Future of Cities Keynote at the Ljubljana Forum Sept 2012


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Future of Cities Keynote at the Ljubljana Forum Sept 2012

  1. 1. Global Challenges and the Role of Metropolis Jerome C. Glenn The Millennium Project
  2. 2. Investment Areas to Improve Our Urban Future • Urban/City Collective Intelligence Systems • TransInstitutions to assist urban management • University Courses in Urban Systems Ecology • Retrofit for energy producing buildings • Dynamic adaptive buildings with sensors: diagnosis and repair infrastructure • Ubiquitous computing, robotics, Nano Sensors (better management and counter terrorism - monitoring molecules in public spaces) • “Greening” everything possible • Smart traffic control • To save urban water: Pure Meat without growing animals and saltwater agriculture
  3. 3. Rio+20: Two Stories: • Nation-State Failure • New Synergies among business, universities, NGOs, and municipalities or city officials
  4. 4. Next Mega Trend: Conscious-Technology When the distinction between these two trends becomes blurred, we will have reached the Post-Information Age HUMANS BECOMING CYBORGS BUILT ENVIRONMENT BECOMING INTELLIGENT 1985 2000 2015 2030
  5. 5. As brains are concentrations of nerve cells, cities are concentrations of brains How well cities give coherence to these brains to address global challenges will determine the future quality of our future cities
  6. 6. Each can change the other
  7. 7. Collective Intelligence • It is an emergent property • from synergies among • data/info/knowledge • software/hardware • experts and others with insight • that continually learns from feedback • to produce (nearly) just in time knowledge for better decisions • than these elements acting alone.
  8. 8. 15 Global Challenges #1 is no more important than #15. This global agenda is a system: improving any improves others; reducing any reduces the others
  9. 9. Prices are going up…
  10. 10. High Food Prices – Long-Term • population growth • rising affluence especially India & China • diversion of corn for biofuels • soil erosion • aquifer depletion • the loss of cropland • falling water tables and water pollution • Increasing fertilizer costs (high oil prices) • Market speculation • diversion of water from rural to urban • Increasing meat consumption • global food reserves at 25- year lows • climate change • Increasing droughts • Increasing flooding • Melting mountain glaciers reducing water flows • And eventually saltwater invading crop lands
  11. 11. TransInstitutions 1. Boards of Directors whose members come from UN agencies, corporations, governments, NGOs, universities, and individuals, but are not from a majority of any one institutional categories; 2. People who work for the transinstitution come from all of these institutional categories, but do not form a majority of anyone one institutional category; 3. Income from at least four of the following categories but does not receive its funds from a majority of any of the above institutional categories; and 4. Products, services, and/or other outputs that are purchased or used by all of these categories, but by a majority of any one institutional category.
  12. 12. Future Management 1. Hierarchy 2. Networks 3. Intersection of Networks: Nodes 4. Connecting Nodes into Fields of Play 5. Connecting Fields of Play
  13. 13. Ifthen Synthetic Biology Nano- technology 3-D Printing Internet of Things Conscious- Technology Artificial Intelligence Synthetic Biology xxx 1 Nano- technology 2 xxx 3-D Printing xxx Internet of Things xxx Conscious- Technology xxx Artificial Intelligence xxx Future S&T Interactions
  14. 14. Integration of Archeology, urban systems ecology, and cyberspace http://www.jvrb.orgwww.jvrb.org
  15. 15. 46 Millennium Project Nodes... are groups of experts and institutions that connect global and local views in: Nodes identify participants, translate questionnaires and reports, and conduct interviews, special research, workshops, symposiums, and advanced training.
  16. 16. Korean Sustainable City Concept
  17. 17. 2012 State of the Future Or…a 1-year subscription for ongoing updates in the Global Futures Collective Intelligence System
  18. 18. For further information Jerome C. Glenn The Millennium Project 4421 Garrison Street, NW, Washington, D.C. 20016 USA +1-202-686-5179 phone/fax JGLENN@IGC.ORG www.StateoftheFuture.org