http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/facebook-ipo-flop
Facebook IPO Flop
In light of the recent Facebook IPO flop we revisit the popular social media site. In February we posed the question, “Is Facebook a good investment?” It was our opinion then and our opinion now that Facebook will provide value for long term investors only if it finds effective ways to monetize its name and technology. We also noted that when floating an IPO those in charge commonly set the price so that the stock is likely to go up on the first day of trading. That was not the case when Facebook went public. In fact it appears that it was a Facebook IPO flop. The IPO was offered at $38.00. The stock opened promisingly at $42 a share and promptly fell into the $38 range. After buying by the investment bankers who ran the IPO, the stock rose back as high as $41.68 before eventually ending the trading day at $38.27.
Who Won?
The IPO was eminently successful for Facebook. Just recently a figure in the $26 a share range was bandied about for a likely IPO price. The investment bankers pushed this up to $38 and Facebook realized $16 Billion. And the investment bankers won with their fees and commissions. However, anyone now holding Facebook stock may be wondering how to unload what may well be an overpriced stock.
What Happened?
In the hype that preceded the Facebook IPO flop the IPO was expected to price the company in the top ranks of American Corporations. At the same time the issue of whether or not advertisers can sell anything via Facebook came up. General Motors quit placing ads on Facebook because they were not getting any sales. During the same time frame the possibility of a Greek financial collapse reemerged and possibly excessive austerity measures threaten to drive Europe into recession. Facebook and its investment bankers may well have been greedy, raising the price of the IPO in the face of bad news. In the end the bankers made money and Facebook made lots of money and anyone holding the stock lives in fear of a worsening Facebook IPO flop.
What Is Next for Facebook?
Facebook remains an incredibly popular social media site. But it may not be as strong on handheld devices as it is on personal computers. As we noted in our “Invest in Hewlett Packard” article some months ago people are buying fewer personal computers and using hand held devices such as tablets for their emails and chats. If that is all one does a tablet makes more sense than a PC. But, if Facebook does not do as well on tablets it may lose market share to other, newer social networking sites. And there is the issue of sales. In the end the Facebook IPO flop is because big, serious investors do not see how Facebook can successfully monetize its large following. It may continue to be very popular but not all that profitable. If that is the future that Facebook saw, then it was good reason to pull some cash out o by way of an IPO. No one blames Facebook for cashing in.
Digital Transformation in the PLM domain - distrib.pdf
Facebook IPO Flop
1.
2.
3. IN LIGHT OF THE RECENT FACEBOOK
IPO FLOP WE REVISIT THE POPULAR
SOCIAL MEDIA SITE.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
4. IN FEBRUARY WE POSED THE
QUESTION, “IS FACEBOOK A GOOD
INVESTMENT?”
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
5. IT WAS OUR OPINION THEN AND OUR
OPINION NOW THAT FACEBOOK WILL
PROVIDE VALUE FOR LONG TERM
INVESTORS ONLY IF IT FINDS
EFFECTIVE WAYS TO MONETIZE ITS
NAME AND TECHNOLOGY.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
6. WE ALSO NOTED THAT WHEN
FLOATING AN IPO THOSE IN CHARGE
COMMONLY SET THE PRICE SO THAT
THE STOCK IS LIKELY TO GO UP ON
THE FIRST DAY OF TRADING.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
7. THAT WAS NOT THE CASE WHEN
FACEBOOK WENT PUBLIC.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
8. IN FACT IT APPEARS THAT IT WAS A
FACEBOOK IPO FLOP.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
9. THE IPO WAS OFFERED AT $38.00.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
10. THE STOCK OPENED PROMISINGLY
AT $42 A SHARE AND PROMPTLY FELL
INTO THE $38 RANGE.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
11. AFTER BUYING BY THE INVESTMENT
BANKERS WHO RAN THE IPO, THE STOCK
ROSE BACK AS HIGH AS $41.68 BEFORE
EVENTUALLY ENDING THE TRADING DAY AT
$38.27.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
12. WHO WON?
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
13. THE IPO WAS EMINENTLY
SUCCESSFUL FOR FACEBOOK.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
14. JUST RECENTLY A FIGURE IN THE $26
A SHARE RANGE WAS BANDIED
ABOUT FOR A LIKELY IPO PRICE.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
