In their c...
Offshore Independent Study #1
Offshore Jobs Conclusions of Independent Experts #1:                                       $1,080,000,000Conclusion: 5000±...
Offshore Independent Study #2
Offshore Jobs Conclusions of Independent Experts #2:                                       Conclusion:                    ...
Offshore Independent Study #3
Offshore Jobs Conclusions of Independent Experts #3:Conclusion: Net 4000± jobs lost in one year alone       (due to a sing...
OK, Offshore Wind Clearly Results        in Net Job Losses.   What about Onshore Wind?
SAME THING!      Let’s Look at a Somewhat Typical        Onshore Wind Development:      the 80 MW Pantego Wind Project,Pro...
Many wind projects are located on leased farmland.        One likely consequence is that some of the farmers      who have...
Here are the latest Beaufort County Tourism Jobs data...
There are all sorts of claims made about tourism impacts of wind development —including the fantasy that people will speci...
BTW the Scottish Government is a promoter of wind energy, so they had a vested               interest here. In any case th...
Beaufort County Annual Job Impact            Due To the Proposed Pantego Wind ProjectImportant: Unlike in the Offshore Win...
When the big picture is objectively examined,   a rather typical Onshore Wind Project   will be an annual NET JOBS LOSER!
Independent Green Jobs Study #1
Independent Green Jobs Study #2
Jobs Conclusions of Independent Expert #2:
Independent Green Jobs Study #3
Jobs Conclusions of Independent Experts #3:
Independent Green Jobs Study #4
Jobs Conclusions of Independent Expert #4:
Independent Green Jobs Study #5
Jobs Conclusions of Independent Expert #5:
Part 4:                  Net Jobs            — THE TAKEAWAY —              In the typical case,wind development & subsidy ...
DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE?           Part 5:    Even More About Jobs
The fact is  That there is a lot more     to the job claims,than is immediately obvious.
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind JobsThere is nothing — no program, no hobby, no vice, no crime —    that does not crea...
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind JobsThe US has lost most of its jobs to other countries primarily                   du...
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs                         David Brooks                        of the NY Times      ...
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs                           A top government                             official m...
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs  If Congress is determined to spend the $12.2 Billion     that just a one year PT...
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs       The United States can be a Leader in:1) Eighteenth century ideas like horse...
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind JobsShould we have a tax credit to employ several thousand blacksmiths?
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind JobsShould we have a tax credit to employ thousands making buggy whips?
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs                      Less Expensive Energy                         is a Proven Wa...
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind JobsInexpensive Energy is Proven to create net jobs.  Subsidizing expensive energy is ...
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind JobsWhen Wind Lobbyists were arguing in 2011          to extend the 1603 credit, they ...
Part 5:    Even More About Jobs            — THE TAKEAWAY —  The jobs argument is a public relations ploy         to distr...
DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE?           Part 6:    Net Economic Impact?
Almost All     Independent Studies       Have Concluded       the Same Thing:Wind Energy is a NET Economics Loser
Offshore Independent Study #1
Offshore Economic Conclusions of Independent Experts #1:                                        $1,080,000,000Conclusion: ...
Offshore Economic Conclusions of Independent Experts #1: Conclusion: More $ Hundreds of Millions lost!
Offshore Economic Conclusions of Independent Experts #1:                                            In one county,        ...
Offshore Independent Study #2
Offshore Economic Conclusions of Independent Experts #2:       Conclusion: Net is $900± Million lost!
Offshore Independent Study #3Conclusion: There are no NET economic benefits!
Offshore Independent Study #4        According to Beacon Hill Institute, Cape Wind’s industrial wind plant would result in:
OK, Offshore Wind Also Results   in Net Economic Losses. What about Onshore Wind?
SAME THING!      Let’s Look at a Somewhat Typical        Onshore Wind Development:      the 80 MW Pantego Wind Project,Pro...
Here are the latest Beaufort County Tourism Income data...
Here is a government study by four independent PhDs, all acknowledged bat experts.After years of studying bats, they know ...
Here are their conclusions of the crop loss to this county due to killed bats:               We’ll use their less than mid...
Note that this $9+Million does NOTtake into account the additional humanhealth costs associated with things likean increas...
Here is a study about local weather impact from wind development...
Beaufort County Annual Economic Impact Due To Pantego       This does NOT include additional financial losses due to:     ...
When the big picture is objectively examined,      a rather typical Onshore Wind Projectcan result in an annual NET ECONOM...
And There’s More.The next few slides will just touch onSome ADDITIONAL Economic Costs.Almost none of these are normally in...
Wind energy is also a bad deal from an electricity point-of-view.Does wind energy provide economical electricity ?NO, not ...
#1        The Total Cost Economic Perspective, part 1:       Because it has no Firm Capacity,          Wind Energy MUST HA...
#1        The Total Cost Economic Perspective, part 2:                For a variety of      technical and economic reasons...
#1           The Total Cost Economic Perspective, part 3:Wind energy Economics should include extra transmission lines nee...
#1   Even On A Wind Lobbyist Site: Texas would be $28 Billion better off without wind!
What’s the Correlation with#2             Higher Wind Energy Usage          and Residential Electricity Rates?     40     ...
#2          As we raise the cost of electricity, remember that     Quality of Life STRONGLY Correlates to Electricity Cons...
#3                                                                                 $4,981 MAnnual Federal TAXPAYER Subsidi...
#3      In ADDITION to generous Federal subsidies (like the PTC),        many states offer financial incentives for wind po...
