1.
U.S. employment situation: September 2013
Release date: October 22, 2013
The labor market bounced back in
June, but slack is diminishing
U.S. employment situation: June 2016 July 8, 2016

2.
June 2016 employment summary
• Employment growth returns with strength after a very weak May
- June saw 287,000 net new jobs added to the U.S. labor market, a return to healthy growth after a weak May that saw gains revised
downward to just 11,000 jobs. This is the highest monthly figure in eight months and will be reassuring to decision makers such as the
Federal Reserve.
- A 414,000-person increase in the labor force brought participation to 62.7 percent and pushed up unemployment slightly to 4.9 percent.
Still below the 5.0 percent threshold, unemployment is beginning to approach its cyclical low and is already “full” for white-collar workers.
- Job growth was broad-based, although non-office industries such as health, leisure and hospitality, trade and construction continued to
lead monthly and annual increases.
• Metro areas have minimal slack, which could hinder further gains in 2016 and 2017
- Many metro areas are posting unemployment below 4.0 percent. In particular, San Francisco, Austin, Nashville, Denver, Dallas, Silicon
Valley and Boston all fall below the 3.5 percent mark, while more diversified geographies such as Atlanta, Chicago, Los Angeles, Miami,
Philadelphia and Phoenix are in the 4.5 to 5.5 percent range.
- As a result, we have seen and expect further gradual slowdowns in the rate of job growth in hot markets as employers run up against talent
shortages. Accelerated job and office occupancy growth is likely in diversified markets before they too reach similar tightness.
• Wage growth is up and benefits from continued low inflation
- Annual wage growth rose by 10 basis points to 2.6 percent, led by information and a number of non-office industries. Wage growth has
decoupled from job creation, with the rate of the former rising as the latter flatlines.
- Although there is room for growth, wage growth remains meaningful as the Consumer Price Index continues to stall at 1.0 percent,
providing for further purchasing power and consumer expenditures to drive quarterly GDP gains.
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
2

3.
June 2016 U.S. labor market at a glance
+287,000
(69 consecutive months
of growth)
1-month net change
+2,451,000
(+1.7% y-o-y)
12-month change
+777,000
10-year average annual growth
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
4.9%
Unemployment rate
-40bp
12-month change in unemployment
62.7%
Labor force participation rate
5,788,000
(+3.7% y-o-y)
Job openings
5,092,000
(+0.4% y-o-y)
Hires
2,912,000
(+8.6% y-o-y)
Quits
3

4.
After May’s sharp slowdown (and further downward revision),
June bolted back with 287,000 net new jobs
360,000
226,000
243,000
96,000
110,000
88,000
106,000
122,000
221,000
183,000
164,000
196,000
360,000
226,000
243,000
96,000
110,000
88,000
160,000
150,000
161,000
225,000
203,000
214,000
197,000
280,000
141,000
203,000
199,000
201,000
149,000
202,000
164,000
237,000
274,000
84,000
166,000
188,000
225,000
330,000
236,000
286,000
249,000
213,000
250,000
221,000
423,000
329,000
221,000
265,000
84,000
251,000
273,000
228,000
277,000
150,000
149,000
295,000
280,000
262,000
168,000
233,000
186,000
144,000
11,000
287,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
1-monthnetchange
4
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics

5.
Unemployment rose slightly to 4.9 percent as the labor force
expanded by 414,000 and participation rose
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
-1,000.0
-800.0
-600.0
-400.0
-200.0
0.0
200.0
400.0
600.0
Unemploymentrate(%)
1-monthnetchange(thousands)
Monthly employment change Unemployment rate
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
5

6.
Even with slowing monthly job growth, openings continue to
rise and stand at a record high of 5.8 million
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
6
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Jobopenings(thousands)

7.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
ConsumerconfidenceIndex
Consumer confidence jumped up by nearly six points, but is
still flat over the course of the 2016
Source: JLL Research, Conference Board
7

8.
As wages continue to slowly rise on aggregate, they are doing so
as inflation barely maintains 1.0 percent growth
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics – CPI data as of March 2016
8
-3.0%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
12-month%change
Hourly wage growth CPI growth