15. THE INVESTMENT BANKERS PUSHED
THIS UP TO $38 AND FACEBOOK
REALIZED $16 BILLION. AND THE
INVESTMENT BANKERS WON WITH
THEIR FEES AND COMMISSIONS.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
16. HOWEVER, ANYONE NOW HOLDING
FACEBOOK STOCK MAY BE
WONDERING HOW TO UNLOAD WHAT
MAY WELL BE AN OVERPRICED
STOCK.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
17. WHAT HAPPENED?
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
18. IN THE HYPE THAT PRECEDED THE
FACEBOOK IPO FLOP THE IPO WAS
EXPECTED TO PRICE THE COMPANY
IN THE TOP RANKS OF AMERICAN
CORPORATIONS.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
19. AT THE SAME TIME THE ISSUE OF
WHETHER OR NOT ADVERTISERS
CAN SELL ANYTHING VIA FACEBOOK
CAME UP.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
20. GENERAL MOTORS QUIT PLACING
ADS ON FACEBOOK BECAUSE THEY
WERE NOT GETTING ANY SALES.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
21. DURING THE SAME TIME FRAME THE
POSSIBILITY OF A GREEK FINANCIAL
COLLAPSE REEMERGED AND
POSSIBLY EXCESSIVE AUSTERITY
MEASURES THREATEN TO DRIVE
EUROPE INTO RECESSION.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
22. FACEBOOK AND ITS INVESTMENT
BANKERS MAY WELL HAVE BEEN
GREEDY, RAISING THE PRICE OF THE
IPO IN THE FACE OF BAD NEWS.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
23. IN THE END THE BANKERS MADE
MONEY AND FACEBOOK MADE LOTS
OF MONEY AND ANYONE HOLDING
THE STOCK LIVES IN FEAR OF A
WORSENING FACEBOOK IPO FLOP.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
24. WHAT IS NEXT FOR FACEBOOK?
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
25. FACEBOOK REMAINS AN INCREDIBLY
POPULAR SOCIAL MEDIA SITE.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
26. BUT IT MAY NOT BE AS STRONG ON
HANDHELD DEVICES AS IT IS ON
PERSONAL COMPUTERS
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
27. AS WE NOTED IN OUR “INVEST IN
HEWLETT PACKARD” ARTICLE SOME
MONTHS AGO PEOPLE ARE BUYING
FEWER PERSONAL COMPUTERS AND
USING HAND HELD DEVICES SUCH AS
TABLETS FOR THEIR EMAILS AND
CHATS. IF THAT IS ALL ONE DOES A
TABLET MAKES MORE SENSE THAN A
PC.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
28. BUT, IF FACEBOOK DOES NOT DO AS
WELL ON TABLETS IT MAY LOSE
MARKET SHARE TO OTHER, NEWER
SOCIAL NETWORKING SITES.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
29. AND THERE IS THE ISSUE OF SALES.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
30. IN THE END THE FACEBOOK IPO FLOP
IS BECAUSE BIG, SERIOUS
INVESTORS DO NOT SEE HOW
FACEBOOK CAN SUCCESSFULLY
MONETIZE ITS LARGE FOLLOWING.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
31. IT MAY CONTINUE TO BE VERY POPULAR
BUT NOT ALL THAT PROFITABLE.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
32. IF THAT IS THE FUTURE THAT
FACEBOOK SAW, THEN IT WAS GOOD
REASON TO PULL SOME CASH OUT
OF THE OPERATION BY WAY OF AN
IPO.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
33. NO ONE CAN BLAME FACEBOOK FOR
CASHING IN ON THEIR SUCCESS BY
PROVIDING A PUBLIC MEANS OF TRADING
SHARES.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
34. THE PROBLEM FOR INVESTORS IS
WHETHER THE FACEBOOK IPO FLOP IS A
MEASURE OF THINGS TO COME IN WHICH
THE STOCK WILL PROGRESSIVELY FALL TO
A MORE REALISTIC PRICE RANGE.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
35. THOSE WHO DO THEIR FUNDAMENTAL
ANALYSIS APPARENTLY THINK THAT THE
STOCK IS PRICED TOO HIGH.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
36. AS USUAL WE ARE NOT SUGGESTING THAT
ONE INVEST IN FACEBOOK OR THAT ONE
IGNORE THE STOCK.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
37. RATHER OUR POINT IS TO PROVIDE AN
EXAMPLE OF THINKING THROUGH AN
INVESTMENT.
W W W. P R O F I TA B L E I N V E S T I N G T I P S . C O M
38. FOR MORE INSIGHTS AND USEFUL
INFORMATION REGARDING INVESTMENTS AND
INVESTING, VISIT
WWW.PROFITABLEINVESTINGTIPS.COM.