E-V-E-R-Y-T-H-I-N-Gabout Wind Energy economics       is problematic!
Part 6:            Net Economics            — THE TAKEAWAY —              In the typical case,wind development is a NET EC...
DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE?            Part 7:What Do Utility Companies Say?
Utility Companies areregulated by the government. As such they avoid saying anything  that is not “politically correct”.  ...
Exelon owns 38 wind projects. Their CEO, Christopher Crane,        recently stated:“The (production tax credit) hasbeen in...
President & COO of Duke’s US Electric business, says:             “It doesn’t matter how clean it is,             if it’s ...
A major utility executive’svery disturbing assessment When National Grid’s CEO was challenged  about integrating wind ener...
One of a series of ads from Idaho Power“In the simplest of terms,  special interest groups and wind developers are  asking...
One of a series of ads from Idaho Power“Integrating the variablecapacity of wind energy  undermines the time-  tested, sci...
More real world evidence   from utility experts,  about the real cost of wind energy. They say:onshore = 2-3 times moreoff...
This is an insightful series ofarticles by the CEO of Ohio’s    North Central Electric         Cooperative,       Markus B...
Regarding CO2 savings, these utility company reports say:
Regarding wind’s cost, these utility company reports say:
Regarding wind subsidies, these utility company reports say:
Regarding wind subsidies, these utility company reports say:
This is the most advanced Utility Company report          on wind energy, ever published.
Regarding jobs and economics, this study says:
Part 7:What Do Utility Companies Say?             — THE TAKEAWAY —      When utility companies have the courage  to speak ...
DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE?          Part 8:Some Other Supporter Claims
Even though JOBS is theirmain argument for the PTC,    some other assertions    are periodically made...
Another justification put forward for the PTC:         “The PTC is not Another Solyndra.”Objective perspective:           ...
Another justification put forward for the PTC:       “Wind developers only get paid the PTC          when they produce ele...
Another justification put forward for the PTC:      “Some manufacturing jobs will be lost.”Objective perspective:         ...
Another justification put forward for the PTC:    “Some landowners are making big profits.”Objective perspective:          ...
Another justification put forward for the PTC:     “We need to have a phase-out of the PTC.”Objective perspective:        ...
Another justification put forward for the PTC:   “The Wind industry needs to have certainty.”Objective perspective:       ...
Other justifications put forward for the PTC:“Presumably, the PTC intends to support renewable energy due to the environme...
Another justification put forward for the PTC: “We need more time for wind to be competitive.”Objective perspective:      ...
Does “modernizing” this 18th century idea       make it any less primitive?
Likewise...
Part 8:Some Other Supporter Claims            — THE TAKEAWAY —      When looking at the BIG PICTURE these claims do NOT ju...
DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE?        CONCLUSIONS
Attention Republicans:          A PTC for 2013+ is a new TAX*         as such it violates the ATR Pledge* “Specialists ter...
Attention Democrats:    A PTC for 2013+ is a TAX BREAK,       that will primarily be used       by High-Income Taxpayers. ...
Attention Legislators:  BOTH Parties Should be in Agreement on the Fact that:      the PTC is a heavy taxpayer subsidy  of...
Attention Legislators:       What this all translates to is that BOTH Parties            should be in FULL Agreement that:...
Is an “All of the Above” Energy Policy wise?       Only if it makes sense to include:                    unreliable,      ...
Conclusions                 — THE TAKEAWAY —Wind Energy is a net jobs loser and a net economics loser,        that has no ...
The wind PTC makes as much sense   as the government  subsidizing ranchers    to have cows runin the Kentucky Derby.
References (for main data, quotes, etc.) — page 1Slide 4: PTC History (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Wind_Energy_Pol...
References (for main data, quotes, etc.) — page 2Slide 76: DiNapoli - Tax Breaks Don’t Create Jobs (www.knickledger.com/20...
Credits (for graphics & photos) —Header for PTCFacts.Info website: photo taken by Mike FortunaSlide 1: Philip Epp Painting...
Does The PTC Make Sense (Professional Version)?
Does The PTC Make Sense (Professional Version)?
Does The PTC Make Sense (Professional Version)?
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Does The PTC Make Sense (Professional Version)?

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An analysis of the US Federal Production Tax Credit's merits. This is the more detailed professional version intended for people with energy experience. There is also an abbreviated Executive version on Slideshare for those just looking for highlights.

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Does The PTC Make Sense (Professional Version)?

  1. 1. Does The PTCMake Sense? (Professional Version) Alliance For Wise Energy Decisions 8/21/12
  2. 2. Make SURE to View This Presentation in the FULL SCREEN Mode! Click the “FULL” icon in the lower right hand corner.
  3. 3. Do NOT click on the Triangle below to run this presentation! Instead,use your keyboard arrow keys to navigate. This will allow you to proceed at your own pace.
