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Anteprima Rapport ASSIFORM 2010 - Presentazione di Giancarlo Capitani (NetConsulting)

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Presentazione dell'amministratore delegato NetConsulting Dott. Giancarlo Capitani

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Anteprima Rapport ASSIFORM 2010 - Presentazione di Giancarlo Capitani (NetConsulting)

  1. 1. Assinform Anteprima del Rapporto 2010 Conferenza Stampa Giancarlo Capitani Amministratore Delegato di NetConsulting Milano, marzo 2010
  2. 2. Andamento del PIL in Italia e nei principali Paesi (2009)  % 2009/2008 a prezzi costanti Fonte: Cina India Brasile Mondo Francia Stati Uniti Spagna UK Italia Germania Giappone Russia Tassi di crescita del PIL e del mercato ICT a livello mondiale (2001-2009)
  3. 3. Mercato mondiale dell’ICT (2005-2009) Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting Valori in miliardi di dollari e in % 4.4% 5.5% 2.592 6.1% 5.2% 5.5% 5.9% 5.2% 2.735 2.885 4.8% 4.2% -5.4% 1.1% -1.5% 3.012 2.968
  4. 4. Indicatori di diffusione dell’ICT a livello mondiale (2007–2009) Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting Parco mondiale (milioni di unità) Unità vendute nel mondo (milioni di unità) 6.1% -3.5% 11.4% 3.9% 2009 2007 2008
  5. 5. Andamento del mercato ICT: un confronto Italia – Mondo (2004-2009) Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting Mercato mondiale PIL IT TLC Mercato italiano PIL IT TLC
  6. 6. Il mercato dell’Informatica in Italia nel 2009
  7. 7. Correlazione fra il trend del PIL e quello del mercato IT in Italia (1994-2009) Crescita dell’IT e del PIL IT 0%  % su anno precedente PIL Fonte: Assinform/NetConsulting; per economia ISTAT
  8. 8. Il mercato dell’IT nei principali Paesi (variazioni 2008 e 2009) Variazioni % su anno precedente Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting USA Giappone Europa Regno Unito Germania Francia Spagna Italia
  9. 9. Mercato IT in Italia (2007-2009) Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting 20.190 18.686 0.8% +3.4% -2.5% -0.2% 20.343 -8.1% -3.6% -5.0% -14.8% Valori in Milioni di Euro e in % +0.4% -6.5%
  10. 10. Andamento del mercato Hw per segmenti in valore (2008-2009) Variazioni % 2009-2008 Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting PC Server Mainframe Workstation Storage Stampanti Stampanti multifunzione
  11. 11. Il mercato dei personal computer in Italia (2007-2009) Dati in unità - Variazioni % Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting 5.633.000 +10.1% -20.9% -16.7% +0.5% 6.905.000 +44.5% +0.9% -4.7% +22.6% (880.000)* (1.560.000)* (*) Netbook 6.942.000
  12. 12. Rilevanza del segmento consumer sul mercato totale dei PC in Italia (2005-2009) Dati in unità - Variazioni % Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting +0.5% 5.633.000 +22.6% (25.2%) 4.979.000 4.323.200 +15.2% +28.2% +14.1% +13.1% (28.1%) (30.1%) (31.8%) (33.4%) 6.905.000 +21.1% +10.0% +29.5% +19.6% +5.7% -1.9% 6.942.000
  13. 13. Il mercato del Software in Italia (2007-2009) Valori in milioni di Euro e variazioni in % Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting 4.470 4.307 -3.6% -4.6% -4.1% -2.0% 4.325 3.4% +3.2% +2.5% +5,7%
  14. 14. Mercato dei Servizi in Italia nel 2009 Valori in milioni di Euro e variazioni % Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting 9.317 Sviluppo e manutenzione Sistemi embedded Servizi di elaborazione Education & Training Outsourcing / FM System Integration Consulenza 9.355 -1.0% -2,7% +1,1% +1,0% +2,4% -3.1% +2.2% 8.750 -8.7% -8.8% -7.0% -6.8% -3.5% -9.3% -5.0% -6.5% +0,4%
  15. 15. Il mercato delle Telecomunicazioni in Italia nel 2009
  16. 16. Andamento del mercato delle TLC in Italia per segmento fisso e mobile (2007-2009) Valori in Milioni di Euro e in % Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting 44.120 44.200 -2.0% +1.3% -0.2% 43.085 -3.3% -1.5% -2.3%