9.
1.4%
1.9%
2.2%
2.4%
2.5%
2.8%
3.4%
3.7%
4.3%
4.8%
0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0%
Other services
Education and health
Financial activities
Professional and business services
Trade, transportation and utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Mining and logging
Leisure and hospitality
Information
12-month % change in wages
Apart from information, non-office sectors of the economy are
leading wage growth
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics – office-using sectors in red
9

10.
-9.4
-5.0
-0.1
0.0
2.9
3.0
3.6
11.0
13.0
14.0
15.2
16.0
22.0
29.9
38.0
44.0
58.4
59.0
59.0
-20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Transportation and warehousing
Mining and logging
Motor vehicles and parts
Construction
Utilities
Durable goods
Wholesale trade
Nondurable goods
Other services
Manufacturing
Temporary help services
Financial activities
Government
Retail trade
Professional and business services
Information
Health care and social assistance
Leisure and hospitality
Education and health services
1-month net change (thousands)
Most sectors have returned to growth mode after contractions
in May; non-office continues to dominate
10
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics

11.
-128.0
-76.0
-29.0
8.0
17.4
17.5
36.0
38.4
47.0
54.7
71.0
129.0
163.0
217.0
312.8
413.0
497.0
587.9
668.0
-200 0 200 400 600 800
Mining and logging
Durable goods
Manufacturing
Utilities
Motor vehicles and parts
Temporary help services
Information
Transportation and warehousing
Nondurable goods
Wholesale trade
Other services
Government
Financial activities
Construction
Retail trade
Leisure and hospitality
Professional and business services
Health care and social assistance
Education and health services
12-month net change (thousands)
668.0
497.0
413.0
312.8
163.0
397.2
Education and health PBS
Leisure and hospitality Retail trade
Financial activities Manufacturing
All other jobs
Over the course of 2016, annual levels of growth have yet to
budge and composition remains consistent
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
11
Core subsectors added 83.8 percent
of all jobs over the past 12 months.

12.
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
Unemploymentrateforbachelor’sdegreeholders(%)
A slight bump in the participation rate increased white-collar
unemployment to 2.5 percent, but still well below official rate
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
12

13.
Returning workers brought information employment back to
normal levels, while finance and PBS are steadier
-300
-250
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Information Professional and business services Financial activities
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
13

14.
After contracting by upwards of 8.1 percent earlier this year,
energy is finally stabilizing
-11.0
-9.0
-7.0
-5.0
-3.0
-1.0
1.0
3.0
5.0
7.0
9.0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
High-tech Energy, Mining, and Utilities Office-using industries Total non-farm
Source: JLL Research, Moody’s. Note: Due to data lags, high-tech employment only available through January 2015.
14
12-month%change(jobs)

15.
Unemployment claims ticked up slightly, but the moving
average is stable at 269,000 per week
Source: JLL Research, U.S. Department of Labor
15
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
550,000
600,000
650,000
700,000
Claims
Initial claims 4-week moving average

16.
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Hiresandquits(thousands)
Hires Quits
Hires and quits are still at near-cyclical highs, but have
moderated
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
16

17.
Month after month, tech and Sun Belt markets continue to
surpass the national rate of job growth by more than 100bp
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
17
Dallas
4.6%
Orlando
4.2%Austin
3.9%
Silicon Valley
3.7%
Phoenix
3.6%
Seattle
3.6%

18.
0.2%
1.2%
1.3%
2.0%
2.1%
2.3%
2.4%
2.6%
3.0%
3.4%
3.6%
4.6%
0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0%
Houston
Boston
Chicago
New York
Philadelphia
Washington, DC
Los Angeles
South Florida
Atlanta
San Francisco
Seattle
Dallas
12-month % change
As talent shortages make hiring more difficult, major market
employment growth now mostly below 3.5 percent
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
18

19.
Contrary to the official rate, total unemployment dropped by
10bp to 9.6 percent; decreases have slowed and nearing low
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
Totalunemployemtn(%)
Total unemployment U-6 10-year average
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
19

20.
The 414,000-person expansion of the labor force boosted the
participation rate by 10bp to 62.7 percent
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
20
60.0%
61.0%
62.0%
63.0%
64.0%
65.0%
66.0%
67.0%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Laborforceparticipationrate(%)

21.
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For more information, please contact:
Ben Breslau
Managing Director - Americas Research
Benjamin.Breslau@am.jll.com
Phil Ryan
Senior Research Analyst – Office and Economy Research
Phil.Ryan@am.jll.com