  4. 4. Does The Production Tax Credit (PTC) Make Sense?This “Professional Version” is intended for Congressional Staffers and energy experts. We also have an abbreviated “Executive Version”.The wind energy Production Tax Credit (PTC) has now been in existence for some twenty (20) years.The Energy Policy Act of 1992 originally enacted the Production Tax Credit and the first lapse came in June 1999. The PTC was extended inDecember 1999 until December 31, 2001. Once again the PTC expired in December 2001 and was not enacted again until March 2002 whereit was then extended for another two years. At the end of 2003 the PTC expired for a third time until a one year extension was granted inOctober 2004. The PTC was extended through 2005 and also expanded the different types of renewable energies that would be includedunder the bill. The Energy Policy Act of 2005 (H.R. 6) modified the credit and extended it through the end of 2007. In December 2006, thePTC was extended for another year by the Tax Relief and Health Care Act of 2006 (H.R. 6111). The PTC was extended yet again by theAmerican Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (H.R. 1). The Wind PTC was extended an additional two years, expiring the end of 2012.Every time the plea is that just a few more years will be necessary to get wind energy on its feet…Our underlying message is that our energy decisions should be made on the basis of sound SCIENCE — not on what lobbyists say.Hopefully you have already been to the “WindPowerFacts.Info” website, which has a collection of good reports on wind energy.The future of this issue lies in whether or not citizens are properly educated about basic energy matters. After getting more up-to-speed,they need to do some Critical Thinking about this matter.After citizens get more informed — and do some Critical Thinking — they will be in a much better position to express their more informedwishes to their federal representatives.Anyone trying to educate their local citizenry and representatives, is welcome to use the material found here. If you have any questionsafter you go through this, we will be glad to respond to any emails you send to the PTCFacts.Info website.References and credits are on the three slides at the end. The disclaimer, etc. are on the last slide. If you like what you see, please pass iton to other open-minded people, plus your federal representatives. — ENJOY! Alliance for Wise Energy Decisions
  5. 5. — Outline of this Presentation —1 - Rationale for the PTC by its Advocates2 - Are Job Claims Accurate?3 - The Cost Per Job?4 - The NET Jobs picture.5 - Even More About Jobs.6 - The NET Economics picture?7 - What do Utility Companies Say?8 - Some Other Supporter Claims. — CONCLUSIONS —
  6. 6. DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE? Part 1:Benefits Claimed by Lobbyists
  7. 7. The Claimed Benefits for wind energy subsidies have radically evolvedover the last twenty years.
  8. 8. 20 Specious Claims: How the supposed Benefits of Wind Energy have continued to evolve, as they are proven to be false.
  9. 9. For a Scientific Assessmentof Wind Energy Realities, see: EnergyPresentation.Info
  10. 10. The Wind Lobbyists’ Current Major Excuse for the PTC to be extended are purported JOBs.
  11. 11. How do lobbyists take advantage of good legislators?1 - By telling them what they want to hear, and2 - by counting on the fact that few will take the time to really check things out!
  12. 12. They alsoknow that there isno penaltyfor makingunscientific claims.
  13. 13. First we’re told that the planetis facing imminent catastrophe— then a lobbyist comes to ourlegislators with a solution!The spiel is that they can dosomething consequential to helpprevent this global disaster —and the legislator will gain somepolitical points in the process. What a Deal!
  14. 14. It’s Lobbyists vs Science —and Science is Losing The main concern here is that our energy &environmental policies are not based on science. Instead these policies are being dictated bylobbyists (salespeople) who are representing those with financial interests, or political agendas.
  15. 15. Some Carl Sagan Science Quotes To Ponder —1 - Skeptical scrutiny is the means by which deep thoughts can be separated from deep nonsense.2 - We live in a society exquisitely dependent on science and technology, in which hardly anyone knows anything about science and technology.3 - I am often amazed at how much more capability and enthusiasm for science there is among elementary school youngsters than among college students.4 - We have arranged things so that almost no one understands science and technology. This is a prescription for disaster. We might get away with it for awhile, but sooner or later this combustible mixture of ignorance and power is going to blow up in our faces.
  16. 16. In short, our position is that — 1) we do have environmental and energy issues, and 2) these matters should be solved scientifically.
  17. 17. The Soundbite:Wind Energy = High Cost, Low Benefits See EnergyPresentation.Info for some specifics.
  18. 18. Part 1:Benefits Claimed by Lobbyists? — THE TAKEAWAY — Since there are no scientifically proven net Technical, or net Economic,or net Environmental benefits for wind energy —the lobbyists are hanging their hat on JOB claims.
  19. 19. DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE? Part 2: Are Job Claims Accurate?
  20. 20. Independent Studies Have Concluded:Wind Job Claims are Exaggerated
  21. 21. Fact:Almost all US Wind Job Claimscome from One Source: AWEA (Wind Industry Lobbyists).
  22. 22. Fact:Industry Lobbyists have one (and only one) Objective: To Hype their Industry.
  23. 23. Fact:Technical Data (e.g. job counts) from such a Biased Source is NOT Very Dependable.
  24. 24. The Lobbyist Marketing Pitch The PTC is needed to “...save 37,000 jobs...”
  25. 25. A Sample Federal Jobs Report “The stats were generated by AWEA”
  26. 26. A Sample Independent Study “Green jobs studies make estimates using pooreconomic models, based on dubious assumptions”
  27. 27. A Sample Independent Study
  28. 28. A Sample Independent Study“‘Green jobs’ include: college professors teaching any environmental class, clerks at bicycle repair shops, antique dealer employees, Salvation Army workers, stores selling rare books and manuscripts, consignment shop workers, used record shop employees, garbage disposal workers, and even oil lobbyists.”
  29. 29. A Sample Independent Study
  30. 30. A Sample Independent Study
  31. 31. Do Real World Facts Correlate with AWEA Claims?
  32. 32. Part 2:Are Job Claims Accurate? — THE TAKEAWAY — Job claims from wind industry lobbyists have very little credibility.Independent assessments have concluded that they are wildly exaggerated.
  33. 33. DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE? Part 3: Cost Per Job?
  34. 34. Every Independent Study Has Concluded the Same Thing:The Cost Per Job is OUTRAGEOUS!
