Wendigoldsmithgcc2013

J
Jen BoudrieJen Boudrie
CHANGING	
  CLIMATE	
  –	
  RISING	
  TIDE	
  
Wendigoldsmithgcc2013
Wendigoldsmithgcc2013
Wendigoldsmithgcc2013
Large	
  Scale	
  Stormwater	
  Wetland	
  
Wendigoldsmithgcc2013
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Wendigoldsmithgcc2013
Wendigoldsmithgcc2013
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Wendigoldsmithgcc2013
Charles Darwin: “It is not the strongest species
that survive, nor the most intelligent, but the
ones most able to adapt to change.”
Organizations inspired by nature are resilient,
optimizing, adaptive, systems-based,
values-based, and life-supporting.
The more resilient an organization is, the
more able it is to successfully deal
With disturbances and volatility.
Wendigoldsmithgcc2013
Case	
  Study	
  
•  Greater	
  New	
  Orleans	
  post-­‐Katrina	
  Infrastructure	
  
and	
  Coastal	
  Restora?on	
  System	
  
– Biggest	
  Untold	
  Story	
  of	
  Success	
  and	
  Possibility!	
  
– Massive	
  undertaking	
  can	
  serve	
  as	
  example	
  for	
  Climate	
  
Change	
  Adapta?on	
  Measures	
  to	
  reduce	
  actual	
  risk—
not	
  just	
  insure	
  financial	
  exposures	
  
– Started	
  in	
  2007,	
  func?onal	
  in	
  2011	
  –AMAZING!!	
  
– U?lized	
  Expedited	
  NEPA	
  
– During	
  Hurricane	
  Isaac	
  in	
  2012	
  avoided	
  damages	
  far	
  
greater	
  than	
  its	
  cost	
  –	
  an	
  excellent	
  ROI	
  
 
Plan	
  Formula?on	
  
	
  •  Congress	
  Mandated	
  1%	
  annual	
  risk	
  
•  What	
  is	
  service	
  life?	
  Steel/Concrete	
  =	
  50	
  yrs	
  
•  What	
  will	
  condi?ons	
  be	
  at	
  END	
  OF	
  SERVICE?	
  CHANGED!	
  
•  How	
  to	
  op?mize	
  budget	
  provided?	
  
•  Project	
  Re-­‐Defined	
  Risk-­‐Based	
  Infrastructure	
  Formula?on	
  
•  Factored	
  in	
  SLR,	
  subsidence,	
  etc	
  
•  Forecasts	
  for	
  basis	
  of	
  design	
  
•  Truly	
  systems-­‐based	
  approach	
  of	
  hard	
  and	
  green	
  
•  Not	
  just	
  1%	
  chance	
  of	
  flooding	
  TODAY	
  as	
  is	
  typical	
  
•  End	
  of	
  service	
  1%	
  chance	
  of	
  flooding	
  
•  PLUS	
  resilience	
  for	
  500-­‐yr	
  storm	
  throughout	
  and	
  beyond	
  
Wendigoldsmithgcc2013
Design	
  Criteria	
  
	
  •  SLR,	
  Weather	
  and	
  Hydraulics	
  
•  Frontal	
  ocean	
  assault	
  >>>	
  wind	
  forces	
  
•  Water	
  where?	
  (subsidence,	
  surge,	
  waves,	
  etc)	
  
•  What	
  can	
  it	
  carry?	
  (?mbers,	
  ships,	
  structures)	
  
	
  
•  Durability	
  and	
  Synergy	
  
•  Structural	
  strength	
  requirements	
  
•  Design	
  eleva?on	
  requirements	
  (wet	
  and	
  dry)	
  
•  Interac?on	
  of	
  elements	
  (weak	
  links,	
  complementary)	
  
•  HSDRRS	
  Criteria	
  for	
  system	
  and	
  elements	
  
The	
  Elements	
  
•  Mul?ple	
  Lines	
  of	
  Defense	
  
– Linear	
  Infrastructure:	
  Levees,	
  Walls,	
  Gates,	
  etc	
  
– Natural	
  sun-­‐gathering	
  ecosystems	
  
– Landforms	
  as	
  barriers,	
  self	
  genera?ng	
  
– Behavior:	
  Evacua?on,	
  pumps,	
  raised	
  buildings,	
  etc	
  
•  Adap?ve	
  Management	
  
– Works	
  for	
  different	
  storm	
  events	
  today	
  
– Capable	
  of	
  performing	
  and	
  evolving	
  over	
  ?me	
  
– Designed	
  for	
  modified	
  structures	
  and	
  opera?ons	
  
– Could	
  address	
  scenarios	
  not	
  currently	
  known	
  
	
  
