http://profitableinvestingtips.com/stock-investing-tips/will-there-be-a-year-end-stock-rally
Will There Be a Year-End Stock Rally?
The first days of September were good for stocks. One analyst says that this fact indicates that there will be a year-end stock rally. CNBC talked to strategist Tom Lee who says there is a 90% chance of a year-end rally.
Perennially bullish strategist Tom Lee believes the S&P 500 is set to rally 6 to 8 percent before the year is out.
That specific number is based on his analysis of prior market moves. Lee found that since 1940, the S&P ended the year higher in 27 of the 30 times it was up by 5 to 20 percent through mid-September.
One might think that election years, which threaten to bring a great deal of uncertainty to the end of the year, may hold something different. But out of the nine election years covered by the above stat, eight of them saw stocks gain in the final 3½ months, Lee says.
Many believe that the current market is overpriced. If that is the case what would drive it higher? One opinion is that many investors are still hurting from the 2008 market crash and have avoided stocks ever since. Some of these folks are finally becoming believers and will push the market up as they try to get back into the market. The problem is that some will probably come in for a slight gain before the market finally corrects!
Will the Market Correct or Crash?
Not everyone believes that a year-end rally is in the cards. Investopedia reports that James Dale Davidson, who predicted the 1999 and 2007 crashes, says a stock market correction is imminent.