  35. 35. A Sample Independent Analysis “$135,000 to $270,000 per wind job”
  36. 36. The Congressional Figures $12.2 Billion / 37,000 jobs = $330,000 per wind job
  37. 37. A Sample Independent Study $578,000 per green job
  38. 38. A Sample Independent Study $1,600,000 per wind job
  39. 39. A Sample Independent Study $9,800,000 per wind job
  40. 40. A Sample Independent Study $34,000,000 per wind job
  41. 41. Part 3: Cost Per Wind Job? — THE TAKEAWAY — No matter how it is calculated,the cost per wind job is extraordinarily excessive.
  42. 42. DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE? Part 4: What are the Net Jobs?
  43. 43. Almost All Independent Studies Have Concluded the Same Thing:Wind Energy is a NET Jobs Loser
  44. 44. Indisputable Jobs Fact No Jobs claim has any merit unless it accurately considers the NET impact. In their claims, there is zero evidence that AWEAhas burdened themselves with this obligation, e.g.:
  45. 45. Offshore Independent Study #1
  46. 46. Offshore Jobs Conclusions of Independent Experts #1: $1,080,000,000Conclusion: 5000± jobs LOST in one year alone (due to a single offshore wind project).
  47. 47. Offshore Independent Study #2
  48. 48. Offshore Jobs Conclusions of Independent Experts #2: Conclusion: Net is 30,000 ± jobs years LOST (again due to a single offshore wind project).
  49. 49. Offshore Independent Study #3
  50. 50. Offshore Jobs Conclusions of Independent Experts #3:Conclusion: Net 4000± jobs lost in one year alone (due to a single offshore wind project).
  51. 51. OK, Offshore Wind Clearly Results in Net Job Losses. What about Onshore Wind?
  52. 52. SAME THING! Let’s Look at a Somewhat Typical Onshore Wind Development: the 80 MW Pantego Wind Project,Proposed for Beaufort County, North Carolina...
  53. 53. Many wind projects are located on leased farmland. One likely consequence is that some of the farmers who have leases, will scale back their operation, or stop farming entirely. This photo is one of many examples where this appears to be exactly what happened.We will assume a low 10% of local leasing farmers will cut back on their operations.
  54. 54. Here are the latest Beaufort County Tourism Jobs data...
  55. 55. There are all sorts of claims made about tourism impacts of wind development —including the fantasy that people will specifically come to see industrial machines.Would that be a claim if there was a new nuclear power plant built here? I think not.Anyway, the Scottish government funded the most comprehensive study ever done on the effects of wind development on tourism...
  56. 56. BTW the Scottish Government is a promoter of wind energy, so they had a vested interest here. In any case the researchers concluded that(even after taking into account new visitors to wind projects) that (not surprisingly) there would be a net decrease (“fall”) in tourism. We’ll use the mid-number of 4% as the average.
  57. 57. Beaufort County Annual Job Impact Due To the Proposed Pantego Wind ProjectImportant: Unlike in the Offshore Wind examples, this community did not have the money to fund a more comprehensive economics assessment.As a result we do not have the figures for additional jobs lost due to higher rates of wind electricity, or to the cost of businesses funding the PTC.
  58. 58. When the big picture is objectively examined, a rather typical Onshore Wind Project will be an annual NET JOBS LOSER!
  59. 59. Independent Green Jobs Study #1
  60. 60. Independent Green Jobs Study #2
  61. 61. Jobs Conclusions of Independent Expert #2:
  62. 62. Independent Green Jobs Study #3
  63. 63. Jobs Conclusions of Independent Experts #3:
  64. 64. Independent Green Jobs Study #4
  65. 65. Jobs Conclusions of Independent Expert #4:
  66. 66. Independent Green Jobs Study #5
  67. 67. Jobs Conclusions of Independent Expert #5:
  68. 68. Part 4: Net Jobs — THE TAKEAWAY — In the typical case,wind development & subsidy is a NET JOBS LOSER. Remember: “NET” is a critical job indicator.
  69. 69. DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE? Part 5: Even More About Jobs
  70. 70. The fact is That there is a lot more to the job claims,than is immediately obvious.
  71. 71. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs
  72. 72. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind JobsThere is nothing — no program, no hobby, no vice, no crime — that does not create jobs. For example, tsunamis, computer viruses and robbing convenience store clerks all create jobs. So since that claim applies to all it is an argument in favor of none! Instead of providing evidence of the merits of an enterprise, a jobs claim is a de facto admission that one has a specious case. — energy attorney Chris Horner
  73. 73. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind JobsThe US has lost most of its jobs to other countries primarily due to economics: low cost labor. US businesses have one major economic benefit left to counter more job loss: low cost electricity. Why would we voluntarily give this up by reverting to more expensive electricity sources???
  74. 74. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs David Brooks of the NY Times gets this right: green wind jobs aren’t the answer.
  75. 75. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs A top government official makes a very blunt statement. Tax credits don’t create wind jobs.
  76. 76. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs If Congress is determined to spend the $12.2 Billion that just a one year PTC extension would cost, an important question is:What would be the job (and other) benefits of spending that same amount on another energy source? According to the Congressional Budget Office if the same $12.2 Billion were given to the gas industry, over 9 times as many jobs would be created.
  77. 77. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs The United States can be a Leader in:1) Eighteenth century ideas like horse transportation and wind energy (buggy-whip manufacturing, blacksmith, and windmill jobs) OR2) State-of-the art, Scientifically Sound energy solutions (like geothermal energy or Small Modular Reactors)
  78. 78. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind JobsShould we have a tax credit to employ several thousand blacksmiths?
