Ipsos MORI - Ipsos European Pulse

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In the wake of Ed Miliband’s recent speech on Europe, the latest Ipsos MORI European Pulse, tracking the sentiment of over 8,000 online citizens in ten European countries (Belgium, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden), suggests that the most popular option among Britons is a long term policy of staying in the European Union but reducing its powers (mentioned by 40%), followed by leaving the EU (28%). This compares with 18% who want to leave things as they are, 8% who want to stay in the EU and increase its powers, and 5% who want to work for the formation of a single European government.

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Ipsos MORI - Ipsos European Pulse

  1. 1. Ipsos European Pulse March 2014 Contacts: Bobby.Duffy@ipsos.com Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com
  2. 2. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI Contents 1) Slide 4- Across the European Union: are things heading in the right direction or are they on the wrong track? 2) Slide 8- The EU’s influence and impact on economic issues 3) Slide 21- The EU’s influence and impact on constitutional issues 4) Slide 26- The EU’s influence and impact on social issues 5) Slide 31- The future of the EU
  3. 3. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI Technical note • These are findings of research conducted by global research company Ipsos. • Respondents aged 16-64 were interviewed via the Ipsos Global @dvisor Online Panel in Belgium, France, Great Britain, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Poland, Spain and Sweden between February 4-18, 2014. Approximately 1000+ individuals participated on a country by country basis with the exception of Belgium, Hungary, Poland and Sweden where each have a sample approximately 500+. • A further 1,017 were interviewed online in the Netherlands between 18-20 February 2014. This sample is representative for the Dutch population which may vote (all Dutch aged 18+), and data are weighted by age, sex, education, working status, region and previous national election behaviour.
  4. 4. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI Across Europe: are things heading in the right direction or are they on the wrong track?
  5. 5. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI Generally speaking, would you say things across the European Union are heading in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track? Across Europe: are things going in the right direction or are they on the wrong track? % saying ‘heading in the right direction’ 39% 39% 39%33% 33% 23% 24% 23% Less than 30% 30-35% 36%+ 34% 35% Country average: 32% Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014
  6. 6. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI Generally speaking, would you say things across the European Union are heading in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track? % saying ‘on the wrong track’ 61% 61% 61%67% 67% 77% 76% 77% 60-64% 65-69% 70%+ 66% 65% Country average: 68% Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Across Europe: are things going in the right direction or are they on the wrong track?
  7. 7. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI 11 14 17 36 41 30 24 43 27 23 23 24 33 33 34 39 39 39 Italy France Spain Sweden Great Britain Belgium Poland Germany Hungary Generally speaking, would you say things across the European Union/ in this country are heading in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track? How the direction of travel across Europe compares with your country’s Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. *Question not asked in the Netherlands Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute EU lead +12 -4 +15 -8 +4 -3 +7 +9 +12 Across the EU In this country
  8. 8. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI The EU’s influence and impact: economic issues
  9. 9. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI The EU’s influence and impact on the economy 81% Somewhat/ very much 19% Not very much/ not at all How much influence, if any, do you think the European Union has over the economy in your country? 41% Positive 59% Negative And do you think the European Union generally has a positive or negative impact on the economy in your country? Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
  10. 10. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 %Positiveimpact % Very much influence PL HUDE SE NL GB BE ES IT AVG FR The EU’s influence and impact on the economy- by country Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
  11. 11. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI The EU’s influence and impact on jobs 65% Somewhat/ very much 35% Not very much/ not at all How much influence, if any, do you think the European Union has over jobs in your country? 61% Positive 39% Negative And do you think the European Union generally has a positive or negative impact on jobs in your country? Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
  12. 12. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI The EU’s influence and impact on jobs- by country Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 %Positiveimpact % Very much influence PL HU DE SE NL GB BE ES FR AVG IT
  13. 13. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI The EU’s influence and impact on governments’ finances 75% Somewhat/ very much 25% Not very much/ not at all How much influence, if any, do you think the European Union has over the finances of the government in your country? 35% Positive65% Negative And do you think the European Union generally has a positive or negative impact on the finances of the government in your country? Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
  14. 14. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 The EU’s influence and impact on governments’ finances- by country Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute %Positiveimpact % Very much influence PL HU DESE NL GB BE ES FR AVG IT
  15. 15. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the following statement: my country’s economy has been damaged by EU pressure on Eurozone member governments to cut their spending The impact of EU-mandated austerity % who agree 50% 63% 55%64% 49% 75% 75% 70% 50% or less 51-59% 61%-69% 69% 77% Country average: 65% Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute 70%+
  16. 16. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI The EU’s influence and impact on personal taxes 58% Somewhat/ very much 42% Not very much/ not at all How much influence, if any, do you think the European Union has over personal taxes in your country? 32% Positive 68% Negative And do you think the European Union generally has a positive or negative impact on personal taxes in your country? Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
  17. 17. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 The EU’s influence and impact on personal taxes- by country Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute %Positiveimpact % Very much influence PL HU DE SE NL GB BE ES FR AVG IT
  18. 18. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: the standard of living for me and my family is higher now than it would have been if my country had not joined the European Union Has the EU helped support living standards? Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute 4 8 8 7 6 9 8 10 7 13 8 24 21 24 26 28 26 29 28 32 31 27 50 34 41 46 43 42 34 41 46 29 40 21 37 27 22 22 23 29 21 15 27 25 Sweden Italy Spain Germany Netherlands France Hungary Belgium Great Britain Poland Average Somewhat disagree Somewhat agree Disagree very much Agree very much
