wendgoldsmithgcc2013

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5th Massachusetts Green Career Conference Keynote Presentation

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wendgoldsmithgcc2013

  1. 1. CHANGING  CLIMATE  –  RISING  TIDE  
  2. 2. Large  Scale  Stormwater  Wetland  
  3. 3. Charles Darwin: “It is not the strongest species that survive, nor the most intelligent, but the ones most able to adapt to change.” Organizations inspired by nature are resilient, optimizing, adaptive, systems-based, values-based, and life-supporting. The more resilient an organization is, the more able it is to successfully deal With disturbances and volatility.
  4. 4. Case  Study   •  Greater  New  Orleans  post-­‐Katrina  Infrastructure   and  Coastal  Restora?on  System   – Biggest  Untold  Story  of  Success  and  Possibility!   – Massive  undertaking  can  serve  as  example  for  Climate   Change  Adapta?on  Measures  to  reduce  actual  risk— not  just  insure  financial  exposures   – Started  in  2007,  func?onal  in  2011  –AMAZING!!   – U?lized  Expedited  NEPA   – During  Hurricane  Isaac  in  2012  avoided  damages  far   greater  than  its  cost  –  an  excellent  ROI  
  5. 5.  
  6. 6. Plan  Formula?on    •  Congress  Mandated  1%  annual  risk   •  What  is  service  life?  Steel/Concrete  =  50  yrs   •  What  will  condi?ons  be  at  END  OF  SERVICE?  CHANGED!   •  How  to  op?mize  budget  provided?   •  Project  Re-­‐Defined  Risk-­‐Based  Infrastructure  Formula?on   •  Factored  in  SLR,  subsidence,  etc   •  Forecasts  for  basis  of  design   •  Truly  systems-­‐based  approach  of  hard  and  green   •  Not  just  1%  chance  of  flooding  TODAY  as  is  typical   •  End  of  service  1%  chance  of  flooding   •  PLUS  resilience  for  500-­‐yr  storm  throughout  and  beyond  
  7. 7. Design  Criteria    •  SLR,  Weather  and  Hydraulics   •  Frontal  ocean  assault  >>>  wind  forces   •  Water  where?  (subsidence,  surge,  waves,  etc)   •  What  can  it  carry?  (?mbers,  ships,  structures)     •  Durability  and  Synergy   •  Structural  strength  requirements   •  Design  eleva?on  requirements  (wet  and  dry)   •  Interac?on  of  elements  (weak  links,  complementary)   •  HSDRRS  Criteria  for  system  and  elements  
  8. 8. The  Elements   •  Mul?ple  Lines  of  Defense   – Linear  Infrastructure:  Levees,  Walls,  Gates,  etc   – Natural  sun-­‐gathering  ecosystems   – Landforms  as  barriers,  self  genera?ng   – Behavior:  Evacua?on,  pumps,  raised  buildings,  etc   •  Adap?ve  Management   – Works  for  different  storm  events  today   – Capable  of  performing  and  evolving  over  ?me   – Designed  for  modified  structures  and  opera?ons   – Could  address  scenarios  not  currently  known    
  9. 9. Dune  and  Marsh  Plahorms  
  10. 10. Geotube  Stabilized  Dune  
  11. 11. The  biggest  and  best  results  are  not   visible   •  New  Ways  to  Collaborate   – Government  ↔  Industry   – Government  ↔    Public   – Government  ↔  Researchers   •  New  Ways  to  Communicate   – Risk  and  Uncertainty   – Future  Scenarios   – Transparency  and  Verifica?on  
  12. 12. 2009  Strategic   Planning  Retreat   Goal  Exercise   +   =

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