  79. 79. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind JobsShould we have a tax credit to employ thousands making buggy whips?
  80. 80. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs Less Expensive Energy is a Proven Way to create net jobs. Subsidizing expensive energy is a counterproductive strategy
  81. 81. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind JobsInexpensive Energy is Proven to create net jobs. Subsidizing expensive energy is a counterproductive strategy
  82. 82. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs
  83. 83. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind JobsWhen Wind Lobbyists were arguing in 2011 to extend the 1603 credit, they were counting most of the same jobs that they’re now attributing to the PTC.How can each subsidy be responsible for the same jobs???
  84. 84. Part 5: Even More About Jobs — THE TAKEAWAY — The jobs argument is a public relations ploy to distract us from the realitythat wind energy is a very poor energy option.
  85. 85. DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE? Part 6: Net Economic Impact?
  86. 86. Almost All Independent Studies Have Concluded the Same Thing:Wind Energy is a NET Economics Loser
  87. 87. Offshore Independent Study #1
  88. 88. Offshore Economic Conclusions of Independent Experts #1: $1,080,000,000Conclusion: over $1 Billion lost in one year alone!
  89. 89. Offshore Economic Conclusions of Independent Experts #1: Conclusion: More $ Hundreds of Millions lost!
  90. 90. Offshore Economic Conclusions of Independent Experts #1: In one county, property owners will LOSE $640,000,000± in real estate value!
  91. 91. Offshore Independent Study #2
  92. 92. Offshore Economic Conclusions of Independent Experts #2: Conclusion: Net is $900± Million lost!
  93. 93. Offshore Independent Study #3Conclusion: There are no NET economic benefits!
  94. 94. Offshore Independent Study #4 According to Beacon Hill Institute, Cape Wind’s industrial wind plant would result in:
  95. 95. OK, Offshore Wind Also Results in Net Economic Losses. What about Onshore Wind?
  96. 96. SAME THING! Let’s Look at a Somewhat Typical Onshore Wind Development: the 80 MW Pantego Wind Project,Proposed for Beaufort County, North Carolina...
  97. 97. Here are the latest Beaufort County Tourism Income data...
  98. 98. Here is a government study by four independent PhDs, all acknowledged bat experts.After years of studying bats, they know that bats are not only major crop pollinatorsbut also major insect eaters. One bat can eat hundreds of thousands of insects a year.
  99. 99. Here are their conclusions of the crop loss to this county due to killed bats: We’ll use their less than midrange, standard number.
  100. 100. Note that this $9+Million does NOTtake into account the additional humanhealth costs associated with things likean increase in mosquitoes.The county’s website acknowledges thatthis is already a problem, and thatmosquitoes spread such deadly diseasesas West Nile Virus & Eastern EquineEncephalitis.Fewer bats will result in moremosquitoes, and a likely higherincidence of human health problems.
  101. 101. Here is a study about local weather impact from wind development...
  102. 102. Beaufort County Annual Economic Impact Due To Pantego This does NOT include additional financial losses due to: — The lower employment, — Tax reductions from nearby property devaluations, — Health effects from turbines, — Health effects from insect proliferation, — Higher cost of wind electricity, etc.
  103. 103. When the big picture is objectively examined, a rather typical Onshore Wind Projectcan result in an annual NET ECONOMIC LOSS of well over $12,000,000.
  104. 104. And There’s More.The next few slides will just touch onSome ADDITIONAL Economic Costs.Almost none of these are normally included when the cost of wind energy is being presented.
  105. 105. Wind energy is also a bad deal from an electricity point-of-view.Does wind energy provide economical electricity ?NO, not compared to conventional sources.Look at the economics from three perspectives — #1: Total Costs = higher than conventional sources. #2: Real Ratepayer costs = higher than conventional sources. #3: Taxpayer Subsidies = higher than all conventional sources, combined!
  106. 106. #1 The Total Cost Economic Perspective, part 1: Because it has no Firm Capacity, Wind Energy MUST HAVE a fast-responding, augmenting source of power available 24/7/365. NO other conventional source of electricity has this requirement!
  107. 107. #1 The Total Cost Economic Perspective, part 2: For a variety of technical and economic reasons, this fast-responding, augmenting source of power is usually gas. So, ALL calculations of wind’s costs MUST address the WIND + GAS Package.
  108. 108. #1 The Total Cost Economic Perspective, part 3:Wind energy Economics should include extra transmission lines needed. (They almost never include this cost.) © john droz, jr.
  109. 109. #1 Even On A Wind Lobbyist Site: Texas would be $28 Billion better off without wind!
  110. 110. What’s the Correlation with#2 Higher Wind Energy Usage and Residential Electricity Rates? 40 35 Denmark Bad Renewables % ¢/KWH (2007 30 Germany 25 20 Spain 15 US 10 Canada 5 0
  111. 111. #2 As we raise the cost of electricity, remember that Quality of Life STRONGLY Correlates to Electricity Consumption
  112. 112. #3 $4,981 MAnnual Federal TAXPAYER Subsidies of Electrical Energy Sources: Totals 2010 US Energy Information Administration Subsidy Report: July 2011 [Direct + Tax + R&D +Electricity Support] Note that the total 2010 subsidies for wind energy exceed the totals for all the other conventional sources COMBINED! $1,189 M $2,234 M $654 M $215 M $4,981 M Coal Nuclear Nat Gas Hydro Wind
  113. 113. #3 In ADDITION to generous Federal subsidies (like the PTC), many states offer financial incentives for wind power, like: 1. Personal Tax Incentives 2. Corporate Tax Incentives 3. Sales Tax Incentives 4. Property Tax Incentives 5. Rebates 6. Grants 7. Loans 8. Industry Support 9. Bonds, and 10. Production Incentives. On top of these financial incentives, state and local governments have established rules, regulations and policies (like RPS), with the purpose of encouraging or mandating the development and increased sale and consumption of energy from renewable sources. Yet all this still isn’t enough???
