1.
A lead article in Reuters says
that global stocks fall before U.S.
presidential debate.

2.
Why is it that the presidential debate
scares the stock market?

3.
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4.
Stock prices around the world
declined on Monday ahead of the first
U.S. presidential debate between
Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump,
while oil prices rose in advance of an
informal OPEC meeting in Algeria on
hopes for an output cut.

5.
Half of America’s likely voters will rely
on the presidential debates to help
them make their choice between the
two major U.S. party nominees in the
Nov. 8 election, according to a
Reuters/Ipsos poll released on
Monday.

6.
“The polls have both candidates
neck-to-neck.

7.
The debates might increase the lead
of one over the other and that’s what
the market is fearful of,” said Peter
Cardillo, chief market economist at
First Standard Financial in New York.

8.
Is the market just afraid of the
uncertainty or is it afraid of one of the
potential outcomes of the election?

9.
Last month we gave some thought to
either a Clinton or a Trump
presidency and the stock market.

10.
If Hillary Clinton Wins

11.
What a Clinton presidency would
mean for stocks depends on
whether or not democrats regain
control of the senate or even the
House of Representatives.

12.
We looked at
what Kiplinger suggested for stocks
picks if Hillary Clinton wins.

13.
Although we have an idea about what
Clinton would want the odds are that
the Republicans will retain control of
the House of Representatives even if
they lose the senate.

14.
Thus there will need to be deal
making for the government work
function.

15.
That having been said here are the
Kiplinger picks.

16.
Cognizant Tech
Solutions
Hospital
Corporation of
America
Lockheed Martin
Marriott
International
Sun Power
Toll Brothers
Wal-Mart Stores

17.
As Kiplinger notes Clinton has a long
track record and stated policy
positions on a huge number of
issues.

18.
As such it is a lot easier to decide
how the market would be affected
when she is president as opposed to
if Trump pulls off an upset.

19.
Clinton has a long and clear track
record that will help investors decide
where the market might go if she gets
into the oval office.

20.
That cannot be said for her opponent.

21.
If Donald Trump Wins

22.
What a Trump presidency would
mean for stocks is uncertain which
is perhaps at the root of why the
presidential debate scares the stock
market.

23.
NASDAQ weighed in on what
investors might look for in a Trump
presidency.

24.
They noted that, like with the Brexit
vote, a vote for Trump is a vote
against the status quo without a clear
idea of what comes next.

25.
But if you believe the hype of “the
Donald’s” speeches then NASDAQ
believes that

26.
construction and materials
companies would prosper if the
famed wall on the border with Mexico
is built and more so if Trump were to
follow through with investments in
infrastructure.

27.
Multinationals would be hurt if Trump
nixed trade deals and does not follow
through with the Trans Pacific
Partnership.

28.
Global companies like Amazon and
Walmart would be hurt.

29.
And meanwhile defense and security
stocks would do well if Trump’s wish
to make gun permits valid throughout
the nation and increase defense
spending.

30.
The agricultural sector would be hurt
if all migrant workers without papers
were sent back to Mexico and points
south.

31.
But lower corporate taxes would be a
relief to multinationals who might be
persuaded to bring their profits back
home.

32.
What if Trump becomes president but
the Democrats control the senate and
hostile Republicans control the
House of Representatives?

33.
That might be a recipe for a
dysfunctional government worse than
that which we have seen.

34.
The prospect of a U.S. government
even more dysfunctional that it has
been for the last years is perhaps
what scares the market the most.

35.
Baring a landslide by either party that
situation is likely to continue to a
greater or lesser degree into the next
presidency.