  19. 19. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI The EU’s influence and impact on agriculture 79% Somewhat/ very much 21% Not very much/ not at all How much influence, if any, do you think the European Union has over agriculture in your country? 40% Positive60% Negative And do you think the European Union generally has a positive or negative impact on agriculture in your country? Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
  20. 20. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI The EU’s influence and impact on agriculture- by country 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 %Positiveimpact % Very much influence PL HU SE DEGB BE ES FR AVG IT NL Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
  21. 21. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI The EU’s influence and impact: constitutional issues
  22. 22. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI The EU’s influence and impact on laws and regulations 79% Somewhat/ very much 21% Not very much/ not at all How much influence, if any, do you think the European Union has over laws and regulations in your country? 41% Positive 59% Negative And do you think the European Union generally has a positive or negative impact on laws and regulations in your country? Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
  23. 23. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0 10 20 30 40 50 The EU’s influence and impact on laws and regulations- by country Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute %Positiveimpact % Very much influence PL HU DE SE NL GB BE ES FR AVG IT
  24. 24. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI The EU’s influence and impact on countries’ decision-making 75% Somewhat/ very much 25% Not very much/ not at all How much influence, if any, do you think the European Union has over the ability of your government and its elected officials to make decisions that are in the best interest of your country? 36% Positive 64% Negative And do you think the European Union generally has a positive or negative impact on the ability of your government and its elected officials to make decisions that are in the best interest of your country? Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
  25. 25. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0 10 20 30 40 50 The EU’s influence and impact on countries’ decision-making- by country Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute %Positiveimpact % Very much influence PL HU DE SE NL GB BE ES FR AVG IT
  26. 26. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI The EU’s influence and impact: social issues
  27. 27. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI The EU’s influence and impact on people’s daily lives 59% Somewhat/ very much 41% Not very much/ not at all How much influence, if any, do you think the European Union has over people’s daily lives in your country? 43% Positive 57% Negative And do you think the European Union generally has a positive or negative impact on people’s daily lives in your country? Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
  28. 28. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 The EU’s influence and impact on people’s daily lives- by country Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute %Positiveimpact % Very much influence PL HUDE SE NL GB BE ES FR AVG IT
  29. 29. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI The EU’s influence and impact on immigration 74% Somewhat/ very much 26% Not very much/ not at all How much influence, if any, do you think the European Union has over immigration in your country? 41% Positive 59% Negative And do you think the European Union generally has a positive or negative impact on immigration in your country? Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
  30. 30. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 The EU’s influence and impact on immigration- by country Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute %Positiveimpact % Very much influence PL HU DE SE NL GB BE ES FR AVG IT
  31. 31. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI The future of the European Union
  32. 32. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI 19% 34% 11% 19% 18% Stay in the European Union and try to reduce the European Union’s powers Leave things as they are Stay in the European Union and try to increase European Union’s powers Work for the formation of a single European government Leave the European Union Please indicate what you think the long-term policy of your country should be: More or less power for the EU? Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
  33. 33. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI Please indicate what you think the long-term policy of your country should be: The future of the EU - by country Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute 18 23 28 25 22 17 27 21 9 5 5 19 31 21 23 26 24 13 17 10 12 8 11 4 4 11 7 15 16 7 13 14 18 34 25 25 27 33 34 29 36 47 43 40 19 17 21 14 12 11 16 19 21 26 28 Average Hungary Italy Germany Spain Poland Belgium France Netherlands Sweden Great Britain % Work for the formation of a single European government % Stay in the EU and try to increase the EU's powers % Leave things as they are % Stay in theEU and try to reduce the EU's powers % Leave the European Union
  34. 34. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: the next European elections in my country will be won by anti-European movements Prospects for anti-European movements in May Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Agree Disagree 60% 40%
  35. 35. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI 5 6 6 6 5 7 11 10 12 13 8 23 27 27 29 31 30 35 46 45 47 34 51 48 50 43 50 46 41 38 35 32 43 20 20 17 22 14 16 13 5 8 8 14 Hungary Spain Belgium Poland Germany France Italy Great Britain Netherlands Sweden Average Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: the next European elections in my country will be won by anti-European movements Prospects for anti-European movements in May- by country Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Somewhat disagree Somewhat agree Disagree very much Agree very much
  36. 36. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: The European Union gives an unfair advantage to richer European countries over poor European countries Do richer European countries have an advantage? Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute 56% Agree 44% Disagree
  37. 37. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI 73% Spain 39% Germany 71% Italy 43% Netherlands 64% Poland 45% Sweden 58% France 53% Great Britain 56% Belgium 55% Hungary Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: The European Union gives an unfair advantage to richer European countries over poor European countries Do richer European countries have an advantage? By country % who agree by country Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February 2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
  38. 38. Version 1 | Public© Ipsos MORI About Ipsos • Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. In October 2011 Ipsos completed the acquisition of Synovate. The combination forms the world’s third largest market research company. • With offices in 85 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across six research specializations: advertising, customer loyalty, marketing, media, public affairs research, and survey management. • Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe. • Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,789 billion (2.300 billion USD) in 2012. • Visit www.ipsos.com to learn more about Ipsos’ offerings and capabilities.

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