  114. 114. E-V-E-R-Y-T-H-I-N-Gabout Wind Energy economics is problematic!
  115. 115. Part 6: Net Economics — THE TAKEAWAY — In the typical case,wind development is a NET ECONOMICS LOSER.Remember: “NET” is a critical economics indicator.
  116. 116. DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE? Part 7:What Do Utility Companies Say?
  117. 117. Utility Companies areregulated by the government. As such they avoid saying anything that is not “politically correct”. Despite this constraint the TRUTH has a way of coming out.
  118. 118. Exelon owns 38 wind projects. Their CEO, Christopher Crane, recently stated:“The (production tax credit) hasbeen in place since 1992, I believe,and I think that’s enough time tojump-start an industry, 20 years.”
  119. 119. President & COO of Duke’s US Electric business, says: “It doesn’t matter how clean it is, if it’s not affordable or reliable.”
  120. 120. A major utility executive’svery disturbing assessment When National Grid’s CEO was challenged about integrating wind energy, he said: “Families would have to get used to only using power when it was available, rather than constantly.”
  121. 121. One of a series of ads from Idaho Power“In the simplest of terms, special interest groups and wind developers are asking you to pay morefor a less reliable product. And that just isn’t right.”
  122. 122. One of a series of ads from Idaho Power“Integrating the variablecapacity of wind energy undermines the time- tested, science driven technology plan required of all utilities.And that just isn’t right.”
  123. 123. More real world evidence from utility experts, about the real cost of wind energy. They say:onshore = 2-3 times moreoffshore = 4-5 times moreNote: this does NOT include the extra cost of the PTC!
  124. 124. This is an insightful series ofarticles by the CEO of Ohio’s North Central Electric Cooperative, Markus Bryant.
  125. 125. Regarding CO2 savings, these utility company reports say:
  126. 126. Regarding wind’s cost, these utility company reports say:
  127. 127. Regarding wind subsidies, these utility company reports say:
  128. 128. Regarding wind subsidies, these utility company reports say:
  129. 129. This is the most advanced Utility Company report on wind energy, ever published.
  130. 130. Regarding jobs and economics, this study says:
  131. 131. Part 7:What Do Utility Companies Say? — THE TAKEAWAY — When utility companies have the courage to speak honestly about industrial wind energy, they are against it.
  132. 132. DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE? Part 8:Some Other Supporter Claims
  133. 133. Even though JOBS is theirmain argument for the PTC, some other assertions are periodically made...
  134. 134. Another justification put forward for the PTC: “The PTC is not Another Solyndra.”Objective perspective: That is correct — it’s much worse. Per government figures, Solyndra cost taxpayers $0.5± Billion. A one year extension of the PTC will cost taxpayers $12.2 Billion.
  135. 135. Another justification put forward for the PTC: “Wind developers only get paid the PTC when they produce electricity.”Objective perspective: That is correct — but so what? Why does it make sense to make an unreliable source of electricity more expensive?
  136. 136. Another justification put forward for the PTC: “Some manufacturing jobs will be lost.”Objective perspective: That is correct — but that’s life. Modernization is continually making certain products out-dated, which means jobs in those industries are lost. Should taxpayers be subsidizing the jobs for those producing B&W TVs, 8-track tapes, horse carriages, hoola-hoops, etc?
  137. 137. Another justification put forward for the PTC: “Some landowners are making big profits.”Objective perspective: That is correct — but at whose expense?
  138. 138. Another justification put forward for the PTC: “We need to have a phase-out of the PTC.”Objective perspective: That is correct — but that’s already done. All existing wind projects will continue to get paid the PTC, and they have a phase-out period of ten years from their start date.
  139. 139. Another justification put forward for the PTC: “The Wind industry needs to have certainty.”Objective perspective: That is correct — and it already does.
  140. 140. Other justifications put forward for the PTC:“Presumably, the PTC intends to support renewable energy due to the environmental,economic development, and energy security benefits that these sources provide...” — Dr. Ryan Wiser Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Senate Finance Committee Testimony March 29, 2007 Unfortunately, not a single part of this PTC justification has been scientifically proven to be legitimate! In fact… there is considerable evidence that every bit of it is FALSE.
  141. 141. Another justification put forward for the PTC: “We need more time for wind to be competitive.”Objective perspective: What difference is a year going to make? None. What are we going to say about the jobs that will be “lost” at the end of next year? Will those losses be OK then? We need to stop whitewashing a losing idea!
  142. 142. Does “modernizing” this 18th century idea make it any less primitive?
  143. 143. Likewise...
  144. 144. Part 8:Some Other Supporter Claims — THE TAKEAWAY — When looking at the BIG PICTURE these claims do NOT justify a PTC extension.