  17. 17. Il mercato italiano delle TLC per segmenti di clientela (2007-2009) Valori in Milioni di Euro - Variazioni % Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting * Escluse infrastrutture 39.940* 39.800* -1.7% +1.5% +0.4% 39.295* -4.1% -0.3% -1.6%
  18. 18. Il mercato italiano delle TLC – Apparati e Servizi (2007-2009) Valori in Milioni di Euro - Variazioni % Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting 44.120 44.200 -0.3% -0.1% -0.2% 43.085 -7.5% -0.9% -2.3%
  19. 19. Il mercato italiano dei Servizi TLC (2007-2009) Valori in Milioni di Euro - Variazioni % Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting 34.530 34.580 +1.4% -1.9% -0.1% 34.215 +0.3% -2.4% -0.9%
  20. 20. Il mercato italiano dei servizi TLC di rete fissa (2007-2009) Valori in milioni di Euro - Variazioni % Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting 15.770 +11.5% -6.9% -1.9% -7.2% +3.0% 16.070 15.390 +4.5% -7.3% -2.4% -5.2% +4.8%
  21. 21. Gli accessi a Banda Larga in Italia (2007-2009) e confronto con i principali Paesi europei (2008-2009) Valori in migliaia di accessi - Variazioni % Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting 10.120 11.360 12.6% +12.3% 12.400 +9.2% 9.3% 2.6% 5.7% Percentuale famiglie con almeno un componente tra i 16 e i 64 anni con accesso a banda larga Fonte: ISTAT (Dicembre 2009)
  22. 22. Il mercato italiano dei Servizi Mobili (2007-2009) Valori in Milioni di Euro - Variazioni % Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting 18.760 18.510 +7.9% -1.0% +1.4% 18.825 +3.4% -0.9% +0.3%
  23. 23. Le linee attive e gli utenti di telefonia mobile in Italia (2007-2009) Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting Linee attive – (Valori in migliaia) +1.6% -1.0% +2.2% +0.4% Numero di utenti – (Valori in Milioni) +0.9%
  24. 24. L’ARPU dei servizi mobili in Italia (2007-2009) Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting ARPU Servizi mobili (€ / anno per singolo utente e var. %) 0.9% -0.5% ARPU Servizi voce (€ / anno per singolo utente e var. %) -1.4% -1.7% ARPU Servizi non voce (€ / anno per singolo utente e var. %) 7.4% 2.6%
  25. 25. Le previsioni per il 2010
  26. 26. Previsioni sull’andamento dell’economia nei principali Paesi nel 2010 Fonte: World Economic Outlook - FMI, update Febbraio 2010 e Statistiche Nazionali Variazioni % su anno precedente Fonte: World Economic Outlook - FMI, update Febbraio 2010 e Statistiche Nazionali 2009 USA Giappone Germania UK Francia Italia Mondo 2010 (prev)
  27. 27. Previsioni sull’andamento dell’economia italiana nel 2010 Fonte: Confindustria (dicembre 2009) PIL Consumi delle famiglie Investimenti fissi lordi Export
  28. 28. Il mercato italiano dell’ICT (2008-2010) Valori in Milioni di Euro e in % Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting 61.274 +0.2% -3.1% -0.8% 61.771 -2.3% -8.1% -4.2% 64.463
  29. 29. Il mercato italiano dell’IT nel 2010 Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting 18.686 20.343 -3.1% -1.5% -3.3% -4.5% Valori in Milioni di Euro e in % -8.1% -3.6% -5.0% -14.8% -6.5% -3.2% 18.099
  30. 30. Il mercato italiano delle TLC nel 2010 Valori in Milioni di Euro - Variazioni % Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting 43.085 44.120 -7.5% -0.9% -2.3% 43.175 +1.3% -0.1% +0.2%
  31. 31. Crescita media annua della spesa IT e della produttività del lavoro nei principali Paesi (2000-2008) Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting e OECD Spesa IT PIL Produttività
  32. 32. Il posizionamento competitivo dell’Italia nell’ICT I gap da recuperare Fonte: Oecd Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard (2009) Bilancia dei prodotti ad alta tecnologia Bilancia commerciale dei prodotti a media alta Bilancia commerciale ICT Vendite Internet Acquisti Internet R&D Accessi a banda larga Investimenti in venture capital Crescita produttività del lavoro

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