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What Happens to Your Investments When the Trade War Is Resolved?
The threat of an ever-expanding trade war has been dragging down many investments in stocks. There are lots of doomsday scenarios out there predicting not only the collapse of the stock market but of the global economy. But, nobody wants a total disaster. Rather the Americans, Chinese, Europeans, and others all want the best deal they can get, short of creating a situation in which everyone loses. So, what happens to your investments when the trade war is resolved?
Economic Growth with Fewer Trade Worries
CNBC reports that Goldman Sachs sees a possible stock market surge. In response to questions from investors, Goldman looked at where to invest if trade tensions fall and the economy continues to perform well.
The looked at what would happen if trade tensions fade, the Federal Reserve stops raising rates after two or three hikes and economic growth continues to rise. Under such a scenario, Goldman’s estimate for S&P 500 2019 earnings per share would rise by 3 percent, to $175, and a lower-than-expected Treasury yield would enable a market price to earnings multiple of 18 times. This would lead to a year-end price target for the S&P 500 of 3,150, 11 percent higher than Friday’s close.