  145. 145. DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE? CONCLUSIONS
  146. 146. Attention Republicans: A PTC for 2013+ is a new TAX* as such it violates the ATR Pledge* “Specialists term these synthetic government spending programs ʻtaxexpenditures.ʼ Tax expenditures are really spending programs, not taxrollbacks, because the missing tax revenues must be financed by moretaxes on somebody else. Like any other form of deficit spending … atargeted tax break coupled with a specific revenue ʻpayforʼ means that onegroup of Americans is required to pay (in the form of higher taxes) for asubsidy to be delivered to others through the mechanism of the tax system.” —Dr. Edward D. Kleinbard, Professor of Law at the Gould School of Law, UCLA
  147. 147. Attention Democrats: A PTC for 2013+ is a TAX BREAK, that will primarily be used by High-Income Taxpayers. As such it is a violationof your party’s campaign for Tax Fairness.
  148. 148. Attention Legislators: BOTH Parties Should be in Agreement on the Fact that: the PTC is a heavy taxpayer subsidy of an eighteenth century energy technology that has no scientifically proven net benefits.
  149. 149. Attention Legislators: What this all translates to is that BOTH Parties should be in FULL Agreement that:our Energy Policy should be based on real science.
  150. 150. Is an “All of the Above” Energy Policy wise? Only if it makes sense to include: unreliable, expensive, and environmentally destructive energy options!We need an “All of the Sensible” Energy Policy.
  151. 151. Conclusions — THE TAKEAWAY —Wind Energy is a net jobs loser and a net economics loser, that has no scientific proof that it has any net technical, economic or environmental benefits. Why should US taxpayers pay for such a charade?
  152. 152. The wind PTC makes as much sense as the government subsidizing ranchers to have cows runin the Kentucky Derby.
  153. 153. References (for main data, quotes, etc.) — page 1Slide 4: PTC History (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Wind_Energy_Policy#Wind_Production_Tax_Credit_.28PTC.29)Slide 8: Wind Industry claimed benefits (www.masterresource.org/2012/02/wind-spin/)Slides 11 & 25 & 45: AWEA- PTC Advances in Senate (www.awea.org/blog/index.cfm?customel_dataPageID_1699=17487)Slide 16: Carl Sagan quotes (www.brainyquote.com/quotes/authors/c/carl_sagan.html)Slide 26: Congressional Wind Report (www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R42023.pdf)Slide 27: Green Jobs Myths (www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/morriss-green-jobs-myths.pdf)Slide 28: The Dirty Secret Behind Clean Jobs (cascadepolicy.org/pdf/pub/CleanJobsReport8.22.11.pdf)Slide 29: Exploding the Green Jobs Myth (blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/exploding_the_green_jobs_myth/)Slide 30: Are Job Numbers Pulled From Thin Air? (www.dailyenergyreport.com/2012/07/wind-energy-jobs-are-the-numbers-pulled-from-thin-air/)Slide 31: Puffed Up Claims from the Wind Power Lobby (www.factcheck.org/2012/02/wind-spin/)Slide 32: Wind energy job growth isnt blowing anyone away (articles.latimes.com/2010/feb/02/business/la-fi-green-jobs2-2010feb02)Slide 36: Why We Need to Terminate Big Wind Subsidies (tinyurl.com/7q43sdl)Slides 37 & 136: Cost of PTC - Senate Finance Commmittee (www.finance.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/JCX.pdf)Slide 38: Obamas Green Energy Disaster (docstalk.blogspot.com/2012/08/obamas-green-energy-disaster-578333-per.html)Slide 39: Texas wind farm tax break program costs $1.6 million per job (tinyurl.com/23k6mzw)Slide 40: $9 Billion in ‘Stimulus’ for Wind Projects (cnsnews.com/news/article/9-billion-stimulus-solar-wind-projects-made-910-final-jobs-98-million-job)Slide 41: Shepherds Flat wind farm: Whats the cost to taxpayers? (www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2011/03/post_19.html)Slides 46 & 47; 88-91: Global Insight NJ Study (www.nj.gov/bpu/pdf/announcements/njoswt.pdf)Slides 48 & 49; 92 & 93: Acadian Consulting NJ Study (www.state.nj.us/rpa/docs/FACWReport%20v14%20(PUBLIC%20VERSION).pdf)Slides 50 & 51: Cape Winds Cost: Facts & Figures (www.saveoursound.org/cape_wind_threats/economy/)Slides 55 & 98: NC Tourism Info (www.nccommerce.com/tourism/research/economic-impact/teim)Slides 56 & 57: Scottish Tourism Study (scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2008/03/07113554/0)Slide 57: Another Good Tourism Study (www.moray.gov.uk/downloads/file68577.pdf)Slides 60 & 72: The Myth of Green Jobs (thegwpf.org/images/stories/gwpf-reports/hughes-green_jobs.pdf)Slides 61 & 62: Green Jobs in the US Economy (oversight.house.gov/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/6-6-12-Full-Furchtgott-Roth.pdf)Slides 63 & 64: Study of the effects on employment… (www.juandemariana.org/pdf/090327-employment-public-aid-renewable.pdf)Slides 65 & 66: Gresham’s Law of Green Energy (www.cato.org/pubs/regulation/regv33n4/regv33n4-3.pdf)Slides 67 & 68: What the Job Counts Actually Tell US (tinyurl.com/9pd5wot)Slide 73: Horner jobs quote (www.masterresource.org/2012/06/wimp-power-windpower/)Slide 75: Where the Jobs Aren’t (www.nytimes.com/2011/09/06/opinion/brooks-where-the-jobs-arent.html) — continued —
