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NAACP 2012 Battleground Poll

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NAACP polling data looks at the impact of the Black vote on the 2012 Presidential Election and targeted issues, political affiliations and civil rights issues.

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NAACP 2012 Battleground Poll

  1. NAACP BATTLEGROUND POLL____________________________ _ Ben Jealous, President & CEO, NAACP Silas Lee, PhD Silas Lee and Associates Matt A. Barreto, PhD Principal Latino Decisions November 8, 2012
  2. 2012 African American Election Eve PollFour States1,600 AfricanAmerican Voters400 per stateNovember 1-5Live callers,landline & cells
  3. SUPPORT FOR OBAMAAND BLACK INFLUENCESTATES 93% were “enthusiastic” about the President, 79% “very enthusiastic”
  4. African American Vote for PresidentObama in Four States 100 98 99 97 97 98 80 60 40 20 0
  5. African American Impact in 2012 Growth in Black vote since 2004 was crucial
  6. African American Impact in 2012 Growth in Black vote since 2004 was crucial
  7. African American Impact in 2012Additional stateswhere Black voteexceeds theObama marginEven more stateswhere Blacks +Latinos create aminority influencebloc
  8. ISSUES IN THE 2012ELECTION
  9. Most Important Issues among AfricanAmericansWhat are the 60% 63% 63% 59%most important 55%issues facing the Jobs/Econo myAfrican EducationAmerican Health Carecommunity thatpoliticiansshould address? 23% 22% 24% 22% 23% 24% 24% 23% 22% 19%• Jobs!
  10. Is there a Federal Role in Protecting Minority Interests? Definitely Yes Yes No Definitely NoDespite 81% ofAfrican Voting Rights 65% 28% 4%1%Americanvotersembracing Public 67% 29% 2%1%norms of self- Educationreliance, theystrongly see a Housing 57% 35% 4% 1%role for the OpportunitiesFederalGovernment. Affirmative 52% 36% 5% 1% Action
  11. RELATIONSHIP TO THEPOLITICAL PARTIES
  12. African American Trust in Parties on CivilRights Are the parties working hard to address civil Republica rights and 7% 32% 55% ns equality? 1) Working Hard Working Hard Just talk Dont care at all 2) Just saying what minorities want to hear Democrat 71% 18% 2% 3) Don’t care at s all…
  13. Comparing the Parties on Issues… Republica nsAfrican Working Hard on Poverty 7% Democrat 65% sAmericanssee little Working Hard on Publc 15%effort from Education 78%Republicans 11%on issues of Working Hard on Health Care 84%importance. Working Hard on Job 14% Opportunities 74% Working Hard to Reduce Mass 6% Incarceration 30%
  14. SUPPORTING CIVILRIGHTS FOR ALLAMERICANS
  15. Strong African American Support forcontemporary civil rights issues Strongly support Support DK Oppose Strongly Oppose DREAM Act 71% 21% 2%3% Comprehensive Immigration 53% 27% 7%8% Reform w/ Path to Citizenship Same Sex Marriage Equality 27% 23% 9% 31% Same Sex Marriage Equality 34% 23% 7% 24% (w/ Religious Exemption) 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
  16. Strong African American Support forcontemporary civil rights issuesSupport Same Sex Marriage with Religious Exemption –by Age Net support Net oppose EdgeAll 57% 31% +2618-30 67% 26% +4131-44 62% 25% +3745-65 55% 35% +2066 plus 48% 39% +09Support will only increase as younger voters come into the
  17. LOOKING TO THEFUTURE
  18. Democrats Without Obama? Very enthusiasticProjected Somewhat enthusiasticenthusiasm forDemocrats in2016 AFTER 2012 - With Obama 79% 14% 5%Obama issignificantlylower, suggesting a challenge 2016 - Without Obama 47% 32% 18%for Democratsand opportunityfor 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%Republicans.
  19. Would you be more likely to vote GOPif: GOP took a stand for civil rights/equality GOP nominated Colin PowellVOTES ONTHE TABLE: 19%With a better 15% 15%record or the 14% 14% 14% 13% 13% 13%right 11%nominee, GOPcould attractsignificantlymore AfricanAmericanvotes. Four State Total Florida Georgia Ohio Virgina
  20. NAACP BATTLEGROUND POLL____________________________ _ Ben Jealous, President & CEO, NAACP Silas Lee, PhD Silas Lee and Associates Matt A. Barreto, PhD Principal Latino Decisions November 8, 2012

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