Dune	
  and	
  Marsh	
  Plahorms	
  
Geotube	
  Stabilized	
  Dune	
  
The	
  biggest	
  and	
  best	
  results	
  are	
  not	
  
visible	
  
•  New	
  Ways	
  to	
  Collaborate	
  
– Government	
  ↔	
  Industry	
  
– Government	
  ↔	
  	
  Public	
  
– Government	
  ↔	
  Researchers	
  
•  New	
  Ways	
  to	
  Communicate	
  
– Risk	
  and	
  Uncertainty	
  
– Future	
  Scenarios	
  
– Transparency	
  and	
  Verifica?on	
  
Wendigoldsmithgcc2013
Wendigoldsmithgcc2013
Wendigoldsmithgcc2013
2009	
  Strategic	
  
Planning	
  Retreat	
  
Goal	
  Exercise	
  
+	
   =
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Wendigoldsmithgcc2013

  • 1. CHANGING  CLIMATE  –  RISING  TIDE  
  • 17. Charles Darwin: “It is not the strongest species that survive, nor the most intelligent, but the ones most able to adapt to change.” Organizations inspired by nature are resilient, optimizing, adaptive, systems-based, values-based, and life-supporting. The more resilient an organization is, the more able it is to successfully deal With disturbances and volatility.
  • 19. Case  Study   •  Greater  New  Orleans  post-­‐Katrina  Infrastructure   and  Coastal  Restora?on  System   – Biggest  Untold  Story  of  Success  and  Possibility!   – Massive  undertaking  can  serve  as  example  for  Climate   Change  Adapta?on  Measures  to  reduce  actual  risk— not  just  insure  financial  exposures   – Started  in  2007,  func?onal  in  2011  –AMAZING!!   – U?lized  Expedited  NEPA   – During  Hurricane  Isaac  in  2012  avoided  damages  far   greater  than  its  cost  –  an  excellent  ROI  
  • 20.  
  • 21. Plan  Formula?on    •  Congress  Mandated  1%  annual  risk   •  What  is  service  life?  Steel/Concrete  =  50  yrs   •  What  will  condi?ons  be  at  END  OF  SERVICE?  CHANGED!   •  How  to  op?mize  budget  provided?   •  Project  Re-­‐Defined  Risk-­‐Based  Infrastructure  Formula?on   •  Factored  in  SLR,  subsidence,  etc   •  Forecasts  for  basis  of  design   •  Truly  systems-­‐based  approach  of  hard  and  green   •  Not  just  1%  chance  of  flooding  TODAY  as  is  typical   •  End  of  service  1%  chance  of  flooding   •  PLUS  resilience  for  500-­‐yr  storm  throughout  and  beyond  
  • 23. Design  Criteria    •  SLR,  Weather  and  Hydraulics   •  Frontal  ocean  assault  >>>  wind  forces   •  Water  where?  (subsidence,  surge,  waves,  etc)   •  What  can  it  carry?  (?mbers,  ships,  structures)     •  Durability  and  Synergy   •  Structural  strength  requirements   •  Design  eleva?on  requirements  (wet  and  dry)   •  Interac?on  of  elements  (weak  links,  complementary)   •  HSDRRS  Criteria  for  system  and  elements  
  • 24. The  Elements   •  Mul?ple  Lines  of  Defense   – Linear  Infrastructure:  Levees,  Walls,  Gates,  etc   – Natural  sun-­‐gathering  ecosystems   – Landforms  as  barriers,  self  genera?ng   – Behavior:  Evacua?on,  pumps,  raised  buildings,  etc   •  Adap?ve  Management   – Works  for  different  storm  events  today   – Capable  of  performing  and  evolving  over  ?me   – Designed  for  modified  structures  and  opera?ons   – Could  address  scenarios  not  currently  known    
  • 25. Dune  and  Marsh  Plahorms  
  • 27. The  biggest  and  best  results  are  not   visible   •  New  Ways  to  Collaborate   – Government  ↔  Industry   – Government  ↔    Public   – Government  ↔  Researchers   •  New  Ways  to  Communicate   – Risk  and  Uncertainty   – Future  Scenarios   – Transparency  and  Verifica?on  
  • 31. 2009  Strategic   Planning  Retreat   Goal  Exercise   +   =