  154. 154. References (for main data, quotes, etc.) — page 2Slide 76: DiNapoli - Tax Breaks Don’t Create Jobs (www.knickledger.com/2012/05/dinapoli-tax-breaks-dont-create-jobs/)Slide 77: Congressional Budget Office Jobs Report (www.manhattan-institute.org/html/ir_18.htm)Slide 81: Affordable Energy is Essential for Jobs (canadafreepress.com/index.php/print-friendly/40069)Slide 82: Job Growth Expected from Cheap Gas (tinyurl.com/bttgzjf)Slide 83: Common Sense Principles: Grow the Economy (www.popaditchforcongress.com/2012-issue-grow-the-economy.html)Slide 84: Claims for 1603 jobs (www.bluegreenalliance.org/saveamericanjobs)Slide 94: Third NJ Offshore Study (www.njspotlight.com/stories/12/0228/1955/)Slide 95: Beacon Hill Cape Wind Study (www.saveoursound.org/cape_wind_threats/economy/)Slides 99 & 100: Agricultural Effects of Turbine Bat Deaths (www.fort.usgs.gov/Products/Publications/23069a/23069a.pdf)Slide 99: Another Good Bat Study (www.francis.edu/uploadedfiles/renewable_energy/kunz.bats_and_wind.07.pdf)Slide 101: Beaufort County Website (www.co.beaufort.nc.us/)Slide 102: Turbine Effects on Local Meteorology (www.atmos.illinois.edu/~sbroy/publ/jweia2011.pdf)Slide 110: Is Wind Energy The New Wedge Issue For Conservatives? (www.nawindpower.com/e107_plugins/content/content.php?content.7757)Slide 111: From IEA supplied dataSlide 112: Electricity vs Quality of Life (CIA World Factbook 2007: www.gelib.com/cia-factbook.htm)Slide 113: Federal Subsidies - EIA 2010 Report (www.eia.gov/analysis/requests/subsidy/)Slide 114: State Wind Energy Subsidies, etc. (www.energypulse.net/centers/article/article_display.cfm?a_id=1837)Slide 119: Exelon Against PTC (blog.heritage.org/2012/06/11/even-wind-executive-doesnt-want-wind-tax-credit/)Slide 120: Duke CEO quote (www.snl.com/InteractiveX/article.aspx?CDID=A-11464937-13097&KPLT=2)Slide 121: National Grid CEO quote (www.windturbinesyndrome.com/2011/wind-energys-brave-new-world-intermittent-power-national-grid/)Slides 122 & 123: Idaho Power ad (www.getpluggedin.com/)Slide 124: NC Utilities refuse wind deal (hamptonroads.com/2011/12/utilities-back-out-nc-wind-project-over-high-prices?)Slide 125: Wind Expensive vs Fuel (www.dailyadvance.com/news/wind-expensive-versus-fuel-521695)Slides 126-130: The Emperor’s New Clothes Column (www.ncelec.org/aboutUs/countrymag/clemperor.aspx)Slides 131 & 132: A Rational Look At Renewable Energy (issuu.com/rational/docs/2992_rational_look_fin?mode=window&backgroundColor=#222222)Slides 140 & 141: PTC is already phasing out, with certainty (blog.heritage.org/2012/08/01/wind-ptc-already-phasing-out-for-certain/)Slide 142: PTC claimed benefits [Berkeley] (eetd.lbl.gov/ea/emp/reports/wiser-senate-test-4-07.pdf)Slide 148: The Hidden Hand of Government Spending (www.cato.org/pubs/regulation/regv33n3/regv33n3-2.pdf)Slide 153: Dear Big Wind - Its Not You, Its Me (www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/08/04/Dear-Big-Wind-It-s-Not-You-It-s-Me) — continued —
  155. 155. Credits (for graphics & photos) —Header for PTCFacts.Info website: photo taken by Mike FortunaSlide 1: Philip Epp Painting - Wild Horses (www.kgs.ku.edu/Publications/OFR/2006/OFR06_11/index.html)Slide 12: Snake Oil Salesman (www.stochasticgeometry.ie/2009/10/27/joel-spolsky-snake-oil-salesman/)Slide 13: Pinnochio (savevestas.wordpress.com/2009/10/25/new-vestas-campaign-postcard-take-and-distribute/ed_miliband-sw-1-2/)Slide 14: Dr. Marvel Cartoon - John Terry creation (www.windtoons.com/)Slide 54: Photo by John Droz, jr.Slide 79: Blacksmith Shop (explorepahistory.com/displayimage.php?imgId=1-2-CC6)Slide 80: Save Buggywhip Industry (www.freespeechstickers.com/Save_Buggy_Whips__and.html)Slide 109: Transmission Towers Photo - VNF (www.vnf.com/assets/htmlimages/Electric_transmission_lines.resize.jpg)Slide 139: Roger Maynard Cartoon [edited title] (www.floppingaces.net/wp-content/uploads/he-has-your-wallet.jpg)Slide 155: Cow Running in Derby (www.ntra.com/track/display/details/Ng) & (www.stillbreathing.co.uk/gallery/animals-in-sport/cowracing).Stock Photos: Slides #80, 144, 145, 148, 149, & 150-152.Numerous slides are gratefully credited to John Droz, who allowed us to freely borrow from his several presentations. Note: Links are NOT clickable on slideshare presentations. Write down any urls you are interested in, or take a screenshot. All information is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed. If errors are noted, please send an email to the PTCFacts.Info website, providing the scientific evidence of same and a correction will be made. For questions, comments or permission to use any material in this presentation, please also send an email to the PTCFacts.Info website.

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